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2022-03-16 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2344
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
28.8%
in alpha space · 35.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.39%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum4.7434.0779-14.02%4.735-0.17%0.1582✗0.637.0M2022-04-15
CELLCellframeEthereum1.4131.2193-13.71%1.0309-27.04%0.1486✓1.37289k2022-04-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07030.061628-12.34%0.0683-2.84%0.1196✓1.20377k2022-04-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.85567.8324-11.55%5.6019-36.74%0.3211✓1.0043.8M2022-04-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001290.000001149-10.93%8.70e-7-32.52%0.2635✓1.001.7M2022-04-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06190.055504-10.33%0.0534-13.73%0.0145✓1.7242.5M2022-04-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.10721.8925-10.19%2.4899+18.16%0.2842✗0.7016k2022-04-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4470.403689-9.69%0.517+15.66%0.2629✗1.101.8M2022-04-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.620.560265-9.63%0.64+3.23%0.1537✗1.47547k2022-04-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1861.0805-8.89%1.282+8.09%0.1840✗0.931.0M2022-04-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0407050.03715-8.73%0.036769-9.67%0.0030✓0.955.1M2022-04-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.4015.8536-8.55%4.836-24.45%0.1839✓0.503.6M2022-04-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022730.000020791-8.53%0.00002592+14.03%0.2369✗1.172.9M2022-04-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7334.3347-8.42%4.713-0.42%0.0966✗0.92106k2022-04-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.021060.019372-8.01%0.018-14.53%0.0511✓1.5913.0M2022-04-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1280.118094-7.74%0.1944+51.87%0.5151✗1.182.4M2022-04-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.06072.8296-7.55%4.5939+50.09%0.4958✗0.804.9M2022-04-15
NANOnanopayBase2.30372.1298-7.55%2.1544-6.48%0.0282✓1.19119k2022-04-15
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6111.4906-7.47%1.53-5.03%0.0374✓0.8150k2022-04-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.38350.355383-7.33%0.4043+5.42%0.1560✗1.932.1M2022-04-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.1326.0732-7.31%26.79-4.76%0.0396✓0.89846k2022-04-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.85.3784-7.27%6.1+5.17%0.1446✗1.33498k2022-04-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.4546.8099-7.22%47.96-4.94%0.0418✓1.255.2M2022-04-15
LUNATerraTerra 289.1782.8236-7.12%80.37-9.87%0.0106✓1.388.8M2022-04-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.14730.136961-7.02%0.14478-1.71%0.0675✓0.8515k2022-04-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6461.5349-6.75%1.787+8.57%0.1655✗0.963.4M2022-04-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.1545.7554-6.48%6.416+4.26%0.1227✗1.00462k2022-04-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4882.3271-6.47%2.24-9.97%0.0241✓1.0052k2022-04-15
BANDBandEthereum3.6423.4085-6.41%3.735+2.55%0.1069✗1.09637k2022-04-15
STXStacksnative1.281.2002-6.24%1.18-7.81%0.0038✓0.93463k2022-04-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003480.003265-6.19%0.00415+19.25%0.2601✗1.435.2M2022-04-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.23940.22501-6.01%0.2016-15.79%0.0958✓1.00174k2022-04-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4614.1996-5.86%4.1343-7.32%0.0063✓0.672.8M2022-04-15
UMAUMAEthereum7.8087.3584-5.76%6.413-17.87%0.1192✓1.306.0M2022-04-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0116830.011016-5.71%0.014967+28.11%0.3197✗0.9411k2022-04-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5291.4445-5.53%2.02+32.11%0.3490✗0.971.8M2022-04-15
