8=======>

2022-02-16 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2698
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+20.52%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.7%
in alpha space · 82.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0464.4582-11.65%2.369-53.05%0.5817✓1.02664k2022-03-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20191.076-10.48%0.74-38.43%0.3276✓0.941.5M2022-03-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.44820.402919-10.10%0.3368-24.85%0.0934✓1.7321.4M2022-03-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.63051.4742-9.58%1.578-3.22%0.1450✗1.55140k2022-03-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,690.0021,444.03-9.48%20,575.06-13.15%0.0087✓1.017.2M2022-03-18
PROPropyEthereum2.342.1242-9.22%1.4-40.17%0.3206✓1.94812k2022-03-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06950.063214-9.04%0.0633-8.92%0.0887✓1.7664.3M2022-03-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.28222.0978-8.08%3.3831+48.24%0.5068✗0.582.9M2022-03-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.172.9251-7.72%2.251-28.99%0.1877✓1.5016.5M2022-03-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.74023.4593-7.51%2.1916-41.40%0.4103✓0.9330k2022-03-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.584.2506-7.19%4.609+0.63%0.0989✗0.361.8M2022-03-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.247.6914-6.66%5.95-27.79%0.2425✓0.291.7M2022-03-18
SUSHISushiEthereum4.34.0237-6.43%3.31-23.02%0.1264✓1.397.9M2022-03-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0282840.026488-6.35%0.017275-38.92%0.3635✓1.2989k2022-03-18
AVTAventusEthereum3.313.1016-6.30%2.07-37.46%0.3549✓1.00681k2022-03-18
STXStacksnative1.551.4535-6.22%1.3-16.13%0.0621✓1.00980k2022-03-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0169690.015931-6.12%0.011938-29.65%0.2325✓1.13450k2022-03-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.6250.587689-5.97%0.4549-27.22%0.1615✓1.911.8M2022-03-18
FTTFTXEthereum46.3843.653-5.88%44.58-3.88%0.0800✗1.1930.4M2022-03-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.0820.7859-5.86%16.88-23.55%0.1510✓1.1524.2M2022-03-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006010.005674-5.59%0.00358-40.43%0.3610✓2.0117.9M2022-03-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045830.043352-5.41%0.03367-26.53%0.2130✓0.802.2M2022-03-18
BANDBandEthereum4.874.6077-5.39%3.723-23.55%0.1514✓1.251.9M2022-03-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4547.0618-5.26%4.924-33.94%0.3128✓0.96407k2022-03-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.6020.570935-5.16%0.512-14.95%0.0646✓0.89840k2022-03-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.5127.106-4.92%28.63+0.42%0.1093✗1.1066.4M2022-03-18
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3482.2354-4.80%1.639-30.20%0.2608✓1.0084k2022-03-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.42631.3583-4.77%1.1296-20.80%0.1213✓1.272.4M2022-03-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86685.5921-4.68%6.0844+3.71%0.1015✗0.35441k2022-03-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.160017-4.64%0.1516-9.65%0.0029✓1.03470k2022-03-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.4260.5017-4.60%50.47-20.42%0.1187✓1.269.2M2022-03-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.3991.0244-4.58%85.76-10.10%0.0124✓1.45104.0M2022-03-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.30670.292788-4.54%0.3002-2.12%0.0808✗1.13538k2022-03-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.110808-4.48%0.105-9.48%0.0043✓1.0064k2022-03-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0560840.053587-4.45%0.0395-29.57%0.2435✓1.247.6M2022-03-18
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26323.1208-4.36%2.4451-25.07%0.1845✓1.203.3M2022-03-18
DASHDashDash115.33110.307-4.36%98.87-14.27%0.0546✓1.111.9M2022-03-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.86787.5307-4.28%6.123-22.18%0.1341✓1.47153k2022-03-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3730.357454-4.17%0.616+65.15%0.6115✗1.362.3M2022-03-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin23.0822.1345-4.10%17.61-23.70%0.1685✓1.2110.5M2022-03-18
QNTQuantEthereum129.55124.4604-3.93%116.39-10.16%0.0169✓1.017.8M2022-03-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15620.150126-3.89%0.1214-22.28%0.1456✓1.353.2M2022-03-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6881.6228-3.86%1.574-6.75%0.0266✓1.162.1M2022-03-18
ADACardanoCardano1.08331.0422-3.79%0.852-21.35%0.1451✓1.14106.9M2022-03-18
ORCAOrcaSolana3.173.05-3.79%2.19-30.91%0.2817✓1.00829k2022-03-18
HIVEHivenative1.11251.0705-3.77%0.9186-17.43%0.0743✓1.591.9M2022-03-18
XTZTezosTezos4.03823.8862-3.76%3.1614-21.71%0.1427✓1.292.4M2022-03-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.051.0105-3.76%0.68-35.24%0.2959✓2.021.1M2022-03-18
