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2022-02-13 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3149
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.3%
in alpha space · 80.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum6.77266.8883+1.71%6.305-6.90%0.0275✗0.894.0M2022-03-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07140.07206+0.92%0.07459+4.47%0.1110✓1.1217k2022-03-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2910.293269+0.78%0.221-24.05%0.2183✗0.9577k2022-03-15
XEMNEMnative0.110.110533+0.48%0.0945-14.09%0.0838✗1.0737k2022-03-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.80760.810704+0.38%0.78447-2.86%0.0704✓1.51299k2022-03-15
AAVEAaveEthereum158.29158.7179+0.27%122.06-22.89%0.1663✗1.418.6M2022-03-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.042590.042659+0.16%0.04009-5.87%0.0155✓1.1430k2022-03-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013620.013632+0.09%0.01185-13.00%0.0861✗0.7913k2022-03-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.417.406-0.05%5.85-21.05%0.2155✓0.301.2M2022-03-15
TRXTRONTron0.0645880.064534-0.08%0.060553-6.25%0.0008✓0.92344k2022-03-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.664.6559-0.09%4.452-4.46%0.0133✗0.85369k2022-03-15
QTUMQtumQtum6.51066.4991-0.18%5.721-12.13%0.0287✓1.45145k2022-03-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.636.6001-0.45%6.86+3.47%0.1002✗0.90416k2022-03-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,091.2041,841.13-0.59%39,353.60-6.50%0.0051✓0.9742k2022-03-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052670.052312-0.68%0.04553-13.56%0.0424✓1.411.2M2022-03-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.72791.7153-0.73%2.019+16.84%0.2396✗1.1269k2022-03-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.1315.0152-0.76%12.6-16.72%0.1028✓1.06483k2022-03-15
SCSiacoinnative0.010360.010277-0.80%0.00867-16.31%0.0993✓1.04489k2022-03-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV92.5291.6833-0.90%75.84-18.03%0.1279✓0.901.2M2022-03-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.10250.101562-0.92%0.0863-15.80%0.0550✓1.581.2M2022-03-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095180.094245-0.98%0.09171-3.65%0.0470✗1.0951k2022-03-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.661.64-1.21%1.354-18.43%0.1052✓1.271.4M2022-03-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0526.9653-1.23%4.502-36.16%0.3663✓1.03407k2022-03-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47863.4353-1.24%3.8873+11.75%0.2006✗1.132.5M2022-03-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.53450.527769-1.26%0.7126+33.32%0.3904✗1.322.4M2022-03-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8216.6056-1.27%13.34-20.69%0.0996✓1.753.7M2022-03-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.55.4268-1.33%6.53+18.73%0.2406✗0.81398k2022-03-15
CBKCobakEthereum2.3882.3557-1.35%2.106-11.81%0.0382✓1.0822k2022-03-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2441.227-1.37%1.134-8.84%0.0074✓1.263.2M2022-03-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.030050.029638-1.37%0.02452-18.40%0.1300✓0.876.2M2022-03-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27710.273137-1.43%0.2348-15.27%0.0770✓1.091.6M2022-03-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin125.67123.8198-1.47%106.94-14.90%0.0585✓1.2934.8M2022-03-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.8625.4656-1.52%23.06-10.83%0.0055✓1.532.0M2022-03-15
RADRadworksEthereum5.455.3616-1.62%4.34-20.37%0.1373✓1.08701k2022-03-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.496.3709-1.83%7.92+22.03%0.2753✗0.84441k2022-03-15
ETHEthereumEthereum2,872.842,819.66-1.85%2,619.15-8.83%0.0034✓1.13572.6M2022-03-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0710.8607-1.89%11.22+1.36%0.0820✗0.72660k2022-03-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40620.398374-1.93%0.4259+4.85%0.1583✗1.348.7M2022-03-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.20090.197018-1.93%0.1914-4.73%0.0682✗1.423.7M2022-03-15
IMXImmutableEthereum2.292.2449-1.97%1.511-34.02%0.3295✓0.973.0M2022-03-15
MINAMina Protocolnative2.372.3231-1.98%1.64-30.80%0.2595✓1.30383k2022-03-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.522.4699-1.99%2.19-13.10%0.0496✓1.04415k2022-03-15
XMRMoneroMonero174.01170.4976-2.02%183.37+5.38%0.1444✗1.051.2M2022-03-15
XYMSymbolnative0.16860.165117-2.07%0.1317-21.89%0.1770✓0.72388k2022-03-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0840.082249-2.08%0.0682-18.81%0.1030✓1.24195k2022-03-15
SOLSolanaSolana92.9290.9606-2.11%82.85-10.84%0.0068✓1.27179.7M2022-03-15
DIADIAEthereum0.950.929186-2.19%0.89-6.32%0.0252✗1.00274k2022-03-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1393.0694-2.22%3.233+2.99%0.1081✗0.82215k2022-03-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9035.7718-2.22%4.941-16.30%0.0954✓0.8872k2022-03-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.609390.595821-2.23%0.490642-19.49%0.1140✓1.173.5M2022-03-15
