8=======>

2022-03-04 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2281
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
17.8%
in alpha space · 4.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+18.53%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05660.050528-10.73%0.0703+24.20%0.0368✓1.7366.8M2022-04-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0113910.010192-10.52%0.01674+46.96%0.3268✗1.0013k2022-04-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.03041.8221-10.26%2.686+32.29%0.2635✗0.7325k2022-04-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.42431.2909-9.36%1.8876+32.53%0.1613✗1.29293k2022-04-03
ORCAOrcaSolana2.362.1472-9.02%2.42+2.54%0.0096✓0.76393k2022-04-03
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7991.6381-8.95%2.097+16.56%0.0951✗0.8968k2022-04-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.4887-8.92%6.9113+152.92%0.8514✗1.0012.7M2022-04-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34640.316041-8.76%0.4797+38.48%0.1426✗1.6214.3M2022-04-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.37e-76.72e-7-8.76%8.75e-7+18.71%0.0933✗1.001.0M2022-04-03
API3Api3Ethereum6.3115.7669-8.62%5.42-14.12%0.1605✓0.587.0M2022-04-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0040.003656-8.60%0.00586+46.50%0.1975✗1.616.6M2022-04-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2740.250629-8.53%0.605+120.80%0.6689✗1.252.1M2022-04-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.150630.138116-8.31%0.16861+11.94%0.0413✓0.9321k2022-04-03
PROPropyEthereum1.761.6169-8.13%1.62-7.95%0.1931✓1.15411k2022-04-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.416.025-7.90%14.88-14.48%0.1756✓0.602.8M2022-04-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.321.2162-7.86%2.612+97.88%0.5871✗1.043.4M2022-04-03
LUNATerraTerra 283.4976.9389-7.85%112.95+35.29%0.1460✗1.405.0M2022-04-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.745.9517-7.54%66.65+34.10%0.1501✗1.306.3M2022-04-03
AVTAventusEthereum2.722.5194-7.37%2.57-5.51%0.1501✓1.00443k2022-04-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52920.490633-7.29%0.625+18.10%0.1031✗0.82545k2022-04-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4380.407358-7.00%0.5992+36.80%0.0380✓2.052.3M2022-04-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06920.064441-6.88%0.0912+31.79%0.1362✗1.241.0M2022-04-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos54.6601-6.80%6.929+38.58%0.2329✗0.96166k2022-04-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.825.4304-6.69%8.24+41.58%0.1845✗1.37829k2022-04-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.6826.7999-6.56%31.41+9.52%0.0007✓0.941.5M2022-04-03
UMAUMAEthereum9.2168.6175-6.49%8.243-10.56%0.2740✓1.352.0M2022-04-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4131.3215-6.47%2.108+49.19%0.2833✗1.081.8M2022-04-03
BANDBandEthereum3.723.4795-6.47%5.398+45.11%0.2352✗1.201.7M2022-04-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.50672.3462-6.40%3.2752+30.66%0.1959✗0.812.9M2022-04-03
STXStacksnative1.111.0422-6.10%1.54+38.74%0.1924✗1.17517k2022-04-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14720.138261-6.07%0.1674+13.72%0.0188✓1.01330k2022-04-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0441480.041496-6.01%0.042776-3.11%0.1461✓1.048.1M2022-04-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.721.6173-5.97%2.55+48.26%0.2305✗1.321.9M2022-04-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.650.611463-5.93%0.87+33.85%0.0673✗1.68988k2022-04-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11690.110165-5.76%0.2643+126.09%0.6698✗1.213.2M2022-04-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.518.0202-5.76%9.56+12.34%0.0428✓0.78480k2022-04-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76050.717548-5.65%0.9353+22.98%0.0747✗1.1219.7M2022-04-03
FTTFTXEthereum40.538.2686-5.51%50.42+24.49%0.0892✗1.1019.7M2022-04-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.26230.247955-5.47%0.3838+46.32%0.2283✗1.23284k2022-04-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.136-5.46%6.175+86.16%0.5888✗0.52955k2022-04-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.350.330973-5.44%0.5002+42.91%0.1783✗1.381.2M2022-04-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6216.6669-5.41%22.64+28.49%0.1193✗1.1019.5M2022-04-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.5128.8855-5.32%31.97+4.79%0.1002✓1.1952.8M2022-04-03
DODODODOEthereum0.4120.390076-5.32%0.567+37.62%0.1742✗1.184.1M2022-04-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014430.013674-5.24%0.02998+107.76%0.5352✗1.4712.7M2022-04-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.379.8358-5.15%17.59+69.62%0.4808✗0.59984k2022-04-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,859.0118,836.83-5.15%25,227.83+27.03%0.1278✗0.975.8M2022-04-03
