8=======>

2022-03-19 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2694
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.1%
in alpha space · 63.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.38%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5118.3091-18.66%13.42-40.38%0.2708✓1.16397k2022-04-18
API3Api3Ethereum5.024.1211-17.91%4.285-14.64%0.0607✓0.637.4M2022-04-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum7.446.3102-15.19%4.722-36.53%0.2555✓1.00417k2022-04-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0720.0627-12.92%0.0672-6.67%0.1102✓1.19352k2022-04-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.50321.3207-12.14%0.9939-33.88%0.2352✓1.43236k2022-04-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.13688.0754-11.62%5.3562-41.38%0.3762✓1.0049.7M2022-04-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6980.621275-10.99%0.676-3.15%0.1254✗1.192.0M2022-04-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.036.3278-9.99%5.97-15.08%0.0107✓1.38447k2022-04-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.20051.9894-9.59%2.545+15.66%0.2711✗0.7213k2022-04-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0660.059726-9.51%0.0502-23.94%0.1143✓1.7343.9M2022-04-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5121.3723-9.24%1.213-19.78%0.0888✓1.001.3M2022-04-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024160.000021982-9.01%0.00002527+4.59%0.1797✗1.172.5M2022-04-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.2614.7923-8.91%4.573-13.08%0.0149✓0.93102k2022-04-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.601215-8.91%0.64-3.03%0.1143✗1.50511k2022-04-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011960.000001089-8.89%0.000001187-0.76%0.0701✓-0.451.7M2022-04-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.036020.032894-8.68%0.01821-49.44%0.5342✓1.6613.0M2022-04-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0421970.03857-8.60%0.03442-18.43%0.0810✓0.954.6M2022-04-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.32863.0562-8.18%4.2984+29.14%0.3690✗0.814.1M2022-04-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8955.4226-8.01%4.599-21.98%0.1481✓0.484.5M2022-04-18
LUNATerraTerra 292.184.8317-7.89%90.98-1.22%0.1178✗1.399.1M2022-04-18
IMXImmutableEthereum2.0841.9341-7.19%1.751-15.98%0.0654✓0.993.6M2022-04-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0627.0467-6.93%26.26-9.64%0.0019✓0.91821k2022-04-18
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7181.599-6.93%1.46-15.02%0.0632✓0.8150k2022-04-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.12274-6.87%0.1867+41.65%0.4601✗1.182.1M2022-04-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.0548.574-6.68%46.22-11.20%0.0066✓1.254.8M2022-04-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44450.415076-6.62%0.3922-11.77%0.0093✓1.922.1M2022-04-18
UMAUMAEthereum7.6897.1825-6.59%6.318-17.83%0.0837✓1.306.0M2022-04-18
BANDBandEthereum3.813.5733-6.21%3.783-0.71%0.0953✗1.11631k2022-04-18
STXStacksnative1.321.2396-6.09%1.21-8.33%0.0081✓0.94463k2022-04-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.5884.1405-6.07%77.73-13.23%0.0341✓1.31119.2M2022-04-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.154410.145128-6.01%0.14143-8.41%0.0038✓0.8614k2022-04-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5236.1373-5.91%6.541+0.28%0.0981✗1.00475k2022-04-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1712.3924-5.90%14.46+9.79%0.1687✗0.423.0M2022-04-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9931.9934-5.87%36.9+8.56%0.1771✗1.003.8M2022-04-18
