8=======>

2022-03-18 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2586
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.0%
in alpha space · 56.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum4.6093.9279-14.78%4.224-8.35%0.1046✓0.627.0M2022-04-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07110.061976-12.83%0.0664-6.61%0.1300✓1.19352k2022-04-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.5781.3802-12.54%0.942-40.30%0.3083✓1.43242k2022-04-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.043790.03858-11.90%0.01799-58.92%0.6764✓1.6813.0M2022-04-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5151.3358-11.83%1.197-20.99%0.0580✓1.011.1M2022-04-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6160.545172-11.50%0.62+0.65%0.1892✗1.182.0M2022-04-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.54288.4526-11.42%5.3777-43.65%0.4008✓1.0053.2M2022-04-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.680.611706-10.04%0.62-8.82%0.0910✓1.51511k2022-04-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.19161.972-10.02%2.5535+16.51%0.2954✗0.7214k2022-04-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06330.05723-9.59%0.0492-22.27%0.0627✓1.7242.5M2022-04-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.03950.035826-9.30%0.035182-10.93%0.0305✓0.954.6M2022-04-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022360.000020315-9.15%0.00002468+10.38%0.2545✗1.172.5M2022-04-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.9244.4748-9.12%4.513-8.35%0.0559✓0.92102k2022-04-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.38313.0814-8.92%4.2838+26.62%0.3713✗0.824.6M2022-04-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011770.000001073-8.80%9.58e-7-18.57%0.1362✓-0.451.7M2022-04-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.2755.7956-7.64%4.793-23.62%0.1647✓0.494.0M2022-04-17
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6391.5182-7.37%1.43-12.75%0.0187✓0.8050k2022-04-17
LUNATerraTerra 288.6182.1254-7.32%77.28-12.79%0.0104✓1.399.1M2022-04-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.955.5192-7.24%5.85-1.68%0.1283✗1.36447k2022-04-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.45490.422857-7.04%0.37-18.66%0.0348✓1.922.1M2022-04-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0926.1129-7.04%26.43-5.91%0.0588✓0.91821k2022-04-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12140.113044-6.88%0.18+48.27%0.5255✗1.172.1M2022-04-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.4747.0084-6.86%45.47-9.91%0.0309✓1.254.8M2022-04-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.15310.143062-6.56%0.14317-6.49%0.0450✓0.8614k2022-04-17
BANDBandEthereum3.7233.48-6.53%3.554-4.54%0.0781✗1.11631k2022-04-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6451.5377-6.52%1.729+5.11%0.1668✗0.963.5M2022-04-17
STXStacksnative1.31.2184-6.27%1.13-13.08%0.0273✓0.94463k2022-04-17
UMAUMAEthereum7.6387.1667-6.17%6.16-19.35%0.0848✓1.306.0M2022-04-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2645.8838-6.07%6.457+3.08%0.1443✗1.00462k2022-04-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.0553.8111-6.01%4.567+12.63%0.2323✗1.00370k2022-04-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche85.7680.6169-6.00%75.45-12.02%0.0011✓1.31120.2M2022-04-17
FTTFTXEthereum44.5841.9354-5.93%44.8+0.49%0.1192✗1.0314.5M2022-04-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003580.003368-5.92%0.00406+13.41%0.2593✗1.415.2M2022-04-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.22320.210178-5.83%0.2351+5.33%0.1634✗1.00318k2022-04-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.5662.4199-5.69%2.126-17.15%0.0781✓1.0052k2022-04-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.0612.3204-5.66%14.56+11.49%0.1885✗0.423.0M2022-04-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5741.4858-5.60%2.703+71.73%0.6491✗0.991.9M2022-04-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.073180.069099-5.58%0.07235-1.13%0.1008✗1.0757k2022-04-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15160.143248-5.51%0.1364-10.03%0.0043✓1.04215k2022-04-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.851.7521-5.29%1.93+4.32%0.1627✗1.281.2M2022-04-17
