TROLLSOL

? · · lstm_s3

token id: #917
symbol: TROLLSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-23
predictions: 1,587

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3725

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0658

actual -0.0114

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.036778	0.03466	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-20	oos	0.037984	0.035767	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.033794	0.031989	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-18	oos	0.033843	0.032067	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.035389	0.033344	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-16	oos	0.035893	0.03381	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.036152	0.034124	-5.61%	–	pending	–	–	2.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.037653	0.0354	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	2.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.037875	0.035772	-5.55%	–	pending	–	–	2.36
2026-10-12	oos	0.036243	0.034248	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	2.36
2026-10-11	oos	0.03961	0.037421	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-10-10	oos	0.037829	0.035851	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.038198	0.03621	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.037308	0.035437	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-10-07	oos	0.039808	0.037751	-5.17%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-06	oos	0.042549	0.040502	-4.81%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-05	oos	0.042647	0.040699	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-04	oos	0.045871	0.043711	-4.71%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-03	oos	0.044561	0.042319	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.044541	0.042329	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-01	oos	0.046943	0.044462	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2026-09-30	oos	0.04658	0.043988	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	2.21
2026-09-29	oos	0.045724	0.043293	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-09-28	oos	0.044871	0.042573	-5.12%	–	pending	–	–	2.29
2026-09-27	oos	0.047287	0.044786	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-09-26	oos	0.049391	0.046527	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-09-25	oos	0.051838	0.048512	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	2.28
2026-09-24	oos	0.05056	0.047639	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	2.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04971	0.047095	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	2.29
2026-09-22	oos	0.05964	0.055331	-7.23%	–	pending	–	–	2.19
2026-09-21	oos	0.05641	0.05303	-5.99%	0.036778	-34.80%	0.2627	✓	2.24
2026-09-20	oos	0.050383	0.047107	-6.50%	0.037984	-24.61%	0.2650	✓	2.29
2026-09-19	oos	0.047696	0.04498	-5.69%	0.033794	-29.15%	0.3029	✓	2.29
2026-09-18	oos	0.049463	0.046393	-6.21%	0.033843	-31.58%	0.3471	✓	2.28
2026-09-17	oos	0.043573	0.04103	-5.84%	0.035389	-18.78%	0.2935	✓	2.28
2026-09-16	oos	0.042624	0.040323	-5.40%	0.035893	-15.79%	0.2713	✓	2.28
2026-09-15	oos	0.042855	0.040619	-5.22%	0.036152	-15.64%	0.3036	✓	2.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.047112	0.044464	-5.62%	0.037653	-20.08%	0.2621	✓	2.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.046599	0.043989	-5.60%	0.037875	-18.72%	0.3289	✓	2.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.048266	0.045552	-5.62%	0.036243	-24.91%	0.3557	✓	2.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.048729	0.046147	-5.30%	0.03961	-18.71%	0.3351	✓	2.27
