XCH

Chia · native · lstm_s3

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

69.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1488

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0201

actual -0.0875

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.4765	1.4257	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.456	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.4972	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.4989	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.5197	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5162	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5167	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.4992	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.5557	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.5139	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5342	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.5371	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4743	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.428	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.4534	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.5189	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.5266	-3.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.5363	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.5188	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.4832	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5421	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.5573	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.5352	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.4972	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.5267	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.579	-4.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.5849	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.5797	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.5067	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.6097	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.7076	-0.78%	1.4765	-14.21%	0.1152	✓	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.4847	-3.56%	1.512	-1.79%	0.0063	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.4916	-2.86%	1.5675	+2.08%	0.0456	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.4687	-2.38%	1.57	+4.35%	0.0592	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.3541	-4.74%	1.6035	+12.80%	0.1383	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.33	-3.66%	1.6015	+16.01%	0.1536	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.314	-3.88%	1.5965	+16.79%	0.1560	✗	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.4174	-3.64%	1.576	+7.14%	0.0885	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.4199	-4.00%	1.6315	+10.31%	0.1060	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.4439	-3.35%	1.586	+6.16%	0.0706	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.4393	-3.34%	1.5905	+6.82%	0.0674	✗	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.4467	-3.10%	1.5935	+6.73%	0.0623	✗	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5281	-2.70%	1.521	-3.15%	0.0259	✓	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.5746	-2.71%	1.469	-9.24%	0.0858	✓	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.6089	-2.20%	1.495	-9.12%	0.0943	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.496	+0.17%	1.5675	+4.95%	0.0152	✓	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4556	+0.42%	1.5835	+9.24%	0.0485	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.4263	+0.73%	1.5855	+11.97%	0.0581	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.4626	+1.50%	1.5745	+9.26%	0.0489	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.4092	-0.69%	1.534	+8.10%	0.0340	✗	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.437	-0.76%	1.599	+10.43%	0.0545	✗	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.4217	-0.13%	1.625	+14.16%	0.0983	✗	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.427	+0.99%	1.593	+12.74%	0.0616	✓	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.4252	+3.01%	1.558	+12.61%	0.0505	✓	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.4401	+2.90%	1.5795	+12.86%	0.0436	✓	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.4803	+4.91%	1.649	+16.87%	0.0774	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.4349	+4.09%	1.6535	+19.95%	0.1048	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.4441	+4.12%	1.63	+17.52%	0.0763	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.4595	+5.15%	1.544	+11.24%	0.0142	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.543	+3.21%	1.626	+8.76%	0.0199	✓	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.559	+3.52%	1.721	+14.28%	0.0164	✓	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.6001	+5.16%	1.5395	+1.18%	0.0636	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.4645	+1.67%	1.5355	+6.59%	0.0250	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.4153	-2.12%	1.5045	+4.05%	0.0648	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3293	-3.60%	1.4215	+3.08%	0.0671	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.3336	-3.57%	1.3805	-0.18%	0.1052	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3175	-4.29%	1.367	-0.69%	0.1199	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.276	-3.92%	1.471	+10.77%	0.0388	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.2552	-3.78%	1.479	+13.38%	0.0007	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.2652	-3.79%	1.494	+13.61%	0.0094	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2547	-3.56%	1.489	+14.45%	0.0093	✓	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.2936	-3.72%	1.493	+11.13%	0.0090	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3183	-3.99%	1.5705	+14.38%	0.0221	✓	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.2829	