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2022-03-11 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2633
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.2%
in alpha space · 14.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.87%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.89286.8324-23.17%6.1538-30.80%0.1896✓1.0014.1M2022-04-10
CELLCellframeEthereum1.48671.2824-13.74%1.1111-25.26%0.2553✓1.32289k2022-04-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.7615.0673-12.04%5.32-7.65%0.0073✓0.491.5M2022-04-10
API3Api3Ethereum4.7764.264-10.72%4.533-5.09%0.0083✓0.627.0M2022-04-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.05291.8387-10.43%2.6418+28.69%0.2984✗0.7520k2022-04-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05760.051828-10.02%0.0565-1.91%0.0603✓1.7352.1M2022-04-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011640.000001054-9.49%8.97e-7-22.95%0.2461✓1.001.4M2022-04-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06610.06023-8.88%0.0703+6.35%0.0543✓1.18687k2022-04-10
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6621.5148-8.86%1.647-0.90%0.0132✓0.8364k2022-04-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.155360.141695-8.80%0.15165-2.39%0.0072✓0.8816k2022-04-10
STXStacksnative1.361.2409-8.76%1.23-9.56%0.0853✓0.90419k2022-04-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01430.013066-8.63%0.02513+75.73%0.5343✗1.4112.7M2022-04-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0118620.010893-8.17%0.016743+41.15%0.3452✗1.0011k2022-04-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5944.2217-8.10%4.996+8.75%0.0883✗0.94123k2022-04-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39240.361036-7.99%0.4399+12.10%0.0335✓1.932.2M2022-04-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.590.542868-7.99%0.69+16.95%0.1034✗1.61798k2022-04-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0400590.036921-7.83%0.038004-5.13%0.0555✓0.995.8M2022-04-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4982.3037-7.78%2.427-2.84%0.0328✓1.0052k2022-04-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11440.105609-7.68%0.1942+69.76%0.5075✗1.202.9M2022-04-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2620.242105-7.59%0.556+112.21%0.7309✗1.181.9M2022-04-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.21360.197659-7.46%0.2146+0.47%0.0027✓1.00168k2022-04-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7051.5778-7.46%2.044+19.88%0.1765✗0.973.3M2022-04-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.8245.4043-7.21%6.56+12.64%0.1089✗1.00523k2022-04-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7073.4499-6.94%4.5548+22.87%0.2154✗0.732.4M2022-04-10
LUNATerraTerra 288.2882.2039-6.88%91.94+4.15%0.0083✓1.427.0M2022-04-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.575.1884-6.85%6.32+13.46%0.0821✗1.36610k2022-04-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9126.0081-6.81%27.83-0.29%0.0095✓0.91959k2022-04-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022060.000020571-6.75%0.00002442+10.70%0.0691✓1.213.6M2022-04-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum45.942.9266-6.48%49.03+6.82%0.0261✓1.265.4M2022-04-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14890.139996-5.98%0.1515+1.75%0.0091✓1.04267k2022-04-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.57492.4219-5.94%4.1152+59.82%0.4612✗0.813.6M2022-04-10
BANDBandEthereum3.443.2377-5.88%3.954+14.94%0.1017✗1.161.0M2022-04-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4641.3798-5.75%1.682+14.89%0.1113✗1.021.8M2022-04-10
NANOnanopayBase1.68741.5925-5.62%2.4622+45.92%0.3436✗1.08139k2022-04-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003530.003332-5.61%0.00466+32.01%0.2098✗1.485.4M2022-04-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.8413.0716-5.55%14.41+4.12%0.0580✗0.463.2M2022-04-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.31520.297933-5.48%0.3476+10.28%0.0332✓1.4210.7M2022-04-10
