8=======>

2022-02-20 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3140
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.88%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.0%
in alpha space · 32.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+10.39%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum6.976.0355-13.41%4.907-29.60%0.2323✓0.262.0M2022-03-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.81411.6219-10.60%1.466-19.19%0.2505✓1.51189k2022-03-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.013180.011803-10.45%0.013307+0.96%0.0073✓1.1481k2022-03-22
PROPropyEthereum1.961.7648-9.96%1.54-21.43%0.3148✓1.81690k2022-03-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,667.4618,621.04-9.90%20,305.82-1.75%0.0143✓1.026.0M2022-03-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.0923.6987-9.17%28.03+7.44%0.0618✓1.0757.6M2022-03-22
RADRadworksEthereum7.056.4054-9.14%4.97-29.50%0.3421✓0.89682k2022-03-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.37850.344589-8.96%0.3714-1.88%0.0903✓1.6716.9M2022-03-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.552.3378-8.32%2.268-11.06%0.1874✓1.5914.5M2022-03-22
FIDABonfidaSolana2.0391.8732-8.13%1.793-12.06%0.1426✓1.0084k2022-03-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05310.049004-7.71%0.0657+23.73%0.1202✗1.7564.3M2022-03-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.717.2769-7.61%18.02-3.64%0.0732✓1.1723.0M2022-03-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004650.004302-7.49%0.00429-7.74%0.1947✓1.9413.2M2022-03-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.576.1046-7.08%6.98+6.24%0.0938✗0.411.4M2022-03-22
STXStacksnative1.231.1451-6.90%1.3+5.69%0.0007✓1.28817k2022-03-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1270.11877-6.48%0.105-17.32%0.2314✓1.0951k2022-03-22
ORCAOrcaSolana2.762.5817-6.46%2.16-21.74%0.2772✓1.00696k2022-03-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.30.280736-6.42%0.693+131.00%0.7725✗1.332.2M2022-03-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.01761.8922-6.22%3.292+63.16%0.5032✗0.512.8M2022-03-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.46020.432106-6.10%0.4064-11.69%0.2534✓1.942.0M2022-03-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.950.892243-6.08%0.78-17.89%0.2078✓0.741.5M2022-03-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.572.4198-5.84%2.21-14.01%0.1896✓1.00681k2022-03-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51190.483077-5.63%0.5151+0.63%0.0260✓0.91724k2022-03-22
FTTFTXEthereum40.8438.6035-5.48%45.28+10.87%0.0444✓1.1627.9M2022-03-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6975.3933-5.33%5.07-11.01%0.1649✓1.04327k2022-03-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4541.377-5.29%1.626+11.83%0.0531✓1.142.1M2022-03-22
BANDBandEthereum4.384.1516-5.21%3.81-13.01%0.2090✓1.251.9M2022-03-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.7355.4452-5.05%6.1887+7.91%0.0900✗0.38430k2022-03-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.149.4821-5.02%52.46+0.69%0.0686✓1.298.7M2022-03-22
SUSHISushiEthereum3.633.4556-4.80%3.45-4.96%0.1376✓1.387.2M2022-03-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13430.127858-4.80%0.1349+0.45%0.0749✓1.303.3M2022-03-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0512190.048849-4.63%0.040562-20.81%0.3135✓1.297.5M2022-03-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.25250.240849-4.61%0.31+22.77%0.1418✗1.12518k2022-03-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.9812.3886-4.56%16.17+24.58%0.1643✗1.03448k2022-03-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7114.0445-4.52%13.32-9.45%0.1232✓0.711.8M2022-03-22
NANOnanopayBase1.96891.8802-4.51%2.2499+14.27%0.0563✗1.25233k2022-03-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010780.010299-4.46%0.01179+9.37%0.0195✓1.562.2M2022-03-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.84550.807945-4.44%0.8268-2.21%0.0998✓1.2424.6M2022-03-22
IMXImmutableEthereum1.821.74-4.39%2.315+27.20%0.1812✗1.063.2M2022-03-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1367140.130799-4.33%0.122365-10.50%0.1660✓1.004.7M2022-03-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9326.7261-4.31%29.9+7.05%0.0168✓0.971.4M2022-03-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.779.35-4.30%13.41+37.26%0.2944✗0.67821k2022-03-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.156070.149406-4.27%0.15608+0.01%0.0976✓1.4330k2022-03-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13620.130393-4.26%0.1543+13.29%0.0667✗1.03470k2022-03-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.8218.9807-4.23%18.31-7.62%0.1575✓1.2310.5M2022-03-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025470.000024393-4.23%0.00002344-7.97%0.1770✓1.393.7M2022-03-22
DODODODOEthereum0.4710.451108-4.22%0.446-5.31%0.1482✓1.384.5M2022-03-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.229889-4.21%0.253+5.42%0.0028✓0.9468k2022-03-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07440.071285-4.19%0.0724-2.69%0.1180✓1.351.1M2022-03-22
