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2022-02-13 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1677
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.7%
in alpha space · 83.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.29471.1321-12.56%0.699-46.01%0.4211✓0.891.7M2022-03-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,889.9120,273.96-11.43%18,500.04-19.18%0.0259✓0.967.6M2022-03-15
PROPropyEthereum2.21.9646-10.70%1.42-35.45%0.1886✓1.991.0M2022-03-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.7214.2277-10.45%2.237-52.62%0.5737✓0.92779k2022-03-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.42070.381719-9.27%0.3344-20.51%0.0105✓1.7829.1M2022-03-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.752.522-8.29%1.952-29.02%0.1593✓1.4218.4M2022-03-15
API3Api3Ethereum4.574.2117-7.84%4.675+2.30%0.1270✗0.332.0M2022-03-15
CELLCellframeEthereum1.31681.2185-7.46%1.35+2.52%0.2109✗1.59120k2022-03-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06260.05793-7.46%0.0544-13.10%0.0565✓1.7557.0M2022-03-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.7718.3727-7.07%15.84-19.88%0.0685✓1.1724.9M2022-03-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0163240.015208-6.84%0.01145-29.86%0.2026✓1.19573k2022-03-15
STXStacksnative1.461.3621-6.71%1.21-17.12%0.0501✓1.001.1M2022-03-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.8231.7069-6.37%3.0554+67.60%0.6246✗0.622.9M2022-03-15
SUSHISushiEthereum4.033.7736-6.36%2.92-27.54%0.1622✓1.388.0M2022-03-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.41983.2081-6.19%2.0468-40.15%0.3886✓0.8930k2022-03-15
AVTAventusEthereum2.752.5829-6.08%2.31-16.00%0.0434✓1.00748k2022-03-15
FTTFTXEthereum44.3241.7032-5.90%41.02-7.45%0.0645✗1.1931.6M2022-03-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.56440.531804-5.78%0.3734-33.84%0.2248✓1.891.8M2022-03-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.1924.7017-5.68%26.91+2.75%0.1636✗1.1471.8M2022-03-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57230.540174-5.61%0.4996-12.70%0.0060✓1.061.1M2022-03-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1180.111503-5.51%0.101-14.41%0.0307✓1.0071k2022-03-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0526.6647-5.49%4.502-36.16%0.3222✓1.03407k2022-03-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045230.042774-5.43%0.03542-21.69%0.1392✓0.723.4M2022-03-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0276790.026246-5.18%0.019693-28.85%0.1992✓1.29102k2022-03-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.276.8938-5.17%5.36-26.27%0.2269✓0.361.7M2022-03-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005790.005493-5.14%0.00345-40.41%0.3268✓2.0218.8M2022-03-15
LUNATerraTerra 251.8949.4919-4.62%88.57+70.69%0.6795✗1.437.4M2022-03-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16110.153656-4.62%0.1451-9.93%0.0145✓1.05470k2022-03-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum58.0855.4868-4.46%46.86-19.32%0.0839✓1.258.8M2022-03-15
DIADIAEthereum0.950.908569-4.36%0.89-6.32%0.0476✗1.00274k2022-03-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011930.011418-4.29%0.01106-7.29%0.0735✗1.541.7M2022-03-15
BTTCBTTC0.000002120.000002029-4.27%0.00000176-16.98%0.0742✓1.0014.2M2022-03-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.85385.6069-4.22%5.905+0.87%0.0734✗0.32430k2022-03-15
ORCAOrcaSolana3.062.931-4.22%2.01-34.31%0.3089✓1.00946k2022-03-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.28120.269367-4.21%0.2536-9.82%0.0164✓1.12538k2022-03-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.1314.4993-4.17%12.6-16.72%0.0678✓1.06483k2022-03-15
MANADecentralandEthereum2.82312.7124-3.92%2.2729-19.49%0.1070✓1.022.8M2022-03-15
HIVEHivenative1.0721.0305-3.87%0.8341-22.19%0.1103✓1.481.9M2022-03-15
ADACardanoCardano1.04311.0029-3.86%0.7992-23.38%0.1498✓1.13115.7M2022-03-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030110.000028964-3.81%0.00002162-28.20%0.1956✓1.421.8M2022-03-15
CBKCobakEthereum2.3882.2983-3.76%2.106-11.81%0.0135✓1.0822k2022-03-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,074.9940,500.99-3.74%39,298.10-6.60%0.0381✗1.00642.7M2022-03-15
XVGVergenative0.010990.010583-3.70%0.00872-20.66%0.0979✓1.401.2M2022-03-15
QNTQuantEthereum121.97117.4995-3.67%110.23-9.63%0.0065✓1.037.8M2022-03-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.061.0212-3.66%0.92-13.21%0.0081✓1.41655k2022-03-15
XMRMoneroMonero174.01167.6655-3.65%183.37+5.38%0.1611✗1.051.2M2022-03-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.910.876858-3.64%0.59-35.16%0.2623✓1.961.0M2022-03-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14750.142181-3.61%0.1195-18.98%0.0804✓1.373.2M2022-03-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075340.072626-3.60%0.07211-4.29%0.0446✗0.7684k2022-03-15
