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2022-02-17 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3809
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.97%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.3%
in alpha space · 59.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.18%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum6.586.6473+1.02%6.3214-3.93%0.0842✗0.833.7M2022-03-19
AAVEAaveEthereum152.99153.081+0.06%157.26+2.79%0.0304✗1.407.8M2022-03-19
TRXTRONTron0.0624020.062069-0.53%0.061921-0.77%0.0368✓0.84344k2022-03-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06980.069156-0.92%0.07384+5.79%0.0217✗1.0717k2022-03-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041030.040578-1.10%0.04149+1.12%0.0229✓1.1032k2022-03-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.426.3453-1.16%6.42+0.00%0.0231✓0.85449k2022-03-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012580.012428-1.20%0.01239-1.51%0.0360✓0.8015k2022-03-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.760170.750651-1.25%0.84022+10.53%0.0526✗1.47334k2022-03-19
QTUMQtumQtum7.0156.9234-1.31%6.3544-9.42%0.1454✓1.46165k2022-03-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.7186.5521-1.32%83.33-4.99%0.0742✓0.891.1M2022-03-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.66951.6463-1.39%2.1759+30.33%0.2323✗1.1472k2022-03-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,651.2040,063.36-1.45%42,269.50+3.98%0.0137✓0.9758k2022-03-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.5814.3601-1.51%22.51+54.39%0.4076✗1.02483k2022-03-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.651.6236-1.60%1.635-0.91%0.0430✓1.221.3M2022-03-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.4996.3941-1.61%5.261-19.05%0.2353✓0.98407k2022-03-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7815.5205-1.64%16.43+4.12%0.0120✓1.683.2M2022-03-19
SCSiacoinnative0.009870.009707-1.65%0.00981-0.61%0.0317✓1.03489k2022-03-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1421.1217-1.78%1.285+12.52%0.0853✗1.243.4M2022-03-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.39114.3152-1.78%116.82+0.37%0.0282✓1.2231.6M2022-03-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.027580.027076-1.83%0.03602+30.60%0.2296✗1.3611.0M2022-03-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.09690.095107-1.85%0.0886-8.57%0.1327✓1.51944k2022-03-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.467.3218-1.85%6.3-15.55%0.1592✓0.221.3M2022-03-19
XMRMoneroMonero163.89160.7671-1.91%197.76+20.67%0.1656✗1.011.2M2022-03-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052150.051147-1.92%0.05148-1.28%0.0497✓1.371.1M2022-03-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5674.4784-1.94%4.875+6.74%0.0518✗0.81379k2022-03-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2273.1632-1.98%4.1949+29.99%0.2416✗0.992.4M2022-03-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2680.262685-1.98%0.239-10.82%0.1312✓0.9070k2022-03-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5420.531166-2.00%0.8804+62.44%0.4519✗1.302.4M2022-03-19
ETHEthereumEthereum2,893.562,834.63-2.04%2,952.16+2.03%0.0050✓1.11588.4M2022-03-19
XEMNEMnative0.10470.102491-2.11%0.1011-3.44%0.0552✓1.0137k2022-03-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.3515.0075-2.23%13.17-14.20%0.1585✓0.681.7M2022-03-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.2312.1795-2.31%2.249+0.81%0.0117✓1.0520k2022-03-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.029950.029244-2.36%0.02695-10.02%0.1164✓0.855.8M2022-03-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08490.082899-2.36%0.0761-10.37%0.1318✓1.13201k2022-03-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25250.246532-2.36%0.2536+0.44%0.0127✓1.001.8M2022-03-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43690.426561-2.37%0.4109-5.95%0.0939✓1.388.9M2022-03-19
SOLSolanaSolana93.5691.3326-2.38%92.39-1.25%0.0391✓1.23179.7M2022-03-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.09020.08805-2.38%0.09651+7.00%0.0470✗1.0950k2022-03-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.20150.196697-2.38%0.2114+4.91%0.0163✓1.363.6M2022-03-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.365.2298-2.43%6.43+19.96%0.1759✗0.75415k2022-03-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.249.9894-2.45%12.43+21.39%0.1918✗0.65821k2022-03-19
MINAMina Protocolnative2.562.4946-2.56%2.16-15.62%0.1927✓1.19390k2022-03-19
LUNATerraTerra 250.2748.9655-2.59%92.1+83.21%0.5739✗1.416.1M2022-03-19
RADRadworksEthereum5.545.3908-2.69%4.69-15.34%0.1809✓1.02701k2022-03-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.472.4017-2.76%2.4-2.83%0.0425✓1.02361k2022-03-19
XYMSymbolnative0.16420.159604-2.80%0.137-16.57%0.1797✓0.66388k2022-03-19