FTTFTXEthereum44.9242.2972-5.84%43.37-3.45%0.0606✗1.0314.4M2022-04-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020610.019439-5.68%0.01729-16.11%0.0819✓1.021.3M2022-04-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.821-5.65%1.99+3.11%0.1331✗1.291.2M2022-04-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00360.003397-5.63%0.00404+12.22%0.2218✗1.415.2M2022-04-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6391.5487-5.51%2.975+81.51%0.6869✗0.992.1M2022-04-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1550.146465-5.51%0.1372-11.48%0.0296✓1.04215k2022-04-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.7132.564-5.49%2.075-23.52%0.1772✓1.0052k2022-04-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074650.070596-5.43%0.07482+0.23%0.0949✗1.0754k2022-04-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19493.9672-5.43%3.9596-5.61%0.0207✓0.664.1M2022-04-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.22850.216391-5.30%0.2359+3.24%0.1207✗1.00352k2022-04-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9360.889163-5.00%0.9302-0.62%0.0915✗1.35100k2022-04-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.17592.0674-4.98%2.1201-2.56%0.0527✗0.80123k2022-04-18
QNTQuantEthereum119.96113.9983-4.97%111.58-6.99%0.0103✓0.924.4M2022-04-18
DODODODOEthereum0.4350.413458-4.95%0.39-10.34%0.0204✓1.112.8M2022-04-18
UNIUniswapEthereum9.749.2616-4.91%9.39-3.59%0.0489✓1.026.1M2022-04-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.4218.4678-4.90%18.16-6.49%0.0202✓1.0824.4M2022-04-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70924.4788-4.89%4.7151+0.13%0.0840✗0.95204k2022-04-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.24930.237135-4.88%0.1952-21.70%0.1602✓1.00180k2022-04-18
XVGVergenative0.009670.009202-4.83%0.01043+7.86%0.1648✗1.151.6M2022-04-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012140.011555-4.82%0.01101-9.31%0.0063✓1.223.1M2022-04-18
ADACardanoCardano0.9030.859753-4.79%0.9367+3.73%0.1204✗1.0164.1M2022-04-18
XLMStellarStellar0.200540.190993-4.76%0.205114+2.28%0.1056✗0.9918.9M2022-04-18
QTUMQtumQtum6.35446.0552-4.71%6.6996+5.43%0.1401✗1.1397k2022-04-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0194850.01857-4.70%0.026332+35.14%0.3770✗0.81167k2022-04-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,269.5040,287.58-4.69%40,850.20-3.36%0.0469✓0.9652k2022-04-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.48220.459755-4.65%0.4206-12.77%0.0546✓1.001.6M2022-04-18
ORCAOrcaSolana2.132.0315-4.62%1.87-12.21%0.0592✓0.69180k2022-04-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,232.2640,287.01-4.61%40,803.58-3.38%0.0472✗1.00688.5M2022-04-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,673.7919,733.47-4.55%19,131.97-7.46%0.0060✓1.075.7M2022-04-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35410.337995-4.55%0.3385-4.41%0.0520✗1.4710.2M2022-04-18
XMRMoneroMonero197.76188.8942-4.48%265.87+34.44%0.3741✗0.941.7M2022-04-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24180.23099-4.47%0.2011-16.83%0.1042✓1.001.8M2022-04-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.15651.1048-4.47%1.0855-6.14%0.0269✓1.292.1M2022-04-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.2492.1493-4.43%2.242-0.31%0.0692✗0.7821k2022-04-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.5082.3971-4.42%2.0866-16.80%0.0985✓1.171.4M2022-04-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1734.9472-4.36%5.176+0.06%0.0894✗1.282.4M2022-04-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.4311.8938-4.31%14.72+18.42%0.2308✗0.511.5M2022-04-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.511.4452-4.29%1.441-4.57%0.0440✗1.36498k2022-04-18
XECeCashnative0.000083210.000079643-4.29%0.00009056+8.83%0.1612✗0.954.7M2022-04-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096510.092391-4.27%0.09391-2.69%0.0465✗0.8829k2022-04-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.09891.0521-4.26%1.06-3.54%0.0474✗1.16128k2022-04-18
DASHDashDash103.0398.7094-4.19%108.7+5.50%0.1311✗1.011.7M2022-04-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.840220.805051-4.19%0.76358-9.12%0.0144✓1.12111k2022-04-18
XEMNEMnative0.10110.096936-4.12%0.0979-3.17%0.0390✓0.8439k2022-04-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.6527.4862-4.06%24.08-15.95%0.0936✓1.1241.1M2022-04-18
