8=======>

2022-02-05 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2308
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.4%
in alpha space · 87.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.7694.817-16.50%2.56-55.62%0.5462✓1.001.2M2022-03-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.28631.1004-14.45%0.73-43.25%0.3244✓1.002.7M2022-03-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,186.7721,684.18-13.91%18,376.27-27.04%0.0873✓0.9112.4M2022-03-07
SUSHISushiEthereum4.684.1274-11.81%2.88-38.46%0.2449✓1.348.4M2022-03-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10890.096287-11.58%0.0544-50.05%0.4098✓1.8726.7M2022-03-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0395270.035167-11.03%0.017437-55.89%0.5915✓1.28120k2022-03-07
PROPropyEthereum2.221.9759-10.99%1.59-28.38%0.1313✓1.002.3M2022-03-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.423.1042-9.23%1.98-42.11%0.3309✓1.3821.3M2022-03-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.2620.2456-9.05%16.42-26.24%0.1124✓1.1326.9M2022-03-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.52020.474387-8.81%0.3173-39.00%0.2506✓1.7642.5M2022-03-07
STXStacksnative1.581.4505-8.19%1.04-34.18%0.2467✓1.001.3M2022-03-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.0541.8877-8.09%2.469+20.20%0.3248✗0.663.5M2022-03-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.61860.573357-7.31%0.4925-20.38%0.0582✓1.091.5M2022-03-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.157.5802-6.99%5.62-31.04%0.2696✓0.341.6M2022-03-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1280.119235-6.85%0.1-21.87%0.0900✓1.00102k2022-03-07
FTTFTXEthereum46.1643.1773-6.46%39.76-13.86%0.0165✓1.1534.0M2022-03-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.050510.047404-6.15%0.03434-32.01%0.2364✓1.005.3M2022-03-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.7628.9859-5.77%28.29-8.03%0.0716✗1.12109.3M2022-03-07
DIADIAEthereum1.010.95381-5.56%0.93-7.92%0.0607✗1.00333k2022-03-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0164330.015521-5.55%0.011201-31.84%0.2274✓1.152.6M2022-03-07
BTTCBTTC0.000002260.000002148-4.95%0.00000177-21.68%0.1076✓1.0015.3M2022-03-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.765.4808-4.85%3.62-37.15%0.3117✓1.203.0M2022-03-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.5146.1987-4.84%4.783-26.57%0.1760✓0.97341k2022-03-07
XEMNEMnative0.11290.107442-4.83%0.0935-17.18%0.0549✓0.9837k2022-03-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.31480.30004-4.69%0.2527-19.73%0.0789✓1.08554k2022-03-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.77270.737289-4.58%0.4144-46.37%0.4534✓1.431.1M2022-03-07
AAVEAaveEthereum166.2158.6518-4.54%116.88-29.68%0.1887✓1.3610.9M2022-03-07
API3Api3Ethereum3.573.4082-4.53%5.302+48.52%0.4668✗0.291.5M2022-03-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.925290.883915-4.47%0.63315-31.57%0.1944✓1.62350k2022-03-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.211.1563-4.44%0.976-19.34%0.0595✓1.28490k2022-03-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.8715.1705-4.41%17.31+9.07%0.1859✗0.63908k2022-03-07
MANADecentralandEthereum3.01452.8857-4.27%2.3622-21.64%0.1236✓0.892.8M2022-03-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.7717.0246-4.19%12.7-28.53%0.1923✓1.1777.2M2022-03-07
LUNATerraTerra 255.3953.105-4.13%77.85+40.55%0.5043✗1.428.8M2022-03-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.48813.3474-4.03%1.9115-45.20%0.4881✓0.8426k2022-03-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.314.6937-3.96%12.47-18.50%0.0812✓0.96663k2022-03-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.172.0844-3.94%1.7-21.66%0.0933✓1.292.2M2022-03-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9211.8465-3.88%1.307-31.96%0.2426✓1.201.2M2022-03-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1470260.14141-3.82%0.116934-20.47%0.1028✓1.017.1M2022-03-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95490.918722-3.79%1.3125+37.45%0.4804✗1.4499k2022-03-07
QNTQuantEthereum132.93127.947-3.75%110.5-16.87%0.0687✓0.917.6M2022-03-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.205310.197625-3.74%0.14835-27.74%0.1573✓1.5132k2022-03-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.5622.4664-3.73%2.085-18.62%0.0819✓1.0022k2022-03-07
ADACardanoCardano1.12551.0836-3.73%0.7932-29.52%0.2171✓1.10110.9M2022-03-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03680.035434-3.71%0.0248-32.61%0.2234✓1.55490k2022-03-07
XVGVergenative0.011220.010813-3.62%0.00883-21.30%0.0939✓1.261.4M2022-03-07
BANDBandEthereum3.93.7592-3.61%3.496-10.36%0.0359✓1.262.1M2022-03-07
