8=======>

2022-01-29 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1773
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+33.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.1%
in alpha space · 54.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09070.075714-16.52%0.0703-22.49%0.3820✓2.5023.2M2022-02-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,297.6521,295.41-12.36%21,589.29-11.15%0.0998✓0.9219.5M2022-02-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.29361.1402-11.86%0.7584-41.37%0.5308✓1.003.4M2022-02-28
STXStacksnative1.511.3472-10.78%1.25-17.22%0.1979✓1.002.3M2022-02-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase6.1735.5133-10.69%2.664-56.84%0.8504✓1.001.4M2022-02-28
PROPropyEthereum2.312.0862-9.69%1.84-20.35%0.2487✓1.003.5M2022-02-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.120.108808-9.33%0.132+10.00%0.0701✓1.00155k2022-02-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56930.521217-8.45%0.5607-1.51%0.0714✓1.172.1M2022-02-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.045150.041444-8.21%0.022655-49.82%0.7728✓1.37266k2022-02-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.60220.556133-7.65%0.3657-39.27%0.6496✓1.8748.9M2022-02-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1818.7019-7.32%20.13-0.25%0.0805✓1.2534.3M2022-02-28
SUSHISushiEthereum4.193.9295-6.22%3.54-15.51%0.2698✓1.3410.7M2022-02-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.055250.05191-6.04%0.03503-36.60%0.5164✓1.006.4M2022-02-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.356.9074-6.02%6.79-7.62%0.0534✓0.291.9M2022-02-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.45.0814-5.90%4.154-23.07%0.3580✓1.273.1M2022-02-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72841.628-5.81%2.4391+41.12%0.3102✗0.762.8M2022-02-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.49880.470614-5.65%0.504+1.04%0.1126✓1.472.1M2022-02-28
FTTFTXEthereum41.7339.4134-5.55%45.95+10.11%0.0037✓1.2235.1M2022-02-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.127.5521-5.32%31.38+7.84%0.0081✓1.12130.3M2022-02-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03620.034543-4.58%0.029-19.89%0.3561✓1.47836k2022-02-28
XEMNEMnative0.10470.100185-4.31%0.1081+3.25%0.0537✓1.0543k2022-02-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90370.864858-4.30%1.6754+85.39%0.4745✗1.52107k2022-02-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.992.8617-4.29%2.442-18.33%0.3312✓1.4025.0M2022-02-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.847870.811637-4.27%0.74117-12.58%0.3011✓1.71610k2022-02-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0220290.021121-4.12%0.0214-2.86%0.1262✓1.133.2M2022-02-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.362.264-4.07%1.352-42.71%0.7046✓1.544.2M2022-02-28
API3Api3Ethereum3.693.5436-3.97%7.529+104.04%0.7271✗0.22837k2022-02-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1431690.137582-3.90%0.133451-6.79%0.1597✓1.057.1M2022-02-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1210.116331-3.86%0.1303+7.69%0.0482✓1.313.8M2022-02-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.2452.1628-3.66%2.477+10.33%0.0022✓1.0823k2022-02-28
UMAUMAEthereum6.085.8585-3.64%7.228+18.88%0.0781✗1.072.3M2022-02-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4931.4389-3.62%1.571+5.22%0.0583✓1.191.6M2022-02-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2583.1407-3.60%3.233-0.77%0.0777✓0.87884k2022-02-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.921.851-3.59%1.86-3.12%0.1644✓1.372.8M2022-02-28
ADACardanoCardano1.06031.0225-3.57%0.964-9.08%0.1979✓1.13113.2M2022-02-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.063960.061688-3.55%0.04871-23.84%0.4156✓1.461.7M2022-02-28
LUNATerraTerra 250.9349.1361-3.52%91.38+79.42%0.4196✗1.638.8M2022-02-28
XVGVergenative0.010020.009667-3.52%0.01037+3.49%0.0940✓1.331.6M2022-02-28
QTUMQtumQtum5.96165.7575-3.42%6.4925+8.91%0.0573✓1.44221k2022-02-28
XLMStellarStellar0.2034910.196611-3.38%0.197675-2.86%0.1225✓1.0426.2M2022-02-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7581.6986-3.38%1.566-10.92%0.2414✓1.301.5M2022-02-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.2919.6044-3.38%21.72+7.05%0.0439✓1.1913.0M2022-02-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.178.8604-3.38%10.15+10.69%0.0438✗0.75709k2022-02-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.342.2614-3.36%1.36-41.88%0.7000✓1.562.4M2022-02-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2510.242579-3.35%0.236-5.98%0.1462✓0.9667k2022-02-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.96930.937434-3.29%0.8684-10.41%0.2200✓1.1736.8M2022-02-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.010062-3.25%0.01099+5.67%0.0691✓1.282.2M2022-02-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.15733.0559-3.21%3.1104-1.49%0.1176✓1.103.4M2022-02-28