ORCAOrcaSolana2.192.0748-5.26%1.86-15.07%0.0739✓0.69180k2022-04-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.32734.1-5.25%4.0029-7.50%0.0100✓0.663.7M2022-04-17
UNIUniswapEthereum9.629.119-5.21%9.25-3.85%0.0667✗1.026.1M2022-04-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0294.7726-5.10%5.004-0.50%0.1133✗1.282.4M2022-04-17
QNTQuantEthereum116.39110.5111-5.05%110.99-4.64%0.0516✓0.924.4M2022-04-17
DODODODOEthereum0.4020.38194-4.99%0.378-5.97%0.0460✓1.102.8M2022-04-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.0526.6698-4.92%36.58+30.41%0.3663✗0.983.8M2022-04-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6512.979-4.92%13.28-2.71%0.0796✗1.10388k2022-04-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.47970.456192-4.90%0.4194-12.57%0.0327✓1.001.5M2022-04-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24410.232145-4.90%0.1957-19.83%0.1194✓1.001.8M2022-04-17
XVGVergenative0.009280.008831-4.83%0.01036+11.64%0.2186✗1.151.6M2022-04-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.12692.0254-4.77%2.074-2.49%0.0648✗0.80123k2022-04-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.23020.219289-4.74%0.1925-16.38%0.0789✓1.00181k2022-04-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01150.010958-4.71%0.0104-9.57%0.0101✓1.213.1M2022-04-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9618.0678-4.71%17.74-6.43%0.0369✓1.0725.1M2022-04-17
QTUMQtumQtum6.1235.8376-4.66%6.5324+6.69%0.1704✗1.1397k2022-04-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,510.7039,576.60-4.66%40,677.80-2.01%0.0767✗0.9652k2022-04-17
ADACardanoCardano0.8520.812326-4.66%0.9148+7.37%0.1703✗1.0065.1M2022-04-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,575.0619,620.21-4.64%18,713.49-9.05%0.0079✓1.075.7M2022-04-17
NANOnanopayBase2.34912.2413-4.59%2.074-11.71%0.0185✓1.15119k2022-04-17
XMRMoneroMonero195186.1511-4.54%242+24.10%0.3105✗0.941.7M2022-04-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1928910.184222-4.49%0.196617+1.93%0.1160✗0.9919.3M2022-04-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.5880.561604-4.49%0.4737-19.44%0.1189✓1.005,0372022-04-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.12961.0789-4.49%0.918-18.73%0.0951✓1.292.1M2022-04-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02710.025898-4.43%0.02283-15.76%0.0706✓1.08281k2022-04-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.09560.091366-4.43%0.09237-3.38%0.0560✗0.8829k2022-04-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,774.9839,927.41-4.42%39,683.54-5.01%0.0452✗1.00729.5M2022-04-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.44512.3382-4.37%2.0532-16.03%0.0700✓1.171.5M2022-04-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33680.322179-4.34%0.3234-3.98%0.0790✗1.4610.3M2022-04-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.21190.202836-4.28%0.2333+10.10%0.2063✗1.291.8M2022-04-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.1892.0956-4.27%2.195+0.27%0.0864✗0.7822k2022-04-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.6327.4285-4.20%23.23-18.86%0.1082✓1.1342.9M2022-04-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119380.011444-4.14%0.014059+17.77%0.2535✗0.9311k2022-04-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.07291.029-4.09%1.0359-3.45%0.0662✗1.16128k2022-04-17
XECeCashnative0.000081270.000077946-4.09%0.00008878+9.24%0.1790✗0.954.7M2022-04-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.0214.4085-4.07%13.72-8.66%0.0057✓1.0638.8M2022-04-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.842940.808701-4.06%0.72479-14.02%0.0519✓1.12111k2022-04-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.30020.288058-4.04%0.2832-5.66%0.0415✗1.14183k2022-04-17
