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2022-03-09 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2234
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
30.1%
in alpha space · 25.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.73%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum6.6546.773+1.79%6.6348-0.29%0.0254✗0.652.8M2022-04-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0730.073227+0.31%0.07793+6.75%0.0559✓0.8713k2022-04-08
AAVEAaveEthereum127.5127.8058+0.24%183.44+43.87%0.3522✓1.257.6M2022-04-08
TRXTRONTron0.0608140.060922+0.18%0.062571+2.89%0.0215✓0.71282k2022-04-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040980.040888-0.22%0.04543+10.86%0.0989✗0.8928k2022-04-08
QTUMQtumQtum6.04876.0277-0.35%6.8163+12.69%0.1141✗1.21153k2022-04-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012820.012774-0.36%0.01226-4.37%0.0466✓0.7512k2022-04-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2634.241-0.52%6.457+51.47%0.4149✗0.75478k2022-04-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.99492.9759-0.63%4.5829+53.02%0.4260✗0.792.4M2022-04-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2370.235445-0.66%0.285+20.25%0.1847✗0.8757k2022-04-08
XEMNEMnative0.1010.10015-0.84%0.1014+0.40%0.0061✓0.8742k2022-04-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.3182.5787-0.88%85.87+3.07%0.0336✗0.75899k2022-04-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.16.0453-0.90%6.11+0.16%0.0048✓0.80573k2022-04-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.112.9812-0.91%13.97+6.64%0.0653✗1.11331k2022-04-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3761.3621-1.01%1.577+14.61%0.1392✗1.01783k2022-04-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.682830.675741-1.04%0.73954+8.31%0.0812✗1.23130k2022-04-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048420.047901-1.07%0.0513+5.95%0.0607✗1.08496k2022-04-08
SCSiacoinnative0.009490.009372-1.25%0.01086+14.44%0.1391✗1.13504k2022-04-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6914.505-1.26%15.1+2.79%0.0304✗1.342.4M2022-04-08
CBKCobakEthereum2.2322.2028-1.31%2.338+4.75%0.0536✗0.8220k2022-04-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.99105.523-1.37%110.73+3.50%0.0405✗1.0527.0M2022-04-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.196.1026-1.41%6.22+0.48%0.0135✓0.761.1M2022-04-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.15.0216-1.54%5.346+4.82%0.0556✗0.9575k2022-04-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.892.8449-1.56%3.891+34.64%0.3076✗0.75427k2022-04-08
MINAMina Protocolnative1.891.8593-1.63%3.25+71.96%0.5507✗1.06354k2022-04-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1851.1657-1.63%1.305+10.13%0.1054✗1.032.9M2022-04-08
HIVEHivenative0.91310.898062-1.65%0.9279+1.62%0.0239✗1.191.8M2022-04-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.025960.025531-1.65%0.02449-5.66%0.0473✓0.773.2M2022-04-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34630.340557-1.66%0.3944+13.89%0.1376✗1.258.4M2022-04-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.98362.933-1.70%5.2483+75.90%0.5767✗0.713.7M2022-04-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07130.070077-1.71%0.1266+77.56%0.5844✗0.97159k2022-04-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.32.2598-1.75%2.5+8.70%0.0938✗0.99176k2022-04-08
DIADIAEthereum0.940.92354-1.75%0.93-1.06%0.0044✓0.35274k2022-04-08
COMPCompoundEthereum108.96107.0139-1.79%138.28+26.91%0.2480✗1.1344k2022-04-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093220.091498-1.85%0.1001+7.38%0.0831✗0.9340k2022-04-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23190.227514-1.89%0.2696+16.26%0.1634✗0.872.0M2022-04-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1040.101998-1.92%0.234+125.00%0.8260✗0.6038k2022-04-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.4610.2581-1.93%15.51+48.28%0.4092✗0.571.0M2022-04-08
