8=======>

2022-03-23 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2346
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.1%
in alpha space · 77.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0144.0629+1.22%3.48-13.30%0.1066✗0.621.1M2022-04-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8073.85+1.13%3.475-8.72%0.0437✗0.761.6M2022-04-22
TRXTRONTron0.0643780.064233-0.23%0.066543+3.36%0.0845✗0.64259k2022-04-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039280.039062-0.55%0.03293-16.17%0.1195✓0.66985k2022-04-22
GTGateEthereum6.51076.4528-0.89%6.4813-0.45%0.0535✗0.643.9M2022-04-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056520.055992-0.93%0.04664-17.48%0.1010✓1.06541k2022-04-22
XYMSymbolnative0.14880.147325-0.99%0.1128-24.19%0.2060✓0.79301k2022-04-22
AAVEAaveEthereum156.07154.482-1.02%176.98+13.40%0.2309✗1.239.2M2022-04-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076740.075959-1.02%0.07592-1.07%0.0607✗0.7911k2022-04-22
COMPCompoundEthereum115.23113.7859-1.25%134.93+17.10%0.2581✗1.1450k2022-04-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.4197-1.39%5.59-14.13%0.0825✓0.721.5M2022-04-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.794.7231-1.40%4.22-11.90%0.0037✓1.41396k2022-04-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.04685.9498-1.60%5.8587-3.11%0.0165✗0.41179k2022-04-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.42.3599-1.67%2.35-2.08%0.0258✗0.39312k2022-04-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9560.938999-1.78%0.841-12.03%0.0062✓1.352.3M2022-04-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001890.000001856-1.80%0.00000189+0.00%0.0663✗0.6212.1M2022-04-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV90.888.9447-2.04%79.48-12.47%0.0539✓0.761.2M2022-04-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.492.4387-2.06%2.23-10.44%0.0141✓0.98146k2022-04-22
KCSKuCoinnative18.55918.1673-2.11%20.234+9.03%0.1754✗0.885.7M2022-04-22
XVSVenusEthereum9.489.2767-2.14%11.06+16.67%0.2558✗1.042.9M2022-04-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.026760.026161-2.24%0.02262-15.47%0.0868✓0.762.8M2022-04-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.4927.8488-2.25%25.84-9.30%0.0242✗1.28735k2022-04-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.042530.041529-2.35%0.04422+3.97%0.1274✗0.8423k2022-04-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash364.09354.8668-2.53%321.06-11.82%0.0260✓0.967.3M2022-04-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012890.012559-2.57%0.01092-15.28%0.0874✓0.689,5442022-04-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0735.9145-2.61%5.517-9.16%0.0036✓0.9588k2022-04-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.9818.4819-2.62%16.59-12.59%0.0327✓0.9714.5M2022-04-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38290.372838-2.63%0.3499-8.62%0.0370✗1.301.1M2022-04-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5381.4969-2.67%1.32-14.17%0.0319✓1.223.9M2022-04-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.7820.76103-2.68%0.6736-13.86%0.0502✓0.937.1M2022-04-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1060.103155-2.68%0.206+94.34%0.7336✗0.5425k2022-04-22
PROPropyEthereum1.561.518-2.69%1.71+9.62%0.1964✗1.00228k2022-04-22
SUSHISushiEthereum3.693.5892-2.73%3.53-4.34%0.0708✗1.136.4M2022-04-22
ETHEthereumEthereum3,038.932,955.78-2.74%2,963.05-2.50%0.0841✗1.06501.7M2022-04-22
ZENHorizenBase45.5344.2512-2.81%36.77-19.24%0.0842✓1.31361k2022-04-22
