8=======>

2022-02-01 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1643
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.98%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.1%
in alpha space · 69.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,472.1821,604.85-15.18%21,698.86-14.81%0.0830✓0.9515.1M2022-03-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20441.0629-11.75%0.865-28.18%0.2984✓1.003.0M2022-03-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.3654.7819-10.87%3.084-42.52%0.5310✓1.001.4M2022-03-03
STXStacksnative1.51.348-10.13%1.21-19.33%0.2004✓1.001.8M2022-03-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08610.077391-10.12%0.0637-26.02%0.4340✓2.5925.7M2022-03-03
PROPropyEthereum2.232.0086-9.93%1.92-13.90%0.1375✓1.003.1M2022-03-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1518.2039-9.66%19.97-0.89%0.0254✓1.2834.3M2022-03-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0426170.038539-9.57%0.020258-52.46%0.7798✓1.48163k2022-03-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1330.120587-9.33%0.118-11.28%0.1141✓1.00133k2022-03-03
SUSHISushiEthereum4.353.9536-9.11%3.3-24.14%0.3101✓1.408.9M2022-03-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.52960.48698-8.05%0.3687-30.38%0.4520✓1.8848.9M2022-03-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55750.513033-7.98%0.5501-1.33%0.0385✓1.171.8M2022-03-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.87421.7318-7.60%2.773+47.96%0.4038✗0.733.1M2022-03-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.067.4497-7.57%6.34-21.34%0.1876✓0.291.8M2022-03-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.171.0838-7.37%1.176+0.51%0.0637✓1.57490k2022-03-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43270.402477-6.98%0.4722+9.13%0.0121✓1.602.0M2022-03-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.463.2218-6.88%2.508-27.51%0.3852✓1.4624.0M2022-03-03
FTTFTXEthereum45.242.1468-6.75%44.86-0.75%0.0519✓1.2439.5M2022-03-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.8627.0504-6.27%34.01+17.84%0.1223✗1.15120.6M2022-03-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.048290.045758-5.24%0.03435-28.87%0.3792✓1.005.4M2022-03-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.375.1066-4.90%3.808-29.09%0.4132✓1.303.0M2022-03-03
AAVEAaveEthereum164.05156.051-4.88%129.96-20.78%0.3123✓1.4012.5M2022-03-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.843670.802894-4.83%0.7113-15.69%0.2812✓1.73458k2022-03-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03580.034077-4.81%0.0283-20.95%0.3217✓1.47540k2022-03-03
LUNATerraTerra 252.2149.7785-4.66%90.56+73.45%0.4423✗1.698.8M2022-03-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1424890.13665-4.10%0.129579-9.06%0.1515✓1.077.1M2022-03-03
XEMNEMnative0.1040.099741-4.10%0.1029-1.06%0.0630✓1.0243k2022-03-03
XTZTezosTezos3.74793.5949-4.08%3.3937-9.45%0.1875✓1.412.5M2022-03-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0151730.014564-4.02%0.011953-21.22%0.3061✓1.182.7M2022-03-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.9220.0894-3.97%20.13-3.78%0.1101✓1.2112.4M2022-03-03
API3Api3Ethereum3.573.4284-3.97%7.315+104.90%0.7393✗0.201.4M2022-03-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88340.848425-3.96%1.6497+86.74%0.5246✗1.52103k2022-03-03
XYMSymbolnative0.18250.1753-3.94%0.146-20.00%0.2455✓0.68472k2022-03-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.981.902-3.94%1.85-6.57%0.1483✓1.312.5M2022-03-03
ADACardanoCardano1.09651.0535-3.93%0.9021-17.73%0.2612✓1.15113.2M2022-03-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8371.766-3.87%1.479-19.49%0.2919✓1.241.4M2022-03-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.72310.695197-3.86%0.4943-31.64%0.4852✓1.561.2M2022-03-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.9420.1357-3.84%19.77-5.59%0.1651✓1.59465k2022-03-03
XVGVergenative0.010180.009796-3.78%0.01001-1.67%0.1018✓1.341.6M2022-03-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.6614.1068-3.77%13.32-9.14%0.1487✓0.99795k2022-03-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.11890.114417-3.77%0.095-20.10%0.3243✓1.501.7M2022-03-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0209540.020172-3.73%0.01877-10.42%0.1663✓1.023.0M2022-03-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.729.3637-3.67%10.07+3.60%0.0029✓0.76744k2022-03-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3373.2148-3.66%2.941-11.87%0.1681✓0.86819k2022-03-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5251.4694-3.64%1.523-0.13%0.0757✓1.211.6M2022-03-03
UMAUMAEthereum5.985.7632-3.63%9.598+60.50%0.4097✗1.092.1M2022-03-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.28260.272372-3.62%0.2824-0.07%0.0702✓1.15557k2022-03-03
