8=======>

2022-02-08 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1738
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.80%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.0%
in alpha space · 87.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.55%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.8315.0149-14.00%2.532-56.58%0.5719✓1.001.0M2022-03-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.35041.1725-13.17%0.7483-44.59%0.3376✓1.002.1M2022-03-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.85560.747194-12.67%0.4126-51.78%0.3879✓1.851.8M2022-03-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,530.1322,921.15-10.22%19,059.42-25.35%0.0793✓0.9411.8M2022-03-10
PROPropyEthereum2.232.0171-9.55%1.6-28.25%0.1202✓1.001.7M2022-03-10
SUSHISushiEthereum4.654.2258-9.12%2.98-35.91%0.1972✓1.368.3M2022-03-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0342710.031173-9.04%0.015274-55.43%0.5737✓1.25114k2022-03-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum7.57986.9525-8.28%5.8363-23.00%0.1409✓0.31389k2022-03-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.423.1671-7.39%2.046-40.18%0.2821✓1.3920.8M2022-03-10
CELLCellframeEthereum1.3191.2267-7.00%1.4191+7.59%0.3174✗1.54106k2022-03-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07990.074586-6.65%0.0588-26.41%0.0528✓1.6627.8M2022-03-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91811.7958-6.38%2.7676+44.29%0.5010✗0.612.9M2022-03-10
STXStacksnative1.691.5848-6.23%1.51-10.65%0.0632✓1.001.2M2022-03-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.658.1265-6.05%5.7-34.10%0.3167✓0.341.6M2022-03-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.0221.6729-5.85%16.62-27.80%0.1373✓1.1526.9M2022-03-10
FTTFTXEthereum46.3943.6814-5.84%40.75-12.16%0.0605✗1.1733.0M2022-03-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007240.006817-5.84%0.00366-49.45%0.3994✓2.0020.0M2022-03-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.54420.512645-5.80%0.3311-39.16%0.2363✓1.8040.2M2022-03-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.67113.4613-5.72%2.155-41.30%0.3762✓0.8827k2022-03-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59930.566607-5.46%0.5014-16.34%0.0030✓1.071.3M2022-03-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046280.043847-5.26%0.04023-13.07%0.0254✓1.005.0M2022-03-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015360.014576-5.10%0.01209-21.29%0.0203✓1.491.7M2022-03-10
API3Api3Ethereum3.853.6574-5.00%5.224+35.69%0.3922✗0.321.5M2022-03-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6327.2532-4.96%4.75-37.76%0.3116✓1.00460k2022-03-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030970.000029455-4.89%0.00002262-26.96%0.1088✓1.391.4M2022-03-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.4228.9417-4.86%28.05-7.79%0.0925✗1.1198.1M2022-03-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.224560.213856-4.77%0.15896-29.21%0.1196✓1.5936k2022-03-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.117233-4.69%0.107-13.01%0.0202✓1.0081k2022-03-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0168890.016141-4.43%0.011453-32.19%0.2120✓1.182.0M2022-03-10
MANADecentralandEthereum3.46883.3188-4.32%2.3707-31.66%0.2275✓0.982.8M2022-03-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.051.0048-4.30%0.61-41.90%0.2834✓1.931.0M2022-03-10
QNTQuantEthereum147.49141.3374-4.17%116.66-20.90%0.0803✓1.007.8M2022-03-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.31390.301252-4.03%0.2624-16.41%0.0143✓1.11538k2022-03-10
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0186-3.91%0.91-14.15%0.0012✓1.00287k2022-03-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.9924.9771-3.90%18.43-29.09%0.1288✓1.57405k2022-03-10
XTZTezosTezos4.39274.2368-3.55%3.0579-30.39%0.1797✓1.312.3M2022-03-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.417.7514-3.52%13.18-28.37%0.1652✓1.1976.9M2022-03-10
FIDABonfidaSolana2.1662.0898-3.52%1.676-22.62%0.1091✓1.0066k2022-03-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.112.0367-3.47%1.33-36.97%0.2830✓1.281.3M2022-03-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.3386-3.46%4.473-19.11%0.0414✓1.222.7M2022-03-10
MOVRMoonriverBase101.761698.241-3.46%51.3064-49.58%0.4916✓1.42320k2022-03-10
BTTCBTTC0.000002250.000002174-3.36%0.00000181-19.56%0.0719✓1.0015.3M2022-03-10
XLMStellarStellar0.2423940.234389-3.30%0.178633-26.30%0.1573✓1.0324.9M2022-03-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.191.1508-3.30%0.979-17.73%0.0138✓1.33523k2022-03-10
DASHDashDash112.75109.0588-3.27%104.65-7.18%0.0851✗1.132.3M2022-03-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum66.7964.6083-3.27%46.78-29.96%0.1872✓1.228.1M2022-03-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.1515.6259-3.25%12.75-21.05%0.0866✓1.05604k2022-03-10