-3.76%	1.6185	+21.42%	0.0828	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.3436	-4.41%	1.645	+17.04%	0.0457	✗	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.2656	-3.50%	1.4935	+13.88%	0.0066	✓	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3121	-3.81%	1.4495	+6.27%	0.0774	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.3945	-4.46%	1.416	-2.98%	0.1579	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.4342	-5.18%	1.441	-4.73%	0.1895	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.4504	-5.79%	1.419	-7.83%	0.1842	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.5798	-8.68%	1.448	-16.30%	0.2508	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.3777	-5.37%	1.4235	-2.23%	0.1325	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.3493	-4.71%	1.413	-0.21%	0.1095	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.3792	-3.92%	1.3835	-3.62%	0.1373	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3195	-3.58%	1.3995	+2.27%	0.0737	✓	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.2892	-3.36%	1.411	+5.77%	0.0626	✓	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.2243	-2.95%	1.3785	+9.27%	0.0230	✓	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.288	-2.43%	1.387	+5.08%	0.0424	✓	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.248	-2.38%	1.388	+8.56%	0.0233	✓	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1355	-1.78%	1.495	+29.33%	0.1569	✗	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1415	-1.47%	1.506	+30.00%	0.1734	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2232	-1.31%	1.5215	+22.75%	0.1161	✗	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.1863	-1.59%	1.4405	+19.49%	0.1381	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.1825	-1.95%	1.446	+19.90%	0.1609	✗	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.2501	-2.38%	1.379	+7.69%	0.0982	✗	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.292	-2.38%	1.383	+4.50%	0.0716	✗	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.3295	-2.74%	1.3765	+0.69%	0.0469	✗	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.354	-2.70%	1.328	-4.56%	0.0112	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4494	-2.17%	1.3045	-11.95%	0.0876	✓	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.3838	-1.48%	1.315	-6.37%	0.0348	✓	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.3658	-2.45%	1.301	-7.07%	0.0614	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.4029	-1.69%	1.3435	-5.85%	0.0409	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.4255	-1.72%	1.373	-5.34%	0.0390	✓	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.466	-1.38%	1.333	-10.33%	0.1025	✓	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.5042	-2.13%	1.4055	-8.56%	0.0865	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.4708	-2.82%	1.3115	-13.35%	0.1418	✓	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.5233	-2.13%	1.364	-12.37%	0.1202	✓	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.5866	-2.03%	1.4595	-9.88%	0.0896	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.5671	-2.12%	1.5125	-5.53%	0.0403	✓	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.6199	-2.18%	1.5395	-7.04%	0.0549	✓	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6425	-2.20%	1.73	+3.01%	0.0415	✗	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.6863	-2.55%	1.456	-15.86%	0.1610	✓	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.6997	-3.04%	1.416	-19.22%	0.2156	✓	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.6682	-3.15%	1.4355	-16.66%	0.2221	✓	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5261	-2.46%	1.3685	-12.53%	0.1577	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.5752	-2.58%	1.334	-17.50%	0.2240	✓	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.5788	-2.00%	1.2615	-21.69%	0.2737	✓	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.6545	-2.21%	1.32	-21.99%	0.2951	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.6664	-2.26%	1.2785	-25.01%	0.3253	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.6702	-2.10%	1.156	-32.24%	0.4112	✓	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.765	-2.64%	1.1585	-36.10%	0.4520	✓	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.8504	-2.71%	1.2395	-34.83%	0.4272	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.8483	-2.75%	1.2055	-36.57%	0.4680	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.8421	-2.48%	1.206	-36.16%	0.4362	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.8796	-2.38%	1.2805	-33.50%	0.3995	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.9475	-2.58%	1.3235	-33.79%	0.4115	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	1.9776	-2.19%	1.367	-32.39%	0.3620	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	2.0218	-2.07%	1.3915	-32.60%	0.3493	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	2.0431	-2.15%	1.4815	-29.05%	0.2995	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.0742	-2.78%	1.4045	-34.17%	0.3799	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.0893	-3.45%	1.4	-35.30%	0.3676	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	1.9703	-2.56%	1.427	-29.43%	0.3256	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	1.9835	-2.63%	1.4505	-28.79%	0.3160	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.9468	-2.73%	1.4865	-25.73%	0.3105	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	2.0099	-2.36%	1.537	-25.33%	0.2910	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.123	-3.19%	1.5135	-30.98%	0.3262	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.1495	-3.00%	1.5565	-29.76%	0.3231	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	1.9861	-1.97%	1.6195	-20.06%	0.2452	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.1216	-2.63%	1.601	-26.53%	0.3140	✓	