GITCOINGITCOIN7.0166.7324-4.04%5.982-14.74%0.0714✓1.3625k2022-04-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.5930.569209-4.01%0.4825-18.63%0.1309✓1.005,0542022-04-18
XTZTezosTezos3.25773.1301-3.92%3.1743-2.56%0.0516✗1.091.1M2022-04-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76510.735301-3.89%0.7369-3.69%0.0367✓1.0016.8M2022-04-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.026980.025933-3.88%0.02255-16.42%0.1027✓1.08281k2022-04-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.0114.4332-3.84%14.06-6.33%0.0104✓1.0636.5M2022-04-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.7793.6338-3.84%5.4193+43.41%0.4208✗0.613.8M2022-04-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2390.229826-3.84%0.265+10.88%0.1704✗0.8136k2022-04-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.097.7796-3.84%6.7-17.18%0.1251✓0.712.1M2022-04-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.21140.203356-3.81%0.2297+8.66%0.1616✗1.162.3M2022-04-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07610.073222-3.78%0.1174+54.27%0.5045✗0.94146k2022-04-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.2117.5252-3.76%19.62+7.74%0.1463✗0.976.1M2022-04-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5619.793-3.73%20.41-0.73%0.0762✗1.32246k2022-04-18
DIADIAEthereum0.940.905088-3.71%0.87-7.45%0.0268✓0.37271k2022-04-18
SOLSolanaSolana92.3988.9813-3.69%102.39+10.82%0.1835✗1.2592.9M2022-04-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.852.7452-3.68%4.174+46.46%0.4587✗1.15514k2022-04-18
RADRadworksEthereum4.694.5187-3.65%4.62-1.49%0.0524✗0.88521k2022-04-18
NANOnanopayBase2.27022.1887-3.59%2.1427-5.62%0.0182✓1.14127k2022-04-18
KSMKusamaHydration146.84141.6018-3.57%167.23+13.89%0.2053✗1.13671k2022-04-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25360.244595-3.55%0.2404-5.21%0.0111✓0.832.3M2022-04-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2851.2394-3.55%1.27-1.17%0.0584✗0.992.9M2022-04-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1236350.119253-3.54%0.140355+13.52%0.1909✗0.812.7M2022-04-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.7660.739211-3.50%0.6854-10.52%0.0635✓0.35651k2022-04-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41090.396699-3.46%0.3623-11.83%0.0498✓1.198.8M2022-04-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.1683-3.44%1.06-12.40%0.0622✓1.02522k2022-04-18
ZECZcashZcash179.68173.5817-3.39%156.2-13.07%0.0720✓0.9712.5M2022-04-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5477940.529227-3.39%0.712157+30.00%0.3329✗1.051.7M2022-04-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.21150.204336-3.39%0.2419+14.37%0.2132✗1.291.8M2022-04-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2862.2086-3.38%2.185-4.42%0.0352✗1.349.5M2022-04-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.29860.288616-3.34%0.2911-2.51%0.0477✗1.14183k2022-04-18
HIVEHivenative0.93240.901369-3.33%0.8922-4.31%0.0284✓1.122.1M2022-04-18
MOVRMoonriverBase56.506254.6363-3.31%57.9777+2.60%0.1061✗1.36154k2022-04-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122330.011835-3.25%0.014417+17.85%0.2294✗0.9311k2022-04-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51820.501708-3.18%0.5015-3.22%0.0254✓0.75399k2022-04-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.073840.071491-3.18%0.0757+2.52%0.0847✗0.809,2172022-04-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.88040.852605-3.16%1.2254+39.19%0.4050✗1.234.4M2022-04-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.36.1054-3.09%5.82-7.62%0.0221✓0.75822k2022-04-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.110.106607-3.08%0.228+107.27%0.7785✗0.5334k2022-04-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8754.7282-3.01%6.129+25.72%0.2822✗0.66593k2022-04-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.82113.3273-2.99%111.24-4.78%0.0158✓1.0025.9M2022-04-18