FTTFTXEthereum42.7240.3596-5.53%42.7-0.05%0.0709✗1.0415.5M2022-04-15
UNIUniswapEthereum9.098.5985-5.41%9.77+7.48%0.1418✗1.006.2M2022-04-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.073080.069181-5.33%0.0758+3.72%0.1061✗1.0560k2022-04-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011170.010582-5.26%0.01045-6.45%0.0044✓1.213.1M2022-04-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.820980.778096-5.22%0.72281-11.96%0.0580✓1.12111k2022-04-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33680.319274-5.20%0.3426+1.72%0.0915✗1.5010.5M2022-04-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.811.7159-5.20%2.09+15.47%0.2152✗1.281.3M2022-04-15
ORCAOrcaSolana2.11.9919-5.15%1.86-11.43%0.0590✓0.67192k2022-04-15
MANADecentralandEthereum2.49222.3655-5.09%2.144-13.97%0.0817✓1.182.1M2022-04-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15190.144177-5.08%0.1375-9.48%0.0328✓1.04244k2022-04-15
ADACardanoCardano0.83930.797217-5.01%0.9553+13.82%0.1949✗1.0065.6M2022-04-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.27130.257742-5.00%0.2913+7.37%0.1384✗1.14183k2022-04-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.0418.0963-4.96%18.36-3.57%0.0297✓1.0825.1M2022-04-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4550.432455-4.95%0.3686-18.99%0.1430✓1.198.8M2022-04-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1312.4816-4.94%14.42+9.82%0.1504✗0.433.1M2022-04-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.3626.0359-4.84%37.36+36.55%0.3748✗0.984.1M2022-04-15
QNTQuantEthereum117.28111.6423-4.81%112.54-4.04%0.0209✓0.924.5M2022-04-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche74.1270.5707-4.79%77.44+4.48%0.1106✗1.26116.5M2022-04-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.2312.6002-4.76%14.14+6.88%0.1308✗1.10359k2022-04-15
UOSUltraEthereum1.1741.1185-4.73%1.0388-11.52%0.0559✓1.282.4M2022-04-15
QTUMQtumQtum6.00755.727-4.67%6.6311+10.38%0.1624✗1.12127k2022-04-15
DODODODOEthereum0.3990.38058-4.62%0.412+3.26%0.0947✗1.102.8M2022-04-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2280.217533-4.59%0.27+18.42%0.2276✗0.8236k2022-04-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094660.090339-4.56%0.09633+1.76%0.0764✗0.8730k2022-04-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.9727.6706-4.49%24.11-16.78%0.1218✓1.1442.9M2022-04-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,127.9739,288.72-4.47%40,554.58-1.39%0.0458✓1.00700.4M2022-04-15
XLMStellarStellar0.189360.181009-4.41%0.204267+7.87%0.1347✗0.9819.3M2022-04-15
XVGVergenative0.0090.008605-4.39%0.01052+16.89%0.2172✗1.161.6M2022-04-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,215.3518,377.08-4.36%19,114.46-0.53%0.0529✗0.965.3M2022-04-15
CBKCobakEthereum2.1352.0436-4.28%2.264+6.04%0.1132✗0.7721k2022-04-15
LSKLiskEthereum2.07621.9903-4.14%2.1489+3.51%0.0881✗0.81123k2022-04-15
STORJStorjEthereum1.0531.0098-4.10%1.0825+2.81%0.0852✗1.11116k2022-04-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2164.0433-4.10%5.364+27.23%0.3002✗1.252.4M2022-04-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.20510.196705-4.09%0.2537+23.70%0.2726✗1.291.9M2022-04-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.49840.478115-4.07%0.4708-5.54%0.0014✓1.004,7232022-04-15
DASHDashDash98.494.4269-4.04%109.26+11.04%0.1599✗1.001.7M2022-04-15
XMRMoneroMonero189.66182.0595-4.01%239.47+26.26%0.2872✗0.931.7M2022-04-15
XECeCashnative0.000080280.000077079-3.99%0.0000934+16.34%0.2053✗0.944.5M2022-04-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.73710.70775-3.98%0.7394+0.31%0.0578✗1.0018.1M2022-04-15
