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2022-02-21 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3224
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+23.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.0%
in alpha space · 12.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+15.87%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PROPropyEthereum1.991.7954-9.78%1.56-21.61%0.3981✓1.75680k2022-03-23
API3Api3Ethereum5.725.1922-9.23%5.084-11.12%0.0716✓0.342.0M2022-03-23
CELLCellframeEthereum1.6461.4993-8.91%1.442-12.39%0.2649✓1.53191k2022-03-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.8321.7888-8.57%28.26+18.59%0.0982✗1.1056.2M2022-03-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,642.8418,047.91-8.12%20,440.44+4.06%0.0269✓1.035.8M2022-03-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122140.011257-7.83%0.013267+8.62%0.0056✓1.1561k2022-03-23
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8531.7169-7.35%1.801-2.81%0.0995✓1.0085k2022-03-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.122805-6.97%0.106-19.70%0.2993✓1.0351k2022-03-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2790.260154-6.75%0.652+133.69%0.7213✗1.342.0M2022-03-23
ORCAOrcaSolana2.622.4451-6.67%2.15-17.94%0.2760✓1.00694k2022-03-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.7716.5971-6.60%18.98+6.81%0.0385✓1.1723.0M2022-03-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04740.044315-6.51%0.0655+38.19%0.1299✗1.7764.3M2022-03-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004510.004225-6.32%0.0043-4.66%0.2654✓1.9212.9M2022-03-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.342.1925-6.31%2.385+1.92%0.1458✓1.5614.4M2022-03-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.955.5853-6.13%7.18+20.67%0.1919✗0.401.4M2022-03-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4810.452606-5.90%0.5216+8.44%0.0062✓0.92684k2022-03-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43110.405702-5.89%0.4731+9.74%0.1295✓1.922.0M2022-03-23
STXStacksnative1.111.0485-5.54%1.34+20.72%0.0526✓1.31782k2022-03-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.341.2689-5.30%1.701+26.94%0.1223✗1.162.0M2022-03-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34010.322256-5.25%0.3759+10.53%0.0923✓1.6716.7M2022-03-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.78520.744015-5.25%0.8391+6.86%0.0629✓1.2423.9M2022-03-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.325.044-5.19%5.16-3.01%0.1285✓1.03297k2022-03-23
AVTAventusEthereum2.372.2475-5.17%2.4+1.27%0.0817✓1.00639k2022-03-23
FTTFTXEthereum39.8137.7768-5.11%46.16+15.95%0.0293✓1.1627.6M2022-03-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83955.5433-5.07%6.0468+3.55%0.0303✓0.38412k2022-03-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.22930.218052-4.91%0.3077+34.19%0.1748✗1.15469k2022-03-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.7713.1001-4.87%13.17-4.36%0.1035✓0.741.8M2022-03-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0502880.047891-4.77%0.04101-18.45%0.3424✓1.277.5M2022-03-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12290.117115-4.71%0.1425+15.95%0.0063✓1.293.2M2022-03-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.75691.6747-4.68%3.1827+81.15%0.5633✗0.532.8M2022-03-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.3545.1396-4.67%58.39+23.32%0.0676✗1.298.1M2022-03-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.5125.316-4.50%29.88+12.71%0.0219✓0.981.5M2022-03-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010040.009596-4.42%0.01182+17.73%0.0205✓1.552.2M2022-03-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.07910.075638-4.38%0.09904+25.21%0.1074✗1.1049k2022-03-23
IMXImmutableEthereum1.581.5112-4.36%2.265+43.35%0.2432✗1.103.3M2022-03-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.068.6675-4.33%13.31+46.91%0.3251✗0.70758k2022-03-23
NANOnanopayBase1.90471.8227-4.30%2.2764+19.51%0.0401✓1.24218k2022-03-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151540.145052-4.28%0.15722+3.75%0.1275✓1.4130k2022-03-23
DIADIAEthereum0.910.871663-4.21%0.97+6.59%0.0404✓1.00281k2022-03-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.4811.9546-4.21%16.4+31.41%0.1649✗1.03404k2022-03-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2480.237584-4.20%0.256+3.23%0.0618✓0.9368k2022-03-23
BANDBandEthereum3.773.6136-4.15%4.028+6.84%0.0790✓1.271.9M2022-03-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.6417.8857-4.05%19.33+3.70%0.1049✓1.2410.1M2022-03-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024040.00002307-4.04%0.00002445+1.71%0.1467✓1.393.7M2022-03-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012840.012323-4.03%0.01289+0.39%0.0695✓0.7815k2022-03-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1280940.123041-3.94%0.1298+1.33%0.0955✓1.014.2M2022-03-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.22412.1365-3.94%2.4625+10.72%0.0066✓0.9228k2022-03-23