KSMKusamaHydration148.53142.5365-4.04%168.62+13.53%0.2262✗1.13664k2022-04-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.2894.116-4.03%4.5192+5.37%0.1416✗0.94204k2022-04-17
DASHDashDash98.8794.8856-4.03%104.4+5.59%0.1471✗1.001.7M2022-04-17
DIADIAEthereum0.940.902142-4.03%0.88-6.38%0.0059✓0.37279k2022-04-17
XEMNEMnative0.10.095978-4.02%0.0971-2.90%0.0550✗0.8439k2022-04-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.6116.9129-3.96%19.7+11.87%0.2022✗0.976.1M2022-04-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4511.3939-3.94%1.422-2.00%0.0898✗1.36503k2022-04-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.75520.725495-3.93%0.7108-5.88%0.0311✓1.0016.9M2022-04-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.4311.9436-3.91%14.87+19.63%0.2455✗0.511.2M2022-04-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.2119.4238-3.89%19.64-2.82%0.0789✗1.32246k2022-04-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.20870.20095-3.71%0.222+6.37%0.1590✗1.162.3M2022-04-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07170.069055-3.69%0.1134+58.16%0.5441✗0.94146k2022-04-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5374250.517875-3.64%0.687666+27.96%0.3373✗1.051.7M2022-04-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.87330.841865-3.60%1.1949+36.83%0.4133✗1.234.0M2022-04-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.740.713621-3.56%0.6939-6.23%0.0102✓0.35681k2022-04-17
SOLSolanaSolana89.8786.6881-3.54%100.18+11.47%0.2089✗1.2596.2M2022-04-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1193220.115107-3.53%0.139371+16.80%0.2328✗0.812.8M2022-04-17
XTZTezosTezos3.16143.0502-3.52%3.09-2.26%0.0689✗1.091.1M2022-04-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.87213.7387-3.45%5.7783+49.23%0.4672✗0.623.9M2022-04-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2330.225027-3.42%0.267+14.59%0.2127✗0.8142k2022-04-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41080.396822-3.40%0.3486-15.14%0.0685✓1.198.8M2022-04-17
ZECZcashZcash172.57166.6985-3.40%137.47-20.34%0.1429✓0.9711.9M2022-04-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2512.1753-3.36%2.194-2.53%0.0772✗1.349.5M2022-04-17
MOVRMoonriverBase54.260852.4376-3.36%57.2276+5.47%0.1570✗1.35154k2022-04-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0172750.016697-3.34%0.027257+57.78%0.5306✗0.79167k2022-04-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24780.239538-3.33%0.2385-3.75%0.0380✗0.822.1M2022-04-17
RADRadworksEthereum4.314.1684-3.29%4.6+6.73%0.1432✗0.87487k2022-04-17
HIVEHivenative0.91860.888641-3.26%0.8858-3.57%0.0544✗1.122.0M2022-04-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2161.1774-3.17%1.239+1.89%0.1015✗0.982.9M2022-04-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5120.495768-3.17%0.4969-2.95%0.0408✗0.75420k2022-04-17
ZENHorizenBase41.2639.9757-3.11%36.47-11.61%0.0246✓1.31261k2022-04-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.145.951-3.08%5.74-6.51%0.0022✓0.75830k2022-04-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.187.9294-3.06%7.01-14.30%0.0868✓0.712.1M2022-04-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07280.070572-3.06%0.0746+2.47%0.0964✗0.809,2612022-04-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5911.5428-3.03%1.463-8.05%0.0016✓1.00639k2022-04-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8284.6851-2.96%6.115+26.66%0.3003✗0.66556k2022-04-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016730.016243-2.91%0.01749+4.54%0.1252✗1.001.3M2022-04-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.640.6215-2.89%0.747+16.72%0.2305✗0.912.0M2022-04-17
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9175.7491-2.84%5.921+0.07%0.0984✗1.3425k2022-04-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.32880.319541-2.82%0.335+1.89%0.1149✗1.32907k2022-04-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.102057-2.80%0.221+110.48%0.7997✗0.5339k2022-04-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.08680.0844-2.77%0.1168+34.56%0.3869✗1.21504k2022-04-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV80.5978.3632-2.76%83.62+3.76%0.1037✗0.751.0M2022-04-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.025150.024456-2.76%0.02224-11.57%0.0569✓0.742.7M2022-04-17