FIDABonfidaSolana2.4372.3492-3.60%1.596-34.51%0.3183✓1.0079k2022-03-15
XLMStellarStellar0.2103110.202756-3.59%0.182627-13.16%0.0332✓1.0523.0M2022-03-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487270.143404-3.58%0.112562-24.32%0.1712✓1.047.0M2022-03-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.61.5435-3.53%1.481-7.44%0.0386✗1.171.9M2022-03-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3790.365655-3.52%0.462+21.90%0.3272✗1.372.3M2022-03-15
XTZTezosTezos3.85463.7204-3.48%2.9767-22.78%0.1334✓1.312.4M2022-03-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.89670.86553-3.48%0.7163-20.12%0.1123✓1.1326.7M2022-03-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum21.9307-3.46%1.71-14.50%0.0314✓1.322.2M2022-03-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.5619.849-3.46%16.81-18.24%0.0832✓1.2210.5M2022-03-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7371.6776-3.42%1.325-23.72%0.1461✓1.321.1M2022-03-15
BANDBandEthereum4.063.9214-3.41%3.446-15.12%0.0437✓1.251.9M2022-03-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.76753.6414-3.35%3.6207-3.90%0.0603✗0.972.2M2022-03-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3873.2756-3.29%3.559+5.08%0.1444✗0.90502k2022-03-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0214690.020764-3.28%0.01617-24.68%0.1661✓1.232.4M2022-03-15
QTUMQtumQtum6.51066.2972-3.28%5.721-12.13%0.0029✓1.45145k2022-03-15
DASHDashDash102.0398.704-3.26%95.14-6.75%0.0414✗1.142.0M2022-03-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0840.081286-3.23%0.0682-18.81%0.0912✓1.24195k2022-03-15
DODODODOEthereum0.4990.482948-3.22%0.377-24.45%0.1476✓1.474.5M2022-03-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.3820.7005-3.18%18.7-12.54%0.0053✓1.57375k2022-03-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.615.1047-3.18%13.7-12.18%0.0151✓1.2170.2M2022-03-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095180.092162-3.17%0.09171-3.65%0.0693✗1.0951k2022-03-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,091.2040,767.38-3.15%39,353.60-6.50%0.0311✓0.9742k2022-03-15
XEMNEMnative0.110.106583-3.11%0.0945-14.09%0.0474✓1.0737k2022-03-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.9775.5936-3.05%69.83-10.44%0.0136✓1.3698.5M2022-03-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.91.8421-3.05%1.02-46.32%0.5101✓1.191.4M2022-03-15
AAVEAaveEthereum158.29153.5799-2.98%122.06-22.89%0.1334✓1.418.6M2022-03-15
XECeCashnative0.000081770.00007936-2.95%0.00007953-2.74%0.0810✗1.155.5M2022-03-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.531.564-2.88%25.82-20.55%0.1282✓1.064.9M2022-03-15
COMPCompoundEthereum124.43120.8575-2.87%104.05-16.38%0.0618✓1.2954k2022-03-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03120.030326-2.80%0.02395-23.24%0.1365✓1.46485k2022-03-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7518.233-2.76%17.81-5.01%0.0701✗1.3734.9M2022-03-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47863.3827-2.76%3.8873+11.75%0.2161✗1.132.5M2022-03-15
UMAUMAEthereum6.015.8471-2.71%7.638+27.09%0.3380✗1.041.9M2022-03-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0710.7703-2.71%11.22+1.36%0.0904✗0.72660k2022-03-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.474.3517-2.65%3.937-11.92%0.0158✓1.242.6M2022-03-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.68034.559-2.59%4.0264-13.97%0.0402✓1.23355k2022-03-15
XYMSymbolnative0.16860.164248-2.58%0.1317-21.89%0.1717✓0.72388k2022-03-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV92.5290.135-2.58%75.84-18.03%0.1109✓0.901.2M2022-03-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62960.613451-2.57%0.3755-40.36%0.3847✓1.55723k2022-03-15
UOSUltraEthereum1.010.984149-2.56%1.1206+10.96%0.2118✗1.202.3M2022-03-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013620.013279-2.50%0.01185-13.00%0.0599✓0.7913k2022-03-15
KSMKusamaHydration163.53159.4895-2.47%125.47-23.27%0.1569✓1.22930k2022-03-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0433190.04225-2.47%0.03917-9.58%0.0090✓1.247.4M2022-03-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7542.6866-2.45%5.359+94.59%0.7829✗1.351.0M2022-03-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08660.084537-2.38%0.0653-24.60%0.1631✓1.39608k2022-03-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.72791.687-2.37%2.019+16.84%0.2563✗1.1269k2022-03-15
ZENHorizenBase40.1639.2078-2.37%35.93-10.53%0.0200✓1.57400k2022-03-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.84840.828376-2.36%0.7031-17.13%0.0903✓1.0812.4M2022-03-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27710.2706-2.35%0.2348-15.27%0.0677✓1.091.6M2022-03-15
MOVRMoonriverBase82.667780.7348-2.34%49.271-40.40%0.3940✓1.46315k2022-03-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.8617.4557-2.26%12.77-28.50%0.2630✓0.731.1M2022-03-15