ADACardanoCardano0.8450.802524-5.03%1.1865+40.41%0.2054✗1.0992.2M2022-04-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.7413.0508-5.02%18.08+31.59%0.1299✗1.1550.1M2022-04-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.064380.061188-4.96%0.09761+51.62%0.2678✗1.1760k2022-04-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.01056-4.95%0.01493+34.38%0.1179✗1.342.9M2022-04-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088930.084539-4.94%0.12336+38.72%0.2135✗0.9742k2022-04-03
DIADIAEthereum0.970.923255-4.82%1.15+18.56%0.1640✗0.33277k2022-04-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2522.1441-4.79%2.95+30.99%0.0768✗1.4312.7M2022-04-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.25761.1975-4.78%1.3337+6.06%0.1287✓1.393.1M2022-04-03
QNTQuantEthereum118.5112.8718-4.75%140.03+18.17%0.0433✓1.016.3M2022-04-03
CBKCobakEthereum2.1342.0329-4.74%2.888+35.33%0.2089✗0.8423k2022-04-03
NANOnanopayBase1.75291.6699-4.74%2.7226+55.32%0.2987✗1.12171k2022-04-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023530.000022424-4.70%0.00002678+13.81%0.0324✓1.243.9M2022-04-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.3811.8051-4.64%16.85+36.11%0.1695✗1.10312k2022-04-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1223920.116747-4.61%0.146332+19.56%0.0724✗0.903.7M2022-04-03
XLMStellarStellar0.176060.168057-4.55%0.237085+34.66%0.1655✗1.0519.8M2022-04-03
XVGVergenative0.009440.009012-4.53%0.01411+49.47%0.2476✗1.181.4M2022-04-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0390.992161-4.51%1.714+64.97%0.3781✗0.991.2M2022-04-03
QTUMQtumQtum5.92545.6587-4.50%8.544+44.19%0.1971✗1.26226k2022-04-03
MOVRMoonriverBase60.232757.5313-4.48%84.4145+40.15%0.1514✗1.37223k2022-04-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.22952-4.37%0.315+31.25%0.1824✗0.7966k2022-04-03
DASHDashDash89.5985.7094-4.33%132.72+48.14%0.2546✗1.071.5M2022-04-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.8218.0287-4.20%25.44+35.18%0.1711✗1.029.1M2022-04-03
KSMKusamaHydration120.67115.6143-4.19%201.73+67.17%0.3657✗1.12910k2022-04-03
XEMNEMnative0.0960.092133-4.03%0.1227+27.81%0.1349✗0.8940k2022-04-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.6326.519-4.02%46.7+69.02%0.3891✗1.045.2M2022-04-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00932.8904-3.95%4.356+44.75%0.2836✗0.742.4M2022-04-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.2090.200791-3.93%0.2867+37.18%0.1091✗1.452.5M2022-04-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.96783.8121-3.92%5.9944+51.08%0.2682✗1.09244k2022-04-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,591.9038,047.09-3.90%46,759.40+18.10%0.0427✗0.9659k2022-04-03
XECeCashnative0.000070610.000067855-3.90%0.00011601+64.30%0.3580✗1.054.5M2022-04-03
UNIUniswapEthereum8.818.4684-3.88%11.88+34.85%0.1484✗1.129.2M2022-04-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.02660.025573-3.86%0.02779+4.47%0.0482✓0.774.0M2022-04-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,166.5137,681.79-3.79%46,422.16+18.53%0.0386✓1.00706.4M2022-04-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.7916.1538-3.79%23.21+38.24%0.1635✗1.1726.4M2022-04-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.654010.629643-3.73%0.95188+45.55%0.1887✗1.32180k2022-04-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.171.1266-3.71%1.66+41.88%0.2171✗1.00770k2022-04-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.8273.0081-3.71%98.06+29.33%0.0595✗1.39123.1M2022-04-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06710.064622-3.69%0.1561+132.64%0.7141✗0.99159k2022-04-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.73540.708394-3.67%1.1852+61.16%0.2674✗1.45227k2022-04-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3581.3082-3.67%1.882+38.59%0.1103✗1.49797k2022-04-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.01772.9072-3.66%5.0595+67.66%0.4281✗0.743.6M2022-04-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.90911.8394-3.65%2.6869+40.74%0.2149✗0.9682k2022-04-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012110.011679-3.56%0.01334+10.16%0.0045✓0.7613k2022-04-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4384.281-3.54%8.603+93.85%0.5647✗0.78463k2022-04-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.092.9809-3.53%5.278+70.81%0.3821✗1.11660k2022-04-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2614.7228-3.52%20.95+37.29%0.1200✗1.372.4M2022-04-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.78170.754187-3.52%1.0868+39.03%0.3132✗0.311.2M2022-04-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.2117.5758-3.48%28.7+57.61%0.2581✗1.37325k2022-04-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017610.017001-3.46%0.02267+28.73%0.1095✗1.052.2M2022-04-03
XTZTezosTezos3.07892.9732-3.43%4.0439+31.34%0.0960✗1.241.7M2022-04-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.19520.188527-3.42%0.2839+45.44%0.1959✗1.262.7M2022-04-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.949430.917178-3.40%1.4552+53.27%0.2463✗1.27162k2022-04-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53795.3516-3.36%6.0109+8.54%0.0523✗0.38300k2022-04-03