ORCAOrcaSolana2.091.9756-5.47%2.04-2.39%0.0270✓0.69213k2022-04-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2260.213671-5.46%0.306+35.40%0.2869✗0.8554k2022-04-10
FTTFTXEthereum40.8138.5923-5.43%44.98+10.22%0.0636✗1.0517.0M2022-04-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.091150.086468-5.14%0.10034+10.08%0.0706✗0.9237k2022-04-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071180.067537-5.12%0.07578+6.46%0.0217✓1.1054k2022-04-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5910.0513-5.09%15.66+47.88%0.3960✗0.561.1M2022-04-10
UMAUMAEthereum7.0756.7162-5.07%6.989-1.22%0.0721✓1.323.7M2022-04-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011510.010928-5.05%0.01181+2.61%0.0276✓1.243.2M2022-04-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9590.910863-5.02%1.299+35.45%0.2771✗0.921.0M2022-04-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,852.8036,905.04-5.01%42,359.40+9.03%0.0550✗0.9746k2022-04-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.25850.245608-4.99%0.2905+12.38%0.0698✗1.15220k2022-04-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50090.475991-4.97%0.5302+5.85%0.0400✓0.80456k2022-04-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7412.1149-4.91%14.03+10.13%0.0546✗1.09331k2022-04-10
CBKCobakEthereum2.1142.0142-4.72%2.321+9.79%0.0725✗0.8219k2022-04-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.525.2606-4.68%40.32+52.15%0.3827✗1.004.8M2022-04-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.115390.110003-4.67%0.148057+28.31%0.2228✗0.873.3M2022-04-10
QTUMQtumQtum5.87555.606-4.59%6.8096+15.90%0.0958✗1.16153k2022-04-10
DIADIAEthereum0.930.887598-4.56%0.94+1.08%0.0280✓0.35274k2022-04-10
QNTQuantEthereum113.22108.0846-4.54%120.96+6.84%0.0330✓0.945.8M2022-04-10
ADACardanoCardano0.78840.753038-4.49%1.0274+30.31%0.2228✗1.0373.7M2022-04-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.716.9076-4.48%19.23+8.64%0.0339✓1.1225.2M2022-04-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.4726.2466-4.45%26.51-3.49%0.0884✓1.1646.0M2022-04-10
XEMNEMnative0.09350.089348-4.44%0.1034+10.59%0.0731✗0.8640k2022-04-10
DODODODOEthereum0.3850.368084-4.39%0.402+4.42%0.0077✓1.133.4M2022-04-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46083.3088-4.39%5.7369+65.77%0.4927✗0.683.4M2022-04-10
UOSUltraEthereum1.15141.1009-4.38%1.1202-2.71%0.0975✓1.352.6M2022-04-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1835910.175552-4.38%0.200367+9.14%0.0457✗1.0219.8M2022-04-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.641.5689-4.33%1.96+19.51%0.1140✗1.281.4M2022-04-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06960.066634-4.26%0.1367+96.41%0.6368✗0.96151k2022-04-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.48160.461148-4.25%0.5079+5.46%0.0116✓1.004,8972022-04-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.061.0158-4.17%1.21+14.15%0.0830✗1.08599k2022-04-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.655840.628868-4.11%0.74072+12.94%0.0639✗1.17127k2022-04-10
XVGVergenative0.009390.009011-4.03%0.01092+16.29%0.0943✗1.151.5M2022-04-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017140.016452-4.02%0.01857+8.34%0.0370✓0.991.5M2022-04-10