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.1377	-2.88%	1.656	-24.76%	0.2459	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.1467	-2.55%	1.6795	-23.76%	0.2250	✓	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.1851	-2.88%	1.7305	-23.09%	0.1619	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.3743	-3.83%	1.753	-29.00%	0.1571	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.2717	-2.82%	1.7225	-26.31%	0.0673	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.2863	-2.96%	1.5645	-33.60%	0.1993	✓	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.3614	-3.50%	1.617	-33.92%	0.1898	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.2698	-2.58%	1.611	-30.86%	0.1580	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.4816	-4.24%	1.692	-34.71%	0.2014	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.5692	-5.09%	1.705	-37.02%	0.2115	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.7422	-7.37%	1.706	-42.37%	0.2733	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.6058	-5.42%	1.813	-34.19%	0.1840	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.7065	-8.13%	1.902	-35.44%	0.1927	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.7075	-7.88%	1.9005	-35.34%	0.1981	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.0053	-10.84%	1.889	-43.95%	0.3128	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.1957	-12.10%	1.9255	-47.04%	0.3465	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	2.9565	-11.73%	1.999	-40.32%	0.2352	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.6507	-6.35%	2.022	-28.56%	0.1250	✓	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.5477	-4.13%	2.0645	-22.31%	0.0738	✓	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.5305	-3.19%	2.088	-20.12%	0.0555	✓	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.3734	-0.72%	2.1335	-10.75%	0.0555	✗	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.5313	-0.48%	2.164	-14.92%	0.0430	✗	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.4891	-1.38%	2.022	-19.89%	0.0141	✓	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.2261	+0.55%	2.037	-7.99%	0.1354	✓	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.344	+1.03%	2.0015	-13.73%	0.1088	✓	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.4324	-0.02%	2.0585	-15.39%	0.0969	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.3249	-0.65%	2.193	-6.28%	0.1664	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.3811	-0.95%	2.216	-7.82%	0.1405	✗	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.1881	+0.25%	2.026	-7.17%	0.1622	✓	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.1782	+3.16%	2.179	+3.20%	0.2492	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.1974	+3.58%	2.201	+3.75%	0.1831	✓	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.16	+2.13%	2.203	+4.16%	0.1855	✓	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1635	+1.19%	2.25	+5.24%	0.1626	✓	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.1754	+1.27%	2.469	+14.94%	0.2004	✓	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.1881	+0.65%	2.3375	+7.52%	0.1123	✓	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.238	-0.95%	2.356	+4.27%	0.0774	✗	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.234	-1.54%	2.447	+7.84%	0.1158	✗	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.2399	-0.98%	2.33	+3.01%	0.0680	✗	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.257	-0.59%	2.5915	+14.14%	0.1689	✗	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.3579	-0.34%	2.707	+14.41%	0.1661	✗	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.3429	-0.47%	2.9605	+25.76%	0.2380	✗	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.4505	-0.22%	2.755	+12.17%	0.1220	✗	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.6002	+0.07%	2.946	+13.37%	0.1411	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.7747	-0.23%	2.939	+5.68%	0.0854	✗	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.5829	-0.10%	3.3705	+30.36%	0.2544	✗	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.4733	-0.09%	3.6355	+46.86%	0.3694	✗	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.3839	-0.38%	3.3495	+39.97%	0.3113	✗	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.441	-0.14%	2.8305	+15.79%	0.1363	✗	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.3028	+0.65%	2.6575	+16.15%	0.1402	✓	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.3159	+0.04%	2.614	+12.92%	0.0918	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.1957	+0.06%	2.3905	+8.93%	0.0433	✓	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.1603	+0.20%	2.5435	+17.97%	0.0955	✓	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.2539	+0.55%	2.524	+12.60%	0.0653	✓	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.2278	-0.30%	2.214	-0.92%	0.1077	✓	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.3225	+0.21%	2.32	+0.11%	0.0885	✗	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.2827	+0.21%	2.433	+6.80%	0.0300	✗	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.3966	-0.08%	2.34	-2.44%	0.1172	✓	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.3201	+0.03%	2.404	+3.64%	0.0603	✗	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.3909	+0.14%	2.1825	-8.59%	0.1759	✗	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.3112	-0.21%	2.1115	-8.83%	0.2222	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.3676	-0.08%	2.1215	-10.47%	0.2347	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.332	-0.58%	2.115	-9.83%	0.2369	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.3581	-1.38%	2.138	-10.58%	0.2283	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.3757	-1.48%	2.148	-10.93%	0.2328	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.4705	-1.34%	2.174	-13.18%	0.2405	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.5737	-1.24%	2.2595	-13.30%	0.2219	