8=======>

2022-03-25 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2107
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.9%
in alpha space · 83.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum5.3884.5825-14.95%4.234-21.42%0.0059✓0.634.8M2022-04-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0375740.032357-13.88%0.026614-29.17%0.1003✓0.82199k2022-04-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.4747.4601-11.97%6.1093-27.91%0.0675✓1.1428.1M2022-04-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.6625.936-10.90%4.57-31.40%0.2055✓0.488.7M2022-04-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.550851-9.99%0.606-0.98%0.2261✗1.123.2M2022-04-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08080.072757-9.95%0.048-40.59%0.2156✓1.7244.4M2022-04-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.14680.132887-9.48%0.1193-18.73%0.0408✓1.28568k2022-04-24
CELLCellframeEthereum1.43361.3029-9.12%0.8692-39.37%0.2486✓1.34201k2022-04-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.6471.5046-8.65%1.085-34.12%0.2099✓1.011.6M2022-04-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum71.6266.0444-7.78%44.34-38.09%0.2458✓1.314.9M2022-04-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.60752.4069-7.69%2.5861-0.82%0.1586✗0.7514k2022-04-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.039130.036223-7.43%0.02494-36.26%0.1923✓1.5629.6M2022-04-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36024.0405-7.33%3.8284-12.20%0.0223✓0.665.5M2022-04-24
UMAUMAEthereum7.6257.0778-7.18%6.074-20.34%0.0015✓1.306.1M2022-04-24
LUNATerraTerra 290.3484.041-6.97%90.54+0.22%0.2290✗1.339.2M2022-04-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.13092.9134-6.95%4.7474+51.63%0.5817✗0.804.0M2022-04-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011290.000001051-6.88%0.000001-11.38%0.1055✓-0.481.2M2022-04-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.4513.4899-6.64%13.07-9.55%0.0239✓0.482.8M2022-04-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.026.5647-6.49%5.87-16.38%0.0480✓1.37458k2022-04-24
IMXImmutableEthereum2.2562.1195-6.05%1.73-23.32%0.0916✓0.966.0M2022-04-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.512.7303-5.70%11.9-11.85%0.0191✓0.423.0M2022-04-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.467.9818-5.65%5.8-31.44%0.2367✓0.713.2M2022-04-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024140.000022776-5.65%0.00002394-0.83%0.1838✗1.152.3M2022-04-24
ZECZcashZcash195.35184.4511-5.58%160.92-17.62%0.0219✓0.9915.7M2022-04-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.42040.397128-5.54%0.3265-22.34%0.0163✓1.822.2M2022-04-24
STXStacksnative1.341.2669-5.46%1.12-16.42%0.0144✓0.94518k2022-04-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0411040.038952-5.23%0.031577-23.18%0.0996✓0.954.1M2022-04-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004220.004-5.21%0.00401-4.98%0.1563✗1.325.5M2022-04-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.670.63515-5.20%0.57-14.93%0.0694✗1.53403k2022-04-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012230.011601-5.14%0.00989-19.13%0.0176✓1.223.4M2022-04-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.16.7386-5.09%4.8-32.39%0.2513✓0.761.8M2022-04-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.19563.9887-4.93%4.3553+3.81%0.1579✗0.604.0M2022-04-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.091.9875-4.90%1.9-9.09%0.1035✗1.28903k2022-04-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08030.076402-4.85%0.0661-17.68%0.0065✓1.19308k2022-04-24
FTTFTXEthereum49.7147.3335-4.78%40.79-17.94%0.0275✓1.0414.1M2022-04-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6781.5979-4.78%2.546+51.73%0.5807✗0.992.5M2022-04-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.896.5664-4.70%6.373-7.50%0.0864✗1.00475k2022-04-24
