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2022-03-12 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2841
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.1%
in alpha space · 36.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.52897.7792-18.36%5.2825-44.56%0.4055✓1.0019.7M2022-04-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0324.3192-14.16%3.9688-21.13%0.0985✓0.752.4M2022-04-11
API3Api3Ethereum5.014.3891-12.39%3.961-20.94%0.1144✓0.647.0M2022-04-11
CELLCellframeEthereum1.35481.1893-12.22%0.9738-28.12%0.2242✓1.31289k2022-04-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.5975.8874-10.76%4.774-27.63%0.2188✓0.491.6M2022-04-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.99531.7946-10.06%2.3706+18.81%0.2645✗0.7520k2022-04-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06650.060182-9.50%0.0644-3.16%0.0459✓1.18574k2022-04-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05390.048879-9.31%0.0497-7.79%0.0151✓1.7247.7M2022-04-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010869.89e-7-8.94%8.34e-7-23.19%0.1886✓1.001.5M2022-04-11
FIDABonfidaSolana1.651.5093-8.53%1.473-10.73%0.0396✓0.8364k2022-04-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.590.540046-8.47%0.61+3.39%0.0922✗1.60745k2022-04-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0396920.036355-8.41%0.035748-9.94%0.0351✓0.995.3M2022-04-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.6154.2294-8.36%4.58-0.76%0.0622✓0.95122k2022-04-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.38970.357824-8.18%0.3845-1.33%0.0362✓1.932.2M2022-04-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11510.105786-8.09%0.176+52.91%0.4870✗1.202.9M2022-04-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.21390.197058-7.87%0.1924-10.05%0.0424✓1.00142k2022-04-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.013550.012493-7.80%0.02167+59.93%0.5247✗1.4112.7M2022-04-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.146420.134999-7.80%0.14287-2.42%0.0404✓0.8816k2022-04-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2630.242514-7.79%0.478+81.75%0.6567✗1.181.8M2022-04-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.011510.010653-7.45%0.014312+24.34%0.2772✗0.9811k2022-04-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.652.4569-7.29%2.192-17.28%0.1326✓1.0053k2022-04-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022130.000020535-7.21%0.00002217+0.18%0.0545✓1.203.5M2022-04-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.8125.3946-7.18%6.116+5.23%0.1071✗1.00462k2022-04-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.6225.6854-7.00%25.91-6.19%0.0081✓0.91925k2022-04-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.74652.5547-6.98%4.0466+47.34%0.4449✗0.824.1M2022-04-11
STXStacksnative1.321.2284-6.94%1.13-14.39%0.1001✓0.90419k2022-04-11
LUNATerraTerra 286.0380.2143-6.76%82.46-4.15%0.0015✓1.417.6M2022-04-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8651.7403-6.69%1.734-7.02%0.0214✓0.973.3M2022-04-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.314.9568-6.65%5.6+5.46%0.0970✗1.36583k2022-04-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.6143.5638-6.54%45.19-3.05%0.0134✓1.265.4M2022-04-11
BANDBandEthereum3.3773.167-6.22%3.601+6.63%0.1071✗1.15977k2022-04-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.11353.8664-6.01%5.6758+37.98%0.3712✗0.683.4M2022-04-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4671.3795-5.96%1.532+4.43%0.0859✗1.031.7M2022-04-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14780.139031-5.93%0.1411-4.53%0.0043✓1.03253k2022-04-11
UMAUMAEthereum7.7687.3174-5.80%6.111-21.33%0.2046✓1.324.8M2022-04-11
FTTFTXEthereum40.9338.569-5.77%41.36+1.05%0.0504✓1.0516.3M2022-04-11