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.5737	-1.26%	2.269	-12.95%	0.2303	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.5921	-1.50%	2.262	-14.04%	0.2563	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.6396	-1.25%	2.2705	-15.06%	0.2776	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.5852	-0.76%	2.366	-9.17%	0.2285	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.7954	-0.82%	2.354	-16.48%	0.2706	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.8377	-0.15%	2.456	-13.58%	0.2125	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.8129	-0.18%	2.5985	-7.79%	0.1649	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.7505	+0.62%	2.781	+1.74%	0.0701	✗	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.6417	+0.81%	2.5855	-1.34%	0.1179	✗	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.6766	+0.87%	2.4755	-6.71%	0.1567	✗	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.7073	+0.59%	2.393	-11.09%	0.1611	✗	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.737	+0.22%	2.4445	-10.49%	0.1786	✗	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.8585	+0.76%	2.288	-19.35%	0.2891	✗	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.1568	+0.20%	2.315	-26.52%	0.3236	✗	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	3.0088	+0.90%	2.1945	-26.41%	0.3150	✗	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.8026	+0.85%	2.156	-22.42%	0.2771	✗	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.7431	+0.33%	2.2415	-18.01%	0.2376	✗	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.6609	+0.22%	2.2345	-15.84%	0.1725	✗	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.6126	+0.49%	2.3175	-10.87%	0.1485	✗	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.585	+0.62%	2.278	-11.33%	0.1579	✗	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.5523	+1.02%	2.3985	-5.07%	0.0830	✗	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.5671	+1.17%	2.3195	-8.59%	0.1322	✗	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.5875	+1.15%	2.3875	-6.67%	0.1524	✗	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.5284	+0.92%	2.316	-7.56%	0.1075	✗	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.6261	+0.94%	2.3695	-8.92%	0.1138	✗	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.7586	+0.68%	2.3455	-14.40%	0.1189	✗	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.8871	+0.49%	2.391	-16.78%	0.1206	✗	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.7085	+0.54%	2.4115	-10.49%	0.0988	✗	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.6687	+0.46%	2.504	-5.74%	0.0553	✗	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.6356	+0.57%	2.606	-0.55%	0.0427	✗	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.751	+0.75%	2.6065	-4.54%	0.0510	✗	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.7069	+0.57%	2.6315	-2.23%	0.0295	✗	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.6822	+1.08%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0119	✓	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.6686	+1.43%	2.605	-0.99%	0.0027	✓	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.4407	+1.46%	2.8185	+17.17%	0.0847	✓	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.6323	+1.05%	2.842	+9.10%	0.0040	✓	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.7738	+1.25%	2.818	+2.87%	0.0187	✗	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.685	+0.75%	2.7335	+2.57%	0.0165	✗	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.671	+0.57%	2.6205	-1.34%	0.0174	✗	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.6349	+0.82%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0161	✗	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.7146	-0.09%	2.6915	-0.94%	0.0575	✓	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.9192	+0.01%	2.731	-6.44%	0.0950	✗	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.9302	+0.11%	2.837	-3.07%	0.0596	✗	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	2.9673	+0.03%	3.1505	+6.20%	0.0022	✓	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.0848	-0.39%	2.982	-3.71%	0.0902	✓	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.912	+0.17%	2.779	-4.40%	0.0914	✗	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.8288	+0.53%	2.734	-2.84%	0.0907	✗	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	3.0047	+0.39%	2.655	-11.29%	0.1659	✗	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	3.0777	+0.32%	2.6	-15.25%	0.1870	✗	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	3.0641	-0.24%	2.569	-16.36%	0.1774	✓	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.2298	-0.77%	2.5265	-22.38%	0.2421	✓	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.3885	-1.02%	2.5375	-25.88%	0.2803	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.3113	-0.59%	2.558	-23.21%	0.2030	✓	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	3.076	+0.07%	2.5055	-18.49%	0.2633	✗	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.3159	-0.90%	2.6015	-22.25%	0.1627	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.3091	-1.51%	2.74	-18.45%	0.1147	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.3795	-2.14%	2.873	-16.81%	0.0708	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.3762	-1.54%	2.694	-21.43%	0.0840	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.4845	-1.76%	2.6565	-25.11%	0.1087	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.6537	-2.59%	2.6205	-30.14%	0.0208	✓	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.8276	-2.46%	2.7305	-30.42%	0.0404	✓	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	3.9512	-2.36%	2.6915	-33.49%	0.0164	✓	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.1372	-2.04%	2.6535	-37.17%	0.0729	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.1323	-1.59%	2.631	-37.34%	0.1093	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	