XYMSymbolnative0.17390.168317-3.21%0.1531-11.96%0.1777✓0.67536k2022-02-28
BANDBandEthereum3.513.3978-3.20%3.934+12.08%0.0069✓1.252.5M2022-02-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.7320.076-3.16%21.16+2.07%0.1403✓1.57775k2022-02-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.2415.7297-3.14%15.14-6.77%0.1883✓1.2281.3M2022-02-28
DODODODOEthereum0.5080.492044-3.14%0.461-9.25%0.2546✓1.545.2M2022-02-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013470.013048-3.13%0.01231-8.61%0.1702✓0.9121k2022-02-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,181.6036,997.79-3.10%43,136.20+12.98%0.0287✓1.0153k2022-02-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0145180.014073-3.07%0.012148-16.32%0.2934✓1.192.7M2022-02-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.8514.7023-3.07%4.2345-12.71%0.2564✓1.23430k2022-02-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.110.106682-3.02%0.0857-22.09%0.4044✓1.511.8M2022-02-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6672.5868-3.01%3.317+24.37%0.0599✗1.53986k2022-02-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08170.07926-2.99%0.073-10.65%0.2343✓1.24317k2022-02-28
DASHDashDash96.5593.7082-2.94%100.51+4.10%0.0758✓1.193.0M2022-02-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,191.1037,072.02-2.93%43,192.66+13.10%0.0297✗1.00717.4M2022-02-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.26710.259394-2.89%0.2945+10.26%0.0129✓1.14604k2022-02-28
XMRMoneroMonero153.67149.2459-2.88%170.31+10.83%0.0072✓1.012.1M2022-02-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7518.2126-2.87%18.95+1.07%0.1298✓1.3850.2M2022-02-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.98242.8974-2.85%3.1196+4.60%0.0546✓1.041.9M2022-02-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.310.3012-2.84%0.2321-25.13%0.4534✓1.574.2M2022-02-28
HIVEHivenative0.9520.925239-2.81%0.9803+2.97%0.1287✓1.522.1M2022-02-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3330.323712-2.79%0.308-7.51%0.2203✓1.391.7M2022-02-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.721.6721-2.79%1.505-12.50%0.2630✓1.282.2M2022-02-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3641.326-2.78%1.164-14.66%0.2874✓1.283.6M2022-02-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.04791.0194-2.72%1.3278+26.71%0.1058✗1.292.4M2022-02-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089790.087356-2.71%0.09213+2.61%0.0942✓1.2046k2022-02-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1512.7957-2.69%16.18+23.04%0.1506✗0.68801k2022-02-28
XECeCashnative0.000076920.000074863-2.67%0.00007869+2.30%0.0879✓1.125.8M2022-02-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.1213.7449-2.66%14.2+0.57%0.0895✓0.99886k2022-02-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.5848.2823-2.62%54.42+9.76%0.0237✓1.177.5M2022-02-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.83020.808953-2.56%0.7967-4.04%0.1509✓1.1018.7M2022-02-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0423.941-2.50%4.565+12.94%0.0501✗0.79367k2022-02-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV92.790.4626-2.41%88.67-4.35%0.1367✓0.951.7M2022-02-28
MANADecentralandEthereum2.3722.3152-2.39%2.8507+20.18%0.0920✗0.942.8M2022-02-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.030350.029624-2.39%0.02937-3.23%0.1235✓0.938.7M2022-02-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.2425.6179-2.37%30.9+17.76%0.0913✗0.78430k2022-02-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06530.063753-2.37%0.0695+6.43%0.0521✓1.1221k2022-02-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.07270.070978-2.37%0.07201-0.95%0.0827✓0.7967k2022-02-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0092.9382-2.35%3.115+3.52%0.0395✓0.80397k2022-02-28
XTZTezosTezos3.09153.0201-2.31%3.5483+14.78%0.0070✓1.372.5M2022-02-28
KSMKusamaHydration171.16167.3262-2.24%130.28-23.88%0.3982✓1.201.3M2022-02-28
IMXImmutableEthereum2.832.7667-2.24%1.564-44.73%0.7594✓1.542.2M2022-02-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche71.9570.3618-2.21%84.59+17.57%0.0200✓1.3385.3M2022-02-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.085.9468-2.19%6.6+8.55%0.0002✓0.85503k2022-02-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06360.062239-2.14%0.078+22.64%0.0502✗1.43577k2022-02-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96840.94809-2.10%0.823-15.01%0.3826✓1.961.1M2022-02-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.1286.0005-2.08%5.875-4.13%0.1431✓0.99320k2022-02-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.0719.6658-2.01%15.37-23.42%0.4731✓1.843.9M2022-02-28