SCSiacoinnative0.01020.009909-2.85%0.01058+3.73%0.1500✗1.09441k2022-04-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.736.535-2.90%6.2-7.88%0.0048✓0.74822k2022-04-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6141.566-2.98%1.475-8.61%0.0156✓0.98644k2022-04-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin122.51118.8297-3.00%105.34-14.02%0.0425✓1.0125.9M2022-04-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.77580.752367-3.02%0.6137-20.89%0.1779✓0.34620k2022-04-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7912.7059-3.05%3.737+33.89%0.4116✗1.15448k2022-04-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07760.075225-3.06%0.1105+42.40%0.4576✗0.95146k2022-04-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5898130.571597-3.09%0.862203+46.18%0.4911✗1.041.6M2022-04-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.4565.2842-3.15%5.914+8.39%0.1647✗0.671.0M2022-04-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.1617.585-3.17%14.21-21.75%0.1113✓1.322.7M2022-04-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.22890.221618-3.18%0.2265-1.05%0.1186✗1.251.8M2022-04-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7390.71546-3.19%0.714-3.38%0.0707✗0.942.0M2022-04-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025660.024828-3.24%0.02234-12.94%0.0209✓1.10189k2022-04-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,312.2040,935.02-3.25%39,516.00-6.61%0.0389✗0.9653k2022-04-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.09650.093336-3.28%0.1162+20.41%0.3142✗1.23522k2022-04-22
XEMNEMnative0.10890.105218-3.38%0.0963-11.57%0.0246✓0.8340k2022-04-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03511-3.39%1.2006+15.99%0.2773✗1.225.6M2022-04-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3251.2797-3.42%1.186-10.49%0.0010✓0.972.9M2022-04-22
XTZTezosTezos3.45693.3379-3.44%3.0902-10.61%0.0070✓1.091.1M2022-04-22
HIVEHivenative0.94390.91129-3.45%0.9256-1.94%0.1002✗1.102.0M2022-04-22
RADRadworksEthereum4.934.7583-3.48%4.41-10.55%0.0087✓0.87567k2022-04-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.2627.2691-3.51%23.11-18.22%0.0796✓1.1140.2M2022-04-22
MOVRMoonriverBase62.429860.2198-3.54%55.559-11.01%0.0235✓1.35154k2022-04-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.12980.125199-3.55%0.136393+5.08%0.1484✗0.812.6M2022-04-22
SOLSolanaSolana94.8791.4854-3.57%100.55+5.99%0.1914✗1.2689.9M2022-04-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.542.4484-3.61%2.31-9.06%0.0215✓1.03368k2022-04-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52160.502745-3.61%0.5133-1.59%0.0768✗0.73376k2022-04-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.53772.4446-3.67%2.0394-19.64%0.0926✓1.151.3M2022-04-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.415.78-3.78%13.26-19.15%0.0822✓1.19603k2022-04-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.099040.095272-3.80%0.09337-5.72%0.0477✗0.8827k2022-04-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0132670.012761-3.81%0.014999+13.05%0.2317✗0.9112k2022-04-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.21410.205821-3.87%0.22+2.76%0.1546✗1.142.1M2022-04-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.391.3358-3.90%1.05-24.46%0.1582✓1.07553k2022-04-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.590.566997-3.90%0.449-23.90%0.1561✓1.004,8802022-04-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.37590.36111-3.93%0.3301-12.18%0.0242✓1.488.8M2022-04-22
DIADIAEthereum0.970.931584-3.96%0.88-9.28%0.0286✓0.37169k2022-04-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5331.4718-3.99%1.442-5.94%0.0821✗1.33451k2022-04-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3852.2898-3.99%2.483+4.11%0.1839✗1.339.5M2022-04-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01920.018426-4.03%0.01742-9.27%0.0221✓1.011.4M2022-04-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.30770.29529-4.03%0.3061-0.52%0.1235✗1.13217k2022-04-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26960.258586-4.09%0.2356-12.61%0.0292✓0.831.9M2022-04-22
ORCAOrcaSolana2.152.0613-4.13%1.92-10.70%0.0192✓0.67182k2022-04-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.42440.406709-4.17%0.3536-16.68%0.0513✓1.159.6M2022-04-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2560.245309-4.18%0.269+5.08%0.1538✗0.8024k2022-04-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.716.4295-4.18%5.05-24.74%0.1834✓0.751.6M2022-04-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.13171.0843-4.19%0.94139-16.82%0.0431✓1.271.5M2022-04-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.3318.5189-4.20%19.29-0.21%0.1167✗0.986.0M2022-04-22