XVGVergenative0.01030.009819-4.67%0.00992-3.69%0.1426✗1.141.7M2022-04-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14020.133739-4.61%0.1788+27.53%0.4263✗1.172.2M2022-04-24
XMRMoneroMonero199.98190.8242-4.58%252.68+26.35%0.3884✗0.931.7M2022-04-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23990.229047-4.52%0.2492+3.88%0.2006✗1.00368k2022-04-24
LSKLiskEthereum2.2452.1457-4.43%2.1275-5.23%0.0828✗0.79131k2022-04-24
XECeCashnative0.00008410.000080397-4.40%0.00008848+5.21%0.2079✗0.965.7M2022-04-24
BANDBandEthereum4.033.8526-4.40%3.607-10.50%0.0627✗1.11582k2022-04-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.5879.9256-4.37%71.54-14.41%0.0382✓1.28113.5M2022-04-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot20.5519.6524-4.37%18.15-11.68%0.0467✗1.0921.4M2022-04-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.2244.9979-4.33%4.54-13.09%0.0133✓0.9493k2022-04-24
XLMStellarStellar0.2112960.202288-4.26%0.189627-10.26%0.0491✗0.9817.7M2022-04-24
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8431.7656-4.20%1.358-26.32%0.1659✓0.8350k2022-04-24
QNTQuantEthereum137.44131.6754-4.19%110.44-19.64%0.0692✓0.924.2M2022-04-24
DASHDashDash126.29121.0069-4.18%100-20.82%0.0793✓0.961.8M2022-04-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1570.150485-4.15%0.1333-15.10%0.0005✓1.04215k2022-04-24
DODODODOEthereum0.4360.417963-4.14%0.389-10.78%0.0562✗1.102.9M2022-04-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.9925.7447-4.13%5.165-13.80%0.0273✓0.681.1M2022-04-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,293.4042,475.96-4.10%39,699.30-10.37%0.0447✗0.9753k2022-04-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.17821.1299-4.10%1.1545-2.01%0.1651✗1.238.4M2022-04-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,331.8542,525.47-4.07%39,464.56-10.98%0.0416✓1.00729.5M2022-04-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.88950.853565-4.04%0.7008-21.21%0.0825✓0.9917.2M2022-04-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.9628.7499-4.04%25.12-16.15%0.0304✓0.90710k2022-04-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.079180.075989-4.03%0.07259-8.32%0.0767✗1.0579k2022-04-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.13834.9314-4.03%4.547-11.51%0.0266✓0.93264k2022-04-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22270.213825-3.99%0.1778-20.16%0.0682✓1.001.5M2022-04-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,599.7619,791.83-3.92%18,270.32-11.31%0.0490✗1.116.0M2022-04-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0574.8607-3.88%5.87+16.08%0.3351✗1.263.4M2022-04-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.0515.819-3.83%4.334-28.38%0.1783✓1.00899k2022-04-24
CBKCobakEthereum2.4382.3447-3.83%2.219-8.98%0.0371✓0.7920k2022-04-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.24720.237745-3.82%0.2117-14.36%0.0180✓1.152.3M2022-04-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.50320.484019-3.81%0.4171-17.11%0.0325✓1.001.3M2022-04-24
KSMKusamaHydration166.41160.0996-3.79%159.48-4.16%0.1266✗1.12719k2022-04-24
STORJStorjEthereum1.17171.1274-3.78%1.0652-9.09%0.0749✗1.13124k2022-04-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.7642.6596-3.78%1.885-31.80%0.2279✓1.0054k2022-04-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0134280.012925-3.75%0.014336+6.76%0.2098✗0.9112k2022-04-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02970.028596-3.72%0.0222-25.25%0.1239✓1.11197k2022-04-24
QTUMQtumQtum8.26657.9604-3.70%6.3261-23.47%0.0976✓1.14102k2022-04-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6161.5577-3.61%1.389-14.05%0.0424✗1.35451k2022-04-24
NANOnanopayBase2.40682.3215-3.54%2.0348-15.46%0.0001✓1.13154k2022-04-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.30390.293347-3.47%0.3023-0.53%0.1615✗1.13268k2022-04-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.834160.805334-3.46%0.7222-13.42%0.0161✓1.08118k2022-04-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.24520.236873-3.40%0.187-23.74%0.1201✓1.00182k2022-04-24
