2022-02-01 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1643

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+9.98%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.1%

in alpha space · 69.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+9.68%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.13	8.2195	+1.10%	9.34	+14.88%	0.0051	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-03-03
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059831	0.059922	+0.15%	0.060032	+0.34%	0.0843	✗	0.93	411k	2022-03-03
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	287.95	288.2895	+0.12%	315.29	+9.49%	0.0072	✗	1.05	6.8M	2022-03-03
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.932	0.925914	-0.65%	0.852	-8.58%	0.2107	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-03-03
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00684	0.006784	-0.82%	0.00456	-33.33%	0.6123	✓	2.33	23.2M	2022-03-03
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	98.97	98.0396	-0.94%	129.17	+30.51%	0.1504	✗	1.36	6.6M	2022-03-03
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.958	5.9016	-0.95%	5.231	-12.20%	0.1993	✓	0.85	118k	2022-03-03
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.11	10.9892	-1.09%	9.55	-14.04%	0.2657	✓	1.36	12.9M	2022-03-03
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1518	2.1277	-1.12%	1.868	-13.19%	0.2448	✓	1.24	888k	2022-03-03
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.756	0.747126	-1.17%	0.714	-5.56%	0.1443	✓	1.07	1.8M	2022-03-03
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1885	0.186126	-1.26%	0.1971	+4.56%	0.0668	✓	1.34	3.7M	2022-03-03
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0446	0.044003	-1.34%	0.01525	-65.81%	1.1622	✓	1.11	9.1M	2022-03-03
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.582133	0.574301	-1.35%	0.534619	-8.16%	0.1845	✓	1.22	3.3M	2022-03-03
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.6	5.5242	-1.35%	5.51	-1.61%	0.0997	✓	1.05	1.0M	2022-03-03
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.565	0.557217	-1.38%	0.8058	+42.62%	0.2453	✗	1.34	2.7M	2022-03-03
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.67	26.2987	-1.39%	25.18	-5.59%	0.1966	✓	1.66	2.6M	2022-03-03
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	115.11	113.3951	-1.49%	111.69	-2.97%	0.1403	✓	1.35	33.8M	2022-03-03
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	19.38	19.0839	-1.53%	14.3	-26.21%	0.4588	✓	1.84	3.9M	2022-03-03
SOL	Solana	Solana	110.1	108.361	-1.58%	95.61	-13.16%	0.2358	✓	1.20	181.0M	2022-03-03
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,789.66	2,745.49	-1.58%	2,833.66	+1.58%	0.0709	✓	1.11	560.6M	2022-03-03
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.9364	6.8257	-1.60%	6.7949	-2.04%	0.0922	✓	0.95	4.3M	2022-03-03
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.687942	-1.72%	0.72	+2.86%	0.1278	✓	1.88	1.1M	2022-03-03
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01011	0.009934	-1.74%	0.00902	-10.78%	0.1928	✓	1.04	565k	2022-03-03
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.53	2.4825	-1.88%	2.38	-5.93%	0.1361	✓	1.02	697k	2022-03-03
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6048	1.5745	-1.89%	2.1075	+31.33%	0.1883	✗	1.12	82k	2022-03-03
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.27	6.1509	-1.90%	4.42	-29.51%	0.4178	✓	0.95	835k	2022-03-03
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.66	6.5321	-1.92%	6.42	-3.60%	0.0385	✓	0.23	1.1M	2022-03-03
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.496	18.1368	-1.94%	19.526	+5.57%	0.0671	✓	1.52	10.6M	2022-03-03
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05811	0.056945	-2.01%	0.05073	-12.70%	0.2475	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-03-03
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04034	0.039513	-2.05%	0.03967	-1.66%	0.0994	✓	1.12	29k	2022-03-03
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.2091	3.1432	-2.05%	2.2899	-28.64%	0.4004	✓	0.91	23k	2022-03-03
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4393	0.430227	-2.07%	0.3647	-16.98%	0.2869	✓	1.32	10.0M	2022-03-03
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2456	0.240436	-2.10%	0.249	+1.38%	0.0733	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-03-03
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.03834	0.03752	-2.14%	0.046937	+22.42%	0.1086	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-03-03
