2022-02-24 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2310

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+14.19%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

39.1%

in alpha space · 7.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+16.15%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0532	0.046995	-11.66%	0.0794	+49.25%	0.2528	✗	1.81	67.8M	2022-03-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.001	6.2136	-11.25%	6.055	-13.51%	0.0814	✓	0.37	2.0M	2022-03-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01147	0.010185	-11.21%	0.014424	+25.75%	0.1817	✗	1.11	37k	2022-03-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	24.86	22.4667	-9.63%	28.8	+15.85%	0.0851	✓	1.09	52.8M	2022-03-26
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.02e-7	6.41e-7	-8.73%	0.000001176	+67.48%	0.4574	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,425.17	17,751.42	-8.62%	21,160.33	+8.93%	0.0270	✓	0.99	5.7M	2022-03-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	65.24	59.7392	-8.43%	91.46	+40.19%	0.2228	✗	1.36	4.5M	2022-03-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1177	1.9394	-8.42%	2.658	+25.51%	0.1840	✗	0.88	27k	2022-03-26
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.68	2.4628	-8.10%	2.29	-14.55%	0.2224	✓	1.00	608k	2022-03-26
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.69	1.5619	-7.58%	1.62	-4.14%	0.1989	✓	1.57	539k	2022-03-26
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.717	1.5869	-7.57%	1.883	+9.67%	0.0214	✓	1.00	84k	2022-03-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7779	0.7196	-7.49%	0.9121	+17.25%	0.0552	✓	1.21	22.9M	2022-03-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.4257	1.3195	-7.45%	1.3654	-4.23%	0.1756	✓	1.40	238k	2022-03-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3302	0.306239	-7.26%	0.3714	+12.48%	0.0613	✓	1.70	16.0M	2022-03-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.274	0.254449	-7.14%	0.609	+122.26%	0.6668	✗	1.38	2.2M	2022-03-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2371	0.220941	-6.82%	0.3258	+37.41%	0.1824	✗	1.38	469k	2022-03-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	16.6	15.4876	-6.70%	19.44	+17.11%	0.0549	✓	1.15	22.7M	2022-03-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3935	0.36727	-6.67%	0.4455	+13.21%	0.1139	✓	2.05	2.1M	2022-03-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15132	0.141378	-6.57%	0.16187	+6.97%	0.0692	✓	1.37	29k	2022-03-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00413	0.00386	-6.53%	0.00426	+3.15%	0.1767	✓	1.84	12.6M	2022-03-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4805	0.449971	-6.35%	0.5554	+15.59%	0.0745	✗	0.91	643k	2022-03-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.241	2.0997	-6.31%	2.41	+7.54%	0.0881	✓	1.51	13.2M	2022-03-26
STX	Stacks	native	1.12	1.0498	-6.27%	1.36	+21.43%	0.0646	✓	1.30	725k	2022-03-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.89	5.5222	-6.24%	7.17	+21.73%	0.0589	✓	1.35	1.3M	2022-03-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.338	1.2562	-6.12%	1.897	+41.78%	0.2353	✗	1.18	1.8M	2022-03-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.97	13.136	-5.97%	13.43	-3.87%	0.0833	✓	0.70	1.9M	2022-03-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.76	28.9506	-5.88%	30.63	-0.42%	0.0994	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.82	45.9877	-5.80%	66.96	+37.16%	0.1753	✗	1.34	7.5M	2022-03-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.016	4.7295	-5.71%	5.416	+7.97%	0.0079	✓	0.96	241k	2022-03-26
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.126	0.118967	-5.58%	0.113	-10.32%	0.1884	✓	0.91	53k	2022-03-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.3	39.0171	-5.53%	49.92	+20.87%	0.0754	✗	1.14	26.3M	2022-03-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.83	8.3719	-5.19%	10.64	+20.50%	0.0404	✓	1.33	11.0M	2022-03-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	63.0112	59.7559	-5.17%	61.5671	-2.29%	0.1918	✓	1.48	243k	2022-03-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1304	0.123691	-5.14%	0.1602	+22.85%	0.1038	✗	1.03	446k	2022-03-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.187	1.1264	-5.11%	1.694	+42.71%	0.2218	✗	1.24	1.0M	2022-03-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8131	1.7206	-5.10%	3.144	+73.40%	0.5018	✗	0.67	2.7M	2022-03-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.504	1.4279	