8=======>

2022-02-12 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1527
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.7%
in alpha space · 86.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.09%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.29391.1305-12.63%0.7046-45.54%0.4165✓0.901.8M2022-03-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,131.8520,612.33-10.89%18,523.08-19.92%0.0468✓0.967.8M2022-03-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.9044.3726-10.84%2.368-51.71%0.5556✓0.92909k2022-03-14
PROPropyEthereum2.221.9897-10.38%1.43-35.59%0.2052✓1.991.1M2022-03-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45440.412772-9.16%0.3117-31.40%0.1684✓1.7932.6M2022-03-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.872.6385-8.07%1.952-31.99%0.2121✓1.4219.1M2022-03-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06820.06318-7.36%0.0558-18.18%0.0145✓1.7557.0M2022-03-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.5273.2828-6.92%2.033-42.36%0.4237✓0.8830k2022-03-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.0718.6884-6.88%16.18-19.38%0.0708✓1.1725.0M2022-03-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0158970.014811-6.83%0.01177-25.96%0.1563✓1.17630k2022-03-14
SUSHISushiEthereum4.153.8735-6.66%2.9-30.12%0.2024✓1.398.0M2022-03-14
STXStacksnative1.521.4194-6.62%1.28-15.79%0.0406✓1.001.1M2022-03-14
CELLCellframeEthereum1.24711.1686-6.29%1.4082+12.92%0.2862✗1.59119k2022-03-14
API3Api3Ethereum4.073.8149-6.27%4.765+17.08%0.2435✗0.341.8M2022-03-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.60150.564715-6.12%0.3874-35.59%0.2577✓1.901.8M2022-03-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84221.73-6.09%2.9+57.42%0.5552✗0.622.9M2022-03-14
FTTFTXEthereum44.1841.6041-5.83%41.47-6.13%0.0710✗1.1832.3M2022-03-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.047410.044694-5.73%0.03625-23.54%0.1639✓0.724.4M2022-03-14
AVTAventusEthereum2.72.5511-5.51%2.3-14.81%0.0408✓1.00779k2022-03-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57850.547711-5.32%0.4889-15.49%0.0473✓1.061.1M2022-03-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.10987-5.28%0.104-10.34%0.0079✓1.0072k2022-03-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.787.3709-5.26%5.44-30.08%0.2804✓0.371.7M2022-03-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0286320.027134-5.23%0.021474-25.00%0.1529✓1.29111k2022-03-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.0725.6572-5.22%26.83-0.89%0.1162✗1.1471.8M2022-03-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006160.005847-5.08%0.00363-41.07%0.3497✓2.0218.8M2022-03-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.9396.5976-4.92%4.522-34.83%0.3133✓1.03407k2022-03-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16720.159159-4.81%0.1527-8.67%0.0244✓1.05470k2022-03-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012760.012198-4.40%0.01143-10.42%0.0321✓1.551.7M2022-03-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum59.1856.5763-4.40%47.89-19.08%0.0891✓1.248.8M2022-03-14
BTTCBTTC0.000002170.000002075-4.38%0.00000175-19.35%0.1075✓1.0014.3M2022-03-14
DIADIAEthereum0.960.918744-4.30%0.89-7.29%0.0310✓1.00277k2022-03-14
QNTQuantEthereum133.7128.1488-4.15%113.5-15.11%0.0576✓1.027.8M2022-03-14
LUNATerraTerra 251.9649.8355-4.09%94.79+82.43%0.7326✗1.437.4M2022-03-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.0744-4.07%0.942-15.89%0.0435✓1.40655k2022-03-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.28520.273727-4.02%0.2584-9.40%0.0123✓1.11538k2022-03-14