FIDABonfidaSolana2.242.16-3.57%1.725-22.99%0.1389✓1.0067k2022-03-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.3520.5938-3.54%16.4-23.19%0.1134✓1.3343.5M2022-03-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.9721.2035-3.49%17.82-18.89%0.0758✓1.1410.4M2022-03-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.00210.96727-3.48%0.7277-27.38%0.1893✓1.1129.4M2022-03-07
MINAMina Protocolnative2.92.7996-3.46%1.84-36.55%0.3189✓1.17441k2022-03-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum56.854.8344-3.46%46.15-18.75%0.0771✓1.117.8M2022-03-07
XTZTezosTezos3.94233.8063-3.45%2.9274-25.74%0.1522✓1.282.4M2022-03-07
XLMStellarStellar0.2132220.205915-3.43%0.169685-20.42%0.1082✓0.9924.9M2022-03-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44210.426997-3.42%0.4075-7.83%0.0934✗1.631.8M2022-03-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.4521.6883-3.39%18.4-18.04%0.0311✓1.55411k2022-03-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5191.4679-3.36%1.085-28.57%0.1965✓1.233.4M2022-03-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,404.8540,019.72-3.35%37,994.00-8.24%0.0340✗1.00648.0M2022-03-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3540.34219-3.34%0.268-24.29%0.1341✓1.281.7M2022-03-07
DASHDashDash103.6100.1544-3.33%85.9-17.08%0.0558✓1.142.8M2022-03-07
HIVEHivenative1.1661.1278-3.28%0.8412-27.86%0.1720✓1.411.9M2022-03-07
UMAUMAEthereum6.46.1916-3.26%7.8+21.88%0.3161✗0.991.9M2022-03-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.101070.097817-3.22%0.08764-13.29%0.0242✓1.0047k2022-03-07
XMRMoneroMonero168.71163.2873-3.21%157.95-6.38%0.0537✗1.011.7M2022-03-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7611.7048-3.19%1.435-18.51%0.0770✓1.111.6M2022-03-07
QTUMQtumQtum6.92816.708-3.18%5.712-17.55%0.0388✓1.42174k2022-03-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.11810.114363-3.16%0.0802-32.09%0.2285✓1.471.6M2022-03-07
XYMSymbolnative0.18550.179655-3.15%0.1333-28.14%0.2392✓0.69423k2022-03-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12930.12524-3.14%0.1105-14.54%0.0150✓1.283.3M2022-03-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011130.010781-3.14%0.01182+6.20%0.2032✗1.291.7M2022-03-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.19.7857-3.11%10.23+1.29%0.1047✗0.70660k2022-03-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013530.013111-3.10%0.012-11.31%0.0121✓0.8913k2022-03-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.31020.300665-3.07%0.1993-35.75%0.2783✓1.554.1M2022-03-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15510.150335-3.07%0.1422-8.32%0.0336✗1.04337k2022-03-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.22663.129-3.03%2.8817-10.69%0.0018✓0.942.0M2022-03-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.63.4932-2.97%2.878-20.06%0.1262✓0.79678k2022-03-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.0850.08248-2.96%0.06777-20.27%0.1317✓0.7584k2022-03-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08690.084361-2.92%0.0657-24.40%0.1489✓1.18244k2022-03-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.022060.021419-2.91%0.01691-23.35%0.1458✓1.052.7M2022-03-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.32211.2841-2.88%0.89059-32.64%0.2811✓0.99333k2022-03-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0690.067022-2.87%0.0672-2.61%0.1083✗1.23540k2022-03-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV96.7393.9715-2.85%76.42-21.00%0.1285✓0.911.6M2022-03-07
ZENHorizenBase45.6144.3116-2.85%33.73-26.05%0.1400✓1.55568k2022-03-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.212.1472-2.84%1.243-43.76%0.4283✓1.383.5M2022-03-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.13811.1059-2.83%1.1872+4.32%0.1726✗1.182.3M2022-03-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34043.246-2.83%2.8397-14.99%0.0444✓1.042.6M2022-03-07
XECeCashnative0.00008390.000081545-2.81%0.0000689-17.88%0.0736✓1.105.5M2022-03-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.0974.9727-2.75%71.75-6.93%0.0687✗1.3187.1M2022-03-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.94910.923178-2.73%0.694-26.88%0.1967✓1.0314.2M2022-03-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7282.6539-2.72%3.353+22.91%0.3480✗1.33911k2022-03-07
KSMKusamaHydration185.88180.842-2.71%120.6-35.12%0.3084✓1.121.0M2022-03-07
MOVRMoonriverBase85.820583.5014-2.70%52.8584-38.41%0.3416✓1.35320k2022-03-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.312.2482-2.67%1.13-51.08%0.5852✓1.202.3M2022-03-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.12034.9835-2.67%3.6598-28.52%0.2030✓1.23406k2022-03-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,460.8040,357.87-2.66%37,523.40-9.50%0.0108✓0.9740k2022-03-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07630.074273-2.66%0.0671-12.06%0.0102✓1.0621k2022-03-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.791.7449-2.52%1.274-28.83%0.2099✓1.221.8M2022-03-07