DIADIAEthereum0.920.883751-3.94%0.91-1.09%0.0344✓0.37279k2022-04-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.6814.1027-3.93%14.11-3.88%0.0155✓1.0740.4M2022-04-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.4216.745-3.87%19.04+9.30%0.1421✗0.976.3M2022-04-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.17634.0145-3.87%4.6419+11.15%0.1583✗0.93204k2022-04-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,103.1039,520.59-3.85%40,577.80-1.28%0.0398✗0.9652k2022-04-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07050.067797-3.83%0.1173+66.38%0.5613✗0.93151k2022-04-15
RADRadworksEthereum4.474.2994-3.82%4.85+8.50%0.1327✗0.87521k2022-04-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4281.3736-3.81%1.525+6.79%0.1236✗1.36570k2022-04-15
XEMNEMnative0.0990.095347-3.69%0.1008+1.82%0.0673✗0.8439k2022-04-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.20370.196234-3.67%0.2389+17.28%0.2131✗1.172.3M2022-04-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1169670.112684-3.66%0.145921+24.75%0.2698✗0.812.8M2022-04-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.024740.023836-3.66%0.02537+2.55%0.0772✗1.06304k2022-04-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.7319.0236-3.58%21.26+7.75%0.1295✗1.31291k2022-04-15
XTZTezosTezos3.10132.992-3.53%3.1939+2.99%0.0806✗1.091.2M2022-04-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.71080.68578-3.52%0.7923+11.47%0.1491✗0.34768k2022-04-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.511.4573-3.49%1.519+0.60%0.0554✗1.00593k2022-04-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.8311.4236-3.44%15.35+29.75%0.3028✗0.531.2M2022-04-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.08153.9415-3.43%5.4059+32.45%0.3247✗0.623.9M2022-04-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016950.016369-3.43%0.01809+6.73%0.1141✗1.001.3M2022-04-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5114430.494123-3.39%0.737982+44.29%0.4157✗1.041.9M2022-04-15
SOLSolanaSolana87.8284.8469-3.39%101.39+15.45%0.1956✗1.2496.5M2022-04-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73470.709918-3.37%1.0985+49.52%0.4536✗1.213.7M2022-04-15
SCSiacoinnative0.008950.008653-3.31%0.01069+19.44%0.2266✗1.09464k2022-04-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.081.0444-3.29%1.1+1.85%0.0662✗1.02532k2022-04-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.101583-3.25%0.243+131.43%0.8797✗0.5439k2022-04-15
PROPropyEthereum1.461.4125-3.25%2.04+39.73%0.3823✗1.05228k2022-04-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.598.3153-3.20%7.51-12.57%0.0918✓0.721.5M2022-04-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50550.489354-3.19%0.5186+2.59%0.0685✗0.74420k2022-04-15
ZECZcashZcash154.1149.1972-3.18%146.55-4.90%0.0045✓0.959.0M2022-04-15
MOVRMoonriverBase51.812350.1809-3.15%56.9988+10.01%0.1461✗1.33166k2022-04-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011850.011478-3.14%0.01181-0.34%0.0383✗0.709,5812022-04-15
KSMKusamaHydration130.7126.6076-3.13%165.97+26.99%0.2863✗1.11664k2022-04-15
ZENHorizenBase38.6737.4819-3.07%39.04+0.96%0.0589✗1.29244k2022-04-15
AVTAventusEthereum2.282.2107-3.04%2.42+6.14%0.0964✗0.42302k2022-04-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.0912.0275-3.04%2.226+6.46%0.1116✗1.299.5M2022-04-15
HIVEHivenative0.87460.848391-3.00%0.9206+5.26%0.0973✗1.111.9M2022-04-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.025220.02447-2.97%0.02252-10.71%0.0728✓0.732.8M2022-04-15
GITCOINGITCOIN5.7365.566-2.96%6.049+5.46%0.1016✗1.3125k2022-04-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6350.616418-2.93%0.775+22.05%0.2417✗0.912.4M2022-04-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1811.1473-2.85%1.314+11.26%0.1493✗0.973.0M2022-04-15