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002176	0.000021288	-2.17%	0.00002507	+15.21%	0.0329	✗	1.41	1.6M	2022-03-03
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.052	7.8765	-2.18%	6.363	-20.98%	0.2359	✓	0.24	41k	2022-03-03
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9652	0.944096	-2.19%	0.7864	-18.52%	0.3516	✓	1.83	852k	2022-03-03
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1512	1.1258	-2.20%	1.0476	-9.00%	0.1662	✓	1.02	346k	2022-03-03
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.24	6.1026	-2.20%	7.63	+22.28%	0.1499	✗	0.80	504k	2022-03-03
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4737	0.463211	-2.21%	0.381	-19.57%	0.3248	✓	1.40	2.2M	2022-03-03
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.2589	4.1641	-2.23%	5.6206	+31.97%	0.3000	✗	-0.00	375k	2022-03-03
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.8	26.202	-2.23%	30.25	+12.87%	0.0426	✗	1.09	3.3M	2022-03-03
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	128.16	125.2863	-2.24%	116.89	-8.79%	0.1910	✓	1.32	59k	2022-03-03
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.37	5.2491	-2.25%	5.38	+0.19%	0.0435	✓	0.74	429k	2022-03-03
ZEN	Horizen	Base	39.21	38.3207	-2.27%	38.18	-2.63%	0.1535	✓	1.62	626k	2022-03-03
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.03	1.9827	-2.33%	1.545	-23.89%	0.3908	✓	1.53	4.2M	2022-03-03
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	170.69	166.6142	-2.39%	131.9	-22.73%	0.3432	✓	1.19	1.3M	2022-03-03
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.062	0.060514	-2.40%	0.0725	+16.94%	0.0593	✗	1.31	556k	2022-03-03
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	104.95	102.4255	-2.41%	127.04	+21.05%	0.1173	✗	1.06	7.5M	2022-03-03
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.316	1.2843	-2.41%	1.174	-10.79%	0.2062	✓	1.26	3.5M	2022-03-03
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.28	6.124	-2.48%	6.33	+0.80%	0.0473	✓	0.87	529k	2022-03-03
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	76.2874	74.3828	-2.50%	66.5878	-12.71%	0.2285	✓	1.27	383k	2022-03-03
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20659	0.201381	-2.52%	0.16147	-21.84%	0.3709	✓	1.62	25k	2022-03-03
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.255	0.248565	-2.52%	0.273	+7.06%	0.0053	✓	0.96	67k	2022-03-03
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	73.37	71.4937	-2.56%	78.49	+6.98%	0.0311	✓	1.35	87.3M	2022-03-03
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03008	0.029304	-2.58%	0.02753	-8.48%	0.1459	✓	0.90	8.7M	2022-03-03
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.32	142.3515	-2.71%	172.04	+17.58%	0.0953	✗	1.02	1.8M	2022-03-03
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.125	3.039	-2.75%	2.882	-7.78%	0.1283	✓	0.81	299k	2022-03-03
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8391	0.815951	-2.76%	0.7596	-9.47%	0.1757	✓	1.13	16.8M	2022-03-03
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.228	4.1098	-2.80%	4.418	+4.49%	0.0026	✓	0.81	351k	2022-03-03
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00957	0.009302	-2.80%	0.01199	+25.29%	0.1339	✗	1.30	2.1M	2022-03-03
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.0406	-2.83%	1.24	-40.95%	0.6415	✓	1.55	2.3M	2022-03-03
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07836	0.076088	-2.90%	0.06983	-10.89%	0.1533	✓	0.73	80k	2022-03-03
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9549	0.92683	-2.94%	0.9796	+2.59%	0.0862	✓	1.53	1.9M	2022-03-03
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3087	0.299616	-2.94%	0.2283	-26.04%	0.4212	✓	1.62	4.2M	2022-03-03
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007722	0.000074943	-2.95%	0.00007449	-3.54%	0.1103	✓	1.13	5.7M	2022-03-03
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08902	0.086383	-2.96%	0.09337	+4.89%	0.0231	✓	1.09	46k	2022-03-03
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.7	1.6491	-3.00%	1.437	-15.47%	0.2576	✓	1.30	2.1M	2022-03-03
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.318088	-3.02%	0.295	-10.06%	0.2016	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-03-03
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.88	2.793	-3.02%	1.46	-49.31%	0.7936	✓	1.57	2.2M	2022-03-03
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.69	88.9053	-3.04%	83.45	-8.99%	0.1509	✓	0.95	1.6M	2022-03-03
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.683	2.6008	-3.06%	2.873	+7.08%	0.0416	✓	1.53	986k	2022-03-03