ORCAOrcaSolana3.032.9088-4.00%2-33.99%0.3118✓1.001.4M2022-03-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.1614.5782-3.84%12.66-16.49%0.0742✓1.06535k2022-03-14
MANADecentralandEthereum2.91152.8029-3.73%2.3068-20.77%0.1314✓1.012.8M2022-03-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09560.092062-3.70%0.0663-30.65%0.2408✓1.39585k2022-03-14
XVGVergenative0.011490.011071-3.65%0.00916-20.28%0.1015✓1.401.2M2022-03-14
ADACardanoCardano1.05961.0211-3.63%0.8028-24.24%0.1700✓1.12115.7M2022-03-14
XLMStellarStellar0.2182180.210412-3.58%0.180075-17.48%0.0905✓1.0424.2M2022-03-14
BANDBandEthereum4.274.1182-3.55%3.366-21.17%0.1234✓1.251.9M2022-03-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.5421.7464-3.52%18.64-17.30%0.0552✓1.58383k2022-03-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1442810.139216-3.51%0.113913-21.05%0.1355✓1.047.0M2022-03-14
HIVEHivenative1.0521.0152-3.50%0.8427-19.90%0.0942✓1.471.9M2022-03-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,244.9740,785.48-3.45%39,674.17-6.09%0.0352✓1.00642.7M2022-03-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3123.1977-3.45%4.071+22.92%0.2977✗0.90502k2022-03-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8121.7497-3.44%1.327-26.77%0.1942✓1.311.1M2022-03-14
DASHDashDash104.19100.6123-3.43%98.24-5.71%0.0478✗1.142.1M2022-03-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.940.907759-3.43%0.58-38.30%0.3248✓1.961.1M2022-03-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94465.7416-3.41%5.8951-0.83%0.0459✗0.31447k2022-03-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002920.000028206-3.40%0.00002203-24.55%0.1581✓1.421.8M2022-03-14
XTZTezosTezos4.1093.9693-3.40%3.0001-26.99%0.1978✓1.312.4M2022-03-14
QTUMQtumQtum6.73896.5116-3.37%5.7568-14.57%0.0324✓1.45145k2022-03-14
CBKCobakEthereum2.3542.2752-3.35%2.098-10.88%0.0139✓1.0722k2022-03-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.184960.17884-3.31%0.1444-21.93%0.1120✓1.6240k2022-03-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.370.357785-3.30%0.421+13.78%0.2486✗1.372.1M2022-03-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.91880.888502-3.30%0.7063-23.13%0.1585✓1.1327.1M2022-03-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076090.073632-3.23%0.0694-8.79%0.0119✓0.7586k2022-03-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0218880.021188-3.20%0.01619-26.03%0.1921✓1.232.4M2022-03-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.8620.1954-3.19%17.46-16.30%0.0694✓1.2110.8M2022-03-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,568.0041,213.98-3.18%39,373.20-7.51%0.0152✓0.9741k2022-03-14
XMRMoneroMonero173.82168.3141-3.17%185.79+6.89%0.1646✗1.051.3M2022-03-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093770.090822-3.14%0.09014-3.87%0.0595✗1.0750k2022-03-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.9715.4753-3.10%13.41-16.03%0.0671✓1.2172.0M2022-03-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.021.9575-3.09%1.69-16.34%0.0648✓1.312.2M2022-03-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.3478.8422-3.07%68.98-15.20%0.0484✓1.3698.5M2022-03-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.79743.6814-3.06%3.6677-3.42%0.0569✗0.972.2M2022-03-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0310.6942-3.04%11.32+2.63%0.1019✗0.72660k2022-03-14
XEMNEMnative0.10860.105338-3.00%0.0947-12.80%0.0400✓1.0636k2022-03-14
UMAUMAEthereum6.326.1318-2.98%7.574+19.84%0.2726✗0.981.9M2022-03-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.894.7448-2.97%3.965-18.92%0.1019✓1.242.6M2022-03-14
FIDABonfidaSolana2.4042.3333-2.94%1.61-33.03%0.3083✓1.0068k2022-03-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08570.08319-2.93%0.0683-20.30%0.1195✓1.24201k2022-03-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7864.6495-2.85%4.541-5.12%0.0292✗0.84348k2022-03-14