ETHEthereumEthereum2,727.602,674.79-1.94%3,192.54+17.05%0.1692✗1.06531.8M2022-04-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,967.6041,154.66-1.94%42,170.00+0.48%0.0174✓0.9646k2022-04-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.614.2979-2.07%14.18-2.88%0.0116✓0.463.2M2022-04-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.08410.082256-2.19%0.1243+47.80%0.4023✗1.44522k2022-04-08
SOLSolanaSolana88.186.1635-2.20%109.97+24.82%0.2346✗1.27113.2M2022-04-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.235.1143-2.21%6.2+18.55%0.1867✗0.79601k2022-04-08
KCSKuCoinnative18.77718.3607-2.22%19.402+3.33%0.0480✗0.978.7M2022-04-08
BTTCBTTC0.000001860.000001819-2.22%0.00000195+4.84%0.0651✗0.6313.4M2022-04-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash307.25300.1862-2.30%323.38+5.25%0.0675✗0.957.2M2022-04-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7322.6688-2.31%3.66+33.97%0.3099✗0.81328k2022-04-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.013830.01351-2.32%0.02635+90.53%0.6566✗1.5712.7M2022-04-08
XYMSymbolnative0.14150.138164-2.36%0.1257-11.17%0.1005✓0.81296k2022-04-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5246450.51203-2.40%0.77782+48.26%0.4102✗1.082.5M2022-04-08
GITCOINGITCOIN6.286.1241-2.48%6.18-1.59%0.0006✓1.3325k2022-04-08
XVGVergenative0.010520.010255-2.52%0.01103+4.85%0.0644✗1.161.4M2022-04-08
DODODODOEthereum0.4070.396494-2.58%0.404-0.74%0.0103✓1.153.7M2022-04-08
DASHDashDash99.7297.1294-2.60%110.95+11.26%0.1253✗1.061.5M2022-04-08
QNTQuantEthereum118.86115.7706-2.60%121.66+2.36%0.0421✗1.036.0M2022-04-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0159750.015553-2.64%0.027223+70.41%0.5543✗0.75143k2022-04-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16270.158312-2.70%0.1518-6.70%0.0495✓1.02300k2022-04-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.0213.6393-2.72%15.14+7.99%0.0962✗1.1247.7M2022-04-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1215110.118165-2.75%0.142546+17.31%0.1811✗0.883.6M2022-04-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.791.7407-2.76%1.98+10.61%0.1194✗1.291.6M2022-04-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.0724.3766-2.77%23.94-4.51%0.0278✓1.331.2M2022-04-08
UOSUltraEthereum1.22231.188-2.81%1.12-8.37%0.0690✓1.382.8M2022-04-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.42970.417322-2.88%0.4279-0.42%0.0107✓1.962.2M2022-04-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.612.5344-2.90%3.733+43.03%0.3792✗1.11548k2022-04-08
MANADecentralandEthereum2.49472.4221-2.91%2.2709-8.97%0.0735✓1.242.8M2022-04-08
XECeCashnative0.000075640.000073434-2.92%0.00010114+33.71%0.3124✗1.054.2M2022-04-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.98673.8698-2.93%4.6882+17.60%0.1842✗1.04207k2022-04-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.20050.194593-2.95%0.2306+15.01%0.1608✗1.232.5M2022-04-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44550.432213-2.98%0.7246+62.65%0.5066✗1.38433k2022-04-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6620.64221-2.99%0.842+27.19%0.2641✗0.932.4M2022-04-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.27360.265339-3.02%0.2995+9.47%0.1125✗1.18224k2022-04-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.6575.2402-3.10%83.69+7.78%0.0966✗1.35126.1M2022-04-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0240.023251-3.12%0.02806+16.92%0.1797✗1.14458k2022-04-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.3119.6751-3.13%21.52+5.96%0.0797✗1.35291k2022-04-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.986490.955587-3.13%1.1179+13.32%0.1480✗1.22112k2022-04-08
KSMKusamaHydration135.22130.9732-3.14%171.96+27.17%0.2639✗1.14716k2022-04-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.254.1137-3.21%4.4+3.53%0.0565✗1.47359k2022-04-08