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0658	0.063783	-3.07%	0.0725	+10.18%	0.0257	✓	1.11	21k	2022-03-03
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.488	0.472987	-3.08%	0.448	-8.20%	0.1961	✓	1.54	4.7M	2022-03-03
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0959	2.9998	-3.10%	2.95	-4.71%	0.1135	✓	1.05	2.0M	2022-03-03
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	53.47	51.7977	-3.13%	53.31	-0.30%	0.0788	✓	1.16	8.0M	2022-03-03
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,716.88	37,489.68	-3.17%	42,464.41	+9.68%	0.0322	✗	1.00	717.4M	2022-03-03
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.58	18.957	-3.18%	18.03	-7.92%	0.1794	✓	1.40	48.3M	2022-03-03
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.47	24.6565	-3.19%	30.05	+17.98%	0.1256	✗	0.78	462k	2022-03-03
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0822	0.079552	-3.22%	0.072	-12.41%	0.2141	✓	1.24	299k	2022-03-03
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1425	0.137796	-3.30%	0.1559	+9.40%	0.0322	✓	0.99	337k	2022-03-03
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.979	5.7807	-3.32%	5.584	-6.61%	0.1311	✓	1.04	341k	2022-03-03
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.46	13.9784	-3.33%	16.42	+13.55%	0.0962	✗	0.70	841k	2022-03-03
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.23	93.9575	-3.37%	96.75	-0.49%	0.0799	✓	1.18	2.9M	2022-03-03
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,691.90	37,389.18	-3.37%	42,572.60	+10.03%	0.0360	✗	1.02	51k	2022-03-03
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.372	-3.38%	3.962	+13.52%	0.0439	✗	1.27	2.5M	2022-03-03
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.8991	4.7325	-3.40%	4.2636	-12.97%	0.2200	✓	1.25	406k	2022-03-03
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6803	2.5885	-3.42%	2.6368	-1.62%	0.0709	✓	0.97	3.1M	2022-03-03
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1161	0.112093	-3.45%	0.1221	+5.17%	0.0374	✓	1.33	3.8M	2022-03-03
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1868	3.0759	-3.48%	2.9519	-7.37%	0.1454	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-03-03
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.202028	0.194959	-3.50%	0.187901	-6.99%	0.1329	✓	1.04	26.2M	2022-03-03
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.65	2.5572	-3.50%	2.04	-23.02%	0.3385	✓	1.22	577k	2022-03-03
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.967	0.933101	-3.51%	0.7967	-17.61%	0.2669	✓	1.18	34.5M	2022-03-03
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17	16.3991	-3.53%	14.89	-12.41%	0.2089	✓	1.22	88.8M	2022-03-03
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01283	0.012375	-3.54%	0.01236	-3.66%	0.0835	✓	0.89	13k	2022-03-03
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1475	1.1064	-3.58%	1.4091	+22.80%	0.1282	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-03-03
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.247	2.1663	-3.59%	2.212	-1.56%	0.0797	✓	1.09	22k	2022-03-03
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1797	5.9569	-3.61%	6.3922	+3.44%	0.0646	✓	1.46	174k	2022-03-03
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2826	0.272372	-3.62%	0.2824	-0.07%	0.0702	✓	1.15	557k	2022-03-03
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.98	5.7632	-3.63%	9.598	+60.50%	0.4097	✗	1.09	2.1M	2022-03-03
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.525	1.4694	-3.64%	1.523	-0.13%	0.0757	✓	1.21	1.6M	2022-03-03
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.337	3.2148	-3.66%	2.941	-11.87%	0.1681	✓	0.86	819k	2022-03-03
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.72	9.3637	-3.67%	10.07	+3.60%	0.0029	✓	0.76	744k	2022-03-03
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020954	0.020172	-3.73%	0.01877	-10.42%	0.1663	✓	1.02	3.0M	2022-03-03
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1189	0.114417	-3.77%	0.095	-20.10%	0.3243	✓	1.50	1.7M	2022-03-03
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.66	14.1068	-3.77%	13.32	-9.14%	0.1487	✓	0.99	795k	2022-03-03
XVG	Verge	native	0.01018	0.009796	-3.78%	0.01001	-1.67%	0.1018	✓	1.34	1.6M	2022-03-03
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.94	20.1357	-3.84%	19.77	-5.59%	0.1651	✓	1.59	465k	2022-03-03
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7231	0.695197	-3.86%	0.4943	-31.64%	0.4852	✓	1.56	1.2M	2022-03-03