ETHEthereumEthereum2,939.172,858.16-2.76%2,988.40+1.67%0.0982✗1.04513.4M2022-04-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040780.039659-2.75%0.04362+6.96%0.1384✗0.8424k2022-04-17
SCSiacoinnative0.009190.008938-2.74%0.01013+10.23%0.1814✗1.09441k2022-04-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.9108.8445-2.73%108.78-2.79%0.0505✗0.9925.9M2022-04-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001860.000001809-2.72%0.0000019+2.15%0.0807✗0.6212.6M2022-04-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.051.0223-2.64%1.03-1.90%0.0591✗1.00522k2022-04-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3692.307-2.62%3.845+62.30%0.5689✗1.13514k2022-04-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.7925.1156-2.62%22.23-13.80%0.0565✓1.28735k2022-04-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.72850.710106-2.52%0.6449-11.48%0.0457✓0.997.1M2022-04-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.262.2046-2.45%2.28+0.88%0.0872✗1.04354k2022-04-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012240.01194-2.45%0.01168-4.58%0.0141✓0.709,5442022-04-17
PROPropyEthereum1.41.3677-2.31%1.93+37.86%0.3978✗1.04228k2022-04-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.8816.4906-2.31%16.41-2.78%0.0466✗1.0014.5M2022-04-17
SUSHISushiEthereum3.313.2337-2.30%3.2-3.32%0.0495✗1.176.4M2022-04-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.345.2192-2.26%4.775-10.58%0.0401✓0.9578k2022-04-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.42.3459-2.26%2.24-6.67%0.0041✓0.98154k2022-04-17
KCSKuCoinnative18.25917.8476-2.25%19.932+9.16%0.1566✗0.906.9M2022-04-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash305.71298.854-2.24%328.18+7.35%0.1413✗0.936.5M2022-04-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.0114.6781-2.21%13.71-8.66%0.0021✓1.292.3M2022-04-17
COMPCompoundEthereum119.38116.78-2.18%148.41+24.32%0.2994✗1.1646k2022-04-17
AVTAventusEthereum2.072.0263-2.11%2.6+25.60%0.2711✗0.42309k2022-04-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8360.818917-2.04%0.806-3.59%0.0522✗1.331.9M2022-04-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.2996-2.03%5.35-16.80%0.1259✓0.731.3M2022-04-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3651.3373-2.03%1.328-2.71%0.0577✗1.263.3M2022-04-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44240.433471-2.02%0.5731+29.54%0.3449✗1.28416k2022-04-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.08445.9674-1.92%5.8959-3.10%0.0092✓0.41184k2022-04-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.72750.713541-1.92%0.854+17.39%0.2476✗1.32100k2022-04-17
XVSVenusEthereum8.778.6094-1.83%9.76+11.29%0.1786✗1.033.0M2022-04-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049770.049019-1.51%0.04978+0.02%0.0712✗1.09459k2022-04-17
XYMSymbolnative0.1330.131064-1.46%0.1117-16.02%0.1198✓0.78296k2022-04-17
AAVEAaveEthereum160.34158.7614-0.98%167.03+4.17%0.1168✗1.297.3M2022-04-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.244.2016-0.91%4.12-2.83%0.0523✗1.40348k2022-04-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033670.033375-0.88%0.03421+1.60%0.0616✗0.72837k2022-04-17
GTGateEthereum6.346.2884-0.81%6.4168+1.21%0.0534✗0.653.2M2022-04-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.376.3266-0.68%5.68-10.83%0.0714✓0.71895k2022-04-17
TRXTRONTron0.0617380.061834+0.15%0.060149-2.57%0.0052✓0.64281k2022-04-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6713.7165+1.24%3.597-2.02%0.0001✓0.64610k2022-04-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3463.3935+1.42%3.669+9.65%0.1155✓0.73633k2022-04-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.