QTUMQtumQtum6.17975.9569-3.61%6.3922+3.44%0.0646✓1.46174k2022-03-03
CBKCobakEthereum2.2472.1663-3.59%2.212-1.56%0.0797✓1.0922k2022-03-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.14751.1064-3.58%1.4091+22.80%0.1282✗1.232.4M2022-03-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012830.012375-3.54%0.01236-3.66%0.0835✓0.8913k2022-03-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum1716.3991-3.53%14.89-12.41%0.2089✓1.2288.8M2022-03-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.9670.933101-3.51%0.7967-17.61%0.2669✓1.1834.5M2022-03-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.5572-3.50%2.04-23.02%0.3385✓1.22577k2022-03-03
XLMStellarStellar0.2020280.194959-3.50%0.187901-6.99%0.1329✓1.0426.2M2022-03-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.18683.0759-3.48%2.9519-7.37%0.1454✓1.132.7M2022-03-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11610.112093-3.45%0.1221+5.17%0.0374✓1.333.8M2022-03-03
MANADecentralandEthereum2.68032.5885-3.42%2.6368-1.62%0.0709✓0.973.1M2022-03-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.89914.7325-3.40%4.2636-12.97%0.2200✓1.25406k2022-03-03
BANDBandEthereum3.493.372-3.38%3.962+13.52%0.0439✗1.272.5M2022-03-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,691.9037,389.18-3.37%42,572.60+10.03%0.0360✗1.0251k2022-03-03
DASHDashDash97.2393.9575-3.37%96.75-0.49%0.0799✓1.182.9M2022-03-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4613.9784-3.33%16.42+13.55%0.0962✗0.70841k2022-03-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.9795.7807-3.32%5.584-6.61%0.1311✓1.04341k2022-03-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14250.137796-3.30%0.1559+9.40%0.0322✓0.99337k2022-03-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08220.079552-3.22%0.072-12.41%0.2141✓1.24299k2022-03-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.4724.6565-3.19%30.05+17.98%0.1256✗0.78462k2022-03-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.5818.957-3.18%18.03-7.92%0.1794✓1.4048.3M2022-03-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,716.8837,489.68-3.17%42,464.41+9.68%0.0322✗1.00717.4M2022-03-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.4751.7977-3.13%53.31-0.30%0.0788✓1.168.0M2022-03-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09592.9998-3.10%2.95-4.71%0.1135✓1.052.0M2022-03-03
DODODODOEthereum0.4880.472987-3.08%0.448-8.20%0.1961✓1.544.7M2022-03-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06580.063783-3.07%0.0725+10.18%0.0257✓1.1121k2022-03-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6832.6008-3.06%2.873+7.08%0.0416✓1.53986k2022-03-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV91.6988.9053-3.04%83.45-8.99%0.1509✓0.951.6M2022-03-03
IMXImmutableEthereum2.882.793-3.02%1.46-49.31%0.7936✓1.572.2M2022-03-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3280.318088-3.02%0.295-10.06%0.2016✓1.371.8M2022-03-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.71.6491-3.00%1.437-15.47%0.2576✓1.302.1M2022-03-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089020.086383-2.96%0.09337+4.89%0.0231✓1.0946k2022-03-03
XECeCashnative0.000077220.000074943-2.95%0.00007449-3.54%0.1103✓1.135.7M2022-03-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.30870.299616-2.94%0.2283-26.04%0.4212✓1.624.2M2022-03-03
HIVEHivenative0.95490.92683-2.94%0.9796+2.59%0.0862✓1.531.9M2022-03-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.078360.076088-2.90%0.06983-10.89%0.1533✓0.7380k2022-03-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.12.0406-2.83%1.24-40.95%0.6415✓1.552.3M2022-03-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009570.009302-2.80%0.01199+25.29%0.1339✗1.302.1M2022-03-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2284.1098-2.80%4.418+4.49%0.0026✓0.81351k2022-03-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.83910.815951-2.76%0.7596-9.47%0.1757✓1.1316.8M2022-03-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1253.039-2.75%2.882-7.78%0.1283✓0.81299k2022-03-03
XMRMoneroMonero146.32142.3515-2.71%172.04+17.58%0.0953✗1.021.8M2022-03-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.030080.029304-2.58%0.02753-8.48%0.1459✓0.908.7M2022-03-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche73.3771.4937-2.56%78.49+6.98%0.0311✓1.3587.3M2022-03-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2550.248565-2.52%0.273+7.06%0.0053✓0.9667k2022-03-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.206590.201381-2.52%0.16147-21.84%0.3709✓1.6225k2022-03-03
MOVRMoonriverBase76.287474.3828-2.50%66.5878-12.71%0.2285✓1.27383k2022-03-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.286.124-2.48%6.33+0.80%0.0473✓0.87529k2022-03-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3161.2843-2.41%1.174-10.79%0.2062✓1.263.5M2022-03-03