ZECZcashZcash117.13114.5206-2.23%136.27+16.34%0.2605✗1.277.2M2022-03-15
IMXImmutableEthereum2.292.2406-2.16%1.511-34.02%0.3275✓0.973.0M2022-03-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.26880.263007-2.16%0.1917-28.68%0.2097✓1.564.2M2022-03-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.609390.596262-2.15%0.490642-19.49%0.1148✓1.173.5M2022-03-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.661.6251-2.10%1.354-18.43%0.0961✓1.271.4M2022-03-15
UNIUniswapEthereum10.3510.1331-2.10%8.72-15.75%0.0585✓1.3412.5M2022-03-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.636.492-2.08%6.86+3.47%0.1167✗0.90416k2022-03-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.664.566-2.02%4.452-4.46%0.0328✗0.85369k2022-03-15
STORJStorjEthereum1.13341.1105-2.01%1-11.77%0.0326✓1.06239k2022-03-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.20090.196871-2.01%0.1914-4.73%0.0689✗1.423.7M2022-03-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.042590.041745-1.98%0.04009-5.87%0.0372✗1.1430k2022-03-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.10250.100468-1.98%0.0863-15.80%0.0442✓1.581.2M2022-03-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2441.2195-1.97%1.134-8.84%0.0135✓1.263.2M2022-03-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.030050.029467-1.94%0.02452-18.40%0.1242✓0.876.2M2022-03-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin125.67123.2402-1.93%106.94-14.90%0.0538✓1.2934.8M2022-03-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.881.8445-1.89%1.199-36.22%0.3359✓1.392.9M2022-03-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.1427.6103-1.88%27.1-3.70%0.0476✗0.971.1M2022-03-15
RADRadworksEthereum5.455.3476-1.88%4.34-20.37%0.1347✓1.08701k2022-03-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.4430.434691-1.88%0.3117-29.64%0.2296✓1.512.0M2022-03-15
ETHEthereumEthereum2,872.842,819.26-1.87%2,619.15-8.83%0.0035✓1.13572.6M2022-03-15
KCSKuCoinnative19.12618.7721-1.85%18.08-5.47%0.0558✗1.3710.2M2022-03-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.496.3731-1.80%7.92+22.03%0.2750✗0.84441k2022-03-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.80760.793212-1.78%0.78447-2.86%0.0922✗1.51299k2022-03-15
GITCOINGITCOIN7.2727.143-1.77%5.363-26.25%0.2626✓0.3538k2022-03-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.030660.030121-1.76%0.01762-42.53%0.4602✓1.119.8M2022-03-15
SOLSolanaSolana92.9291.3057-1.74%82.85-10.84%0.0106✓1.27179.7M2022-03-15
SCSiacoinnative0.010360.010182-1.72%0.00867-16.31%0.0900✓1.04489k2022-03-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40620.399416-1.67%0.4259+4.85%0.1557✗1.348.7M2022-03-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8216.5391-1.67%13.34-20.69%0.0956✓1.753.7M2022-03-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.171870.169035-1.65%0.14361-16.44%0.0517✓1.6336k2022-03-15
NANOnanopayBase2.11442.0798-1.64%1.7127-19.00%0.1106✓1.22486k2022-03-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.91510.900527-1.59%0.6774-25.98%0.1794✓1.54637k2022-03-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9035.8137-1.51%4.941-16.30%0.1026✓0.8872k2022-03-15
MINAMina Protocolnative2.372.335-1.48%1.64-30.80%0.2646✓1.30383k2022-03-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2910.286759-1.46%0.221-24.05%0.1959✓0.9577k2022-03-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.55.4206-1.44%6.53+18.73%0.2417✗0.81398k2022-03-15
GTGateEthereum6.77266.6816-1.34%6.305-6.90%0.0030✓0.894.0M2022-03-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07140.070444-1.34%0.07459+4.47%0.1337✗1.1217k2022-03-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7470.737268-1.30%0.611-18.21%0.1122✓1.111.6M2022-03-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.53450.528453-1.13%0.7126+33.32%0.3891✗1.322.4M2022-03-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash333.81330.1885-1.08%289.44-13.29%0.0616✓1.038.9M2022-03-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.895.8283-1.05%3.81-35.31%0.3498✓1.10599k2022-03-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.522.4945-1.01%2.19-13.10%0.0595✓1.04415k2022-03-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1393.1087-0.97%3.233+2.99%0.0954✗0.82215k2022-03-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.417.3448-0.88%5.85-21.05%0.2072✓0.301.2M2022-03-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.8625.6852-0.68%23.06-10.83%0.0031✓1.532.0M2022-03-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.880.875792-0.48%0.771-12.39%0.0327✓1.392.4M2022-03-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052670.052553-0.22%0.04553-13.56%0.0470✓1.411.2M2022-03-15
XVSVenusEthereum8.78.7117+0.13%8.49-2.41%0.0647✓1.332.8M2022-03-15
TRXTRONTron0.0645880.064747+0.25%0.060553-6.25%0.0041✗0.92344k2022-03-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.