KCSKuCoinnative19.12618.6979-2.24%18.08-5.47%0.0598✗1.3710.2M2022-03-15
LUNATerraTerra 251.8950.6964-2.30%88.57+70.69%0.6554✗1.437.4M2022-03-15
GITCOINGITCOIN7.2727.1038-2.31%5.363-26.25%0.2571✓0.3538k2022-03-15
UOSUltraEthereum1.010.9865-2.32%1.1206+10.96%0.2094✗1.202.3M2022-03-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487270.145093-2.44%0.112562-24.32%0.1829✓1.047.0M2022-03-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash333.81325.5485-2.47%289.44-13.29%0.0475✓1.038.9M2022-03-15
NANOnanopayBase2.11442.0619-2.48%1.7127-19.00%0.1019✓1.22486k2022-03-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.030660.029894-2.50%0.01762-42.53%0.4527✓1.119.8M2022-03-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.68034.5612-2.54%4.0264-13.97%0.0406✓1.23355k2022-03-15
DASHDashDash102.0399.3983-2.58%95.14-6.75%0.0344✗1.142.0M2022-03-15
QNTQuantEthereum121.97118.7257-2.66%110.23-9.63%0.0039✓1.037.8M2022-03-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.615.1841-2.67%13.7-12.18%0.0203✓1.2170.2M2022-03-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7470.727053-2.67%0.611-18.21%0.0983✓1.111.6M2022-03-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.4430.431125-2.68%0.3117-29.64%0.2214✓1.512.0M2022-03-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.28120.273484-2.74%0.2536-9.82%0.0013✓1.12538k2022-03-15
STORJStorjEthereum1.13341.102-2.77%1-11.77%0.0249✓1.06239k2022-03-15
ZENHorizenBase40.1639.0421-2.78%35.93-10.53%0.0242✓1.57400k2022-03-15
XVGVergenative0.010990.010683-2.79%0.00872-20.66%0.1073✓1.401.2M2022-03-15
KSMKusamaHydration163.53158.7776-2.91%125.47-23.27%0.1524✓1.22930k2022-03-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum21.9418-2.91%1.71-14.50%0.0371✓1.322.2M2022-03-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011930.011579-2.94%0.01106-7.29%0.0596✗1.541.7M2022-03-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62960.610696-3.00%0.3755-40.36%0.3802✓1.55723k2022-03-15
XECeCashnative0.000081770.000079292-3.03%0.00007953-2.74%0.0818✗1.155.5M2022-03-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.9775.6015-3.04%69.83-10.44%0.0135✓1.3698.5M2022-03-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16110.156203-3.04%0.1451-9.93%0.0019✓1.05470k2022-03-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.26880.260583-3.06%0.1917-28.68%0.2004✓1.564.2M2022-03-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.61.5506-3.09%1.481-7.44%0.0340✗1.171.9M2022-03-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.91510.88678-3.09%0.6774-25.98%0.1640✓1.54637k2022-03-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.895.7055-3.13%3.81-35.31%0.3286✓1.10599k2022-03-15
BANDBandEthereum4.063.9288-3.23%3.446-15.12%0.0456✓1.251.9M2022-03-15
ZECZcashZcash117.13113.3221-3.25%136.27+16.34%0.2710✗1.277.2M2022-03-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.474.3243-3.26%3.937-11.92%0.0095✓1.242.6M2022-03-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,074.9940,695.23-3.28%39,298.10-6.60%0.0333✗1.00642.7M2022-03-15
COMPCompoundEthereum124.43120.3189-3.30%104.05-16.38%0.0573✓1.2954k2022-03-15
UMAUMAEthereum6.015.8114-3.31%7.638+27.09%0.3441✗1.041.9M2022-03-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7542.6625-3.32%5.359+94.59%0.7920✗1.351.0M2022-03-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.061.0236-3.44%0.92-13.21%0.0104✓1.41655k2022-03-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3873.27-3.45%3.559+5.08%0.1461✗0.90502k2022-03-15
XVSVenusEthereum8.78.3992-3.46%8.49-2.41%0.1012✗1.332.8M2022-03-15
UNIUniswapEthereum10.359.9895-3.48%8.72-15.75%0.0442✓1.3412.5M2022-03-15
HIVEHivenative1.0721.0344-3.51%0.8341-22.19%0.1141✓1.481.9M2022-03-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.1925.2693-3.52%26.91+2.75%0.1409✗1.1471.8M2022-03-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075340.072686-3.52%0.07211-4.29%0.0437✗0.7684k2022-03-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.42070.405438-3.63%0.3344-20.51%0.0708✓1.7829.1M2022-03-15
DODODODOEthereum0.4990.480879-3.63%0.377-24.45%0.1433✓1.474.5M2022-03-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.7719.0307-3.74%15.84-19.88%0.1037✓1.1724.9M2022-03-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7518.0467-3.75%17.81-5.01%0.0804✗1.3734.9M2022-03-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.880.845916-3.87%0.771-12.39%0.0020✓1.392.4M2022-03-15