2026-09-10	oos	0.047248	0.045048	-4.66%	0.037829	-19.94%	0.3576	✓	2.29
2026-09-09	oos	0.049799	0.047674	-4.27%	0.038198	-23.29%	0.3428	✓	2.29
2026-09-08	oos	0.052052	0.049922	-4.09%	0.037308	-28.33%	0.3822	✓	2.24
2026-09-07	oos	0.048497	0.047304	-2.46%	0.039808	-17.92%	0.2905	✓	2.29
2026-09-06	oos	0.052082	0.051075	-1.94%	0.042549	-18.31%	0.3260	✓	2.28
2026-09-05	oos	0.061653	0.058698	-4.79%	0.042647	-30.83%	0.4833	✓	2.29
2026-09-04	oos	0.076665	0.066366	-13.43%	0.045871	-40.17%	0.5517	✓	2.22
2026-09-03	oos	0.055088	0.054293	-1.44%	0.044561	-19.11%	0.3005	✓	2.46
2026-09-02	oos	0.041738	0.0415	-0.57%	0.044541	+6.72%	0.1137	✓	2.07
2026-09-01	oos	0.043203	0.043249	+0.11%	0.046943	+8.66%	0.1096	✗	2.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.044504	0.044919	+0.93%	0.04658	+4.66%	0.0787	✗	1.87
2026-08-30	oos	0.047096	0.047596	+1.06%	0.045724	-2.91%	0.1725	✗	1.79
2026-08-29	oos	0.050108	0.050904	+1.59%	0.044871	-10.45%	0.2392	✗	1.75
2026-08-28	oos	0.04966	0.050787	+2.27%	0.047287	-4.78%	0.2148	✗	1.76
2026-08-27	oos	0.053453	0.055621	+4.06%	0.049391	-7.60%	0.2065	✗	1.74
2026-08-26	oos	0.051848	0.054058	+4.26%	0.051838	-0.02%	0.1495	✗	1.73
2026-08-25	oos	0.049368	0.05197	+5.27%	0.05056	+2.41%	0.1475	✗	1.67
2026-08-24	oos	0.051194	0.05426	+5.99%	0.04971	-2.90%	0.2056	✗	1.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.052031	0.054613	+4.96%	0.05964	+14.62%	0.1062	✗	1.88
2026-08-22	oos	0.054691	0.056678	+3.63%	0.05641	+3.14%	0.2250	✗	1.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.059058	0.061316	+3.82%	0.050383	-14.69%	0.2627	✗	1.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.048109	0.047945	-0.34%	0.047696	-0.86%	0.1915	✓	1.75
2026-08-19	oos	0.047886	0.04543	-5.13%	0.049463	+3.29%	0.2132	✓	1.93
2026-08-18	oos	0.041719	0.039391	-5.58%	0.043573	+4.44%	0.2146	✓	1.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.039132	0.037202	-4.93%	0.042624	+8.92%	0.1817	✓	1.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.041845	0.039158	-6.42%	0.042855	+2.41%	0.2829	✓	2.02
2026-08-15	oos	0.039066	0.03686	-5.65%	0.047112	+20.60%	0.1890	✓	2.02
2026-08-14	oos	0.037082	0.035157	-5.19%	0.046599	+25.66%	0.1178	✓	2.01
2026-08-13	oos	0.037614	0.035692	-5.11%	0.048266	+28.32%	0.0949	✓	2.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.038149	0.036147	-5.25%	0.048729	+27.73%	0.1048	✓	2.05
2026-08-11	oos	0.037296	0.035446	-4.96%	0.047248	+26.68%	0.0878	✓	2.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.038765	0.036806	-5.05%	0.049799	+28.46%	0.0828	✓	1.90
2026-08-09	oos	0.040031	0.038079	-4.88%	0.052052	+30.03%	0.0567	✓	1.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.043324	0.040865	-5.68%	0.048497	+11.94%	0.2126	✓	1.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.038756	0.036994	-4.55%	0.052082	+34.39%	0.1835	✓	2.46
2026-08-06	oos	0.037333	0.035672	-4.45%	0.061653	+65.14%	0.0089	✓	2.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.038876	0.037082	-4.61%	0.076665	+97.21%	0.2042	✗	2.49
2026-08-04	oos	0.038449	0.036641	-4.70%	0.055088	+43.28%	0.1950	✓	2.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.037962	0.03616	-4.75%	0.041738	+9.95%	0.3673	✓	2.59
2026-08-02	oos	0.038423	0.036556	-4.86%	0.043203	+12.44%	0.3381	✓	2.55
2026-08-01	oos	0.038862	0.036796	-5.32%	0.044504	+14.52%	0.3616	✓	2.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.039347	0.037228	-5.39%	0.047096	+19.69%	0.2901	✓	2.48
2026-07-30	oos	0.043061	0.040679	-5.53%	0.050108	+16.37%	0.2690	✓	2.52
2026-07-29	oos	0.043863	0.041202	-6.07%	0.04966	+13.22%	0.3409	✓	2.67
2026-07-28	oos	0.04822	0.044741	-7.21%	0.053453	+10.85%	0.4334	✓	2.67
2026-07-27	oos	0.042755	0.04048	-5.32%	0.051848	+21.27%	0.3297	✓	2.68
2026-07-26	oos	0.05082	0.047455	-6.62%	0.049368	-2.86%	0.4271	✓	2.54