-5.06%	2.2	+46.28%	0.2686	✗	1.09	3.5M	2022-03-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1205	0.114462	-5.01%	0.1714	+42.24%	0.2084	✗	1.30	3.1M	2022-03-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.56	1.4825	-4.97%	2.16	+38.46%	0.1768	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08206	0.07799	-4.96%	0.10351	+26.14%	0.1175	✗	1.11	47k	2022-03-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.97	8.5417	-4.78%	14.26	+58.97%	0.4121	✗	0.67	853k	2022-03-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.423	0.402966	-4.74%	0.445	+5.20%	0.1068	✓	1.38	4.7M	2022-03-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.558	3.3992	-4.46%	4.192	+17.82%	0.0114	✓	1.32	1.9M	2022-03-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00977	0.009343	-4.37%	0.01356	+38.79%	0.1516	✗	1.48	2.3M	2022-03-26
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	0.976235	-4.29%	1	-1.96%	0.0202	✓	0.03	286k	2022-03-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.42	17.6456	-4.20%	19.43	+5.48%	0.0947	✓	1.28	9.4M	2022-03-26
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.19	2.0999	-4.11%	2.46	+12.33%	0.0086	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0685	0.065748	-4.02%	0.0815	+18.98%	0.0073	✓	1.39	1.1M	2022-03-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.045853	0.044034	-3.97%	0.042043	-8.31%	0.2294	✓	1.22	8.6M	2022-03-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06073	0.058322	-3.96%	0.08581	+41.30%	0.2039	✗	1.22	77k	2022-03-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	87.88	84.4116	-3.95%	128.04	+45.70%	0.2497	✗	1.12	1.5M	2022-03-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.718	5.4927	-3.94%	5.7949	+1.34%	0.0073	✓	0.41	433k	2022-03-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	11.99	11.5231	-3.89%	15.9	+32.61%	0.1684	✗	1.03	369k	2022-03-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.8411	5.6141	-3.89%	8.2397	+41.07%	0.1683	✗	1.44	172k	2022-03-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002389	0.000022987	-3.78%	0.00002445	+2.34%	0.1404	✓	1.35	3.7M	2022-03-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007114	0.000068462	-3.76%	0.0000868	+22.01%	0.0617	✗	1.17	4.4M	2022-03-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.182403	0.175579	-3.74%	0.215838	+18.33%	0.0418	✗	1.10	21.4M	2022-03-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.003	1.9281	-3.74%	2.469	+23.27%	0.0920	✗	1.04	20k	2022-03-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.53	25.5487	-3.70%	47.21	+77.95%	0.4488	✗	1.10	5.1M	2022-03-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.616485	-3.67%	0.7	+9.37%	0.1571	✓	1.90	1.0M	2022-03-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.219	0.211047	-3.63%	0.26	+18.72%	0.0793	✗	0.86	59k	2022-03-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1579	1.1161	-3.61%	1.1526	-0.46%	0.1845	✓	1.45	2.6M	2022-03-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	108.73	104.8345	-3.58%	141.25	+29.91%	0.1452	✗	1.02	6.6M	2022-03-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.941	3.8007	-3.56%	5.117	+29.84%	0.1010	✗	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.00894	0.008623	-3.54%	0.01105	+23.60%	0.0558	✗	1.28	1.2M	2022-03-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.124116	0.119722	-3.54%	0.136089	+9.65%	0.0212	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-03-26
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000181	0.000001747	-3.47%	0.00000194	+7.18%	0.0046	✓	0.67	14.4M	2022-03-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8533	0.82402	-3.43%	1.153	+35.12%	0.1634	✗	1.15	97.3M	2022-03-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6254	2.537	-3.37%	4.1754	+59.04%	0.3607	✗	0.92	2.9M	2022-03-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,347.30	37,060.93	-3.35%	44,539.42	+16.15%	0.0341	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,311.50	37,032.96	-3.34%	44,445.40	+16.01%	0.0390	✗	0.96	39k	2022-03-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.7738	1.715	-3.31%	2.5027	+41.10%	0.1961	✗	1.21	206k	2022-03-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03686	0.035644	-3.30%	0.04666	+26.59%	0.1081	✗	1.08	31k	2022-03-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0281	0.027183	-3.26%	0.03025	+7.65%	0.1146	✓	1.48	513k	2022-03-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	117.93	114.0916	-3.25%	164.65	+39.62%	0.1863	✗	1.21	930k	