UMAUMAEthereum6.536.2864-3.73%7.638+16.97%0.2448✗1.011.9M2022-03-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97910.942828-3.70%0.7552-22.87%0.1610✓1.2326.7M2022-03-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.0785-3.70%1.515+35.27%0.4086✗1.39694k2022-03-18
DIADIAEthereum0.970.934089-3.70%0.94-3.09%0.0558✗1.00269k2022-03-18
XEMNEMnative0.11420.109988-3.69%0.1-12.43%0.0450✓1.0137k2022-03-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013440.012945-3.68%0.0115-14.43%0.0408✓1.571.8M2022-03-18
XVGVergenative0.011710.011282-3.66%0.00928-20.75%0.1293✓1.331.2M2022-03-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9115.3304-3.64%13.65-14.20%0.0648✓1.04483k2022-03-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,895.5642,314.64-3.60%41,774.98-4.83%0.0367✗1.00642.7M2022-03-18
LUNATerraTerra 256.0254.0363-3.54%88.61+58.18%0.5648✗1.426.3M2022-03-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9521.8831-3.53%1.451-25.67%0.1916✓1.401.1M2022-03-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030950.000029867-3.50%0.00002236-27.75%0.2200✓1.402.8M2022-03-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1416.5405-3.50%15.02-12.37%0.0370✓1.2070.2M2022-03-18
DODODODOEthereum0.5390.520153-3.50%0.402-25.42%0.1868✓1.434.5M2022-03-18
BTTCBTTC0.000002180.000002105-3.45%0.00000186-14.68%0.0741✓1.0014.3M2022-03-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.132.0565-3.45%1.85-13.15%0.0396✓1.342.1M2022-03-18
XLMStellarStellar0.218740.211306-3.40%0.192891-11.82%0.0402✓1.0321.9M2022-03-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.0323.2283-3.34%20.21-15.90%0.0628✓1.54387k2022-03-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95143.8205-3.31%3.8721-2.01%0.0573✗0.892.3M2022-03-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89330.863883-3.29%0.7285-18.45%0.1175✓1.0711.9M2022-03-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3127.3788-3.29%28.09-0.78%0.0729✗0.951.2M2022-03-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.4522.372-3.26%2.189-10.73%0.0283✓1.0520k2022-03-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487370.143898-3.25%0.119322-19.78%0.1370✓1.016.1M2022-03-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2531.2828-3.00%28.05-13.02%0.0564✓1.065.5M2022-03-18
XECeCashnative0.000085390.000082837-2.99%0.00008127-4.82%0.0374✗1.144.7M2022-03-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097890.094993-2.96%0.0956-2.34%0.0612✗1.1150k2022-03-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176240.171069-2.93%0.1531-13.13%0.0314✓1.6132k2022-03-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.27959-2.92%0.233-19.10%0.1362✓0.9373k2022-03-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.090.087383-2.91%0.0711-21.00%0.1389✓1.36868k2022-03-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.7819.2153-2.86%18.96-4.15%0.0541✗1.3633.6M2022-03-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081170.078863-2.84%0.07318-9.84%0.0376✓0.7589k2022-03-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0217730.021156-2.83%0.01673-23.16%0.1731✓1.242.4M2022-03-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.60173.5004-2.81%4.3273+20.15%0.2621✗1.012.5M2022-03-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5143.4156-2.80%3.671+4.47%0.1161✗0.89481k2022-03-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.7629-2.80%5.029+2.63%0.1163✗1.252.6M2022-03-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69890.679347-2.80%0.4424-36.70%0.3549✓1.50665k2022-03-18
MOVRMoonriverBase95.551592.9332-2.74%54.2608-43.21%0.4623✓1.53315k2022-03-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08510.08278-2.73%0.0717-15.75%0.0837✓1.21194k2022-03-18
XMRMoneroMonero179.36174.4858-2.72%195+8.72%0.1614✗1.011.2M2022-03-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,960.8042,778.39-2.69%41,510.70-5.57%0.0182✓0.9751k2022-03-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8092.7363-2.59%6.275+123.39%0.8965✗1.341.0M2022-03-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.861.8126-2.55%1.05-43.55%0.4861✓1.211.3M2022-03-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82924.7099-2.47%4.289-11.19%0.0342✓1.20335k2022-03-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.10520.102629-2.44%0.0868-17.49%0.0909✓1.55996k2022-03-18
ZECZcashZcash125.58122.6362-2.34%172.57+37.42%0.4016✗1.217.4M2022-03-18
IMXImmutableEthereum2.42.344-2.34%1.645-31.46%0.3042✓1.013.2M2022-03-18
RADRadworksEthereum6.075.9314-2.28%4.31-29.00%0.2691✓1.02701k2022-03-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.22020.215256-2.25%0.2087-5.22%0.0381✗1.393.7M2022-03-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013890.013584-2.21%0.01224-11.88%0.0655✓0.7814k2022-03-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8034.6974-2.20%4.828+0.52%0.0684✗0.83379k2022-03-18
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2210.9745-2.19%9.62-14.26%0.0654✓1.3412.2M2022-03-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.835370.817353-2.16%0.84294+0.91%0.1057✗1.51334k2022-03-18