AVTAventusEthereum2.192.1022-4.01%3.02+37.90%0.3283✗0.40288k2022-04-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche71.2568.401-4.00%80.99+13.67%0.0562✗1.33123.1M2022-04-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,538.1117,798.89-3.99%20,158.81+8.74%0.0434✗0.955.4M2022-04-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.29240.280933-3.92%0.3694+26.33%0.1608✗1.33857k2022-04-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.06283.9043-3.90%4.7039+15.78%0.1040✗0.97207k2022-04-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,732.0437,224.74-3.89%42,165.96+8.87%0.0397✓1.00741.9M2022-04-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.71560.687896-3.87%0.8607+20.28%0.1953✗0.341.0M2022-04-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70140.674312-3.86%0.7511+7.09%0.0174✓1.0618.5M2022-04-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.847.5375-3.86%8.72+11.22%0.0829✗0.74807k2022-04-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011860.011411-3.78%0.01274+7.42%0.0452✗0.7612k2022-04-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.3716.7163-3.76%21.01+20.96%0.1439✗1.006.7M2022-04-10
MANADecentralandEthereum2.30332.2173-3.73%2.2606-1.86%0.0837✓1.212.6M2022-04-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67060.645606-3.73%1.1273+68.10%0.4499✗1.273.1M2022-04-10
PROPropyEthereum1.511.4539-3.72%1.41-6.62%0.1262✓1.13317k2022-04-10
XECeCashnative0.00007310.00007041-3.68%0.00010025+37.14%0.2687✗1.004.2M2022-04-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023010.022164-3.68%0.029+26.03%0.1763✗1.09435k2022-04-10
LSKLiskEthereum2.11552.0385-3.64%2.165+2.34%0.0121✓0.85109k2022-04-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.19310.186161-3.59%0.2353+21.85%0.1324✗1.202.3M2022-04-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3071.2604-3.56%1.66+27.01%0.1557✗1.41596k2022-04-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21860.210989-3.48%0.2661+21.73%0.1587✗0.861.9M2022-04-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3264.1757-3.48%6.359+46.99%0.3585✗0.73498k2022-04-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.855.6472-3.47%6.18+5.64%0.0261✓0.751.0M2022-04-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039060.037744-3.37%0.04557+16.67%0.1138✗0.8827k2022-04-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.518.2239-3.36%9.89+16.22%0.0951✗1.056.4M2022-04-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1110.107305-3.33%0.307+176.58%1.0052✗0.5444k2022-04-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83625.6425-3.32%5.985+2.55%0.0249✓0.40201k2022-04-10
KSMKusamaHydration124.19120.0793-3.31%169.11+36.17%0.2460✗1.14671k2022-04-10
DASHDashDash94.9591.8529-3.26%111.11+17.02%0.1052✗1.001.5M2022-04-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.024680.023878-3.25%0.02457-0.45%0.0350✓0.753.2M2022-04-10
XYMSymbolnative0.13350.129218-3.21%0.1194-10.56%0.1490✓0.82294k2022-04-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.19620.18995-3.19%0.2804+42.92%0.2737✗1.362.2M2022-04-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.068310.066142-3.17%0.078+14.19%0.0921✗0.8613k2022-04-10
SCSiacoinnative0.008790.008512-3.16%0.01088+23.78%0.1500✗1.12489k2022-04-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.286.0817-3.16%6.24-0.64%0.0402✓0.78625k2022-04-10
RADRadworksEthereum4.444.3008-3.14%4.99+12.39%0.0702✗0.92521k2022-04-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.0512.6487-3.07%15.24+16.78%0.0926✗1.1047.1M2022-04-10
XMRMoneroMonero170.68165.4339-3.07%235.44+37.94%0.2750✗0.921.5M2022-04-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3211.2806-3.06%1.586+20.06%0.1309✗0.98739k2022-04-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.966520.937326-3.02%1.0989+13.69%0.0604✗1.16112k2022-04-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.8117.2773-2.99%21.45+20.44%0.1016✗1.35280k2022-04-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.422.348-2.97%4.001+65.33%0.4427✗1.06555k2022-04-10
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001727-2.96%0.00000196+10.11%0.0741✗0.6213.3M2022-04-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.495.3279-2.95%6.45+17.49%0.1273✗0.75604k2022-04-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.69780.67735-2.93%0.9592+37.46%0.2316✗1.37120k2022-04-10