NANOnanopayBase1.71811.6221-5.59%2.1894+27.43%0.2799✗1.08133k2022-04-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00350.003306-5.53%0.00415+18.57%0.1998✗1.495.3M2022-04-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2250.212936-5.36%0.269+19.56%0.2180✗0.8552k2022-04-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011450.010841-5.32%0.0107-6.55%0.0361✓1.243.1M2022-04-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.9311.2995-5.29%14.9+24.90%0.2662✗0.561.2M2022-04-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071340.067576-5.28%0.06803-4.64%0.0136✓1.1054k2022-04-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.091080.086317-5.23%0.09068-0.44%0.0324✓0.9235k2022-04-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.712.9877-5.20%13.54-1.17%0.0331✓0.473.2M2022-04-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9720.922483-5.09%1.114+14.61%0.1717✗0.921.0M2022-04-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.25760.244574-5.06%0.2628+2.02%0.0505✓1.16217k2022-04-11
ORCAOrcaSolana2.061.9559-5.05%1.89-8.25%0.0471✓0.69213k2022-04-11
QNTQuantEthereum115.96110.2055-4.96%115.02-0.81%0.0254✓0.945.2M2022-04-11
CBKCobakEthereum2.1262.0206-4.96%2.121-0.24%0.0335✓0.8118k2022-04-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.2924.9923-4.94%37.01+40.78%0.3741✗1.004.7M2022-04-11
QTUMQtumQtum5.8175.5317-4.90%6.1692+6.06%0.0876✗1.16148k2022-04-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,000.0037,115.44-4.83%39,541.40+1.39%0.0454✓0.9742k2022-04-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.114730.10923-4.79%0.134052+16.84%0.1886✗0.873.1M2022-04-11
XEMNEMnative0.09330.088887-4.73%0.0945+1.29%0.0453✓0.8640k2022-04-11
ADACardanoCardano0.78970.752446-4.72%0.9198+16.47%0.1817✗1.0470.9M2022-04-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.29950.285503-4.67%0.3217+7.41%0.0933✗1.4110.5M2022-04-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1317.2835-4.67%17.21-5.07%0.0247✓1.1125.2M2022-04-11
XVGVergenative0.009640.009191-4.66%0.0096-0.41%0.0222✓1.151.4M2022-04-11
UOSUltraEthereum1.14841.0951-4.64%1.0136-11.74%0.1023✓1.352.6M2022-04-11
MANADecentralandEthereum2.31042.2038-4.62%2.0547-11.07%0.0923✓1.212.4M2022-04-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.631.5548-4.61%1.82+11.66%0.1339✗1.281.4M2022-04-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.4790.456933-4.61%0.4805+0.31%0.0318✓1.004,7232022-04-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7112.1353-4.52%13.05+2.68%0.0526✗1.09331k2022-04-11
DODODODOEthereum0.3770.359999-4.51%0.366-2.92%0.0042✓1.133.3M2022-04-11
XLMStellarStellar0.185150.1769-4.46%0.186754+0.87%0.0354✓1.0219.7M2022-04-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49390.472071-4.42%0.4825-2.31%0.0071✓0.80456k2022-04-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.2126.014-4.40%23.85-12.35%0.1083✓1.1645.1M2022-04-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche70.9467.8387-4.37%74.37+4.84%0.0674✗1.33120.2M2022-04-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.662870.634542-4.27%0.68502+3.34%0.0549✗1.17118k2022-04-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,392.2517,606.75-4.27%18,505.78+0.62%0.0322✓0.955.3M2022-04-11
DIADIAEthereum0.90.861565-4.27%0.88-2.22%0.0148✓0.34274k2022-04-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,813.0237,170.77-4.23%39,535.87+1.86%0.0432✓1.00700.4M2022-04-11
AVTAventusEthereum2.182.0882-4.21%2.58+18.35%0.2041✗0.40277k2022-04-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.071.0256-4.15%1.05-1.87%0.0035✓1.09573k2022-04-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.70950.680312-4.11%0.8557+20.61%0.2231✗0.34959k2022-04-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70510.676271-4.09%0.6935-1.65%0.0055✓1.0718.4M2022-04-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016790.016107-4.07%0.01725+2.74%0.0503✗0.991.4M2022-04-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67240.645187-4.05%1.0161+51.12%0.4307✗1.273.1M2022-04-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.99463.8333-4.04%4.2211+5.67%0.0785✗0.97204k2022-04-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02320.022265-4.03%0.02612+12.59%0.1395✗1.10384k2022-04-11
