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2022-01-30 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1463
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.7%
in alpha space · 48.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+17.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.39131.2037-13.48%0.7268-47.76%0.6637✓1.003.2M2022-03-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,834.5920,817.47-12.66%21,756.24-8.72%0.1028✓0.9218.0M2022-03-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07740.068863-11.03%0.0703-9.17%0.3773✓2.5023.2M2022-03-01
STXStacksnative1.491.3314-10.64%1.29-13.42%0.1907✓1.002.1M2022-03-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.7375.1466-10.29%2.626-54.23%0.8320✓1.001.4M2022-03-01
PROPropyEthereum2.272.0445-9.93%1.84-18.94%0.2646✓1.003.4M2022-03-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1220.11095-9.06%0.123+0.82%0.0561✓1.00149k2022-03-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.55930.513951-8.11%0.4218-24.58%0.4959✓1.8748.9M2022-03-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54790.504143-7.99%0.5765+5.22%0.0527✓1.172.1M2022-03-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.2817.9064-7.12%19.34+0.31%0.1226✓1.2534.3M2022-03-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44440.414903-6.64%0.5394+21.38%0.0281✓1.472.0M2022-03-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73861.6295-6.28%2.5724+47.96%0.3349✗0.762.8M2022-03-01
SUSHISushiEthereum4.093.8472-5.94%3.47-15.16%0.3176✓1.359.9M2022-03-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.286.8544-5.85%6.82-6.32%0.0521✓0.301.9M2022-03-01
FTTFTXEthereum41.0538.7617-5.57%46.25+12.67%0.0171✓1.2235.1M2022-03-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.053110.050198-5.48%0.03426-35.49%0.5411✓1.005.9M2022-03-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.1925.7971-5.12%31.14+14.53%0.0092✓1.12127.6M2022-03-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.254.9867-5.01%4.177-20.44%0.3797✓1.273.1M2022-03-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.037430.035688-4.65%0.022682-39.40%0.6722✓1.38199k2022-03-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.183.0344-4.58%2.546-19.94%0.3984✓1.4024.6M2022-03-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03520.033631-4.46%0.0282-19.89%0.4105✓1.47756k2022-03-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.12190.116495-4.43%0.1048-14.03%0.3452✓1.501.8M2022-03-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.833040.797166-4.31%0.75556-9.30%0.3257✓1.71534k2022-03-01
LUNATerraTerra 246.2144.225-4.30%89.72+94.16%0.4466✗1.648.8M2022-03-01
XEMNEMnative0.10240.098081-4.22%0.1097+7.13%0.0559✓1.0540k2022-03-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1393180.133672-4.05%0.133991-3.82%0.1648✓1.057.1M2022-03-01
API3Api3Ethereum3.633.484-4.02%8.094+122.98%0.8086✗0.221.1M2022-03-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.7717.084-3.86%15.36-13.56%0.3002✓1.2284.3M2022-03-01
UMAUMAEthereum5.925.697-3.77%9.447+59.58%0.3348✗1.072.3M2022-03-01
ADACardanoCardano1.03590.997309-3.73%0.9643-6.91%0.2135✓1.13113.2M2022-03-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11530.111057-3.68%0.1362+18.13%0.0052✓1.323.8M2022-03-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.84830.817308-3.65%1.7018+100.61%0.4915✗1.52106k2022-03-01
QTUMQtumQtum5.98845.7698-3.65%6.7053+11.97%0.0793✓1.44204k2022-03-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4861.4319-3.64%1.617+8.82%0.0674✓1.191.6M2022-03-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.2432.1615-3.64%2.396+6.82%0.0696✓1.0823k2022-03-01
XYMSymbolnative0.17810.17164-3.63%0.1523-14.49%0.2267✓0.67500k2022-03-01
XVGVergenative0.009970.00961-3.61%0.01044+4.71%0.1294✓1.331.6M2022-03-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.91.8316-3.60%1.99+4.74%0.1359✓1.372.8M2022-03-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7881.7239-3.59%1.607-10.12%0.2772✓1.301.5M2022-03-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0210080.020271-3.51%0.02045-2.66%0.1716✓1.133.1M2022-03-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013260.012798-3.48%0.01223-7.77%0.1902✓0.9117k2022-03-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.0519.3526-3.48%22.02+9.83%0.1204✓1.57687k2022-03-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140980.013622-3.38%0.01249-11.41%0.2760✓1.192.7M2022-03-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.079790.077114-3.35%0.07633-4.34%0.1354✓0.7976k2022-03-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1953990.188881-3.34%0.198927+1.81%0.1137✓1.0426.2M2022-03-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.329.0102-3.32%10.14+8.80%0.0009✓0.75744k2022-03-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.8419.1851-3.30%20.98+5.75%0.0999✓1.1912.6M2022-03-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.94470.913856-3.26%0.8569-9.29%0.2500✓1.1734.5M2022-03-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.32360.313093-3.25%0.2318-28.37%0.5497✓1.574.2M2022-03-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,655.6036,453.98-3.19%44,139.10+17.22%0.0299✓1.0147k2022-03-01