XTZTezosTezos2.98892.9017-2.92%3.1116+4.11%0.0272✓1.141.3M2022-04-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.0115.5562-2.83%17.36+8.43%0.0202✓1.0516.1M2022-04-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6360.618012-2.83%0.85+33.65%0.2399✗0.932.5M2022-04-10
MOVRMoonriverBase48.759147.3905-2.81%64.61+32.51%0.1961✗1.34193k2022-04-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.488410.474743-2.80%0.749579+53.47%0.3672✗1.052.2M2022-04-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.040780.03966-2.75%0.03864-5.25%0.0893✓0.741.1M2022-04-10
GITCOINGITCOIN5.5565.4075-2.67%6.306+13.50%0.0401✗1.3425k2022-04-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.07870.076598-2.67%0.1285+63.28%0.3986✗1.40494k2022-04-10
HIVEHivenative0.86610.843046-2.66%0.919+6.11%0.0108✓1.141.9M2022-04-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1654.0549-2.64%5.084+22.06%0.1183✗1.272.2M2022-04-10
SOLSolanaSolana80.778.5836-2.62%111.07+37.63%0.2382✗1.27106.0M2022-04-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.971.9184-2.62%2.406+22.13%0.1133✗1.339.7M2022-04-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.014890.014504-2.59%0.026977+81.18%0.5591✗0.72143k2022-04-10
ZECZcashZcash153.51149.5485-2.58%161.12+4.96%0.0111✓1.017.4M2022-04-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.0476.0294-2.58%85.33+9.34%0.0517✗0.75899k2022-04-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1131.0844-2.57%1.275+14.56%0.0766✗1.003.0M2022-04-10
KCSKuCoinnative18.1717.7084-2.54%20.098+10.61%0.0455✗0.958.4M2022-04-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.55101.9704-2.47%110.26+5.46%0.0085✓1.0226.6M2022-04-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.8922.3267-2.46%24.12+5.37%0.0331✓1.30997k2022-04-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71110.693845-2.43%0.7131+0.28%0.0573✓1.007.9M2022-04-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.41520.405331-2.38%0.6973+67.94%0.4261✗1.37418k2022-04-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.31890.311581-2.29%0.3842+20.48%0.1043✗1.247.9M2022-04-10
MINAMina Protocolnative1.751.7105-2.26%2.97+69.71%0.4628✗1.05343k2022-04-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.4105-2.26%15.14+10.35%0.0123✓1.282.3M2022-04-10
XVSVenusEthereum8.548.3571-2.14%10.7+25.29%0.1560✗1.073.5M2022-04-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.162.1141-2.13%2.49+15.28%0.0807✗0.98161k2022-04-10
ETHEthereumEthereum2,556.422,502.61-2.10%3,203.05+25.29%0.1577✗1.05518.1M2022-04-10
ZENHorizenBase37.8637.0767-2.07%41.4+9.35%0.0007✓1.31280k2022-04-10
COMPCompoundEthereum102.0799.9949-2.03%134.87+32.13%0.2044✗1.1244k2022-04-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04720.046256-2.00%0.05374+13.86%0.0562✗1.10467k2022-04-10
SUSHISushiEthereum2.892.834-1.94%3.4+17.65%0.0891✗1.096.4M2022-04-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8070.791954-1.86%0.888+10.04%0.0003✓1.342.1M2022-04-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7784.6895-1.85%5.086+6.45%0.0004✓0.9676k2022-04-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.823.7576-1.63%4.46+16.75%0.0486✗1.45348k2022-04-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash287.73283.2304-1.56%319.95+11.20%0.0419✗0.947.2M2022-04-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1571.1391-1.55%1.498+29.47%0.1687✗1.242.2M2022-04-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7412.7063-1.27%3.917+42.90%0.3017✗0.80330k2022-04-10
GTGateEthereum6.3286.2825-0.72%6.6822+5.60%0.0051✓0.672.8M2022-04-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8692.8491-0.69%3.947+37.57%0.2623✗0.75427k2022-04-10
TRXTRONTron0.0602030.060056-0.24%0.062515+3.84%0.0180✓0.68282k2022-04-10
AAVEAaveEthereum116.61116.9848+0.32%176.37+51.25%0.3056✓1.237.3M2022-04-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.