XMRMoneroMonero184.77177.3509-4.02%226.68+22.68%0.2284✗0.921.5M2022-04-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06790.065186-4.00%0.1274+87.63%0.6523✗0.96152k2022-04-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.6816.9951-3.87%18.33+3.68%0.0571✗1.006.7M2022-04-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.28750.276364-3.87%0.3357+16.77%0.1699✗1.33857k2022-04-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20060.192844-3.87%0.2176+8.47%0.0986✗1.202.3M2022-04-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3181.2671-3.86%1.5+13.81%0.1428✗1.40583k2022-04-11
XECeCashnative0.000073390.000070564-3.85%0.00008851+20.60%0.2082✗1.004.2M2022-04-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.147.8269-3.85%8.27+1.60%0.0414✗0.74946k2022-04-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011760.011309-3.84%0.01183+0.60%0.0310✓0.7611k2022-04-11
DASHDashDash99.0995.2991-3.83%100.64+1.56%0.0359✓1.011.5M2022-04-11
STORJStorjEthereum1.02610.98693-3.82%0.98693-3.82%0.0214✓1.16112k2022-04-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1090.10504-3.63%0.259+137.61%0.8925✗0.5444k2022-04-11
LSKLiskEthereum2.13182.0548-3.61%1.9954-6.40%0.0451✓0.86112k2022-04-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.855.6403-3.59%5.74-1.88%0.0036✓0.75931k2022-04-11
SCSiacoinnative0.008750.008437-3.57%0.00971+10.97%0.1198✗1.12489k2022-04-11
KSMKusamaHydration123.75119.3391-3.56%152.27+23.05%0.2228✗1.13664k2022-04-11
UNIUniswapEthereum8.458.1546-3.50%8.98+6.27%0.0770✗1.056.3M2022-04-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21920.211572-3.48%0.2428+10.77%0.1220✗0.851.9M2022-04-11
PROPropyEthereum1.471.419-3.47%1.34-8.84%0.0781✓1.12307k2022-04-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.19340.186707-3.46%0.2433+25.80%0.2398✗1.352.1M2022-04-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.024680.023834-3.43%0.02252-8.75%0.0705✓0.753.2M2022-04-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.1612.7159-3.37%13.76+4.56%0.0586✗1.1045.9M2022-04-11
RADRadworksEthereum4.324.1748-3.36%4.55+5.32%0.0690✗0.92521k2022-04-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0390.037708-3.31%0.04105+5.26%0.0687✗0.8826k2022-04-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.84895.6581-3.26%5.5691-4.78%0.0233✓0.40189k2022-04-11
XYMSymbolnative0.13530.130934-3.23%0.1134-16.19%0.1590✓0.82292k2022-04-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3752.2988-3.21%3.385+42.53%0.3673✗1.06555k2022-04-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.717.133-3.20%19.15+8.19%0.0864✗1.35260k2022-04-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4949960.47922-3.19%0.683108+38.00%0.3350✗1.062.1M2022-04-11
XTZTezosTezos3.01952.9234-3.18%2.9578-2.04%0.0094✓1.151.2M2022-04-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3291.2869-3.17%1.455+9.48%0.1047✗0.98711k2022-04-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1824.0533-3.08%4.501+7.63%0.0812✗1.282.3M2022-04-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.454.3139-3.06%5.847+31.39%0.2906✗0.73509k2022-04-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.690.669163-3.02%0.8481+22.91%0.2117✗1.37112k2022-04-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0141710.013744-3.02%0.026882+89.70%0.6575✗0.72143k2022-04-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.0715.59-2.99%16.09+0.12%0.0121✓1.0515.5M2022-04-11