MOVRMoonriverBase82.667779.4144-3.94%49.271-40.40%0.3776✓1.46315k2022-03-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.3820.5347-3.95%18.7-12.54%0.0134✓1.57375k2022-03-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14750.141645-3.97%0.1195-18.98%0.0766✓1.373.2M2022-03-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.171870.164822-4.10%0.14361-16.44%0.0264✓1.6336k2022-03-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0276790.026539-4.12%0.019693-28.85%0.2102✓1.29102k2022-03-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.752.6359-4.15%1.952-29.02%0.2035✓1.4218.4M2022-03-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.531.1219-4.24%25.82-20.55%0.1141✓1.064.9M2022-03-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.84840.811777-4.32%0.7031-17.13%0.0701✓1.0812.4M2022-03-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1180.112873-4.34%0.101-14.41%0.0429✓1.0071k2022-03-15
FTTFTXEthereum44.3242.3942-4.35%41.02-7.45%0.0480✗1.1931.6M2022-03-15
XLMStellarStellar0.2103110.200965-4.44%0.182627-13.16%0.0243✓1.0523.0M2022-03-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7371.6592-4.48%1.325-23.72%0.1351✓1.321.1M2022-03-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.89670.856517-4.48%0.7163-20.12%0.1018✓1.1326.7M2022-03-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3790.361773-4.55%0.462+21.90%0.3378✗1.372.3M2022-03-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.1426.8298-4.66%27.1-3.70%0.0763✗0.971.1M2022-03-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0433190.041298-4.67%0.03917-9.58%0.0318✓1.247.4M2022-03-15
ADACardanoCardano1.04310.993892-4.72%0.7992-23.38%0.1409✓1.13115.7M2022-03-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.5619.5857-4.74%16.81-18.24%0.0698✓1.2210.5M2022-03-15
MANADecentralandEthereum2.82312.6888-4.76%2.2729-19.49%0.0983✓1.022.8M2022-03-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.41983.2557-4.80%2.0468-40.15%0.4033✓0.8930k2022-03-15
BTTCBTTC0.000002120.00000201-5.18%0.00000176-16.98%0.0647✓1.0014.2M2022-03-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0163240.015472-5.22%0.01145-29.86%0.2198✓1.19573k2022-03-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005790.005483-5.29%0.00345-40.41%0.3251✓2.0218.8M2022-03-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum58.0854.9954-5.31%46.86-19.32%0.0750✓1.258.8M2022-03-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030110.000028483-5.40%0.00002162-28.20%0.1788✓1.421.8M2022-03-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.881.7762-5.52%1.199-36.22%0.2982✓1.392.9M2022-03-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.91.7929-5.64%1.02-46.32%0.4830✓1.191.4M2022-03-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,889.9121,578.59-5.73%18,500.04-19.18%0.0882✓0.967.6M2022-03-15
XTZTezosTezos3.85463.6324-5.76%2.9767-22.78%0.1095✓1.312.4M2022-03-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57230.53925-5.78%0.4996-12.70%0.0042✓1.061.1M2022-03-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.8616.8196-5.83%12.77-28.50%0.2259✓0.731.1M2022-03-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03120.029362-5.89%0.02395-23.24%0.1042✓1.46485k2022-03-15
SUSHISushiEthereum4.033.786-6.06%2.92-27.54%0.1655✓1.388.0M2022-03-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045230.042481-6.08%0.03542-21.69%0.1323✓0.723.4M2022-03-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0214690.020125-6.26%0.01617-24.68%0.1348✓1.232.4M2022-03-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.276.8062-6.38%5.36-26.27%0.2141✓0.361.7M2022-03-15
ORCAOrcaSolana3.062.8638-6.41%2.01-34.31%0.2857✓1.00946k2022-03-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.76753.5156-6.69%3.6207-3.90%0.0954✗0.972.2M2022-03-15
STXStacksnative1.461.3605-6.82%1.21-17.12%0.0489✓1.001.1M2022-03-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.8231.6798-7.85%3.0554+67.60%0.6406✗0.622.9M2022-03-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.7214.3437-7.99%2.237-52.62%0.6008✓0.92779k2022-03-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08660.079606-8.08%0.0653-24.60%0.1030✓1.39608k2022-03-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.910.836479-8.08%0.59-35.16%0.2151✓1.961.0M2022-03-15
PROPropyEthereum2.22.0065-8.80%1.42-35.45%0.2097✓1.991.0M2022-03-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.56440.514288-8.88%0.3734-33.84%0.1913✓1.891.8M2022-03-15
AVTAventusEthereum2.752.5054-8.89%2.31-16.00%0.0129✓1.00748k2022-03-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.85385.3193-9.13%5.905+0.87%0.1261✗0.32430k2022-03-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06260.056765-9.32%0.0544-13.10%0.0768✓1.7557.0M2022-03-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.29471.1631-10.16%0.699-46.01%0.4482✓0.891.7M2022-03-15
FIDABonfidaSolana2.4372.1852-10.33%1.596-34.51%0.2459✓1.0079k2022-03-15
API3Api3Ethereum4.574.0783-10.76%4.675+2.30%0.1592✗0.332.0M2022-03-15
CELLCellframeEthereum1.31681.1741-10.84%1.35+2.52%0.2480✗1.59120k2022-03-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.