DODODODOEthereum0.5140.499475-2.83%0.369-28.21%0.2114✓1.464.9M2022-03-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6181.5725-2.81%1.459-9.83%0.0020✓1.161.9M2022-03-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13930.135542-2.70%0.1186-14.86%0.0486✓1.353.2M2022-03-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.921.8685-2.68%1.04-45.83%0.5114✓1.191.4M2022-03-14
AAVEAaveEthereum162.52158.1809-2.67%118.38-27.16%0.2013✓1.419.3M2022-03-14
XYMSymbolnative0.17360.169031-2.63%0.1322-23.85%0.2007✓0.72406k2022-03-14
XECeCashnative0.00008230.000080144-2.62%0.00007592-7.75%0.0188✓1.165.6M2022-03-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03220.031362-2.60%0.0228-29.19%0.2266✓1.47490k2022-03-14
MOVRMoonriverBase85.843983.6111-2.60%46.9295-45.33%0.4871✓1.44315k2022-03-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.65010.633513-2.55%0.3858-40.66%0.3985✓1.55743k2022-03-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.8218.3478-2.51%17.69-6.00%0.0494✗1.3736.1M2022-03-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.50793.4207-2.49%4.315+23.01%0.3027✗1.122.5M2022-03-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.1191.7985-2.46%75.63-19.64%0.1370✓0.901.3M2022-03-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.6730.9078-2.41%25.92-18.16%0.1093✓1.064.9M2022-03-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.79894.6852-2.37%4.0362-15.89%0.0715✓1.24399k2022-03-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3380.330027-2.36%0.228-32.54%0.3105✓0.9476k2022-03-14
KSMKusamaHydration166.09162.1962-2.34%120.47-27.47%0.2208✓1.22930k2022-03-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.1929.5015-2.28%27.37-9.34%0.0146✓0.96830k2022-03-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.87440.854478-2.28%0.7121-18.56%0.1153✓1.0712.7M2022-03-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013620.013312-2.26%0.01174-13.80%0.0765✓0.7813k2022-03-14
UOSUltraEthereum1.04431.0207-2.26%1.1348+8.66%0.1821✗1.212.3M2022-03-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.762.6985-2.23%5.312+92.46%0.7623✗1.351.1M2022-03-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6176180.604213-2.17%0.490244-20.62%0.1352✓1.183.5M2022-03-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0442880.043344-2.13%0.039855-10.01%0.0072✓1.228.4M2022-03-14
RADRadworksEthereum5.345.2267-2.12%4.39-17.79%0.1086✓1.05682k2022-03-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.28380.2778-2.11%0.1945-31.47%0.2584✓1.564.2M2022-03-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.77251.7353-2.10%2.0564+16.02%0.2399✗1.1273k2022-03-14
COMPCompoundEthereum127.26124.6027-2.09%99.59-21.74%0.1433✓1.2959k2022-03-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana18.0517.6783-2.06%13.26-26.54%0.2427✓0.71984k2022-03-14
ZECZcashZcash117.83115.5039-1.97%149.64+27.00%0.3386✗1.277.2M2022-03-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25140.246491-1.95%0.2384-5.17%0.0353✗1.091.6M2022-03-14
ZENHorizenBase40.8940.0949-1.94%38.54-5.75%0.0587✗1.57420k2022-03-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.676.5407-1.94%6.85+2.70%0.1024✗0.90406k2022-03-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.042350.041536-1.92%0.03912-7.63%0.0109✓1.1330k2022-03-14
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6410.4361-1.92%8.48-20.30%0.1235✓1.3412.5M2022-03-14