ZECZcashZcash151.6147.0875-2.98%142.53-5.98%0.0501✓1.017.6M2022-04-11
HIVEHivenative0.86610.840426-2.96%0.8479-2.10%0.0122✓1.141.8M2022-04-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001727-2.96%0.00000179+0.56%0.0243✓0.6213.3M2022-04-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.041020.039806-2.96%0.0387-5.66%0.0419✓0.751.1M2022-04-11
SOLSolanaSolana81.4479.0391-2.95%99.7+22.42%0.2088✗1.27100.5M2022-04-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.068460.066459-2.92%0.07062+3.16%0.0449✗0.8613k2022-04-11
MOVRMoonriverBase48.553347.1449-2.90%56.1952+15.74%0.1509✗1.34175k2022-04-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.695.5265-2.87%6.19+8.79%0.0995✗0.75604k2022-04-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9781.9216-2.85%2.169+9.66%0.0966✗1.339.5M2022-04-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6260.608487-2.80%0.78+24.60%0.2312✗0.932.4M2022-04-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1191.088-2.77%1.172+4.74%0.0559✗1.003.0M2022-04-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.546.3621-2.72%5.84-10.70%0.1000✓0.78625k2022-04-11
KCSKuCoinnative18.01517.5289-2.70%18.988+5.40%0.0623✗0.958.3M2022-04-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.07880.076684-2.69%0.1141+44.80%0.3717✗1.39494k2022-04-11
GITCOINGITCOIN5.3445.2016-2.66%5.621+5.18%0.0529✗1.3425k2022-04-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.31850.310016-2.66%0.3489+9.54%0.0953✗1.247.6M2022-04-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV77.7575.6926-2.65%79.95+2.83%0.0408✗0.75899k2022-04-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin105.58102.7875-2.64%102.54-2.88%0.0213✓1.0226.4M2022-04-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.9722.3633-2.64%22.32-2.83%0.0259✓1.30875k2022-04-11
COMPCompoundEthereum102.3299.6812-2.58%117.3+14.64%0.1422✗1.1143k2022-04-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.5913.241-2.57%13.79+1.47%0.0169✓1.292.2M2022-04-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.41070.40019-2.56%0.6102+48.58%0.3965✗1.37407k2022-04-11
ZENHorizenBase37.4836.5216-2.56%37.52+0.11%0.0029✓1.31261k2022-04-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.70.682964-2.43%0.6492-7.26%0.0691✓1.007.6M2022-04-11
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.302,509.08-2.34%2,979.55+15.97%0.1525✗1.05511.3M2022-04-11
XVSVenusEthereum8.578.3762-2.26%9.32+8.75%0.0868✗1.083.3M2022-04-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6914.589-2.17%4.801+2.34%0.0275✗0.9576k2022-04-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.162.1137-2.14%2.24+3.70%0.0400✗0.98151k2022-04-11
SUSHISushiEthereum2.912.8479-2.13%3.1+6.53%0.0645✗1.106.1M2022-04-11
MINAMina Protocolnative1.711.6755-2.02%2.56+49.71%0.4046✗1.05343k2022-04-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048150.047199-1.98%0.04896+1.68%0.0161✓1.11481k2022-04-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7770.762675-1.84%0.795+2.32%0.0167✓1.342.0M2022-04-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.92285.6904-1.80%294.92+1.37%0.0144✓0.947.2M2022-04-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1811.1601-1.77%1.318+11.60%0.1046✗1.252.2M2022-04-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.763.6981-1.65%4.01+6.65%0.0543✗1.45341k2022-04-11
GTGateEthereum6.45196.3957-0.87%6.3098-2.20%0.0258✓0.672.8M2022-04-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.053.0326-0.57%3.607+18.26%0.1596✗0.75427k2022-04-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9272.9116-0.53%3.749+28.08%0.2379✗0.80330k2022-04-11
TRXTRONTron0.0596310.059429-0.34%0.058052-2.65%0.0361✓0.69265k2022-04-11
AAVEAaveEthereum120.43120.47+0.03%157.79+31.02%0.2470✓1.247.0M2022-04-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.