2026-07-25	oos	0.038615	0.037055	-4.04%	0.051194	+32.58%	0.1835	✓	2.46
2026-07-24	oos	0.038026	0.036601	-3.75%	0.052031	+36.83%	0.1158	✓	2.42
2026-07-23	oos	0.0385	0.03719	-3.40%	0.054691	+42.05%	0.0238	✓	2.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.040317	0.03895	-3.39%	0.059058	+46.48%	0.0087	✓	2.40
2026-07-21	oos	0.044366	0.042644	-3.88%	0.048109	+8.44%	0.1020	✓	2.39
2026-07-20	oos	0.043322	0.041578	-4.03%	0.047886	+10.54%	0.0027	✓	2.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.043592	0.041806	-4.10%	0.041719	-4.30%	0.0021	✓	2.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.046336	0.044185	-4.64%	0.039132	-15.55%	0.1102	✓	2.27
2026-07-17	oos	0.041387	0.039904	-3.58%	0.041845	+1.11%	0.0806	✗	1.98
2026-07-16	oos	0.043618	0.041785	-4.20%	0.039066	-10.44%	0.0444	✓	1.93
2026-07-15	oos	0.047648	0.045189	-5.16%	0.037082	-22.18%	0.1504	✓	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.050717	0.047674	-6.00%	0.037614	-25.84%	0.1948	✓	1.73
2026-07-13	oos	0.050208	0.046577	-7.23%	0.038149	-24.02%	0.2334	✓	1.85
2026-07-12	oos	0.054903	0.050327	-8.34%	0.037296	-32.07%	0.2937	✓	1.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.054401	0.049632	-8.77%	0.038765	-28.74%	0.2510	✓	1.78
2026-07-10	oos	0.051832	0.047478	-8.40%	0.040031	-22.77%	0.1911	✓	1.83
2026-07-09	oos	0.054605	0.049421	-9.49%	0.043324	-20.66%	0.1824	✓	1.87
2026-07-08	oos	0.052663	0.047591	-9.63%	0.038756	-26.41%	0.2909	✓	2.05
2026-07-07	oos	0.055374	0.049859	-9.96%	0.037333	-32.58%	0.3191	✓	2.01
2026-07-06	oos	0.059639	0.053585	-10.15%	0.038876	-34.81%	0.3396	✓	2.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.059466	0.053419	-10.17%	0.038449	-35.34%	0.3434	✓	2.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.064273	0.05734	-10.79%	0.037962	-40.94%	0.4246	✓	2.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.06707	0.059559	-11.20%	0.038423	-42.71%	0.4692	✓	1.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.064804	0.057306	-11.57%	0.038862	-40.03%	0.4294	✓	1.99
2026-07-01	oos	0.061492	0.054365	-11.59%	0.039347	-36.01%	0.4168	✓	2.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.052371	0.047731	-8.86%	0.043061	-17.78%	0.2995	✓	1.95
2026-06-29	oos	0.054438	0.049386	-9.28%	0.043863	-19.43%	0.2359	✓	1.95
2026-06-28	oos	0.050641	0.046859	-7.47%	0.04822	-4.78%	0.1071	✓	1.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.054499	0.050141	-8.00%	0.042755	-21.55%	0.2742	✓	1.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.055757	0.050988	-8.55%	0.05082	-8.85%	0.1647	✓	1.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.053004	0.048815	-7.90%	0.038615	-27.15%	0.3745	✓	1.89
2026-06-24	oos	0.05462	0.049931	-8.58%	0.038026	-30.38%	0.3632	✓	1.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.061169	0.055189	-9.78%	0.0385	-37.06%	0.4283	✓	1.81
2026-06-22	oos	0.065839	0.059267	-9.98%	0.040317	-38.76%	0.4431	✓	1.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.068421	0.061259	-10.47%	0.044366	-35.16%	0.4132	✓	1.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.070529	0.063217	-10.37%	0.043322	-38.58%	0.4042	✓	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.067218	0.060063	-10.64%	0.043592	-35.15%	0.3534	✓	1.75
2026-06-18	oos	0.066817	0.059636	-10.75%	0.046336	-30.65%	0.3054	✓	1.77
2026-06-17	oos	0.068936	0.061736	-10.44%	0.041387	-39.96%	0.3849	✓	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.074075	0.066493	-10.24%	0.043618	-41.12%	0.3723	✓	1.73
2026-06-15	oos	0.07769	0.069813	-10.14%	0.047648	-38.67%	0.3402	✓	1.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.082312	0.0734	-10.83%	0.050717	-38.38%	0.3502	✓	1.77
2026-06-13	oos	0.07797	0.069144	-11.32%	0.050208	-35.61%	0.2612	✓	1.72