HIVEHivenative1.01380.985318-2.81%0.9324-8.03%0.1187✓1.551.9M2022-03-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15360.149238-2.84%0.155+0.91%0.0043✓1.03470k2022-03-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.5424.8095-2.86%27.71+8.50%0.0499✗1.482.0M2022-03-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.621070.603151-2.89%0.547794-11.80%0.1426✓1.133.6M2022-03-19
ZECZcashZcash113.58110.2641-2.92%179.68+58.20%0.4389✗1.217.6M2022-03-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.035.8534-2.93%8.09+34.16%0.2897✗0.83435k2022-03-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.615.1362-2.97%15.01-3.78%0.0571✓1.1969.3M2022-03-19
KCSKuCoinnative19.7119.1221-2.98%18.631-5.47%0.0765✓1.2310.0M2022-03-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.15.9178-2.99%5.284-13.38%0.1464✓0.8171k2022-03-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash313.15303.6772-3.03%328.01+4.75%0.0371✗0.988.4M2022-03-19
ZENHorizenBase36.7435.604-3.09%41.99+14.29%0.1016✗1.55405k2022-03-19
COMPCompoundEthereum123.7119.842-3.12%118.78-3.98%0.0615✓1.2865k2022-03-19
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1076.8842-3.14%7.016-1.28%0.0045✓0.3537k2022-03-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.27460.265918-3.16%0.2986+8.74%0.0694✗1.14538k2022-03-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.31323.2076-3.19%3.779+14.06%0.1253✗0.942.3M2022-03-19
KSMKusamaHydration155.14150.1775-3.20%146.84-5.35%0.0705✓1.17973k2022-03-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,536.7339,231.21-3.22%42,232.26+4.18%0.0327✓1.00686.5M2022-03-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.91.8374-3.30%1.93+1.58%0.0057✓1.342.1M2022-03-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.39514.2499-3.31%4.7092+7.14%0.0546✗1.17335k2022-03-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.43440.419989-3.32%0.3558-18.09%0.2255✓1.461.8M2022-03-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011780.011389-3.32%0.01214+3.06%0.0000✓1.562.0M2022-03-19
IMXImmutableEthereum2.132.0592-3.32%2.084-2.16%0.0306✓1.043.2M2022-03-19
QNTQuantEthereum119.39115.4106-3.33%119.96+0.48%0.0025✓1.007.6M2022-03-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1384070.133733-3.38%0.123635-10.67%0.1194✓1.005.9M2022-03-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7420.716946-3.38%0.654-11.86%0.1357✓1.071.9M2022-03-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2683.1576-3.38%3.759+15.02%0.1382✗0.88481k2022-03-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.07311.0362-3.43%1.0989+2.41%0.0153✓1.06189k2022-03-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269320.025985-3.52%0.019485-27.65%0.3350✓1.1589k2022-03-19
DASHDashDash104.76101.0105-3.58%103.03-1.65%0.0253✓1.101.8M2022-03-19
XVGVergenative0.01070.010317-3.58%0.00967-9.63%0.1184✓1.311.2M2022-03-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62390.601442-3.60%0.4542-27.20%0.3392✓1.43665k2022-03-19
XECeCashnative0.000078490.000075639-3.63%0.00008321+6.01%0.0491✗1.134.8M2022-03-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.25580.246458-3.65%0.2115-17.32%0.2154✓1.523.9M2022-03-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8830.850004-3.74%0.936+6.00%0.0373✓1.44501k2022-03-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.455.2461-3.74%4.65-14.68%0.1636✓1.05532k2022-03-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.594.4181-3.75%5.173+12.70%0.1079✗1.222.6M2022-03-19
UNIUniswapEthereum10.4110.0042-3.90%9.74-6.44%0.0803✓1.3111.7M2022-03-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.082.9589-3.93%3.33+8.12%0.0866✗0.77212k2022-03-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8619.0749-3.95%17.62-11.28%0.1267✓1.1624.4M2022-03-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074160.071222-3.96%0.07465+0.66%0.0157✓0.7789k2022-03-19
DODODODOEthereum0.4930.473391-3.98%0.435-11.76%0.1419✓1.404.5M2022-03-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.169820.163058-3.98%0.15441-9.07%0.1132✓1.4332k2022-03-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.071.0268-4.04%1.512+41.31%0.3327✗1.33751k2022-03-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.0826.9351-4.08%28.65+2.03%0.0190✓1.0466.4M2022-03-19
NANOnanopayBase2.10082.0149-4.09%2.2702+8.07%0.0689✗1.23315k2022-03-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.40730.39055-4.11%0.3541-13.06%0.1660✓1.6618.6M2022-03-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.25111.1996-4.12%1.1565-7.57%0.0890✓1.282.5M2022-03-19
UMAUMAEthereum6.035.7795-4.15%7.689+27.51%0.2446✗1.001.9M2022-03-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1617.3975-4.20%19.42+6.94%0.0553✗1.3432.8M2022-03-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.4328.1801-4.25%33.99+15.49%0.1439✗1.065.4M2022-03-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.912.7832-4.36%2.286-21.44%0.2580✓1.4915.9M2022-03-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6682.5507-4.40%5.895+120.95%0.7852✗1.28986k2022-03-19