ADACardanoCardano1.17641.1389-3.19%0.807-31.40%0.2209✓1.11113.2M2022-03-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,085.5942,738.92-3.05%39,433.71-10.55%0.0310✓1.00682.8M2022-03-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.4583.8468-3.01%73.95-14.46%0.0244✓1.3587.1M2022-03-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.2316.7146-2.99%13.72-20.37%0.1195✓0.70919k2022-03-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08650.083967-2.93%0.0684-20.92%0.0509✓1.38548k2022-03-10
HIVEHivenative1.17891.1448-2.89%0.928-21.28%0.0470✓1.461.9M2022-03-10
XECeCashnative0.000094440.000091735-2.86%0.00008054-14.72%0.0029✓1.145.5M2022-03-10
BANDBandEthereum3.963.8467-2.86%3.473-12.30%0.0383✗1.261.9M2022-03-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.623.8998-2.85%17.9-27.24%0.1561✓1.1910.5M2022-03-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.75150.730177-2.84%0.4164-44.59%0.3908✓1.53969k2022-03-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.02390.994868-2.84%0.7308-28.63%0.1861✓1.1029.4M2022-03-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.51943.4197-2.83%2.8703-18.44%0.0690✓0.952.0M2022-03-10
XVGVergenative0.011840.011509-2.80%0.00985-16.81%0.0044✓1.361.3M2022-03-10
UOSUltraEthereum1.26931.2341-2.78%1.1927-6.04%0.0980✗1.182.3M2022-03-10
LUNATerraTerra 257.2255.6359-2.77%101.21+76.88%0.7551✗1.418.8M2022-03-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.923820.898246-2.77%0.68631-25.71%0.1043✓1.48311k2022-03-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.049120.047761-2.77%0.040695-17.15%0.0291✓1.178.8M2022-03-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3710.360892-2.72%0.266-28.30%0.1545✓1.351.8M2022-03-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.102190.099501-2.63%0.08882-13.08%0.0040✓1.0549k2022-03-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.15830.154145-2.62%0.116797-26.22%0.1629✓1.037.1M2022-03-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.192.1335-2.58%1.67-23.74%0.1004✓1.302.2M2022-03-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.6821.1331-2.52%16.97-21.73%0.0690✓1.3539.2M2022-03-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.086060.08394-2.46%0.07709-10.42%0.0006✓0.7689k2022-03-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.4710.2194-2.39%10.26-2.01%0.0819✗0.70660k2022-03-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.98720.963589-2.39%0.732-25.85%0.1588✓1.0413.5M2022-03-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.12430.1214-2.33%0.0821-33.95%0.2176✓1.561.5M2022-03-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7911.7494-2.32%1.536-14.24%0.0021✓1.151.6M2022-03-10
QTUMQtumQtum7.07856.917-2.28%6.006-15.15%0.0198✓1.44179k2022-03-10
GITCOINGITCOIN8.6538.4564-2.27%5.737-33.70%0.3524✓0.3238k2022-03-10
XEMNEMnative0.11630.113661-2.27%0.0965-17.02%0.0474✓1.0435k2022-03-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16380.160087-2.27%0.1518-7.33%0.0631✗1.04362k2022-03-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.0631.335-2.26%26.7-16.72%0.0424✓1.064.0M2022-03-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8472.7829-2.25%3.236+13.66%0.3000✗1.341.1M2022-03-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV101.4499.2108-2.20%78.54-22.57%0.1329✓0.901.5M2022-03-10
MINAMina Protocolnative32.9347-2.18%1.79-40.33%0.3513✓1.28407k2022-03-10
CBKCobakEthereum2.5612.5054-2.17%2.141-16.40%0.0397✓1.0522k2022-03-10
ZENHorizenBase47.6246.6017-2.14%42.28-11.21%0.0747✗1.54504k2022-03-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13350.130706-2.09%0.1198-10.26%0.0657✗1.373.2M2022-03-10
AAVEAaveEthereum184.15180.3957-2.04%119.26-35.24%0.2585✓1.399.8M2022-03-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09190.090055-2.01%0.068-26.01%0.1437✓1.23244k2022-03-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.51593.4459-1.99%2.8775-18.16%0.0586✓1.092.5M2022-03-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6413.5691-1.97%2.69-26.12%0.1856✓0.87536k2022-03-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.30650.300472-1.97%0.2025-33.93%0.2224✓1.544.1M2022-03-10
XMRMoneroMonero179175.5785-1.91%178.98-0.01%0.1348✗1.041.6M2022-03-10
STORJStorjEthereum1.3441.319-1.86%1.0319-23.22%0.1307✓1.03292k2022-03-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.2155.1185-1.85%4.2989-17.57%0.0381✓1.22442k2022-03-10
UMAUMAEthereum6.516.3898-1.85%7.407+13.78%0.2574✗0.981.9M2022-03-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.262.219-1.82%1.201-46.86%0.4606✓1.373.3M2022-03-10
XYMSymbolnative0.18580.18246-1.80%0.1369-26.32%0.2078✓0.71423k2022-03-10
DODODODOEthereum0.5570.54761-1.69%0.386-30.70%0.1901✓1.434.6M2022-03-10
ZECZcashZcash133.12130.9125-1.66%157.3+18.16%0.3254✗1.276.6M2022-03-10