2026-06-12	oos	0.071386	0.063504	-11.04%	0.054903	-23.09%	0.1509	✓	1.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.067829	0.060649	-10.59%	0.054401	-19.80%	0.1143	✓	1.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.066021	0.059116	-10.46%	0.051832	-21.49%	0.2056	✓	1.74
2026-06-09	oos	0.071643	0.063128	-11.89%	0.054605	-23.78%	0.1862	✓	1.73
2026-06-08	oos	0.077125	0.067118	-12.97%	0.052663	-31.72%	0.2203	✓	1.69
2026-06-07	oos	0.073677	0.064591	-12.33%	0.055374	-24.84%	0.1545	✓	1.66
2026-06-06	oos	0.072464	0.063429	-12.47%	0.059639	-17.70%	0.1471	✓	1.69
2026-06-05	oos	0.067914	0.060494	-10.93%	0.059466	-12.44%	0.0873	✓	1.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.06834	0.060741	-11.12%	0.064273	-5.95%	0.0767	✓	1.78
2026-06-03	oos	0.076015	0.066036	-13.13%	0.06707	-11.77%	0.0583	✓	1.78
2026-06-02	oos	0.069034	0.060859	-11.84%	0.064804	-6.13%	0.2184	✗	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.074536	0.064625	-13.30%	0.061492	-17.50%	0.2569	✗	1.77
2026-05-31	oos	0.07637	0.065948	-13.65%	0.052371	-31.42%	0.1767	✗	1.78
2026-05-30	oos	0.08534	0.073414	-13.97%	0.054438	-36.21%	0.0442	✓	1.68
2026-05-29	oos	0.086672	0.074449	-14.10%	0.050641	-41.57%	0.0281	✓	1.70
2026-05-28	oos	0.075982	0.065255	-14.12%	0.054499	-28.27%	0.1656	✗	1.69
2026-05-27	oos	0.063912	0.054759	-14.32%	0.055757	-12.76%	0.3930	✗	1.75
2026-05-26	oos	0.084221	0.071784	-14.77%	0.053004	-37.07%	0.0838	✓	1.62
2026-05-25	oos	0.103826	0.087941	-15.30%	0.05462	-47.39%	0.1358	✓	1.44
2026-05-24	oos	0.10912	0.091931	-15.75%	0.061169	-43.94%	0.1104	✓	1.44
2026-05-23	oos	0.114713	0.095931	-16.37%	0.065839	-42.61%	0.1167	✓	1.43
2026-05-22	oos	0.102325	0.085819	-16.13%	0.068421	-33.13%	0.0238	✓	1.42
2026-05-21	oos	0.116733	0.096667	-17.19%	0.070529	-39.58%	0.0613	✓	1.35
2026-05-20	oos	0.115211	0.09494	-17.59%	0.067218	-41.66%	0.0722	✓	1.37
2026-05-19	oos	0.108436	0.08945	-17.51%	0.066817	-38.38%	0.0185	✓	1.37
2026-05-18	oos	0.113559	0.092556	-18.50%	0.068936	-39.29%	0.0569	✓	1.34
2026-05-17	oos	0.11052	0.090019	-18.55%	0.074075	-32.98%	0.0277	✓	1.35
2026-05-16	oos	0.115287	0.093058	-19.28%	0.07769	-32.61%	0.0387	✓	1.33
2026-05-15	oos	0.117633	0.09458	-19.60%	0.082312	-30.03%	0.1157	✓	1.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.13098	0.103397	-21.06%	0.07797	-40.47%	0.0252	✓	1.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.1313	0.101386	-22.78%	0.071386	-45.63%	0.0559	✓	1.33
2026-05-12	oos	0.10436	0.08236	-21.08%	0.067829	-35.00%	0.1451	✓	1.44
2026-05-11	oos	0.118506	0.090923	-23.28%	0.066021	-44.29%	0.0786	✓	1.40
2026-05-10	oos	0.119429	0.087161	-27.02%	0.071643	-40.01%	0.2098	✓	1.41
2026-05-09	oos	0.055455	0.045139	-18.60%	0.077125	+39.08%	0.8124	✗	1.12
2026-05-08	oos	0.049767	0.041212	-17.19%	0.073677	+48.04%	0.8412	✗	1.10
2026-05-07	oos	0.04613	0.038737	-16.03%	0.072464	+57.09%	0.9324	✗	1.12
2026-05-06	oos	0.051663	0.04188	-18.94%	0.067914	+31.46%	0.8110	✗	1.14
2026-05-05	oos	0.042961	0.036339	-15.41%	0.06834	+59.07%	0.8891	✗	1.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.044384	0.036518	-17.72%	0.076015	+71.27%	0.9736	✗	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.051022	0.038046	-25.43%	0.069034	+35.30%	0.7881	✗	1.17
2026-05-02	oos	0.027771	0.024321	-12.42%	0.074536	+168.40%	1.2390	✗	1.21
2026-05-01	oos	0.021138	0.019142	-9.44%	0.07637	+261.29%	1.4569	✗	1.19
2026-04-30	oos	0.017079	0.015842	-7.24%	0.08534	+399.68%	1.7221	✗	1.13
2026-04-29	oos	0.017214	0.015928	-7.47%	0.086672	+403.50%	1.7303	✗	1.13
2026-04-28	oos	0.019348	0.017618	-8.94%	0.075982	+292.71%	1.5044	✗	1.14
2026-04-27	oos	0.017751	0.016356	-7.86%	0.063912	+260.05%	1.4093	✗	1.15
2026-04-26	oos	0.020579	0.018627	-9.49%	0.084221	+309.26%	1.5509	✗	1.14