NANOnanopayBase2.25842.21-2.14%2.3491+4.02%0.1234✗1.26367k2022-03-18
KCSKuCoinnative20.85520.4082-2.14%18.259-12.45%0.0482✓1.2710.1M2022-03-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.2850.278898-2.14%0.2119-25.65%0.1987✓1.544.0M2022-03-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03350.032793-2.11%0.0271-19.10%0.1162✓1.50499k2022-03-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6770910.662928-2.09%0.537425-20.63%0.1530✓1.153.6M2022-03-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.031980.03132-2.06%0.04379+36.93%0.4013✗1.3410.7M2022-03-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.032160.031504-2.04%0.02515-21.80%0.1830✓0.856.2M2022-03-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.0941-2.02%6.14-15.19%0.1310✓0.271.2M2022-03-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47540.466112-1.95%0.3288-30.84%0.2754✓1.481.9M2022-03-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.692.7691-1.94%80.59-14.81%0.0967✓0.891.1M2022-03-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.19151.1685-1.93%1.0729-9.96%0.0315✓1.09193k2022-03-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,124.453,064.88-1.91%2,939.17-5.93%0.0143✓1.13581.4M2022-03-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48720.477971-1.89%0.4108-15.68%0.0820✓1.408.9M2022-03-18
XYMSymbolnative0.17470.171438-1.87%0.133-23.87%0.2213✓0.66388k2022-03-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96020.942403-1.85%0.7275-24.23%0.1838✓1.52552k2022-03-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.84125.5488-1.79%111.9-12.47%0.0541✓1.2332.4M2022-03-18
SOLSolanaSolana101.94100.1379-1.77%89.87-11.84%0.0454✓1.27179.7M2022-03-18
ZENHorizenBase40.6239.9196-1.72%41.26+1.58%0.1113✗1.58364k2022-03-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.811.7791-1.71%1.591-12.10%0.0500✓1.251.3M2022-03-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.861.8284-1.70%1.365-26.61%0.2234✓1.392.9M2022-03-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.6051-1.69%2.26-14.72%0.0796✓1.26390k2022-03-18
XVSVenusEthereum11.7811.583-1.67%8.77-25.55%0.2140✓1.303.1M2022-03-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.82411.7938-1.66%2.1269+16.60%0.2266✗1.1469k2022-03-18
AAVEAaveEthereum170.44167.629-1.65%160.34-5.93%0.0254✗1.418.0M2022-03-18
GITCOINGITCOIN8.2398.1045-1.63%5.917-28.18%0.3013✓0.2737k2022-03-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26930.264959-1.61%0.2478-7.98%0.0161✓1.031.8M2022-03-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044660.043954-1.58%0.04078-8.69%0.0201✓1.1131k2022-03-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2741.2542-1.55%1.216-4.55%0.0301✗1.233.4M2022-03-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.526.4227-1.49%8.18+25.46%0.2827✗0.83463k2022-03-18
KSMKusamaHydration166.77164.3212-1.47%148.53-10.94%0.0417✓1.20973k2022-03-18
COMPCompoundEthereum136.01134.0505-1.44%119.38-12.23%0.0514✓1.3058k2022-03-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.074642-1.40%0.0728-3.83%0.0283✗1.0817k2022-03-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2173.1726-1.38%3.346+4.01%0.0927✗0.80215k2022-03-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.6517.4164-1.32%15.01-14.96%0.0630✓1.733.4M2022-03-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6328.2569-1.30%25.79-9.92%0.0165✓1.512.0M2022-03-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.6795-1.19%6.37-5.77%0.0041✓0.88430k2022-03-18
SCSiacoinnative0.010780.010657-1.14%0.00919-14.75%0.0962✓1.05483k2022-03-18
GTGateEthereum6.88276.8148-0.99%6.34-7.88%0.0296✓0.863.8M2022-03-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56830.562701-0.99%0.8733+53.67%0.5069✗1.362.4M2022-03-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.057590.057027-0.98%0.04977-13.58%0.0672✓1.391.2M2022-03-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.672.6461-0.89%2.4-10.11%0.0465✓1.03373k2022-03-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7810.6853-0.88%12.43+15.31%0.1842✗0.67821k2022-03-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.086.0302-0.82%4.24-30.26%0.3005✓1.04555k2022-03-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4276-0.77%6.43+17.55%0.2087✗0.79407k2022-03-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7870.780999-0.76%0.64-18.68%0.1442✓1.111.9M2022-03-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.55332.2828-0.68%305.71-8.62%0.0342✓0.998.9M2022-03-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.3586.3172-0.64%5.34-16.01%0.1264✓0.8472k2022-03-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9830.978683-0.44%0.836-14.95%0.0899✓1.372.4M2022-03-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7516.7785+0.17%13.06-22.03%0.2177✗0.661.5M2022-03-18
TRXTRONTron0.0664720.067031+0.84%0.061738-7.12%0.0402✗0.85344k2022-03-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.