SCSiacoinnative0.009810.009523-2.93%0.01042+6.22%0.1279✗1.10441k2022-04-18
PROPropyEthereum1.531.4853-2.92%1.86+21.57%0.2611✗1.05228k2022-04-18
ZENHorizenBase41.9940.776-2.89%37.89-9.76%0.0284✓1.31261k2022-04-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5881.5427-2.86%1.316-17.13%0.1151✓1.273.5M2022-04-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041490.040312-2.84%0.04446+7.16%0.1269✗0.8424k2022-04-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.026950.026186-2.83%0.02162-19.78%0.1659✓0.752.7M2022-04-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35580.345735-2.83%0.3495-1.77%0.0564✗1.32907k2022-04-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6540.6356-2.81%0.737+12.69%0.1793✗0.912.1M2022-04-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,952.162,869.76-2.79%3,056.19+3.52%0.0988✗1.04501.7M2022-04-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.3381.0087-2.79%84.67+1.61%0.0703✗0.761.0M2022-04-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.086134-2.78%0.1161+31.04%0.3405✗1.22522k2022-04-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.7126.9399-2.78%23.4-15.55%0.0967✓1.28735k2022-04-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.01319.048-2.73%340.48+3.80%0.0972✗0.946.6M2022-04-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6351.5906-2.72%1.496-8.50%0.0267✓1.00639k2022-04-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.731092-2.64%0.6652-11.41%0.0605✓0.996.9M2022-04-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.2611-2.63%5.21-18.97%0.1587✓0.731.6M2022-04-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001870.000001821-2.62%0.00000191+2.14%0.0691✗0.6212.5M2022-04-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4316.0171-2.51%14.27-13.15%0.0709✓1.302.3M2022-04-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6217.199-2.39%16.97-3.69%0.0212✓1.0014.5M2022-04-18
SUSHISushiEthereum3.363.2806-2.36%3.29-2.08%0.0430✗1.176.0M2022-04-18
KCSKuCoinnative18.63118.1957-2.34%20.26+8.74%0.1384✗0.906.5M2022-04-18
AVTAventusEthereum2.152.0999-2.33%2.51+16.74%0.1932✗0.43309k2022-04-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012390.012105-2.30%0.01149-7.26%0.0278✓0.719,3002022-04-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2845.1677-2.20%5.068-4.09%0.0132✓0.9578k2022-04-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45420.444631-2.11%0.5505+21.20%0.2576✗1.28433k2022-04-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.42.3502-2.07%2.3-4.17%0.0120✓0.98146k2022-04-18
XVSVenusEthereum9.148.9591-1.98%10.17+11.27%0.1625✗1.043.0M2022-04-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8630.845924-1.98%0.855-0.93%0.0564✗1.332.0M2022-04-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.0545.9433-1.83%5.9739-1.32%0.0193✗0.41181k2022-04-18
COMPCompoundEthereum118.78116.7699-1.69%139.03+17.05%0.2144✗1.1646k2022-04-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051480.050723-1.47%0.04894-4.93%0.0017✓1.09459k2022-04-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.162.1312-1.34%2.39+10.65%0.1503✗1.04354k2022-04-18
XYMSymbolnative0.1370.135206-1.31%0.1102-19.56%0.1776✓0.78296k2022-04-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.426.3521-1.06%5.7-11.21%0.0839✓0.711.0M2022-04-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.6022-1.03%4.3-7.53%0.0195✓1.41361k2022-04-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034530.034241-0.84%0.03494+1.19%0.0451✗0.72895k2022-04-18
GTGateEthereum6.32146.2739-0.75%6.5754+4.02%0.0691✗0.643.3M2022-04-18
AAVEAaveEthereum157.26156.5372-0.46%169.22+7.61%0.1220✗1.287.4M2022-04-18
TRXTRONTron0.0619210.061871-0.08%0.0616-0.52%0.0176✗0.64259k2022-04-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.333.3719+1.26%3.523+5.80%0.0689✓0.73789k2022-04-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7593.8183+1.58%3.551-5.53%0.0506✗0.64650k2022-04-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.