BANDBandEthereum3.453.3402-3.18%4.227+22.52%0.0371✗1.252.5M2022-03-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4141.3694-3.16%1.224-13.44%0.3152✓1.283.5M2022-03-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.0213.5791-3.15%15.79+12.62%0.0423✗0.68829k2022-03-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2510.243113-3.14%0.242-3.59%0.1583✓0.9761k2022-03-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1383.0407-3.10%3.203+2.07%0.0861✓0.87840k2022-03-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.83434.6845-3.10%4.2804-11.46%0.2864✓1.23430k2022-03-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.2313.7916-3.08%14.09-0.98%0.1364✓0.99847k2022-03-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09593.0009-3.07%3.0922-0.12%0.1450✓1.103.3M2022-03-01
DODODODOEthereum0.4960.480832-3.06%0.479-3.43%0.2488✓1.545.0M2022-03-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,901.3536,745.99-3.05%44,439.95+17.25%0.0310✓1.00682.8M2022-03-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.451.7731-3.05%57.19+7.10%0.0855✓1.167.8M2022-03-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.50782.4319-3.02%2.8371+13.13%0.0042✓0.942.6M2022-03-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.07761.0455-2.97%1.3652+26.69%0.0621✗1.292.4M2022-03-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6932.6129-2.97%3.193+18.57%0.0436✓1.53986k2022-03-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009710.009422-2.96%0.01146+18.02%0.0078✓1.282.1M2022-03-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07970.077356-2.94%0.0743-6.78%0.2370✓1.24317k2022-03-01
DASHDashDash92.7790.0613-2.92%100.01+7.80%0.0840✓1.192.9M2022-03-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.25710.249615-2.91%0.3058+18.94%0.0220✓1.14557k2022-03-01
XMRMoneroMonero148.16143.8887-2.88%177.8+20.01%0.0501✗1.012.0M2022-03-01
HIVEHivenative0.93750.910869-2.84%1.0352+10.42%0.1132✓1.522.0M2022-03-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.142.0801-2.80%1.29-39.72%0.7262✓1.562.4M2022-03-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1917.6819-2.79%18.9+3.90%0.1530✓1.3848.0M2022-03-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.661.6139-2.78%1.522-8.31%0.2628✓1.282.1M2022-03-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.01372.9311-2.74%3.1217+3.58%0.1030✓1.042.0M2022-03-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088180.085785-2.72%0.09224+4.60%0.1186✓1.2046k2022-03-01
XECeCashnative0.000075240.00007325-2.65%0.00007896+4.94%0.1031✓1.125.8M2022-03-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3130.304768-2.63%0.318+1.60%0.1783✓1.391.6M2022-03-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.7525.0821-2.59%30.86+19.84%0.0828✗0.78430k2022-03-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.81420.79309-2.59%0.8-1.74%0.1667✓1.1017.8M2022-03-01
XTZTezosTezos3.27813.1935-2.58%3.4918+6.52%0.1278✓1.362.5M2022-03-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0672.9884-2.56%3.071+0.13%0.0993✓0.80378k2022-03-01
LRCLoopringEthereum1.00170.97604-2.56%0.8359-16.55%0.4676✓1.96984k2022-03-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.132.0755-2.56%1.328-37.65%0.6912✓1.544.2M2022-03-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.029620.028887-2.48%0.02885-2.60%0.1500✓0.938.7M2022-03-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV90.3488.1033-2.48%87.68-2.94%0.1558✓0.951.6M2022-03-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0783.9777-2.46%4.502+10.40%0.0014✓0.79381k2022-03-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12510.122037-2.45%0.1615+29.10%0.1281✗0.96285k2022-03-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0660.064395-2.43%0.0729+10.45%0.0548✓1.1221k2022-03-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.1581.1321-2.24%1.0846-6.34%0.2033✓1.01369k2022-03-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.166.0228-2.23%8.27+34.25%0.1925✗0.78481k2022-03-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.146.0042-2.21%6.51+6.03%0.0542✓0.85529k2022-03-01
KSMKusamaHydration163.11159.6454-2.12%138.55-15.06%0.3334✓1.201.2M2022-03-01