HIVEHivenative0.90480.87455-3.34%1.1996+32.58%0.1106✗1.212.1M2022-04-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02770.026796-3.26%0.03659+32.09%0.1066✗1.21503k2022-04-03
MANADecentralandEthereum2.47812.3972-3.26%2.7228+9.88%0.0887✓1.273.1M2022-04-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.15.9015-3.25%7.36+20.66%0.0888✗0.781.1M2022-04-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001771-3.23%0.00000223+21.86%0.1221✗0.6413.7M2022-04-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037810.036615-3.16%0.05648+49.38%0.2787✗0.9129k2022-04-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6183.5039-3.15%7.318+102.27%0.5310✗1.212.1M2022-04-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06790.065783-3.12%0.0934+37.56%0.1945✗0.9213k2022-04-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2350.227712-3.10%0.3141+33.66%0.1690✗0.902.0M2022-04-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.340.329679-3.04%0.5174+52.18%0.2288✗1.318.7M2022-04-03
XYMSymbolnative0.14050.136424-2.90%0.1466+4.34%0.0653✓0.81299k2022-04-03
XMRMoneroMonero159.78155.2243-2.85%216.72+35.64%0.1655✗0.991.4M2022-04-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3481.3096-2.85%1.982+47.03%0.2398✗1.03917k2022-04-03
SOLSolanaSolana88.3285.8069-2.85%136.94+55.05%0.2510✗1.27121.6M2022-04-03
SCSiacoinnative0.008470.008231-2.82%0.01401+65.41%0.3333✗1.17546k2022-04-03
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8515.6878-2.79%8.262+41.21%0.1437✗1.3525k2022-04-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.102071-2.79%0.216+105.71%0.6484✗0.6044k2022-04-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.08510.082793-2.71%0.1306+53.47%0.2012✗1.50592k2022-04-03
ZENHorizenBase33.6132.7139-2.67%49.61+47.60%0.1763✗1.41280k2022-04-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4951140.481972-2.65%0.913+84.40%0.4549✗1.082.8M2022-04-03
ZECZcashZcash117.05113.9969-2.61%179.62+53.46%0.2684✗1.107.4M2022-04-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.710.691641-2.59%0.9011+26.92%0.0905✗1.029.6M2022-04-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1141.0856-2.55%1.528+37.16%0.1633✗1.053.0M2022-04-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.690.67243-2.55%0.954+38.26%0.1860✗0.962.6M2022-04-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.276.1107-2.54%6.66+6.22%0.0530✓0.82518k2022-04-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.164-2.52%2.79+25.68%0.0840✗1.00242k2022-04-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV79.3677.4385-2.42%100.38+26.49%0.1203✗0.82908k2022-04-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45040.4395-2.42%0.727+61.41%0.2648✗1.40452k2022-04-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034510.033706-2.33%0.04199+21.67%0.0923✗0.751.1M2022-04-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.053.9559-2.32%6.04+49.14%0.1718✗1.48458k2022-04-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.021.9746-2.25%2.79+38.12%0.1556✗1.12354k2022-04-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.8622.351-2.23%29.52+29.13%0.0479✗1.351.4M2022-04-03
KCSKuCoinnative18.23817.8322-2.22%21.35+17.06%0.0097✓1.009.1M2022-04-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73040.714218-2.22%1.3064+78.86%0.3839✗1.292.7M2022-04-03
COMPCompoundEthereum108.79106.4087-2.19%171.15+57.32%0.2757✗1.1757k2022-04-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin101.0598.8962-2.13%128.77+27.43%0.0827✗1.0729.3M2022-04-03
RADRadworksEthereum5.074.9643-2.08%6.05+19.33%0.0306✗0.98862k2022-04-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,623.072,570.28-2.01%3,522.78+34.30%0.1309✗1.08561.7M2022-04-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.274-1.97%7.92+47.21%0.2674✗0.82584k2022-04-03
SUSHISushiEthereum3.042.9818-1.91%4.45+46.38%0.1959✗1.206.5M2022-04-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.780.76508-1.91%1.266+62.31%0.2919✗1.252.4M2022-04-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.047350.046488-1.82%0.05655+19.43%0.0009✓1.15605k2022-04-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.974.882-1.77%5.866+18.03%0.0231✗0.9472k2022-04-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.67285.9494-1.62%378.78+30.31%0.1210✗0.947.3M2022-04-03
GTGateEthereum6.68186.5759-1.59%6.9988+4.74%0.0556✓0.692.8M2022-04-03
XVSVenusEthereum8.588.4637-1.36%12.8+49.18%0.2125✗1.183.6M2022-04-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3461.3299-1.20%1.893+40.64%0.1455✗1.222.4M2022-04-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8832.8539-1.01%3.961+37.39%0.1863✗0.83276k2022-04-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8772.8498-0.95%4.271+48.45%0.2689✗0.80457k2022-04-03
TRXTRONTron0.0582640.058162-0.18%0.073061+25.40%0.1024✗0.74307k2022-04-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0185940.018573-0.11%0.028607+53.85%0.2894✗0.84143k2022-04-03
AAVEAaveEthereum124.3124.6956+0.32%243.27+95.71%0.4471✓1.307.2M2022-04-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.