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.837	1.766	-3.87%	1.479	-19.49%	0.2919	✓	1.24	1.4M	2022-03-03
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0965	1.0535	-3.93%	0.9021	-17.73%	0.2612	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-03-03
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.98	1.902	-3.94%	1.85	-6.57%	0.1483	✓	1.31	2.5M	2022-03-03
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1825	0.1753	-3.94%	0.146	-20.00%	0.2455	✓	0.68	472k	2022-03-03
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8834	0.848425	-3.96%	1.6497	+86.74%	0.5246	✗	1.52	103k	2022-03-03
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.4284	-3.97%	7.315	+104.90%	0.7393	✗	0.20	1.4M	2022-03-03
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.92	20.0894	-3.97%	20.13	-3.78%	0.1101	✓	1.21	12.4M	2022-03-03
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015173	0.014564	-4.02%	0.011953	-21.22%	0.3061	✓	1.18	2.7M	2022-03-03
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.7479	3.5949	-4.08%	3.3937	-9.45%	0.1875	✓	1.41	2.5M	2022-03-03
XEM	NEM	native	0.104	0.099741	-4.10%	0.1029	-1.06%	0.0630	✓	1.02	43k	2022-03-03
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.142489	0.13665	-4.10%	0.129579	-9.06%	0.1515	✓	1.07	7.1M	2022-03-03
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	52.21	49.7785	-4.66%	90.56	+73.45%	0.4423	✗	1.69	8.8M	2022-03-03
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0358	0.034077	-4.81%	0.0283	-20.95%	0.3217	✓	1.47	540k	2022-03-03
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.84367	0.802894	-4.83%	0.7113	-15.69%	0.2812	✓	1.73	458k	2022-03-03
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	164.05	156.051	-4.88%	129.96	-20.78%	0.3123	✓	1.40	12.5M	2022-03-03
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.37	5.1066	-4.90%	3.808	-29.09%	0.4132	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-03-03
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04829	0.045758	-5.24%	0.03435	-28.87%	0.3792	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-03-03
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	28.86	27.0504	-6.27%	34.01	+17.84%	0.1223	✗	1.15	120.6M	2022-03-03
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.2	42.1468	-6.75%	44.86	-0.75%	0.0519	✓	1.24	39.5M	2022-03-03
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.46	3.2218	-6.88%	2.508	-27.51%	0.3852	✓	1.46	24.0M	2022-03-03
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4327	0.402477	-6.98%	0.4722	+9.13%	0.0121	✓	1.60	2.0M	2022-03-03
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.17	1.0838	-7.37%	1.176	+0.51%	0.0637	✓	1.57	490k	2022-03-03
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.06	7.4497	-7.57%	6.34	-21.34%	0.1876	✓	0.29	1.8M	2022-03-03
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8742	1.7318	-7.60%	2.773	+47.96%	0.4038	✗	0.73	3.1M	2022-03-03
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5575	0.513033	-7.98%	0.5501	-1.33%	0.0385	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-03-03
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5296	0.48698	-8.05%	0.3687	-30.38%	0.4520	✓	1.88	48.9M	2022-03-03
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.35	3.9536	-9.11%	3.3	-24.14%	0.3101	✓	1.40	8.9M	2022-03-03
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.133	0.120587	-9.33%	0.118	-11.28%	0.1141	✓	1.00	133k	2022-03-03
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.042617	0.038539	-9.57%	0.020258	-52.46%	0.7798	✓	1.48	163k	2022-03-03
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.15	18.2039	-9.66%	19.97	-0.89%	0.0254	✓	1.28	34.3M	2022-03-03
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.23	2.0086	-9.93%	1.92	-13.90%	0.1375	✓	1.00	3.1M	2022-03-03
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0861	0.077391	-10.12%	0.0637	-26.02%	0.4340	✓	2.59	25.7M	2022-03-03
STX	Stacks	native	1.5	1.348	-10.13%	1.21	-19.33%	0.2004	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-03
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.365	4.7819	-10.87%	3.084	-42.52%	0.5310	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-03
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2044	1.0629	-11.75%	0.865	-28.18%	0.2984	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-03-03
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,472.18	21,604.85	-15.18%	21,698.86	-14.81%	0.0830	✓	0.95	15.1M	2022-03-03

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.