BTTCBTTC0.000001850.000001798-2.82%0.00000198+7.03%0.1052✗0.6212.9M2022-04-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.025.8507-2.81%5.9-1.99%0.0183✓0.71880k2022-04-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.08820.085724-2.81%0.1148+30.16%0.3092✗1.22504k2022-04-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.35108.2852-2.75%111-0.31%0.0388✗1.0026.1M2022-04-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.4414.0477-2.72%14.27-1.18%0.0339✗1.292.3M2022-04-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07320.071226-2.70%0.07712+5.36%0.0906✗0.799,6412022-04-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24350.23695-2.69%0.2494+2.42%0.0628✗0.832.0M2022-04-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.3223.6746-2.65%23.34-4.03%0.0035✓1.26735k2022-04-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.5722.5042-2.63%4.042+57.15%0.4947✗1.13555k2022-04-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040490.039441-2.59%0.0459+13.36%0.1634✗0.8426k2022-04-15
XYMSymbolnative0.13570.132197-2.58%0.1174-13.49%0.1076✓0.79296k2022-04-15
ETHEthereumEthereum2,774.892,703.45-2.57%3,040.19+9.56%0.1320✗1.04501.7M2022-04-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.31850.310339-2.56%0.3592+12.78%0.1645✗1.30866k2022-04-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.72370.70572-2.48%0.6746-6.78%0.0313✓0.987.5M2022-04-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.4916.0874-2.44%16.8+1.88%0.0575✗1.0114.4M2022-04-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0171770.016764-2.41%0.029047+69.10%0.5606✗0.78167k2022-04-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.71510.698345-2.34%0.896+25.30%0.2676✗1.3199k2022-04-15
KCSKuCoinnative18.29917.8726-2.33%19.984+9.21%0.1242✗0.907.5M2022-04-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0054.8895-2.31%4.997-0.16%0.0345✗0.9176k2022-04-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.2376.467-2.25%85.72+9.57%0.1246✗0.741.0M2022-04-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.04995.9178-2.18%5.8038-4.07%0.0137✓0.41189k2022-04-15
SUSHISushiEthereum3.123.0525-2.16%3.3+5.77%0.0943✗1.165.8M2022-04-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.322.2699-2.16%2.29-1.29%0.0224✗0.97145k2022-04-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8190.802163-2.06%0.866+5.74%0.0950✗1.312.0M2022-04-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3221.2959-1.97%1.341+1.44%0.0519✗1.262.8M2022-04-15
XVSVenusEthereum8.558.3875-1.90%10.24+19.77%0.2140✗1.033.1M2022-04-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6794.5901-1.90%6.292+34.47%0.3248✗0.67537k2022-04-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash299.84294.1602-1.89%340.95+13.71%0.1606✗0.936.6M2022-04-15
MINAMina Protocolnative1.861.8252-1.87%2.34+25.81%0.2631✗1.04336k2022-04-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.41940.411678-1.84%0.5661+34.98%0.3363✗1.27416k2022-04-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049450.048558-1.80%0.0496+0.30%0.0364✗1.08452k2022-04-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036220.035596-1.72%0.03689+1.85%0.0458✗0.72979k2022-04-15
COMPCompoundEthereum110108.1874-1.65%147.99+34.54%0.3287✗1.1046k2022-04-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.666.5611-1.49%5.54-16.82%0.1587✓0.74789k2022-04-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.144.088-1.26%4.31+4.11%0.0724✗1.39341k2022-04-15
GTGateEthereum6.50786.4532-0.84%6.567+0.91%0.0266✗0.653.1M2022-04-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9753.944-0.78%3.657-8.00%0.0666✓0.64488k2022-04-15
AAVEAaveEthereum141.71140.644-0.75%175.94+24.15%0.2416✗1.267.2M2022-04-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.496.5026+0.19%5.87-9.55%0.0923✗0.72764k2022-04-15
TRXTRONTron0.0610660.061314+0.41%0.0619+1.37%0.0187✓0.65303k2022-04-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5723.6108+1.09%3.773+5.63%0.0543✓0.74407k2022-04-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.