3.9456	-1.54%	2.4055	-39.98%	0.1032	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.1609	-1.19%	2.605	-38.14%	0.0532	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.1465	-0.87%	2.7395	-34.51%	0.0501	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.2846	-1.09%	2.665	-38.48%	0.1183	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.5177	-1.63%	2.656	-42.17%	0.1776	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.4707	-1.09%	2.6135	-42.18%	0.1838	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.5954	-0.44%	2.717	-41.13%	0.0845	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.8652	-0.71%	2.919	-40.43%	0.0789	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.9252	-0.96%	2.927	-41.14%	0.0987	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.9066	-1.39%	2.9665	-40.38%	0.0739	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	5.0147	-1.78%	3.097	-39.34%	0.0711	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.2925	-2.47%	2.907	-46.43%	0.1524	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.2915	-3.17%	2.814	-48.51%	0.1584	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	5.0319	-3.50%	2.993	-42.60%	0.1188	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.264	-5.15%	3.068	-44.72%	0.1746	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.9031	-3.46%	3.0715	-39.53%	0.1391	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	5.0348	-3.50%	3.255	-37.61%	0.0948	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.8567	-2.52%	3.4235	-31.28%	0.0065	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.9293	-2.81%	3.331	-34.33%	0.0269	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.976	-1.97%	3.074	-39.44%	0.1786	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	5.1069	-2.13%	3.346	-35.88%	0.0089	✓	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.6671	-1.68%	3.36	-29.22%	0.0254	✓	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.6408	-1.89%	3.4535	-26.99%	0.0686	✓	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.7068	-2.51%	3.429	-28.98%	0.0636	✓	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.5848	-3.11%	3.547	-25.04%	0.0621	✓	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.4262	-3.14%	3.751	-17.91%	0.1026	✓	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.4909	-3.27%	3.924	-15.48%	0.0635	✓	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.5132	-3.26%	4.0465	-13.27%	0.1462	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.6541	-3.04%	4.2235	-12.01%	0.1194	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.7977	-4.08%	4.199	-16.05%	0.1411	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.4554	-2.57%	4.0075	-12.37%	0.0929	✓	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.6086	-3.74%	4.211	-12.04%	0.1237	✓	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.7207	-4.77%	4.183	-15.61%	0.1535	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.5982	-4.59%	4.332	-10.12%	0.0951	✓	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.6265	-4.33%	4.5925	-5.04%	0.0214	✓	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.6226	-4.11%	4.52	-6.24%	0.0167	✓	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.6798	-4.14%	4.6155	-5.46%	0.0865	✓	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.7134	-3.95%	4.9	-0.15%	0.0558	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.3899	-2.65%	4.973	+10.28%	0.0380	✓	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.4641	-2.77%	4.9755	+8.36%	0.0473	✓	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.683	-3.01%	5.1055	+5.74%	0.0415	✓	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.6785	-3.97%	5.4265	+11.38%	0.0276	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	4.8349	-4.18%	5.465	+8.30%	0.0033	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	5.0302	-3.98%	5.2145	-0.47%	0.0204	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.0996	-3.70%	5.5495	+4.80%	0.0746	✗	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.3029	-3.36%	5.079	-7.44%	0.0071	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.4204	-4.10%	5.2175	-7.69%	0.0126	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.5082	-4.22%	4.982	-13.37%	0.0727	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.2625	-4.17%	5.072	-7.64%	0.0473	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.2777	-4.34%	5.076	-7.99%	0.0937	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.3228	-4.76%	5.218	-6.64%	0.0964	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.303	-4.10%	4.747	-14.15%	0.1469	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.542	-3.65%	4.73	-17.77%	0.1334	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.7032	-3.19%	4.828	-18.04%	0.1083	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	5.8613	-3.91%	4.732	-22.42%	0.1693	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.3223	-3.31%	4.5695	-16.99%	0.1741	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.6823	-3.67%	4.6425	-21.30%	0.1683	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.7794	-3.18%	4.6655	-21.84%	0.1504	✓	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.7255	-2.74%	4.8	-18.46%	0.1247	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.8281	-2.25%	5.0015	-16.12%	0.0935	✓	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	5.9662	-2.27%	4.573	-25.09%	0.2140	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	5.9669	-2.29%	4.7875	-21.60%	0.2176	✓	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	6.0989	-2.56%	4.957	-20.80%	0.1960	✓	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	6.1218	-1.85%	4.8195	-22.73%	0.2502	✓	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	6.1204	-2.03%	4.836	-22.59%	0.3065	✓	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.2803	-2.43%	4.821	-25.10%	0.3296	✓	