XVGVergenative0.009620.009219-4.17%0.00999+3.85%0.0478✓1.301.2M2022-03-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001970.000001888-4.14%0.00000186-5.58%0.1140✓1.0014.3M2022-03-22
DASHDashDash98.194.0597-4.12%130.57+33.10%0.2184✗1.111.5M2022-03-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012660.012139-4.12%0.01287+1.66%0.0221✓0.8215k2022-03-22
XEMNEMnative0.09880.094736-4.11%0.1082+9.51%0.0332✓1.0138k2022-03-22
ADACardanoCardano0.93190.893808-4.09%0.9753+4.66%0.0233✓1.1297.3M2022-03-22
QTUMQtumQtum6.23265.9789-4.07%7.6005+21.95%0.0950✗1.47172k2022-03-22
LUNATerraTerra 249.3347.3234-4.07%93.09+88.71%0.5399✗1.385.1M2022-03-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.085750.082263-4.07%0.09728+13.45%0.0604✗1.0849k2022-03-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1946470.186737-4.06%0.20689+6.29%0.0001✓1.0421.8M2022-03-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,642.8037,075.55-4.06%42,512.10+10.01%0.0413✓0.9742k2022-03-22
DIADIAEthereum0.940.902058-4.04%0.95+1.06%0.0471✓1.00277k2022-03-22
QNTQuantEthereum107.71103.4224-3.98%127.12+18.02%0.1068✗1.016.6M2022-03-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.706180.678586-3.91%0.80946+14.63%0.0287✓1.49298k2022-03-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.067540.064907-3.90%0.07561+11.95%0.0758✗0.7884k2022-03-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.11761.0744-3.87%1.1525+3.12%0.0624✓1.342.5M2022-03-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.731.6635-3.84%1.93+11.56%0.0170✓1.332.0M2022-03-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.90.865842-3.80%1.719+91.00%0.5594✗1.28878k2022-03-22
XECeCashnative0.000074370.000071598-3.73%0.00008348+12.25%0.0416✗1.134.7M2022-03-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.13752.0588-3.68%2.6489+23.93%0.1586✗0.9428k2022-03-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.2326.2353-3.65%51.65+89.68%0.5712✗1.075.2M2022-03-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.0671.9917-3.64%2.255+9.10%0.0210✓1.0420k2022-03-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,389.0337,000.65-3.62%42,378.26+10.39%0.0368✓1.00633.0M2022-03-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.69212.595-3.61%2.4316-9.68%0.1875✓1.243.2M2022-03-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0192550.018565-3.58%0.01899-1.38%0.0909✓1.152.4M2022-03-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.441.3884-3.58%1.31-9.03%0.1797✓1.231.2M2022-03-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.3974.6324-3.56%83.98+8.52%0.0252✓1.45106.7M2022-03-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5321.4782-3.51%1.457-4.90%0.1551✓1.421.0M2022-03-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.752607-3.51%0.67-14.10%0.3109✓1.971.2M2022-03-22
UMAUMAEthereum5.365.1724-3.50%7.622+42.20%0.2898✗0.991.8M2022-03-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07290.070413-3.41%0.0759+4.12%0.0368✓1.13194k2022-03-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.022.9173-3.40%4.2393+40.37%0.2759✗0.992.4M2022-03-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.063.922-3.40%5.175+27.46%0.1557✗1.232.3M2022-03-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.9216.3457-3.39%20.22+19.50%0.0803✗1.3431.3M2022-03-22
XYMSymbolnative0.1540.148796-3.38%0.1371-10.97%0.1566✓0.76350k2022-03-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.09293.956-3.34%4.8022+17.33%0.0766✗1.19327k2022-03-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1073.0036-3.33%4.136+33.12%0.2304✗0.91492k2022-03-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.027150.026254-3.30%0.02633-3.02%0.0822✓0.865.0M2022-03-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.95392.8592-3.20%3.8754+31.20%0.2068✗0.982.5M2022-03-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2114.0769-3.18%5.543+31.63%0.2244✗0.84395k2022-03-22
AAVEAaveEthereum137.55133.1946-3.17%152.91+11.17%0.0041✓1.446.8M2022-03-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.482.4017-3.16%2.15-13.31%0.2281✓1.19359k2022-03-22
XTZTezosTezos3.26243.1596-3.15%3.302+1.21%0.0823✓1.282.1M2022-03-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.7918.2008-3.14%20.78+10.59%0.0199✓1.54350k2022-03-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39610.383808-3.10%0.3622-8.56%0.1994✓1.431.6M2022-03-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.52.4228-3.09%6.234+149.36%0.8197✗1.27845k2022-03-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0254740.024688-3.09%0.025067-1.60%0.0928✓1.0989k2022-03-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.82390.798569-3.07%0.8086-1.86%0.1381✓1.52417k2022-03-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.145.9526-3.05%6.43+4.72%0.0088✓0.87430k2022-03-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.22130.214601-3.03%0.218-1.49%0.1363✓1.543.6M2022-03-22