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5810.2231-3.37%8.71-17.67%0.0418✓1.026.2M2022-04-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54040.522234-3.36%0.5106-5.51%0.0623✗0.73359k2022-04-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.8415.3153-3.31%12.72-19.70%0.0490✓1.18631k2022-04-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020410.019736-3.30%0.01747-14.40%0.0020✓1.031.4M2022-04-24
ADACardanoCardano1.09661.0604-3.30%0.886-19.20%0.0624✓1.0160.9M2022-04-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.8318.2144-3.27%18.92+0.48%0.1521✗0.986.3M2022-04-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25930.250856-3.26%0.2383-8.10%0.0443✗0.821.9M2022-04-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.5320.8317-3.24%19.26-10.54%0.0749✗1.32246k2022-04-24
UOSUltraEthereum1.16171.1245-3.20%0.88754-23.60%0.0891✓1.271.5M2022-04-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4090.395997-3.18%0.3574-12.62%0.0310✓1.1510.2M2022-04-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0985.905-3.17%5.231-14.22%0.0107✓0.9585k2022-04-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.57390.555808-3.15%0.4344-24.31%0.1302✓1.005,0542022-04-24
HIVEHivenative1.00290.971314-3.15%0.9181-8.46%0.0729✗1.112.0M2022-04-24
ORCAOrcaSolana2.262.1889-3.14%1.95-13.72%0.0357✓0.69201k2022-04-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative48.1746.6702-3.11%33.67-30.10%0.2039✓1.054.2M2022-04-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.160130.155179-3.09%0.13651-14.75%0.0302✓0.8414k2022-04-24
XEMNEMnative0.10770.104411-3.05%0.0943-12.44%0.0059✓0.8240k2022-04-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2852.2152-3.05%2.703+18.29%0.3537✗1.339.1M2022-04-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2550.247217-3.05%0.277+8.63%0.2091✗0.8222k2022-04-24
XTZTezosTezos3.51733.4105-3.04%2.9606-15.83%0.0146✓1.091.1M2022-04-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.5717.0416-3.01%15.33-12.75%0.0468✗1.312.8M2022-04-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5041.4594-2.97%1.284-14.63%0.0153✓1.233.9M2022-04-24
GITCOINGITCOIN6.9386.7336-2.95%5.88-15.25%0.0222✓1.3624k2022-04-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.615.1409-2.94%13.28-14.87%0.0102✓1.0429.8M2022-04-24
RADRadworksEthereum5.034.8845-2.89%4.38-12.92%0.0074✓0.87493k2022-04-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.101440.098513-2.89%0.0915-9.80%0.0289✓0.8828k2022-04-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8340.81032-2.84%0.6004-28.01%0.2594✓0.35620k2022-04-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07680.074633-2.82%0.1066+38.80%0.4665✗0.95151k2022-04-24
SOLSolanaSolana98.6395.9124-2.76%99.25+0.63%0.1815✗1.2789.9M2022-04-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.736.5448-2.75%6-10.85%0.0002✓0.75814k2022-04-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.1527.3848-2.72%22.3-20.78%0.0755✓1.1241.1M2022-04-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2821.2475-2.69%1.198-6.55%0.0719✗0.972.9M2022-04-24
MANADecentralandEthereum2.59212.5227-2.68%2.0017-22.78%0.0967✓1.161.3M2022-04-24
ZENHorizenBase44.7743.5808-2.66%36.06-19.45%0.0383✓1.30396k2022-04-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.66140.643942-2.64%0.5442-17.72%0.0181✓1.29447k2022-04-24
DIADIAEthereum0.980.954513-2.60%0.88-10.20%0.0376✓0.38169k2022-04-24
MOVRMoonriverBase58.524557.0147-2.58%51.601-11.83%0.0558✗1.34154k2022-04-24
PROPropyEthereum1.571.5303-2.53%1.73+10.19%0.2390✗1.00217k2022-04-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin124120.9359-2.47%104.59-15.65%0.0278✓1.0126.1M2022-04-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36380.355298-2.34%0.3351-7.89%0.0923✗1.301.2M2022-04-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5848550.571232-2.33%0.809494+38.41%0.4686✗1.031.6M2022-04-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7462.6827-2.30%3.298+20.10%0.3404✗1.15417k2022-04-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35540.347261-2.29%0.3115-12.35%0.0605✗1.458.9M2022-04-24