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.6125	-2.62%	4.882	-28.11%	0.3354	✓	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.7677	-2.66%	4.9075	-29.41%	0.2601	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	6.9699	-3.42%	4.5095	-37.51%	0.2993	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	7.0037	-3.58%	4.5915	-36.79%	0.3145	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.1741	-4.09%	4.8285	-35.45%	0.2838	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.3558	-4.58%	4.872	-36.80%	0.2505	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.4867	-5.48%	5.046	-36.29%	0.2818	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.5279	-5.22%	5.239	-34.04%	0.1903	✓	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.5536	-5.84%	5.2955	-33.99%	0.1460	✓	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.5586	-6.03%	5.487	-31.79%	0.1360	✓	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.0521	-7.29%	5.652	-34.93%	0.1177	✓	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	8.4102	-9.66%	5.751	-38.23%	0.1704	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.4379	-4.35%	5.4915	-29.38%	0.1072	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	7.7144	-6.63%	5.517	-33.22%	0.1229	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.2931	-1.01%	5.589	-12.09%	0.0651	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.954	-0.54%	5.5295	-7.63%	0.1542	✗	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.8045	+0.05%	5.752	-0.85%	0.1385	✓	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.3004	-0.80%	5.891	-7.24%	0.1296	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.7229	-1.63%	6.0995	-10.75%	0.1866	✗	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.689	-1.60%	5.5045	-19.03%	0.1693	✗	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.2683	-1.03%	5.899	-6.86%	0.2250	✗	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.3812	-0.88%	5.9695	-7.28%	0.1959	✗	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.7141	-1.15%	5.8865	-13.34%	0.1477	✗	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.6983	-0.93%	5.9625	-11.81%	0.2019	✗	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	6.9172	-0.89%	6.1045	-12.53%	0.2221	✗	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.8052	-0.62%	6.1065	-10.83%	0.2984	✗	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.5417	-0.56%	6.259	-4.86%	0.3117	✗	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.7063	-0.64%	6.237	-7.59%	0.3019	✗	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.8397	-0.84%	6.247	-9.44%	0.3115	✗	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.7735	-1.30%	6.4365	-6.21%	0.3128	✗	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.829	-2.15%	6.7905	-2.70%	0.3434	✗	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	7.028	-2.22%	6.9525	-3.27%	0.2871	✗	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	7.0761	-2.43%	7.2165	-0.50%	0.2626	✗	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	6.9429	-2.20%	7.2635	+2.32%	0.2800	✗	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	6.9967	-1.89%	7.48	+4.89%	0.2557	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.3369	-2.25%	7.709	+2.70%	0.2397	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.3499	-2.01%	7.9205	+5.60%	0.3189	✗	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.4528	-1.86%	7.9425	+4.59%	0.2600	✗	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.6734	-1.60%	8.0225	+2.88%	0.2422	✗	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.6989	-1.28%	8.044	+3.14%	0.2152	✗	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	7.009	-0.88%	8.6855	+22.82%	0.2793	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.4945	-0.29%	9.31	+42.93%	0.4813	✗	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.5918	-1.02%	7.776	-10.42%	0.0754	✗	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.8168	-1.00%	8.262	-7.23%	0.1182	✗	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.634	-1.34%	6.3575	-27.35%	0.1322	✓	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	8.9151	-0.41%	5.9865	-33.13%	0.2129	✓	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.5582	-0.71%	5.8015	-32.69%	0.1921	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.4496	-1.09%	6.351	-25.65%	0.1464	✓	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.5527	-1.99%	6.8345	-21.68%	0.1229	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.577	-2.39%	6.798	-22.64%	0.1398	✓	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.3701	-3.07%	6.3335	-26.66%	0.1974	✓	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	7.8798	-3.86%	6.438	-21.45%	0.1509	✓	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.088	-4.34%	6.7925	-19.66%	0.1351	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.2211	-5.48%	6.761	-22.27%	0.2024	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.0535	-5.97%	6.979	-18.52%	0.1860	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.2303	-6.02%	6.848	-21.80%	0.2308	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.046	-5.71%	6.5785	-22.91%	0.2271	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.5896	-5.42%	6.7495	-25.68%	0.2197	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.5925	-5.17%	6.898	-23.87%	0.2017	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.651	-5.12%	6.8625	-24.73%	0.1836	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.1719	-4.74%	6.979	-27.51%	0.2106	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.0944	-4.59%	7.1875	-24.60%	0.1883	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.119	-4.97%	7.2525	-24.42%	0.1632	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.3319	-5.39%	7.099	-28.03%	0.1796	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.2631	-5.64%	7.1315	-27.36%	0.1667	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.