KSMKusamaHydration192.41189.3608-1.58%126.53-34.24%0.2686✓1.211.0M2022-03-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6818040.671079-1.57%0.503035-26.22%0.1603✓1.153.5M2022-03-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013150.012944-1.56%0.01203-8.52%0.0153✓0.7912k2022-03-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28150.277178-1.54%0.2216-21.28%0.1038✓1.081.7M2022-03-10
KCSKuCoinnative20.23719.9268-1.53%18.083-10.64%0.0524✗1.3410.5M2022-03-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4221.4006-1.50%1.175-17.37%0.0375✓1.243.4M2022-03-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.252.2163-1.50%1.12-50.22%0.5509✓1.181.7M2022-03-10
ETHEthereumEthereum3,119.573,074.06-1.46%2,608.22-16.39%0.0409✓1.11557.7M2022-03-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045330.044678-1.44%0.03918-13.57%0.0071✓1.1130k2022-03-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07860.077484-1.42%0.0702-10.69%0.0224✗1.0921k2022-03-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin133.82131.9214-1.42%102.58-23.34%0.1067✓1.3032.4M2022-03-10
COMPCompoundEthereum147.97145.8996-1.40%103.46-30.08%0.2013✓1.2865k2022-03-10
SOLSolanaSolana113.58112.0008-1.39%82.92-26.99%0.1627✓1.24182.7M2022-03-10
RADRadworksEthereum6.136.0469-1.36%4.46-27.24%0.1884✓1.04867k2022-03-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.861.8351-1.34%1.374-26.13%0.1501✓1.251.6M2022-03-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03440.033951-1.31%0.02397-30.32%0.1804✓1.50490k2022-03-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0223050.022016-1.30%0.01703-23.65%0.1219✓1.212.5M2022-03-10
LRCLoopringEthereum1.07911.0652-1.29%0.7156-33.69%0.2257✓1.54680k2022-03-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5784.5195-1.28%4.112-10.18%0.0021✓0.83346k2022-03-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.22580.223151-1.17%0.1964-13.02%0.0270✗1.393.7M2022-03-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.03140.03104-1.15%0.02578-17.90%0.0862✓0.897.0M2022-03-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.836.7528-1.13%6.06-11.27%0.0106✓0.88416k2022-03-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum30.8230.5009-1.04%24.22-21.41%0.0642✓1.492.0M2022-03-10
NANOnanopayBase2.35892.3346-1.03%1.6882-28.43%0.1921✓1.18845k2022-03-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.52880.523415-1.02%0.2987-43.51%0.3949✓1.492.2M2022-03-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.956.8808-1.00%7.54+8.49%0.1813✗0.81463k2022-03-10
SCSiacoinnative0.011760.011644-0.98%0.00902-23.30%0.1433✓1.00588k2022-03-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.297.2198-0.96%6.04-17.15%0.1426✓0.321.1M2022-03-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.47410.46988-0.89%0.3255-31.34%0.2206✓1.319.3M2022-03-10
UNIUniswapEthereum11.9511.8442-0.88%8.68-27.36%0.1640✓1.3212.9M2022-03-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,914.5042,563.80-0.82%39,505.90-7.94%0.0328✗0.9641k2022-03-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.0826.8639-0.80%27.97+3.29%0.1476✗0.96543k2022-03-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.059080.05869-0.66%0.0474-19.77%0.0541✓1.431.3M2022-03-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.86821.8565-0.63%2.1814+16.76%0.2833✗1.0978k2022-03-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62640.623273-0.50%0.6973+11.32%0.2591✗1.322.7M2022-03-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.782.7671-0.46%2.2-20.86%0.1161✓1.02504k2022-03-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.635.6067-0.41%5.2-7.64%0.0112✗0.78377k2022-03-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.040010.03985-0.40%0.01693-57.69%0.7317✓1.119.1M2022-03-10
GTGateEthereum6.81116.791-0.30%6.3304-7.06%0.0290✗0.894.1M2022-03-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.816.7937-0.24%4.08-40.09%0.3875✓1.10789k2022-03-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.120.0576-0.21%14-30.35%0.1679✓1.723.8M2022-03-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2830.282609-0.14%0.23-18.73%0.0996✓0.9576k2022-03-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2613.2616+0.02%2.591-20.55%0.1402✗0.81206k2022-03-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8090.809433+0.05%0.618-23.61%0.1484✗1.091.7M2022-03-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.6926.6994+0.11%4.672-30.19%0.2598✗0.9081k2022-03-10
IMXImmutableEthereum2.782.7848+0.17%1.512-45.61%0.5078✗0.922.6M2022-03-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash335.57336.4349+0.26%289.59-13.70%0.0367✗1.027.9M2022-03-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0451.0493+0.41%0.827-20.86%0.0856✗1.372.3M2022-03-10
TRXTRONTron0.0680590.068732+0.99%0.059896-11.99%0.0377✗0.90362k2022-03-10
XVSVenusEthereum9.729.8829+1.68%8.5-12.55%0.0068✓1.292.5M2022-03-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.