FTTFTXEthereum43.7241.7935-4.41%44.92+2.74%0.0245✓1.1630.4M2022-03-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.320.3557-4.43%20.56-3.47%0.0522✓1.52387k2022-03-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5411.4709-4.55%1.639+6.36%0.0612✗1.152.1M2022-03-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8940.852202-4.68%0.863-3.47%0.0425✓1.342.4M2022-03-19
BTTCBTTC0.000002060.000001963-4.71%0.00000187-9.22%0.0895✓1.0014.2M2022-03-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.82220.783384-4.72%0.7509-8.67%0.0859✓1.0611.6M2022-03-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.46413.2991-4.76%2.2005-36.48%0.4432✓0.9328k2022-03-19
MOVRMoonriverBase85.944481.8377-4.78%56.5062-34.25%0.4319✓1.50315k2022-03-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.89830.854794-4.84%0.7651-14.83%0.1609✓1.2226.6M2022-03-19
XLMStellarStellar0.2022610.192405-4.87%0.20054-0.85%0.0000✓1.0121.9M2022-03-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.5419.5103-5.01%18.21-11.34%0.1190✓1.2210.8M2022-03-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7411.6534-5.03%1.51-13.27%0.1465✓1.361.1M2022-03-19
ADACardanoCardano1.02030.968116-5.11%0.903-11.50%0.1151✓1.11102.4M2022-03-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche88.2883.7434-5.14%89.58+1.47%0.0097✓1.41106.7M2022-03-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03090.029261-5.30%0.02698-12.69%0.1407✓1.45499k2022-03-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1240.117323-5.38%0.11-11.29%0.1108✓1.1357k2022-03-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.6125.1491-5.49%29.06+9.21%0.1060✗0.941.2M2022-03-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,441.7021,196.12-5.55%20,673.79-7.88%0.0659✓1.006.9M2022-03-19
BANDBandEthereum4.444.1928-5.57%3.81-14.19%0.1462✓1.231.9M2022-03-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55580.524513-5.63%0.5182-6.77%0.0492✓0.90804k2022-03-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum56.3753.1724-5.67%52.05-7.66%0.0732✓1.279.2M2022-03-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028210.000026589-5.75%0.00002416-14.36%0.1525✓1.383.5M2022-03-19
SUSHISushiEthereum3.953.7227-5.75%3.36-14.94%0.1586✓1.378.2M2022-03-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.691.5921-5.79%1.588-6.04%0.0582✓1.362.7M2022-03-19
XTZTezosTezos3.66863.4551-5.82%3.2577-11.20%0.1107✓1.272.4M2022-03-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3340.314404-5.87%0.698+108.98%0.7420✗1.362.3M2022-03-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.3164.0617-5.89%2.85-33.97%0.3997✓1.11620k2022-03-19
ORCAOrcaSolana2.922.744-6.03%2.13-27.05%0.2943✓1.00775k2022-03-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0158160.014861-6.04%0.012233-22.65%0.2399✓1.11417k2022-03-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00540.005067-6.16%0.0036-33.33%0.4215✓1.9416.8M2022-03-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0203590.019101-6.18%0.02061+1.23%0.0290✓1.152.4M2022-03-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.043780.041056-6.22%0.03453-21.13%0.2018✓0.702.0M2022-03-19
STXStacksnative1.41.3073-6.62%1.32-5.71%0.0313✓1.00963k2022-03-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.661.548-6.75%1.21-27.11%0.2961✓1.211.2M2022-03-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.16.6055-6.97%7.03-0.99%0.0472✓0.371.7M2022-03-19
AVTAventusEthereum2.892.669-7.65%2.15-25.61%0.2572✓1.00723k2022-03-19
MANADecentralandEthereum3.08012.843-7.70%2.508-18.58%0.1724✓1.153.3M2022-03-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.53820.494681-8.09%0.4445-17.41%0.1820✓1.831.8M2022-03-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15680.143955-8.19%0.1318-15.94%0.1398✓1.263.3M2022-03-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.940.862933-8.20%0.66-29.79%0.3488✓1.971.2M2022-03-19
PROPropyEthereum2.171.9842-8.56%1.53-29.49%0.3335✓1.79782k2022-03-19
XVSVenusEthereum11.4410.4541-8.62%9.14-20.10%0.1844✓1.223.2M2022-03-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.55025.0697-8.66%6.054+9.08%0.1620✗0.38441k2022-03-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06080.055445-8.81%0.066+8.55%0.1030✗1.7464.3M2022-03-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.23271.123-8.90%0.766-37.86%0.4126✓0.731.5M2022-03-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.27812.0752-8.90%3.3286+46.11%0.4502✗0.543.1M2022-03-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08250.075014-9.07%0.072-12.73%0.0953✓1.32966k2022-03-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0510550.046408-9.10%0.042197-17.35%0.1445✓1.217.6M2022-03-19
DIADIAEthereum1.21.0765-10.29%0.94-21.67%0.1766✓1.00270k2022-03-19
CELLCellframeEthereum1.48051.318-10.98%1.5032+1.53%0.0690✓1.53144k2022-03-19
FIDABonfidaSolana2.1051.8669-11.31%1.718-18.38%0.1241✓1.0076k2022-03-19
API3Api3Ethereum54.431-11.38%5.02+0.40%0.1152✓0.231.8M2022-03-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.