GITCOINGITCOIN8.1667.9623-2.49%5.615-31.24%0.3211✓0.3340k2022-03-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.4228.7177-2.39%26.15-11.11%0.0052✓1.033.8M2022-03-07
DODODODOEthereum0.5330.520309-2.38%0.381-28.52%0.1937✓1.374.6M2022-03-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044650.043611-2.33%0.03834-14.13%0.0361✓1.0828k2022-03-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2650.258999-2.26%0.231-12.83%0.0359✓0.9163k2022-03-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.514.4154-2.10%4.234-6.12%0.0262✗0.79351k2022-03-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.031040.03039-2.09%0.02497-19.56%0.1261✓0.827.6M2022-03-07
KCSKuCoinnative19.68619.2896-2.01%17.761-9.78%0.0378✗1.4010.5M2022-03-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3527.7957-1.96%28.16-0.67%0.0961✗0.97513k2022-03-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26270.257621-1.93%0.2184-16.86%0.0707✓1.101.7M2022-03-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006740.006611-1.92%0.00392-41.84%0.3485✓2.0320.1M2022-03-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022540.000022109-1.91%0.00002279+1.11%0.1396✗1.271.3M2022-03-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.526.3967-1.89%5.93-9.05%0.0049✓0.82478k2022-03-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.79414.7063-1.83%5.3807+12.24%0.1556✗0.25376k2022-03-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.058880.057803-1.83%0.04852-17.60%0.0629✓1.301.5M2022-03-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0403820.039666-1.77%0.041733+3.35%0.1584✗1.258.4M2022-03-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.8129.2823-1.77%22.43-24.76%0.1285✓1.612.1M2022-03-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.3468-1.75%7.76+20.12%0.2656✗0.75463k2022-03-07
COMPCompoundEthereum136.68134.2985-1.74%98.5-27.93%0.2042✓1.2354k2022-03-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.770.756596-1.74%0.6-22.08%0.0715✓1.87996k2022-03-07
SOLSolanaSolana113.8111.8635-1.70%81.66-28.24%0.2123✓1.19187.6M2022-03-07
ETHEthereumEthereum3,014.502,963.53-1.69%2,491.58-17.35%0.0797✓1.09557.7M2022-03-07
SCSiacoinnative0.011540.011347-1.68%0.00866-24.96%0.1830✓1.01572k2022-03-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.44810.440658-1.66%0.3298-26.40%0.1805✓1.279.4M2022-03-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96820.952347-1.64%0.7051-27.17%0.1595✓1.64725k2022-03-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2313.1806-1.56%2.706-16.25%0.0955✓0.77212k2022-03-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.1273-1.56%6.17-14.78%0.1176✓0.311.1M2022-03-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.3865-1.53%5.01-8.41%0.0107✓0.72377k2022-03-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin121.8119.9521-1.52%98.35-19.25%0.0869✓1.3031.3M2022-03-07
NANOnanopayBase2.19332.16-1.51%1.6162-26.31%0.1910✓1.15845k2022-03-07
RADRadworksEthereum5.485.3978-1.50%4.4-19.71%0.1193✓0.99875k2022-03-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.20880.205827-1.42%0.1942-6.99%0.0531✗1.293.6M2022-03-07
ZECZcashZcash116.08114.4305-1.42%109.5-5.67%0.0628✗1.246.6M2022-03-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.49320.486196-1.42%0.3195-35.22%0.3024✓1.372.0M2022-03-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.0419.7562-1.42%13.71-31.59%0.2166✓1.733.8M2022-03-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.80141.7765-1.38%1.8793+4.32%0.1484✗1.0776k2022-03-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.662.6235-1.37%2.11-20.68%0.1327✓0.99579k2022-03-07
GTGateEthereum7.02346.9276-1.36%6.77-3.61%0.0489✗0.844.1M2022-03-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6526750.643846-1.35%0.472233-27.65%0.2121✓1.143.5M2022-03-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.676.5883-1.22%3.97-40.48%0.4221✓0.98818k2022-03-07
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2711.1322-1.22%8.31-26.26%0.1825✓1.2812.5M2022-03-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59950.593069-1.07%0.6711+11.94%0.2327✗1.272.7M2022-03-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04050.040093-1.01%0.01158-71.41%1.1534✓1.039.0M2022-03-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7780.771839-0.79%0.649-16.58%0.0842✓1.041.6M2022-03-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0596.0152-0.72%4.618-23.78%0.1934✓0.8391k2022-03-07
IMXImmutableEthereum2.892.8767-0.46%1.585-45.16%0.5146✓0.952.2M2022-03-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash320.74320.0493-0.22%273.86-14.62%0.0685✓1.027.6M2022-03-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9760.976763+0.08%0.762-21.93%0.1328✗1.342.3M2022-03-07
TRXTRONTron0.0647620.06508+0.49%0.058556-9.58%0.0284✗0.90379k2022-03-07
XVSVenusEthereum8.678.7722+1.18%8.37-3.46%0.0596✓1.242.3M2022-03-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.