KSMKusamaHydration161.78154.9287-4.23%164.55+1.71%0.1469✗1.12719k2022-04-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.8515.1784-4.24%13.59-14.26%0.0301✓1.0430.6M2022-04-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.0221.0859-4.24%20.25-8.04%0.0615✗1.32232k2022-04-22
NANOnanopayBase2.27642.1784-4.30%2.0576-9.61%0.0302✓1.13142k2022-04-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.15911.109-4.33%1.0914-5.84%0.0712✗1.13124k2022-04-22
UNIUniswapEthereum10.019.573-4.37%8.9-11.09%0.0047✓1.006.1M2022-04-22
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1576.8444-4.37%5.972-16.56%0.0312✓1.3623k2022-04-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.157220.150292-4.41%0.13749-12.55%0.0241✓0.8414k2022-04-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.83910.801834-4.44%0.719-14.31%0.0336✓0.9816.8M2022-04-22
DODODODOEthereum0.4530.432847-4.45%0.407-10.15%0.0236✓1.102.9M2022-04-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,440.4419,528.75-4.46%18,673.62-8.64%0.0410✓1.115.9M2022-04-22
LRCLoopringEthereum1.17221.1198-4.47%0.9596-18.14%0.0501✓1.35111k2022-04-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.2882.1854-4.48%2.302+0.61%0.1124✗0.7819k2022-04-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22910.218821-4.49%0.1897-17.20%0.0656✓1.001.6M2022-04-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.385.1369-4.52%5.479+1.84%0.1627✗1.273.0M2022-04-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076410.072932-4.55%0.0764-0.01%0.1273✗1.0560k2022-04-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,899.7140,945.02-4.56%39,712.25-7.43%0.0466✗1.00680.6M2022-04-22
QNTQuantEthereum126.9121.1062-4.57%107.94-14.94%0.0452✓0.914.2M2022-04-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.91643.7373-4.57%5.0919+30.01%0.3554✗0.603.8M2022-04-22
DASHDashDash129.78123.7492-4.65%103.74-20.06%0.1018✓0.971.8M2022-04-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative45.1843.0678-4.68%35.52-21.38%0.1121✓1.043.9M2022-04-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.835960.796685-4.70%0.73779-11.74%0.0062✓1.08118k2022-04-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.25262.1446-4.79%2.4587+9.15%0.1977✗0.79147k2022-04-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.0225.7331-4.80%4.511-25.09%0.1625✓1.00536k2022-04-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.48610.462744-4.80%0.4332-10.88%0.0112✓1.001.3M2022-04-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana13.3112.6695-4.81%14.35+7.81%0.1610✗0.472.4M2022-04-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2094530.199345-4.83%0.195403-6.71%0.0553✗0.9817.0M2022-04-22
XECeCashnative0.000083580.000079535-4.84%0.00008903+6.52%0.1874✗0.975.2M2022-04-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15460.147061-4.88%0.137-11.38%0.0094✓1.04205k2022-04-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.24960.237251-4.95%0.1923-22.96%0.1329✓1.00180k2022-04-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.0181.6805-5.03%74.01-13.95%0.0008✓1.29118.0M2022-04-22
XVGVergenative0.010380.009849-5.12%0.01032-0.58%0.1346✗1.141.7M2022-04-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23650.224355-5.14%0.2566+8.50%0.2115✗1.00368k2022-04-22
QTUMQtumQtum7.87487.4694-5.15%6.602-16.16%0.0356✓1.1497k2022-04-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.267.8344-5.15%6.16-25.42%0.1859✓0.712.9M2022-04-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.20224.9333-5.17%4.6501-10.61%0.0127✓0.93254k2022-04-22
XMRMoneroMonero197.42187.1183-5.22%268.49+36.00%0.4323✗0.921.7M2022-04-22