RADRadworksEthereum4.634.4808-3.22%5.39+16.41%0.1778✗0.95654k2022-04-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.638565-3.25%0.72+9.09%0.1083✗1.60866k2022-04-08
AVTAventusEthereum2.392.312-3.26%2.98+24.69%0.2510✗0.39324k2022-04-08
MOVRMoonriverBase54.920953.1245-3.27%65.1748+18.67%0.1945✗1.36214k2022-04-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.4716.8788-3.38%18.02+3.15%0.0576✗1.0617.5M2022-04-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023830.000023012-3.43%0.00002381-0.08%0.0253✓1.213.7M2022-04-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52840.510192-3.45%0.5315+0.59%0.0352✗0.78495k2022-04-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.0427.0604-3.49%40.64+44.94%0.3993✗1.015.1M2022-04-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0240.987914-3.52%1.271+24.12%0.2450✗0.951.1M2022-04-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,953.9740,472.23-3.53%42,262.02+0.73%0.0360✗1.00741.9M2022-04-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.32040.308865-3.60%0.3632+13.36%0.1522✗1.34907k2022-04-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6021.5438-3.63%2.105+31.40%0.3027✗1.013.3M2022-04-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.7410.713891-3.66%0.9636+30.04%0.2897✗1.41152k2022-04-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,404.9619,654.70-3.68%20,530.30+0.61%0.0366✓0.965.8M2022-04-08
UNIUniswapEthereum9.218.8664-3.73%9.74+5.75%0.0862✗1.067.7M2022-04-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.73950.711895-3.73%0.722-2.37%0.0066✓1.028.2M2022-04-08
ZENHorizenBase41.6140.0562-3.73%40.04-3.77%0.0102✓1.35280k2022-04-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.21160.203499-3.83%0.2744+29.68%0.2887✗1.392.2M2022-04-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12450.119726-3.83%0.198+59.04%0.4942✗1.223.0M2022-04-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.0294.8336-3.88%5.046+0.34%0.0362✓0.93145k2022-04-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017380.016705-3.89%0.01903+9.49%0.1228✗1.021.7M2022-04-08
BANDBandEthereum3.7373.5898-3.94%4.054+8.48%0.1131✗1.161.2M2022-04-08
LSKLiskEthereum2.0071.9277-3.95%2.1576+7.50%0.1058✗0.9397k2022-04-08
FTTFTXEthereum42.7541.0594-3.95%44.68+4.51%0.0767✗1.0618.4M2022-04-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.8617.138-4.04%19.44+8.85%0.1177✗1.1425.5M2022-04-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1592.0712-4.07%2.341+8.43%0.1124✗1.3810.3M2022-04-08
XMRMoneroMonero188.71180.7496-4.22%217.03+15.01%0.1763✗0.911.5M2022-04-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5861.5176-4.31%1.656+4.41%0.0796✗1.042.0M2022-04-08
NANOnanopayBase1.74761.672-4.33%2.4304+39.07%0.3660✗1.10143k2022-04-08
ORCAOrcaSolana2.22.1044-4.35%1.98-10.00%0.0662✓0.71264k2022-04-08
SUSHISushiEthereum3.193.0512-4.35%3.39+6.27%0.0970✗1.136.5M2022-04-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.8727.614-4.35%28.38-1.70%0.0206✓0.921.1M2022-04-08
XVSVenusEthereum8.938.5407-4.36%11.07+23.96%0.2510✗1.153.5M2022-04-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.84875.5905-4.41%5.8799+0.53%0.0475✗0.40216k2022-04-08
XTZTezosTezos3.18013.0396-4.42%3.1689-0.35%0.0332✓1.161.4M2022-04-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3941.3322-4.44%1.651+18.44%0.2041✗1.43664k2022-04-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.8317.99-4.46%21.28+13.01%0.1607✗0.996.7M2022-04-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1887620.180261-4.50%0.202197+7.12%0.1073✗1.0319.8M2022-04-08