2026-04-25	oos	0.021359	0.019191	-10.15%	0.103826	+386.10%	1.6942	✗	1.15
2026-04-24	oos	0.022413	0.019998	-10.77%	0.10912	+386.86%	1.7042	✗	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.021945	0.019646	-10.47%	0.114713	+422.73%	1.7894	✗	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	0.020439	0.018465	-9.66%	0.102325	+400.64%	1.7545	✗	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.020099	0.018137	-9.76%	0.116733	+480.79%	1.8434	✗	1.19
2026-04-20	oos	0.021041	0.018846	-10.43%	0.115211	+447.55%	1.7847	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.021534	0.019059	-11.49%	0.108436	+403.56%	1.6862	✗	1.34
2026-04-18	oos	0.016351	0.015224	-6.89%	0.113559	+594.51%	1.9869	✗	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.014813	0.01416	-4.41%	0.11052	+646.10%	2.0490	✗	1.45
2026-04-16	oos	0.016833	0.015564	-7.54%	0.115287	+584.89%	1.9448	✗	1.50
2026-04-15	oos	0.015971	0.014886	-6.79%	0.117633	+636.54%	1.9850	✗	1.50
2026-04-14	oos	0.01568	0.01464	-6.63%	0.13098	+735.33%	2.0579	✗	1.50
2026-04-13	oos	0.0162	0.015087	-6.87%	0.1313	+710.49%	2.0700	✗	1.49
2026-04-12	oos	0.014801	0.013816	-6.66%	0.10436	+605.09%	1.8285	✗	1.50
2026-04-11	oos	0.016225	0.015063	-7.16%	0.118506	+630.39%	1.8967	✗	1.49
2026-04-10	oos	0.016809	0.015453	-8.06%	0.119429	+610.51%	1.8682	✗	1.49
2026-04-09	oos	0.011796	0.011382	-3.51%	0.055455	+370.12%	1.4189	✗	1.42
2026-04-08	oos	0.011923	0.011482	-3.70%	0.049767	+317.40%	1.2955	✗	1.42
2026-04-07	oos	0.012256	0.011806	-3.67%	0.04613	+276.39%	1.2114	✗	1.42
2026-04-06	oos	0.011104	0.010711	-3.54%	0.051663	+365.26%	1.3360	✗	1.41
2026-04-05	oos	0.011418	0.011	-3.66%	0.042961	+276.26%	1.1373	✗	1.41
2026-04-04	oos	0.011593	0.011125	-4.04%	0.044384	+282.85%	1.1437	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.01142	0.010967	-3.96%	0.051022	+346.78%	1.3095	✗	1.43
2026-04-02	oos	0.011454	0.010995	-4.01%	0.027771	+142.46%	0.6947	✗	1.43
2026-04-01	oos	0.012049	0.011542	-4.20%	0.021138	+75.43%	0.4053	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.012335	0.011796	-4.37%	0.017079	+38.46%	0.2054	✗	1.47
2026-03-30	oos	0.01199	0.011467	-4.36%	0.017214	+43.57%	0.2192	✗	1.48
2026-03-29	oos	0.01185	0.011341	-4.30%	0.019348	+63.27%	0.3188	✗	1.48
2026-03-28	oos	0.012297	0.011748	-4.46%	0.017751	+44.35%	0.1848	✗	1.48
2026-03-27	oos	0.011262	0.010854	-3.63%	0.020579	+82.73%	0.3883	✗	1.48
2026-03-26	oos	0.011196	0.010839	-3.19%	0.021359	+90.77%	0.4959	✗	1.50
2026-03-25	oos	0.012216	0.011833	-3.13%	0.022413	+83.47%	0.5152	✗	1.49
2026-03-24	oos	0.01236	0.011954	-3.29%	0.021945	+77.55%	0.4517	✗	1.50
2026-03-23	oos	0.01244	0.012048	-3.15%	0.020439	+64.30%	0.3814	✗	1.49
2026-03-22	oos	0.011844	0.011434	-3.46%	0.020099	+69.70%	0.3862	✗	1.51
2026-03-21	oos	0.012769	0.012278	-3.84%	0.021041	+64.78%	0.3944	✗	1.50
2026-03-20	oos	0.013328	0.01283	-3.73%	0.021534	+61.57%	0.4487	✗	1.50
2026-03-19	oos	0.01359	0.013067	-3.85%	0.016351	+20.32%	0.1043	✗	1.50
2026-03-18	oos	0.014035	0.013548	-3.47%	0.014813	+5.54%	0.0268	✓	1.47
2026-03-17	oos	0.015245	0.014852	-2.58%	0.016833	+10.42%	0.1011	✗	1.46
2026-03-16	oos	0.014646	0.01444	-1.41%	0.015971	+9.05%	0.1018	✗	1.47
2026-03-15	oos	0.014532	0.014193	-2.33%	0.01568	+7.90%	0.0719	✗	1.51
2026-03-14	oos	0.013737	0.01339	-2.52%	0.0162	+17.93%	0.1238	✗	1.51
2026-03-13	oos	0.013603	0.013275	-2.41%	0.014801	+8.81%	0.1129	✗	1.52
2026-03-12	oos	0.013909	0.013569	-2.44%	0.016225	+16.65%	0.1245	✗	1.53
2026-03-11	oos	0.013887	0.01356	-2.36%	0.016809	+21.04%	0.1569	✗	1.49
2026-03-10	oos	0.014101	0.013774	-2.32%	0.011796	-16.35%	0.1939	✓	1.50
2026-03-09	oos	0.013936	0.013596	-2.44%	0.011923	-14.44%	0.1886	✓	1.51
2026-03-08	oos	0.013428	0.013085	-2.55%	0.012256	-8.73%	0.1967	✓	1.52