ZECZcashZcash181.99172.415-5.26%157.18-13.63%0.0172✓0.9813.8M2022-04-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7011.6106-5.31%2.432+42.97%0.4886✗0.992.3M2022-04-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.0119.8623-5.46%18.27-13.04%0.0006✓1.0923.2M2022-04-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00430.004062-5.53%0.00418-2.79%0.1304✗1.325.3M2022-04-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1712.4402-5.54%13.85+5.16%0.1392✗0.413.0M2022-04-22
FTTFTXEthereum46.1643.597-5.55%41.32-10.49%0.0261✓1.0314.1M2022-04-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.9416.5535-5.58%6.485-6.57%0.0667✗1.00475k2022-04-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14250.134527-5.59%0.1891+32.70%0.4309✗1.172.1M2022-04-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.742.5852-5.65%1.999-27.04%0.1799✓1.0052k2022-04-22
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8011.699-5.66%1.385-23.10%0.1409✓0.8250k2022-04-22
IMXImmutableEthereum2.2652.1363-5.68%1.835-18.98%0.0773✓0.975.3M2022-04-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011820.011148-5.69%0.01011-14.47%0.0037✓1.223.2M2022-04-22
BANDBandEthereum4.0283.7948-5.79%3.768-6.45%0.0784✗1.11582k2022-04-22
ADACardanoCardano1.10871.0436-5.87%0.9064-18.25%0.0631✓1.0160.9M2022-04-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.8828.1254-5.87%25.9-13.32%0.0126✓0.91710k2022-04-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.70880.6671-5.88%0.5608-20.88%0.0721✓1.31447k2022-04-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.11.9761-5.90%1.99-5.24%0.1060✗1.28906k2022-04-22
STXStacksnative1.341.2575-6.16%1.14-14.93%0.0260✓0.93481k2022-04-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum58.3954.5859-6.51%45.9-21.39%0.0753✓1.274.8M2022-04-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.164.8212-6.57%4.694-9.03%0.0457✓0.9493k2022-04-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19183.9163-6.57%3.9426-5.94%0.0571✓0.654.7M2022-04-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.47310.441247-6.73%0.3596-23.99%0.0619✓1.852.1M2022-04-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.70.652454-6.79%0.59-15.71%0.0180✓1.54413k2022-04-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.041010.038111-7.07%0.032116-21.69%0.0981✓0.954.1M2022-04-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024450.000022694-7.18%0.00002433-0.49%0.1587✗1.152.3M2022-04-22
UMAUMAEthereum7.6157.0621-7.26%6.035-20.75%0.0566✓1.306.0M2022-04-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04440.040967-7.73%0.0236-46.85%0.4292✓1.5820.1M2022-04-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.186.6226-7.76%5.98-16.71%0.0044✓1.38447k2022-04-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.18272.9356-7.76%4.7053+47.84%0.5347✗0.824.0M2022-04-22
LUNATerraTerra 294.8387.2502-7.99%93.56-1.34%0.1734✗1.349.2M2022-04-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001160.000001066-8.10%0.000001006-13.21%0.0916✓-0.451.5M2022-04-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06550.060102-8.24%0.0497-24.12%0.0575✓1.7244.1M2022-04-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.46252.2514-8.57%2.4578-0.19%0.1456✗0.7513k2022-04-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.6331.4915-8.66%1.16-28.97%0.1744✓1.001.7M2022-04-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07590.068822-9.33%0.0665-12.38%0.0562✓1.17308k2022-04-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6520.588808-9.69%0.575-11.81%0.0643✓1.142.4M2022-04-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.295.6649-9.94%4.731-24.79%0.1436✓0.477.4M2022-04-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.4421.281-11.17%0.9716-32.62%0.1715✓1.36201k2022-04-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.29657.3075-11.92%6.0004-27.68%0.1065✓1.1732.6M2022-04-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.030870.026736-13.39%0.027972-9.39%0.1044✓0.77198k2022-04-22
API3Api3Ethereum5.0844.2537-16.33%4.42-13.06%0.0866✓0.635.7M2022-04-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.