AAVEAaveEthereum154.04150.9555-2.00%145.83-5.33%0.2023✓1.3612.7M2022-02-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.935.8116-2.00%7.55+27.32%0.1652✗0.78470k2022-02-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0399990.039201-1.99%0.049264+23.16%0.0772✗1.2310.1M2022-02-28
STORJStorjEthereum1.1541.131-1.99%1.0426-9.65%0.2056✓1.01376k2022-02-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040890.040081-1.98%0.04194+2.57%0.0941✓1.1330k2022-02-28
MINAMina Protocolnative2.312.2648-1.96%2.21-4.33%0.1703✓1.18602k2022-02-28
MOVRMoonriverBase79.312477.7813-1.93%67.763-14.56%0.2893✓1.23410k2022-02-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.165.0609-1.92%5.51+6.78%0.0045✓0.73413k2022-02-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.050520.049552-1.92%0.01796-64.45%1.1796✓1.349.2M2022-02-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12050.118219-1.89%0.1612+33.78%0.1923✗0.96312k2022-02-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.46370.454923-1.89%0.3943-14.97%0.3130✓1.382.3M2022-02-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.3424.8658-1.87%30.53+20.48%0.0724✗1.083.3M2022-02-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.60811.5789-1.82%1.7163+6.72%0.0536✓1.1182k2022-02-28
QNTQuantEthereum97.5195.7972-1.76%115.74+18.70%0.0612✗1.047.3M2022-02-28
SCSiacoinnative0.010150.009976-1.71%0.00968-4.63%0.1601✓1.06593k2022-02-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24250.238416-1.68%0.2454+1.20%0.1241✓1.241.9M2022-02-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.186770.183647-1.67%0.16639-10.91%0.2924✓1.5723k2022-02-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021660.000021304-1.64%0.00002579+19.07%0.0173✗1.411.7M2022-02-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0015.9025-1.64%5.63-6.18%0.1500✓0.83125k2022-02-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.06313.0133-1.63%2.1929-28.41%0.4253✓0.8721k2022-02-28
ZENHorizenBase41.6440.9688-1.61%37.91-8.96%0.2736✓1.59639k2022-02-28
COMPCompoundEthereum123.06121.1183-1.58%120.75-1.88%0.1601✓1.2868k2022-02-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.422.3829-1.53%2.44+0.83%0.1021✓1.02794k2022-02-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.649994-1.52%0.75+13.64%0.0866✓1.871.2M2022-02-28
KCSKuCoinnative17.54217.2785-1.50%20.677+17.87%0.0069✓1.5210.7M2022-02-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.16.009-1.49%4.86-20.33%0.3309✓0.96953k2022-02-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41040.404281-1.49%0.3772-8.09%0.2276✓1.2910.2M2022-02-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.59680.588017-1.47%0.5007-16.10%0.3497✓1.541.3M2022-02-28
GITCOINGITCOIN7.3247.2187-1.44%6.75-7.84%0.0982✓0.2538k2022-02-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.0926.7231-1.35%26.36-2.69%0.2207✓1.682.7M2022-02-28
GTGateEthereum6.77366.6832-1.33%6.71-0.94%0.1106✓0.934.2M2022-02-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.656.5651-1.28%6.6-0.75%0.0221✓0.221.2M2022-02-28
RADRadworksEthereum5.345.2769-1.18%4.85-9.18%0.2063✓0.99978k2022-02-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.52510.519219-1.12%0.5696+8.47%0.0751✓1.362.6M2022-02-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.18440.182362-1.11%0.1925+4.39%0.1134✓1.363.9M2022-02-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.84109.6203-1.10%113.82+2.69%0.1267✓1.3433.8M2022-02-28
ETHEthereumEthereum2,603.742,575.41-1.09%2,923.08+12.26%0.0101✓1.11560.6M2022-02-28
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1611.0417-1.06%10.53-5.65%0.2118✓1.3412.5M2022-02-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.850.841282-1.03%1.236+45.41%0.1987✗1.51523k2022-02-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7310.723599-1.01%0.697-4.65%0.1734✓1.101.8M2022-02-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5654340.560642-0.85%0.575051+1.70%0.1252✓1.223.7M2022-02-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.48783.4611-0.76%5.9258+69.90%0.5403✗-0.02350k2022-02-28
ZECZcashZcash96.3995.8702-0.54%118.68+23.12%0.0496✗1.337.0M2022-02-28
NANOnanopayBase2.33622.3238-0.53%1.9381-17.04%0.3343✓1.24888k2022-02-28
SOLSolanaSolana96.2595.8092-0.46%99.74+3.63%0.1065✓1.19164.2M2022-02-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007230.007205-0.35%0.00439-39.28%0.7867✓2.3722.6M2022-02-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9240.921076-0.32%0.877-5.09%0.2189✓1.382.4M2022-02-28
TRXTRONTron0.0603410.060353+0.02%0.061786+2.39%0.0933✗0.95460k2022-02-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash299.03299.1209+0.03%339.27+13.46%0.0026✗1.047.6M2022-02-28
XVSVenusEthereum8.228.3922+2.10%9.33+13.50%0.0557✗1.312.8M2022-02-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.