2026-03-07	oos	0.0141	0.013761	-2.40%	0.011104	-21.25%	0.2505	✓	1.53
2026-03-06	oos	0.014489	0.014173	-2.18%	0.011418	-21.20%	0.2363	✓	1.54
2026-03-05	oos	0.015377	0.015132	-1.59%	0.011593	-24.61%	0.1862	✓	1.54
2026-03-04	oos	0.015364	0.015207	-1.02%	0.01142	-25.67%	0.1605	✓	1.53
2026-03-03	oos	0.015245	0.014908	-2.21%	0.011454	-24.87%	0.2289	✓	1.63
2026-03-02	oos	0.015028	0.014719	-2.05%	0.012049	-19.82%	0.1831	✓	1.63
2026-03-01	oos	0.014585	0.014236	-2.39%	0.012335	-15.43%	0.2043	✓	1.67
2026-02-28	oos	0.015156	0.01481	-2.29%	0.01199	-20.89%	0.2053	✓	1.71
2026-02-27	oos	0.015152	0.01478	-2.45%	0.01185	-21.79%	0.2235	✓	1.71
2026-02-26	oos	0.015637	0.015283	-2.27%	0.012297	-21.36%	0.1874	✓	1.72
2026-02-25	oos	0.016497	0.016106	-2.37%	0.011262	-31.73%	0.3159	✓	1.71
2026-02-24	oos	0.015577	0.015154	-2.72%	0.011196	-28.12%	0.4257	✓	1.74
2026-02-23	oos	0.015402	0.015001	-2.60%	0.012216	-20.69%	0.3725	✓	1.70
2026-02-22	oos	0.015946	0.015585	-2.26%	0.01236	-22.49%	0.3047	✓	1.73
2026-02-21	oos	0.016789	0.016387	-2.39%	0.01244	-25.90%	0.3488	✓	1.74
2026-02-20	oos	0.018878	0.018261	-3.27%	0.011844	-37.26%	0.4294	✓	1.74
2026-02-19	oos	0.016883	0.016433	-2.66%	0.012769	-24.37%	0.3012	✓	1.71
2026-02-18	oos	0.015944	0.015542	-2.52%	0.013328	-16.41%	0.2558	✓	1.71
2026-02-17	oos	0.015125	0.014791	-2.21%	0.01359	-10.15%	0.1436	✓	1.65
2026-02-16	oos	0.015343	0.01503	-2.04%	0.014035	-8.53%	0.1249	✓	1.66
2026-02-15	oos	0.014757	0.014473	-1.92%	0.015245	+3.31%	0.0696	✓	1.69
2026-02-14	oos	0.016816	0.016447	-2.20%	0.014646	-12.90%	0.2349	✓	1.69
2026-02-13	oos	0.015044	0.014747	-1.97%	0.014532	-3.40%	0.1092	✓	1.67
2026-02-12	oos	0.014501	0.01424	-1.80%	0.013737	-5.27%	0.1590	✓	1.68
2026-02-11	oos	0.015041	0.014763	-1.85%	0.013603	-9.56%	0.1820	✓	1.76
2026-02-10	oos	0.015571	0.015277	-1.89%	0.013909	-10.67%	0.1377	✓	1.77
2026-02-09	oos	0.01632	0.016001	-1.95%	0.013887	-14.91%	0.1444	✓	1.76
2026-02-08	oos	0.016504	0.016209	-1.78%	0.014101	-14.56%	0.1311	✓	1.81
2026-02-07	oos	0.016871	0.016604	-1.58%	0.013936	-17.40%	0.1537	✓	1.82
2026-02-06	oos	0.01778	0.017457	-1.81%	0.013428	-24.48%	0.1379	✓	1.86
2026-02-05	oos	0.015059	0.014948	-0.74%	0.0141	-6.37%	0.1931	✓	1.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.017318	0.017019	-1.73%	0.014489	-16.34%	0.0186	✗	2.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.017718	0.017399	-1.80%	0.015377	-13.21%	0.0521	✗	2.69
2026-02-02	oos	0.020235	0.019554	-3.36%	0.015364	-24.07%	0.0333	✓	2.63
2026-02-01	oos	0.017641	0.017366	-1.56%	0.015245	-13.58%	0.1765	✗	2.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.017935	0.017639	-1.65%	0.015028	-16.21%	0.2059	✗	2.75
2026-01-30	oos	0.01915	0.018613	-2.80%	0.014585	-23.84%	0.4805	✗	2.94
2026-01-29	oos	0.02071	0.019968	-3.58%	0.015156	-26.82%	0.4072	✗	2.93
2026-01-28	oos	0.022679	0.021732	-4.18%	0.015152	-33.19%	0.5552	✗	3.02
2026-01-27	oos	0.024479	0.02332	-4.73%	0.015637	-36.12%	0.4468	✗	3.05
2026-01-26	oos	0.022605	0.021698	-4.01%	0.016497	-27.02%	0.5079	✗	3.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.022063	0.021252	-3.68%	0.015577	-29.40%	0.5972	✗	3.02
2026-01-24	oos	0.024473	0.023427	-4.27%	0.015402	-37.07%	0.5465	✗	3.01
2026-01-23	oos	0.026456	0.025191	-4.78%	0.015946	-39.73%	0.4071	✗	3.09
2026-01-22	oos	0.032191	0.029644	-7.91%	0.016789	-47.85%	0.2817	✗	3.09
2026-01-21	oos	0.023171	0.022368	-3.47%	0.018878	-18.53%	0.6674	✗	3.06
2026-01-20	oos	0.018313	0.018069	-1.33%	0.016883	-7.81%	0.7529	✗	2.97
2026-01-19	oos	0.023505	0.022734	-3.28%	0.015944	-32.17%	0.5906	✗	2.85
2026-01-18	oos	0.02579	0.024855	-3.62%	0.015125	-41.35%	0.4374	✗	2.85
2026-01-17	oos	0.02673	0.025808	-3.45%	0.015343	-42.60%	0.3993	✗	2.85