PROPropyEthereum1.671.5946-4.52%1.41-15.57%0.1314✓1.14332k2022-04-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2871.2277-4.61%1.528+18.73%0.2095✗1.272.5M2022-04-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9210.878497-4.61%0.887-3.69%0.0002✓1.292.1M2022-04-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76720.730979-4.72%0.7596-0.99%0.0305✓1.0818.7M2022-04-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.17582.0705-4.84%2.6916+23.71%0.2566✗0.7823k2022-04-08
ADACardanoCardano0.84950.807976-4.89%1.0245+20.60%0.2296✗1.0777.6M2022-04-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum48.6346.108-5.19%50.74+4.34%0.0863✗1.295.8M2022-04-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36190.343073-5.20%0.3597-0.61%0.0362✓1.5210.9M2022-04-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.760.719792-5.29%0.8348+9.84%0.1457✗0.351.1M2022-04-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012420.011761-5.31%0.01168-5.96%0.0161✓1.263.1M2022-04-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.154350.146119-5.33%0.15937+3.25%0.0801✗0.9217k2022-04-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.7274.472-5.39%5.22+10.43%0.1453✗1.282.2M2022-04-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2790.263288-5.63%0.474+69.89%0.5791✗1.212.1M2022-04-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076460.072032-5.79%0.07657+0.14%0.0529✓1.1254k2022-04-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.0728.2756-5.97%26.91-10.51%0.0580✓1.1747.0M2022-04-08
STXStacksnative1.121.049-6.34%1.23+9.82%0.1508✗1.15419k2022-04-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.231.1512-6.41%1.23+0.00%0.0588✓1.01713k2022-04-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.315.9054-6.41%6.27-0.63%0.0501✓1.35736k2022-04-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07170.067008-6.54%0.0728+1.53%0.0742✗1.19839k2022-04-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03980.037157-6.64%0.03805-4.40%0.0178✓0.811.1M2022-04-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0419880.039156-6.75%0.037773-10.04%0.0433✓1.017.3M2022-04-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00390.003635-6.80%0.00463+18.72%0.2310✗1.505.5M2022-04-08
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7861.6645-6.80%1.647-7.78%0.0166✓0.8270k2022-04-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.375.8967-7.43%6.531+2.53%0.0948✗1.00586k2022-04-08
ZECZcashZcash141.65131.0825-7.46%165.89+17.11%0.2274✗1.107.4M2022-04-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06480.059506-8.17%0.0551-14.97%0.0897✓1.7457.6M2022-04-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73360.672142-8.38%1.0672+45.47%0.4531✗1.262.9M2022-04-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.23010.209978-8.75%0.2136-7.17%0.0098✓1.00168k2022-04-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana87.2852-8.94%8.41+5.13%0.1381✗0.75807k2022-04-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.10692.8272-9.00%3.9971+28.65%0.3407✗0.763.2M2022-04-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.7342.4863-9.06%2.47-9.66%0.0139✓1.0052k2022-04-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.50380.457068-9.28%0.5123+1.69%0.1068✗1.004,6172022-04-08
UMAUMAEthereum8.0617.2768-9.73%6.996-13.21%0.0489✓1.302.8M2022-04-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119310.010709-10.24%0.015019+25.88%0.3308✗1.0112k2022-04-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4273.0737-10.31%5.445+58.89%0.5677✗0.561.4M2022-04-08
LUNATerraTerra 299.2288.9863-10.31%94.58-4.68%0.0503✓1.466.5M2022-04-08
CELLCellframeEthereum1.55211.3713-11.65%1.088-29.90%0.2411✓1.32304k2022-04-08
API3Api3Ethereum5.4414.7931-11.91%4.555-16.28%0.0554✓0.607.0M2022-04-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000014820.000001286-13.20%8.81e-7-40.51%0.3850✓1.001.3M2022-04-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.15953.9157-24.11%6.2411+20.96%0.4589✗1.0011.3M2022-04-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.