QNTQuantEthereum104.95102.4255-2.41%127.04+21.05%0.1173✗1.067.5M2022-03-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0620.060514-2.40%0.0725+16.94%0.0593✗1.31556k2022-03-03
KSMKusamaHydration170.69166.6142-2.39%131.9-22.73%0.3432✓1.191.3M2022-03-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.031.9827-2.33%1.545-23.89%0.3908✓1.534.2M2022-03-03
ZENHorizenBase39.2138.3207-2.27%38.18-2.63%0.1535✓1.62626k2022-03-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.375.2491-2.25%5.38+0.19%0.0435✓0.74429k2022-03-03
COMPCompoundEthereum128.16125.2863-2.24%116.89-8.79%0.1910✓1.3259k2022-03-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.826.202-2.23%30.25+12.87%0.0426✗1.093.3M2022-03-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.25894.1641-2.23%5.6206+31.97%0.3000✗-0.00375k2022-03-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47370.463211-2.21%0.381-19.57%0.3248✓1.402.2M2022-03-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.246.1026-2.20%7.63+22.28%0.1499✗0.80504k2022-03-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.15121.1258-2.20%1.0476-9.00%0.1662✓1.02346k2022-03-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96520.944096-2.19%0.7864-18.52%0.3516✓1.83852k2022-03-03
GITCOINGITCOIN8.0527.8765-2.18%6.363-20.98%0.2359✓0.2441k2022-03-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021760.000021288-2.17%0.00002507+15.21%0.0329✗1.411.6M2022-03-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.038340.03752-2.14%0.046937+22.42%0.1086✗1.259.4M2022-03-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24560.240436-2.10%0.249+1.38%0.0733✓1.171.9M2022-03-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43930.430227-2.07%0.3647-16.98%0.2869✓1.3210.0M2022-03-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.20913.1432-2.05%2.2899-28.64%0.4004✓0.9123k2022-03-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040340.039513-2.05%0.03967-1.66%0.0994✓1.1229k2022-03-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.058110.056945-2.01%0.05073-12.70%0.2475✓1.431.6M2022-03-03
KCSKuCoinnative18.49618.1368-1.94%19.526+5.57%0.0671✓1.5210.6M2022-03-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.666.5321-1.92%6.42-3.60%0.0385✓0.231.1M2022-03-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.276.1509-1.90%4.42-29.51%0.4178✓0.95835k2022-03-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.60481.5745-1.89%2.1075+31.33%0.1883✗1.1282k2022-03-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.532.4825-1.88%2.38-5.93%0.1361✓1.02697k2022-03-03
SCSiacoinnative0.010110.009934-1.74%0.00902-10.78%0.1928✓1.04565k2022-03-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.70.687942-1.72%0.72+2.86%0.1278✓1.881.1M2022-03-03
GTGateEthereum6.93646.8257-1.60%6.7949-2.04%0.0922✓0.954.3M2022-03-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,789.662,745.49-1.58%2,833.66+1.58%0.0709✓1.11560.6M2022-03-03
SOLSolanaSolana110.1108.361-1.58%95.61-13.16%0.2358✓1.20181.0M2022-03-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.3819.0839-1.53%14.3-26.21%0.4588✓1.843.9M2022-03-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin115.11113.3951-1.49%111.69-2.97%0.1403✓1.3533.8M2022-03-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.6726.2987-1.39%25.18-5.59%0.1966✓1.662.6M2022-03-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5650.557217-1.38%0.8058+42.62%0.2453✗1.342.7M2022-03-03
RADRadworksEthereum5.65.5242-1.35%5.51-1.61%0.0997✓1.051.0M2022-03-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5821330.574301-1.35%0.534619-8.16%0.1845✓1.223.3M2022-03-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04460.044003-1.34%0.01525-65.81%1.1622✓1.119.1M2022-03-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.18850.186126-1.26%0.1971+4.56%0.0668✓1.343.7M2022-03-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7560.747126-1.17%0.714-5.56%0.1443✓1.071.8M2022-03-03
NANOnanopayBase2.15182.1277-1.12%1.868-13.19%0.2448✓1.24888k2022-03-03
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1110.9892-1.09%9.55-14.04%0.2657✓1.3612.9M2022-03-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9585.9016-0.95%5.231-12.20%0.1993✓0.85118k2022-03-03
ZECZcashZcash98.9798.0396-0.94%129.17+30.51%0.1504✗1.366.6M2022-03-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006840.006784-0.82%0.00456-33.33%0.6123✓2.3323.2M2022-03-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9320.925914-0.65%0.852-8.58%0.2107✓1.382.3M2022-03-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash287.95288.2895+0.12%315.29+9.49%0.0072✗1.056.8M2022-03-03
TRXTRONTron0.0598310.059922+0.15%0.060032+0.34%0.0843✗0.93411k2022-03-03
XVSVenusEthereum8.138.2195+1.10%9.34+14.88%0.0051✓1.332.8M2022-03-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.