2026-01-16	oos	0.027192	0.026283	-3.34%	0.014757	-45.73%	0.3474	✗	2.82
2026-01-15	oos	0.029237	0.028187	-3.59%	0.016816	-42.48%	0.3807	✗	2.85
2026-01-14	oos	0.030749	0.029721	-3.34%	0.015044	-51.07%	0.2992	✗	2.86
2026-01-13	oos	0.031931	0.030563	-4.29%	0.014501	-54.59%	0.3099	✗	2.89
2026-01-12	oos	0.028533	0.027291	-4.35%	0.015041	-47.29%	0.3093	✗	2.94
2026-01-11	oos	0.029619	0.028218	-4.73%	0.015571	-47.43%	0.2333	✗	2.98
2026-01-10	oos	0.029067	0.027687	-4.75%	0.01632	-43.85%	0.2305	✗	2.99
2026-01-09	oos	0.030445	0.028862	-5.20%	0.016504	-45.79%	0.2380	✗	3.15
2026-01-08	oos	0.032313	0.030478	-5.68%	0.016871	-47.79%	0.2772	✗	3.18
2026-01-07	oos	0.032088	0.030332	-5.47%	0.01778	-44.59%	0.2884	✗	3.19
2026-01-06	oos	0.036131	0.033997	-5.91%	0.015059	-58.32%	0.4564	✗	3.17
2026-01-05	oos	0.03737	0.035123	-6.01%	0.017318	-53.66%	0.0932	✗	3.18
2026-01-04	oos	0.039302	0.036314	-7.60%	0.017718	-54.92%	0.0933	✓	3.29
2026-01-03	oos	0.033125	0.031328	-5.43%	0.020235	-38.91%	0.0194	✓	3.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.032199	0.030513	-5.24%	0.017641	-45.21%	0.0434	✓	3.22
2026-01-01	oos	0.029207	0.027861	-4.61%	0.017935	-38.59%	0.0566	✓	3.18
2025-12-31	oos	0.024929	0.024077	-3.42%	0.01915	-23.18%	0.1065	✓	3.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.027256	0.026195	-3.89%	0.02071	-24.02%	0.0951	✓	3.11
2025-12-29	oos	0.026787	0.025766	-3.81%	0.022679	-15.34%	0.1990	✓	3.07
2025-12-28	oos	0.028949	0.027665	-4.43%	0.024479	-15.44%	0.1652	✓	3.06
2025-12-27	oos	0.029139	0.027825	-4.51%	0.022605	-22.42%	0.2229	✓	3.03
2025-12-26	oos	0.029035	0.027717	-4.54%	0.022063	-24.01%	0.2021	✓	3.09
2025-12-25	oos	0.029036	0.027725	-4.52%	0.024473	-15.71%	0.1915	✓	3.08
2025-12-24	oos	0.029699	0.028293	-4.74%	0.026456	-10.92%	0.1324	✓	3.10
2025-12-23	oos	0.030548	0.028995	-5.08%	0.032191	+5.38%	0.0377	✓	2.91
2025-12-22	oos	0.033229	0.031232	-6.01%	0.023171	-30.27%	0.3246	✓	2.87
2025-12-21	oos	0.03253	0.030658	-5.76%	0.018313	-43.70%	0.5046	✓	2.87
2025-12-20	oos	0.032407	0.030546	-5.74%	0.023505	-27.47%	0.3900	✓	2.73
2025-12-19	oos	0.034559	0.03223	-6.74%	0.02579	-25.38%	0.3901	✓	2.74
2025-12-18	oos	0.035919	0.032981	-8.18%	0.02673	-25.58%	0.5117	✓	2.82
2025-12-17	oos	0.037548	0.034229	-8.84%	0.027192	-27.58%	0.5181	✓	2.81
2025-12-16	oos	0.038119	0.034811	-8.68%	0.029237	-23.30%	0.4107	✓	2.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.032456	0.030496	-6.04%	0.030749	-5.26%	0.3077	✓	2.75
2025-12-14	oos	0.035177	0.0327	-7.04%	0.031931	-9.23%	0.2394	✓	2.74
2025-12-13	oos	0.038643	0.035586	-7.91%	0.028533	-26.16%	0.2489	✓	2.73
2025-12-12	oos	0.03879	0.035761	-7.81%	0.029619	-23.64%	0.2064	✓	2.73
2025-12-11	oos	0.035229	0.03344	-5.08%	0.029067	-17.49%	0.0733	✓	2.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.031928	0.030695	-3.86%	0.030445	-4.64%	0.0385	✓	2.80
2025-12-09	oos	0.034859	0.033307	-4.45%	0.032313	-7.30%	0.0206	✓	2.81
2025-12-08	oos	0.033084	0.031676	-4.26%	0.032088	-3.01%	0.0061	✓	2.76
2025-12-07	oos	0.027594	0.026767	-3.00%	0.036131	+30.94%	0.2011	✗	2.74
2025-12-06	oos	0.025938	0.025296	-2.48%	0.03737	+44.07%	0.2522	✗	2.74
2025-12-05	oos	0.028883	0.028062	-2.84%	0.039302	+36.07%	0.2715	✗	2.75
2025-12-04	oos	0.028854	0.028139	-2.48%	0.033125	+14.80%	0.2093	✗	2.82
2025-12-03	oos	0.033821	0.032795	-3.03%	0.032199	-4.80%	0.0877	✗	2.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.032976	0.031969	-3.05%	0.029207	-11.43%	0.0111	✓	2.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.029651	0.028935	-2.41%	0.024929	-15.93%	0.1890	✓	2.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.034603	0.033398	-3.48%	0.027256	-21.23%	0.1377	✓	2.97