IMXImmutableEthereum2.572.516-2.10%1.582-38.44%0.7093✓1.542.2M2022-03-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.060601-2.10%0.0786+26.98%0.0329✗1.43564k2022-03-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0388870.038082-2.07%0.049485+27.25%0.0660✗1.239.4M2022-03-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.05950.058276-2.06%0.04868-18.18%0.4124✓1.461.7M2022-03-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040350.039528-2.04%0.04187+3.77%0.1228✓1.1329k2022-03-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.285.1735-2.02%5.52+4.55%0.0508✓0.73429k2022-03-01
MOVRMoonriverBase75.091873.5949-1.99%66.4156-11.55%0.2987✓1.23410k2022-03-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.482.4322-1.93%2.46-0.81%0.1511✓1.02789k2022-03-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.272.2267-1.91%2.18-3.96%0.2098✓1.18602k2022-03-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.9224.4487-1.89%30.35+21.79%0.0445✗1.083.3M2022-03-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23980.235284-1.88%0.2576+7.42%0.1074✓1.241.9M2022-03-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45190.443462-1.87%0.3996-11.57%0.3240✓1.382.2M2022-03-01
QNTQuantEthereum94.7793.0099-1.86%119.35+25.94%0.0840✗1.047.3M2022-03-01
ZENHorizenBase40.2239.4867-1.82%39.34-2.19%0.2573✓1.59639k2022-03-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1015.9914-1.80%5.445-10.75%0.2285✓0.83119k2022-03-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.9866.7612-1.79%86.96+27.92%0.0517✗1.3483.8M2022-03-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7895.6857-1.78%5.771-0.31%0.1433✓0.99320k2022-03-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.02142.9689-1.74%2.2579-25.27%0.4127✓0.8722k2022-03-01
SCSiacoinnative0.009840.009669-1.74%0.00979-0.51%0.1558✓1.06588k2022-03-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.56411.5375-1.70%1.9861+26.99%0.0788✗1.1182k2022-03-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021090.000020738-1.67%0.00002713+28.64%0.0439✗1.411.6M2022-03-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.59440.584554-1.66%0.5253-11.63%0.3512✓1.531.3M2022-03-01
AAVEAaveEthereum149.01146.6458-1.59%143.34-3.81%0.2399✓1.3612.7M2022-03-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.118.8012-1.56%15.26-20.10%0.5018✓1.843.9M2022-03-01
KCSKuCoinnative17.40717.1386-1.54%20.746+19.18%0.0502✓1.5210.6M2022-03-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.925.8342-1.45%4.86-17.91%0.3364✓0.97953k2022-03-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39970.393963-1.44%0.3753-6.10%0.2532✓1.2910.0M2022-03-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.630987-1.41%0.78+21.88%0.0851✓1.871.2M2022-03-01
GITCOINGITCOIN7.2337.1318-1.40%6.823-5.67%0.0846✓0.2539k2022-03-01
GTGateEthereum6.79156.6974-1.39%6.7553-0.53%0.1395✓0.934.1M2022-03-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.047090.04645-1.36%0.01656-64.83%1.2454✓1.349.2M2022-03-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.2925.9496-1.29%27.26+3.69%0.2185✓1.682.6M2022-03-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,602.892,569.90-1.27%2,977.72+14.40%0.0296✓1.11557.7M2022-03-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin108.59107.3279-1.16%112.65+3.74%0.1642✓1.3433.8M2022-03-01
COMPCompoundEthereum117.46116.1166-1.14%125.94+7.22%0.1221✓1.2866k2022-03-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.51230.50655-1.12%0.7582+48.00%0.1864✗1.362.6M2022-03-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.376.3004-1.09%6.72+5.49%0.0288✗0.221.2M2022-03-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.5873.549-1.06%5.9499+65.87%0.5201✗-0.02323k2022-03-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.18160.179685-1.05%0.1954+7.60%0.1329✓1.363.8M2022-03-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7320.724383-1.04%0.697-4.78%0.2143✓1.101.7M2022-03-01
NANOnanopayBase2.23012.2071-1.03%1.9211-13.85%0.3364✓1.24888k2022-03-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5533130.547949-0.97%0.573577+3.66%0.1491✓1.223.4M2022-03-01
UNIUniswapEthereum10.810.705-0.88%10.34-4.26%0.2474✓1.3412.2M2022-03-01
RADRadworksEthereum5.095.0496-0.79%5.12+0.59%0.1443✓0.991.0M2022-03-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.810.803762-0.77%1.245+53.70%0.1970✗1.51511k2022-03-01
SOLSolanaSolana93.3192.7443-0.61%98.7+5.78%0.1276✓1.19152.8M2022-03-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00740.007364-0.49%0.00471-36.35%0.8233✓2.3622.6M2022-03-01
ZECZcashZcash93.0292.6594-0.39%119.02+27.95%0.0383✗1.336.6M2022-03-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8970.894259-0.31%0.89-0.78%0.2246✓1.382.3M2022-03-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.04290.2294+0.07%328.78+13.36%0.0416✗1.046.8M2022-03-01
TRXTRONTron0.0586920.058751+0.10%0.062179+5.94%0.0943✗0.95431k2022-03-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.180140.18174+0.89%0.16553-8.11%0.3440✗1.5723k2022-03-01
XVSVenusEthereum7.797.9497+2.05%9.35+20.03%0.0469✗1.312.8M2022-03-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.