HIVEHivenative0.91580.888705-2.96%0.9224+0.72%0.1173✓1.561.8M2022-03-22
KSMKusamaHydration138.87134.7818-2.94%158.4+14.06%0.0453✗1.17930k2022-03-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78590.762873-2.93%0.7746-1.44%0.0953✓1.129.9M2022-03-22
UNIUniswapEthereum9.369.089-2.90%9.76+4.27%0.0591✓1.3211.4M2022-03-22
MOVRMoonriverBase74.324272.1876-2.87%66.9272-9.95%0.2251✓1.51281k2022-03-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.491.4475-2.85%1.547+3.83%0.0553✓1.231.1M2022-03-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036340.035309-2.84%0.03923+7.95%0.0338✗0.721.9M2022-03-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.614.1877-2.82%15.43+5.68%0.0346✓1.2063.5M2022-03-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.4682.0864-2.81%91.76+8.64%0.0238✓0.891.1M2022-03-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06540.063567-2.80%0.07627+16.62%0.0768✗1.0715k2022-03-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.176.9739-2.74%6.67-6.97%0.0643✓0.201.4M2022-03-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039140.03808-2.71%0.04222+7.87%0.0052✓1.1032k2022-03-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0280.027245-2.70%0.026-7.14%0.1915✓1.46499k2022-03-22
GITCOINGITCOIN6.5916.4177-2.63%6.962+5.63%0.0443✗0.3835k2022-03-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39170.381436-2.62%0.4105+4.80%0.0643✓1.398.7M2022-03-22
SOLSolanaSolana90.7888.4044-2.62%90.48-0.33%0.0984✓1.23171.7M2022-03-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24010.233823-2.61%0.253+5.37%0.0206✓1.011.9M2022-03-22
XMRMoneroMonero153.87149.9026-2.58%193.89+26.01%0.1581✗1.001.0M2022-03-22
ZENHorizenBase34.7533.8605-2.56%45.47+30.85%0.1407✗1.56364k2022-03-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.62031.5792-2.53%2.188+35.04%0.2137✗1.1475k2022-03-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.0910.088726-2.50%0.0905-0.55%0.1295✓1.51807k2022-03-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.75.5587-2.48%8.37+46.84%0.3259✗0.84398k2022-03-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.18630.181693-2.47%0.2091+12.24%0.0041✓1.383.2M2022-03-22
COMPCompoundEthereum116.98114.1487-2.42%114.7-1.95%0.1212✓1.2766k2022-03-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.985120.96149-2.40%1.1249+14.19%0.0521✗1.06180k2022-03-22
KCSKuCoinnative18.96218.509-2.39%18.261-3.70%0.1317✓1.209.8M2022-03-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5708340.557789-2.29%0.561881-1.57%0.1051✓1.143.5M2022-03-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.411.3785-2.23%1.582+12.20%0.0018✓1.372.2M2022-03-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2314.8917-2.22%17.58+15.43%0.0021✓1.703.0M2022-03-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.50790.496628-2.22%0.758+49.24%0.2823✗1.42610k2022-03-22
SCSiacoinnative0.009120.00892-2.20%0.0096+5.26%0.0281✓1.03504k2022-03-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.014.9007-2.18%6.75+34.73%0.2432✗0.78431k2022-03-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.021160.020711-2.12%0.03998+88.94%0.4987✗1.6110.9M2022-03-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7982.7392-2.10%4.168+48.96%0.3401✗0.81206k2022-03-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2321-2.10%2.44+7.02%0.0119✓1.02299k2022-03-22
ZECZcashZcash108.11105.8567-2.08%174.59+61.49%0.3824✗1.197.6M2022-03-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5165.4024-2.06%5.986+8.52%0.0239✗0.8065k2022-03-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.69108.4745-2.00%122.81+10.95%0.0047✓1.2130.0M2022-03-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0631.0431-1.88%1.26+18.53%0.0655✗1.253.0M2022-03-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,622.472,574.32-1.84%2,970.51+13.27%0.0328✗1.12581.4M2022-03-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.6323.2063-1.79%27.98+18.41%0.0380✗1.511.8M2022-03-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.70.687582-1.77%0.722+3.14%0.0560✓1.062.0M2022-03-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04870.047882-1.68%0.05567+14.31%0.0138✓1.38903k2022-03-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.5771-1.57%4.5-3.23%0.1241✓1.08510k2022-03-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7960.78354-1.57%0.91+14.32%0.0143✓1.372.2M2022-03-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash302.87298.4756-1.45%375.54+23.99%0.1331✗0.988.0M2022-03-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5160.509403-1.28%1.1707+126.88%0.7018✗1.322.3M2022-03-22
GTGateEthereum6.25636.1914-1.04%6.4277+2.74%0.0464✓0.853.5M2022-03-22
XVSVenusEthereum8.958.8967-0.60%9.38+4.80%0.0762✓1.313.2M2022-03-22
TRXTRONTron0.062010.061771-0.39%0.063447+2.32%0.0558✓0.84307k2022-03-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.8282.8301+0.08%2.762-2.33%0.1514✗1.28579k2022-03-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.