2022-03-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0646	0.062505	-3.24%	0.079	+22.29%	0.0783	✗	1.04	176k	2022-03-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	76.41	73.9585	-3.21%	85.96	+12.50%	0.0744	✓	1.50	106.7M	2022-03-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01188	0.011502	-3.18%	0.01334	+12.29%	0.0341	✗	0.76	15k	2022-03-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.18	15.6678	-3.17%	20.93	+29.36%	0.0920	✗	1.32	27.9M	2022-03-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02616	0.025334	-3.16%	0.02636	+0.76%	0.0771	✓	0.78	4.4M	2022-03-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.66022	0.639471	-3.14%	0.85828	+30.00%	0.0705	✗	1.50	246k	2022-03-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0609	0.05901	-3.10%	0.08093	+32.89%	0.1582	✗	1.05	14k	2022-03-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.48	18.876	-3.10%	22.24	+14.17%	0.0722	✓	1.58	334k	2022-03-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.27	12.8586	-3.10%	15.84	+19.37%	0.0260	✓	1.22	60.6M	2022-03-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.36	1.3188	-3.03%	1.659	+21.99%	0.0045	✓	1.50	970k	2022-03-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.945	3.8272	-2.99%	5.974	+51.43%	0.3216	✗	0.83	414k	2022-03-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.093	0.090261	-2.95%	0.1088	+16.99%	0.0318	✗	1.04	38k	2022-03-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.14	3.0486	-2.91%	3.64	+15.92%	0.0237	✓	1.34	7.1M	2022-03-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.7351	3.6265	-2.91%	5.2377	+40.23%	0.1892	✗	1.19	291k	2022-03-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1399	0.135903	-2.86%	0.1501	+7.29%	0.0225	✓	0.81	345k	2022-03-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	147	142.8013	-2.86%	207.22	+40.97%	0.2237	✗	0.99	966k	2022-03-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0389	2.9523	-2.85%	3.6619	+20.50%	0.0162	✓	1.33	2.1M	2022-03-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3452	0.335447	-2.83%	0.3882	+12.46%	0.0717	✓	1.45	1.3M	2022-03-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.6203	2.547	-2.80%	4.2793	+63.31%	0.3738	✗	0.97	2.3M	2022-03-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01718	0.016703	-2.78%	0.02062	+20.02%	0.0447	✗	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5825	2.5129	-2.69%	2.6174	+1.35%	0.1532	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-03-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01693	0.016474	-2.69%	0.03654	+115.83%	0.5583	✗	1.59	11.9M	2022-03-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.6953	0.676708	-2.67%	0.8312	+19.55%	0.0427	✗	1.09	9.7M	2022-03-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.1	5.9401	-2.62%	6.99	+14.59%	0.1035	✗	0.40	1.3M	2022-03-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.344	1.3092	-2.59%	1.628	+21.13%	0.0420	✗	1.18	1.1M	2022-03-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		81.89	79.7809	-2.58%	90.22	+10.17%	0.0086	✓	0.88	946k	2022-03-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.188	2.1319	-2.57%	6.444	+194.52%	0.9213	✗	1.24	772k	2022-03-26
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8008	0.780353	-2.55%	0.8796	+9.84%	0.0420	✗	0.52	1.5M	2022-03-26
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8143	0.793611	-2.54%	1.0536	+29.39%	0.0939	✗	1.27	1.8M	2022-03-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.41	87.1419	-2.54%	101.79	+13.85%	0.0366	✓	1.28	132.7M	2022-03-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.42	5.2837	-2.51%	6.44	+18.82%	0.0736	✗	0.83	430k	2022-03-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.793	5.6475	-2.51%	7.203	+24.34%	0.0471	✗	1.31	29k	2022-03-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.509766	0.49722	-2.46%	0.625849	+22.77%	0.0527	✗	1.18	3.2M	2022-03-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.74	0.722079	-2.42%	1.0653	+43.96%	0.1601	✗	1.53	317k	2022-03-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.13	1.1027	-2.42%	1.42	+25.66%	0.0642	✗	1.26	934k	2022-03-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.22	33.4137	-2.36%	46.92	+37.11%	0.1153	✗	1.50	309k	2022-03-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5371	1.5018	-2.30%	2.3608	+53.58%	0.3027	✗	1.00	72k	2022-03-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.89559	0.875562	-2.24%	1.2512	+39.70%	0.1475	✗	1.40	165k	