XVGVergenative0.009290.008924-3.94%0.01038+11.73%0.0403✓1.301.2M2022-03-23
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001864-3.90%0.00000189-2.58%0.1336✓1.0014.4M2022-03-23
LUNATerraTerra 250.1348.1854-3.88%94.83+89.17%0.4782✗1.354.8M2022-03-23
QTUMQtumQtum5.74315.521-3.87%7.8748+37.12%0.1372✗1.48172k2022-03-23
UOSUltraEthereum1.13851.0945-3.87%1.1317-0.60%0.1572✓1.292.5M2022-03-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12830.123363-3.85%0.1546+20.50%0.0734✗1.03467k2022-03-23
DODODODOEthereum0.4440.427176-3.79%0.453+2.03%0.1445✓1.384.5M2022-03-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative2524.0707-3.72%45.18+80.72%0.4693✗1.095.2M2022-03-23
QNTQuantEthereum106.88102.9291-3.70%126.9+18.73%0.0652✗0.986.6M2022-03-23
XLMStellarStellar0.178160.171612-3.68%0.209453+17.56%0.0441✗1.0521.8M2022-03-23
ADACardanoCardano0.85720.82619-3.62%1.1087+29.34%0.1259✗1.1497.3M2022-03-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,080.1035,751.83-3.58%42,312.20+14.11%0.0259✓0.9742k2022-03-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.88830.856553-3.57%0.7758-12.66%0.2103✓0.761.5M2022-03-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.920.887667-3.51%1.633+77.50%0.4257✗1.25934k2022-03-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.695425-3.41%0.7-2.78%0.2839✓1.971.1M2022-03-23
XECeCashnative0.000067830.000065538-3.38%0.00008358+23.22%0.0737✗1.154.6M2022-03-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06920.066871-3.37%0.0776+12.14%0.0196✓1.14194k2022-03-23
XEMNEMnative0.09270.089607-3.34%0.1089+17.48%0.0450✗1.0238k2022-03-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06810.065844-3.31%0.0759+11.45%0.0611✓1.381.1M2022-03-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.571.5195-3.21%2.1+33.76%0.1253✗1.352.0M2022-03-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,023.0035,835.08-3.21%42,899.71+15.87%0.0326✓1.00633.0M2022-03-23
XYMSymbolnative0.14880.144034-3.20%0.1488+0.00%0.0886✓0.82362k2022-03-23
DASHDashDash87.0484.2744-3.18%129.78+49.10%0.2618✗1.151.5M2022-03-23
CBKCobakEthereum1.9331.8718-3.17%2.288+18.37%0.0458✗1.0520k2022-03-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.645790.625439-3.15%0.83596+29.45%0.0680✗1.51278k2022-03-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.02570.024891-3.15%0.02676+4.12%0.0415✓0.774.7M2022-03-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0213.895-3.13%5.456+35.69%0.2109✗0.86383k2022-03-23
SUSHISushiEthereum3.283.1779-3.11%3.69+12.50%0.0559✓1.397.1M2022-03-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.1915.6863-3.11%21.01+29.77%0.0955✗1.3430.0M2022-03-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0180350.017474-3.11%0.0192+6.46%0.0726✓1.132.2M2022-03-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3841.341-3.11%1.533+10.77%0.0765✓1.43970k2022-03-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.87752.7882-3.10%3.9164+36.10%0.1912✗1.012.5M2022-03-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.059940.0581-3.07%0.07641+27.48%0.1548✗0.8180k2022-03-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.75343.6416-2.98%5.2022+38.60%0.1802✗1.20309k2022-03-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche70.0868.0105-2.95%86.01+22.73%0.0142✓1.50106.7M2022-03-23
UMAUMAEthereum4.924.7752-2.94%7.615+54.78%0.3183✗1.011.8M2022-03-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.86822.7841-2.93%4.1918+46.15%0.2596✗1.022.4M2022-03-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36610.355593-2.87%0.3829+4.59%0.1369✓1.431.5M2022-03-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.035910.03488-2.87%0.04253+18.43%0.0348✗1.1132k2022-03-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06130.05956-2.84%0.07674+25.19%0.0952✗1.0714k2022-03-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.5322-2.80%6.73+0.15%0.0013✓0.211.3M2022-03-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3212.258-2.71%6.29+171.00%0.8367✗1.27845k2022-03-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.6317.1537-2.70%22.02+24.90%0.0238✓1.53350k2022-03-23
MANADecentralandEthereum2.48272.4156-2.70%2.5377+2.21%0.1368✓1.263.2M2022-03-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.733.63-2.68%5.38+44.24%0.2101✗1.242.3M2022-03-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.835.6738-2.68%6.51+11.66%0.0066✓0.89430k2022-03-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02630.025604-2.65%0.02566-2.43%0.2109✓1.45497k2022-03-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV80.8778.7795-2.58%90.8+12.28%0.0109✓0.891.0M2022-03-23
MOVRMoonriverBase68.799767.0556-2.54%62.4298-9.26%0.2933✓1.51257k2022-03-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.61271.5718-2.53%2.2526+39.68%0.1929✗1.1375k2022-03-23