IMXImmutableEthereum2.32.256-1.91%1.651-28.22%0.2511✓0.972.9M2022-03-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07170.070347-1.89%0.06877-4.09%0.0467✗1.1017k2022-03-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.691.6587-1.85%1.336-20.95%0.1371✓1.261.4M2022-03-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2671.2437-1.84%1.144-9.71%0.0048✓1.253.2M2022-03-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.20640.202614-1.83%0.1955-5.28%0.0534✗1.423.7M2022-03-14
GITCOINGITCOIN7.7817.6395-1.82%5.436-30.14%0.3181✓0.3538k2022-03-14
STORJStorjEthereum1.15411.1334-1.80%0.9939-13.88%0.0657✓1.05239k2022-03-14
SCSiacoinnative0.010680.010489-1.79%0.00877-17.88%0.1145✓1.03514k2022-03-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin126.78124.5192-1.78%105.58-16.72%0.0837✓1.3035.7M2022-03-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.10350.101667-1.77%0.0894-13.62%0.0295✓1.581.2M2022-03-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.911.8775-1.70%1.236-35.29%0.3309✓1.392.9M2022-03-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.46.2913-1.70%8.06+25.94%0.2999✗0.83428k2022-03-14
ETHEthereumEthereum2,919.992,870.47-1.70%2,590.23-11.29%0.0321✓1.13572.6M2022-03-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.46040.452681-1.68%0.3223-30.00%0.2450✓1.512.0M2022-03-14
NANOnanopayBase2.17812.1426-1.63%1.7056-21.69%0.1527✓1.20547k2022-03-14
KCSKuCoinnative19.11118.8012-1.62%18.087-5.36%0.0454✗1.3410.4M2022-03-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.031250.030764-1.56%0.02467-21.06%0.1662✓0.876.4M2022-03-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41910.412724-1.52%0.3655-12.79%0.0373✓1.348.7M2022-03-14
SOLSolanaSolana95.9594.4998-1.51%81.24-15.33%0.0722✓1.26179.7M2022-03-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.0416.7831-1.51%13.52-20.66%0.1065✓1.753.8M2022-03-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.033810.033358-1.34%0.01958-42.09%0.4620✓1.139.7M2022-03-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7450.735924-1.22%0.622-16.51%0.0990✓1.101.6M2022-03-14
GTGateEthereum6.7586.6771-1.20%6.346-6.10%0.0060✓0.904.0M2022-03-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.485.4154-1.18%6.81+24.27%0.2790✗0.79377k2022-03-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5620.555632-1.13%0.6427+14.36%0.2287✗1.322.5M2022-03-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.806940.797824-1.13%0.72186-10.54%0.0057✓1.50311k2022-03-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.94010.929559-1.12%0.6963-25.93%0.1921✓1.54672k2022-03-14
MINAMina Protocolnative2.52.4738-1.05%1.67-33.20%0.3112✓1.30390k2022-03-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.4928.1961-1.03%23.42-17.80%0.0902✓1.522.0M2022-03-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.937.8485-1.03%5.85-26.23%0.2748✓0.301.1M2022-03-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.985.922-0.97%3.73-37.63%0.3922✓1.12645k2022-03-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1623.1323-0.94%3.453+9.20%0.1485✗0.81212k2022-03-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash330.64327.6956-0.89%289.43-12.46%0.0599✓1.028.9M2022-03-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.562.5398-0.79%2.18-14.84%0.0880✓1.03431k2022-03-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9165.8744-0.70%4.77-19.37%0.1523✓0.8972k2022-03-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056010.055657-0.63%0.04611-17.68%0.0990✓1.421.2M2022-03-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9420.938895-0.33%0.768-18.47%0.1142✓1.382.4M2022-03-14
XVSVenusEthereum8.989.013+0.37%8.49-5.46%0.0225✓1.312.8M2022-03-14
TRXTRONTron0.0634730.063839+0.58%0.060064-5.37%0.0045✓0.90351k2022-03-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.