2022-03-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	22.41	21.911	-2.23%	27.43	+22.40%	0.0048	✓	1.47	1.8M	2022-03-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.03	4.9212	-2.16%	8.41	+67.20%	0.4089	✗	0.85	398k	2022-03-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.079	0.077351	-2.09%	0.132	+67.09%	0.3034	✗	1.54	668k	2022-03-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.104	1.081	-2.08%	1.345	+21.83%	0.0248	✗	1.29	2.8M	2022-03-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2141	0.209645	-2.08%	0.2689	+25.60%	0.0983	✗	1.01	1.9M	2022-03-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3618	0.354363	-2.06%	0.4109	+13.57%	0.0726	✓	1.47	8.4M	2022-03-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1641	0.160749	-2.04%	0.242	+47.47%	0.1996	✗	1.40	2.9M	2022-03-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4313	0.42269	-2.00%	0.6791	+57.45%	0.2547	✗	1.47	572k	2022-03-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.72	13.4487	-1.98%	17.38	+26.68%	0.0246	✗	1.55	2.7M	2022-03-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	108.77	106.7084	-1.90%	121.77	+11.95%	0.0620	✓	1.30	64k	2022-03-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.1956	0.191903	-1.89%	0.2487	+27.15%	0.0338	✗	1.51	3.3M	2022-03-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.19	2.1498	-1.84%	2.6	+18.72%	0.0395	✗	1.01	275k	2022-03-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.785	4.6987	-1.80%	7.708	+61.09%	0.3508	✗	0.96	1.9M	2022-03-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.42	4.3417	-1.77%	6.98	+57.92%	0.3598	✗	0.77	459k	2022-03-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.173	17.8516	-1.77%	18.766	+3.26%	0.1076	✓	1.05	9.6M	2022-03-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00834	0.008193	-1.76%	0.01082	+29.74%	0.0865	✗	1.28	546k	2022-03-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	104.24	102.4509	-1.72%	124.85	+19.77%	0.0213	✗	1.18	29.5M	2022-03-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.24	4.1683	-1.69%	5.28	+24.53%	0.0118	✓	1.50	456k	2022-03-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.64	0.629389	-1.66%	0.729	+13.91%	0.0261	✓	1.16	2.2M	2022-03-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	1.97	1.9378	-1.63%	2.55	+29.44%	0.0920	✗	1.22	343k	2022-03-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,597.42	2,556.52	-1.57%	3,146.22	+21.13%	0.0477	✗	1.07	561.7M	2022-03-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.747	2.7081	-1.42%	4.072	+48.23%	0.2689	✗	0.93	477k	2022-03-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	300.94	296.77	-1.39%	362.07	+20.31%	0.0493	✗	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.827	0.815621	-1.38%	0.998	+20.68%	0.0028	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-26
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03323	0.032779	-1.36%	0.04136	+24.47%	0.1079	✗	0.83	1.6M	2022-03-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.72	101.3915	-1.29%	204.96	+99.53%	0.5370	✗	1.11	7.8M	2022-03-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.481	2.4496	-1.26%	3.756	+51.39%	0.3040	✗	0.82	205k	2022-03-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.44	4.3862	-1.21%	5.18	+16.67%	0.0158	✗	1.01	696k	2022-03-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	8.8492	-1.13%	10.24	+14.41%	0.0480	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.235	6.1665	-1.10%	6.4911	+4.11%	0.0667	✓	0.79	3.0M	2022-03-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	125.3	123.9365	-1.09%	163.4	+30.41%	0.0626	✗	1.43	6.5M	2022-03-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0436	0.043185	-0.95%	0.05491	+25.94%	0.0518	✗	1.26	768k	2022-03-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.458	0.453859	-0.90%	1.2208	+166.55%	0.7906	✗	1.33	2.2M	2022-03-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.747	4.7129	-0.72%	6.115	+28.82%	0.1379	✗	0.82	65k	2022-03-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.021665	0.021559	-0.49%	0.037356	+72.43%	0.3954	✗	1.03	114k	2022-03-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.208	1.2039	-0.34%	1.516	+25.50%	0.0281	✗	1.35	1.8M	2022-03-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061098	0.06106	-0.06%	0.066368	+8.63%	0.0425	✓	0.84	286k	2022-03-26
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.18	2.1809	+0.04%	2.775	+27.29%	0.0374	✓	1.36	579k	2022-03-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.