ETHEthereumEthereum3,104.153,033.31-2.28%2,921.96-5.87%0.0857✗1.06513.4M2022-04-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6960.680635-2.21%0.696+0.00%0.1306✗0.931.9M2022-04-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.7827.1765-2.17%26.15-5.87%0.1094✗1.27735k2022-04-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.22870.223849-2.12%0.2133-6.73%0.0973✗1.251.8M2022-04-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78220.765753-2.10%0.661-15.49%0.0386✓0.937.2M2022-04-24
SCSiacoinnative0.009990.009784-2.06%0.01016+1.70%0.1645✗1.09441k2022-04-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1308250.128131-2.06%0.13184+0.78%0.1239✗0.822.6M2022-04-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.421.3931-1.89%1.04-26.76%0.1660✓1.09573k2022-04-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.7718.4161-1.89%16.22-13.59%0.0140✓0.9714.8M2022-04-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1090.10701-1.83%0.188+72.48%0.6285✗0.5623k2022-04-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash365.21358.5493-1.82%307.63-15.77%0.0419✓0.968.0M2022-04-24
SUSHISushiEthereum3.623.5545-1.81%3.36-7.18%0.0742✗1.126.5M2022-04-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5731.5454-1.76%1.418-9.85%0.0270✗0.97739k2022-04-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.552.5054-1.75%2.18-14.51%0.0251✓0.98146k2022-04-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9430.927388-1.66%0.85-9.86%0.0688✗1.342.4M2022-04-24
XVSVenusEthereum9.969.8104-1.50%10.38+4.22%0.1789✗1.052.9M2022-04-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.026080.025701-1.45%0.02169-16.83%0.0817✓0.763.0M2022-04-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04370.043068-1.45%0.04397+0.62%0.1184✗0.8423k2022-04-24
MINAMina Protocolnative2.482.4446-1.43%2.19-11.69%0.0097✓1.03386k2022-04-24
KCSKuCoinnative18.67418.4217-1.35%19.561+4.75%0.1617✗0.875.4M2022-04-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.077590.076582-1.30%0.075-3.34%0.0711✗0.7914k2022-04-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV89.7988.6837-1.23%79.89-11.03%0.0167✓0.751.4M2022-04-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.486.4003-1.23%5.25-18.98%0.1141✓0.721.7M2022-04-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.044.9803-1.18%4.02-20.24%0.0499✓1.41430k2022-04-24
AVTAventusEthereum2.482.4515-1.15%2.41-2.82%0.0307✗0.41373k2022-04-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.93585.8868-0.82%5.8522-1.41%0.0413✗0.41179k2022-04-24
BTTCBTTC0.000001920.000001904-0.81%0.00000183-4.69%0.0337✗0.6312.1M2022-04-24
AAVEAaveEthereum162.53161.3244-0.74%166.31+2.33%0.1742✗1.2410.2M2022-04-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055180.054862-0.58%0.04485-18.72%0.0784✓1.06541k2022-04-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1064.0887-0.42%3.33-18.90%0.1329✓0.622.0M2022-04-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013110.013058-0.40%0.01129-13.88%0.0657✓0.699,5812022-04-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.04110.040947-0.37%0.03235-21.29%0.1572✓0.67985k2022-04-24
GTGateEthereum6.53476.5106-0.37%6.4236-1.70%0.0601✗0.634.2M2022-04-24
LRCLoopringEthereum1.0581.0563-0.16%0.8922-15.67%0.0146✓1.33114k2022-04-24
TRXTRONTron0.0643890.064498+0.17%0.065688+2.02%0.0925✓0.64267k2022-04-24
XYMSymbolnative0.14860.148883+0.19%0.1096-26.24%0.2157✗0.78309k2022-04-24
COMPCompoundEthereum116.03116.364+0.29%130.05+12.08%0.2434✓1.1451k2022-04-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8013.8311+0.79%3.201-15.79%0.0918✗0.762.0M2022-04-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.