UNIUniswapEthereum8.528.306-2.51%10.01+17.49%0.0084✓1.3211.2M2022-03-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.08770.085531-2.47%0.0965+10.03%0.1006✓1.50700k2022-03-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.371.3368-2.42%1.614+17.81%0.0067✓1.231.1M2022-03-23
KSMKusamaHydration125.92122.8821-2.41%161.78+28.48%0.0994✗1.19930k2022-03-23
ZENHorizenBase32.1431.3662-2.41%45.53+41.66%0.1438✗1.55335k2022-03-23
XTZTezosTezos2.97312.9038-2.33%3.4569+16.27%0.0166✓1.302.1M2022-03-23
GITCOINGITCOIN6.045.9009-2.30%7.157+18.49%0.1388✗0.3732k2022-03-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.5113.1998-2.30%15.85+17.32%0.0040✓1.2161.5M2022-03-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71130.695083-2.28%0.782+9.94%0.0496✓1.149.9M2022-03-23
HIVEHivenative0.81480.796347-2.26%0.9439+15.84%0.0595✓1.561.8M2022-03-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22060.215687-2.23%0.2696+22.21%0.0718✗1.031.9M2022-03-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74210.725989-2.17%1.1722+57.96%0.2608✗1.48411k2022-03-23
SOLSolanaSolana82.9781.176-2.16%94.87+14.34%0.0271✓1.24154.8M2022-03-23
XMRMoneroMonero148144.8206-2.15%197.42+33.39%0.1620✗1.001.0M2022-03-23
MINAMina Protocolnative2.162.1137-2.14%2.54+17.59%0.0045✓1.22324k2022-03-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.251.2234-2.13%1.39+11.20%0.0590✓1.271.1M2022-03-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.275.1597-2.09%8.26+56.74%0.3413✗0.88398k2022-03-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35720.349849-2.06%0.4244+18.81%0.0140✓1.418.7M2022-03-23
KCSKuCoinnative18.13717.7685-2.03%18.559+2.33%0.1315✓1.199.8M2022-03-23
RADRadworksEthereum5.074.9686-2.00%4.93-2.76%0.1543✓0.99682k2022-03-23
COMPCompoundEthereum106.4104.2737-2.00%115.23+8.30%0.0904✓1.2959k2022-03-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.913.6227-2.00%18.16+30.65%0.0432✗1.662.9M2022-03-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.7353-1.96%6.71+38.92%0.2317✗0.79431k2022-03-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.16860.165308-1.95%0.2141+26.99%0.0522✗1.403.0M2022-03-23
SCSiacoinnative0.008470.008308-1.91%0.0102+20.43%0.0506✗1.05504k2022-03-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.885730.869455-1.84%1.1591+30.87%0.1287✗1.08165k2022-03-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.172.1301-1.84%2.49+14.75%0.0059✓1.02283k2022-03-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5190670.509557-1.83%0.589813+13.63%0.0230✓1.153.5M2022-03-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.019370.019025-1.78%0.0444+129.22%0.6050✗1.6510.9M2022-03-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.20420.20058-1.77%0.2289+12.10%0.0951✓1.543.6M2022-03-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8892.8393-1.72%4.014+38.94%0.2088✗0.93481k2022-03-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin102.78101.0392-1.69%122.51+19.20%0.0137✓1.2129.9M2022-03-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2415.1523-1.69%6.073+15.87%0.0463✗0.8065k2022-03-23
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.002,525.55-1.69%3,038.93+18.29%0.0229✗1.10581.4M2022-03-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.640.629322-1.67%0.739+15.47%0.0031✓1.071.9M2022-03-23
AAVEAaveEthereum128.58126.4367-1.67%156.07+21.38%0.0023✓1.456.7M2022-03-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0030.986301-1.66%1.325+32.10%0.1110✗1.253.0M2022-03-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033620.033082-1.60%0.03928+16.84%0.0637✗0.731.7M2022-03-23
ZECZcashZcash100.4798.9205-1.54%181.99+81.14%0.4341✗1.197.6M2022-03-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.8721.5381-1.52%28.49+30.27%0.0575✗1.511.8M2022-03-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045080.044421-1.46%0.05652+25.38%0.0367✗1.39865k2022-03-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.31.2816-1.42%1.538+18.31%0.0206✓1.381.9M2022-03-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5832.5471-1.39%3.807+47.39%0.2781✗0.84203k2022-03-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7390.728761-1.39%0.956+29.36%0.0715✗1.362.1M2022-03-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44420.438713-1.24%0.7088+59.57%0.2666✗1.45586k2022-03-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.24.1524-1.13%4.79+14.05%0.0190✓1.10485k2022-03-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.47280.467921-1.03%1.0351+118.93%0.5997✗1.322.3M2022-03-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash283.16280.422-0.97%364.09+28.58%0.1161✗0.988.0M2022-03-23
XVSVenusEthereum8.648.561-0.91%9.48+9.72%0.0896✓1.303.2M2022-03-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230180.022815-0.88%0.03087+34.11%0.1392✗1.1189k2022-03-23
GTGateEthereum6.08296.0326-0.83%6.5107+7.03%0.0492✓0.853.2M2022-03-23
TRXTRONTron0.0594720.059372-0.17%0.064378+8.25%0.0428✓0.84307k2022-03-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3322.3745+1.82%2.791+19.68%0.0391✗1.36579k2022-03-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.