2025-11-29	oos	0.035765	0.034461	-3.65%	0.026787	-25.10%	0.1292	✓	2.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.038231	0.036604	-4.26%	0.028949	-24.28%	0.1353	✓	2.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.039315	0.037547	-4.50%	0.029139	-25.88%	0.1392	✓	2.92
2025-11-26	oos	0.041459	0.039205	-5.44%	0.029035	-29.97%	0.1943	✓	2.97
2025-11-25	oos	0.042225	0.039679	-6.03%	0.029036	-31.24%	0.3068	✓	3.10
2025-11-24	oos	0.042309	0.03978	-5.98%	0.029699	-29.80%	0.2690	✓	3.11
2025-11-23	oos	0.03884	0.037117	-4.44%	0.030548	-21.35%	0.2168	✓	3.09
2025-11-22	oos	0.038014	0.036577	-3.78%	0.033229	-12.59%	0.2378	✓	3.17
2025-11-21	oos	0.035996	0.035022	-2.71%	0.03253	-9.63%	0.2036	✓	3.16
2025-11-20	oos	0.038646	0.037336	-3.39%	0.032407	-16.14%	0.2064	✓	3.17
2025-11-19	oos	0.038101	0.036918	-3.11%	0.034559	-9.30%	0.0674	✗	3.56
2025-11-18	oos	0.039606	0.038311	-3.27%	0.035919	-9.31%	0.2319	✗	3.54
2025-11-17	oos	0.032313	0.03178	-1.65%	0.037548	+16.20%	0.4038	✗	3.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.035815	0.035121	-1.94%	0.038119	+6.43%	0.3218	✗	3.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.036976	0.036286	-1.87%	0.032456	-12.22%	0.2372	✗	3.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.03601	0.035531	-1.33%	0.035177	-2.31%	0.2310	✗	3.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.044999	0.043838	-2.58%	0.038643	-14.12%	0.2123	✗	3.43
2025-11-12	oos	0.04727	0.045948	-2.80%	0.03879	-17.94%	0.2391	✗	3.45
2025-11-11	oos	0.047855	0.046583	-2.66%	0.035229	-26.38%	0.0915	✗	3.46
2025-11-10	oos	0.057997	0.055065	-5.06%	0.031928	-44.95%	0.0665	✓	3.39
2025-11-09	oos	0.056993	0.054441	-4.48%	0.034859	-38.84%	0.0320	✓	3.40
2025-11-08	oos	0.047953	0.04706	-1.86%	0.033084	-31.01%	0.0481	✗	3.32
2025-11-07	oos	0.052006	0.05086	-2.20%	0.027594	-46.94%	0.1708	✓	3.31
2025-11-06	oos	0.043195	0.042829	-0.85%	0.025938	-39.95%	0.0948	✓	3.22
2025-11-05	oos	0.050941	0.050297	-1.27%	0.028883	-43.30%	0.0781	✓	3.16
2025-11-04	oos	0.051417	0.050849	-1.11%	0.028854	-43.88%	0.2697	✓	3.06
2025-11-03	oos	0.059831	0.058371	-2.44%	0.033821	-43.47%	0.1306	✓	3.16
2025-11-02	oos	0.078164	0.073229	-6.31%	0.032976	-57.81%	0.2508	✓	2.86
2025-11-01	oos	0.079799	0.074652	-6.45%	0.029651	-62.84%	0.2138	✓	2.92
2025-10-31	oos	0.082447	0.07686	-6.78%	0.034603	-58.03%	0.2289	✓	2.96
2025-10-30	oos	0.083171	0.077482	-6.84%	0.035765	-57.00%	0.2555	✓	2.94
2025-10-29	oos	0.092022	0.084559	-8.11%	0.038231	-58.45%	0.2746	✓	2.72
2025-10-28	oos	0.095911	0.088581	-7.64%	0.039315	-59.01%	0.2480	✓	2.66
2025-10-27	oos	0.101254	0.093513	-7.65%	0.041459	-59.05%	0.1998	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.101013	0.093634	-7.30%	0.042225	-58.20%	0.0818	✓	2.63
2025-10-25	oos	0.084765	0.079956	-5.67%	0.042309	-50.09%	0.0219	✓	2.61
2025-10-24	oos	0.086585	0.081698	-5.64%	0.03884	-55.14%	0.0386	✓	2.86
2025-10-23	oos	0.084859	0.080622	-4.99%	0.038014	-55.20%	0.0098	✓	2.90
2025-10-22	oos	0.081677	0.078446	-3.96%	0.035996	-55.93%	0.0897	✓	2.94
2025-10-21	oos	0.08843	0.084189	-4.80%	0.038646	-56.30%	0.1219	✓	2.92
2025-10-20	oos	0.097409	0.091727	-5.83%	0.038101	-60.89%	0.3240	✓	2.92
2025-10-19	oos	0.095651	0.090412	-5.48%	0.039606	-58.59%	0.3842	✓	2.82
2025-10-18	oos	0.099645	0.093661	-6.01%	0.032313	-67.57%	0.6267	✓	2.88
2025-10-17	oos	0.085138	0.082717	-2.84%	0.035815	-57.93%	0.4909	✓	2.82
2025-10-16	oos	0.091482	0.088212	-3.57%	0.036976	-59.58%	0.5217	✓	2.80
2025-10-15	oos	0.098	0.093407	-4.69%	0.03601	-63.26%	0.5055	✓	2.81
2025-10-14	oos	0.112299	0.105277	-6.25%	0.044999	-59.93%	0.5032	✓	2.74
2025-10-13	oos	0.127404	0.118361	-7.10%	0.04727	-62.90%	0.5827	✓	2.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.113702	0.10667	-6.18%	0.047855	-57.91%	0.5027	✓	2.70
2025-10-11	oos	0.088263	0.086111	-2.44%	0.057997	-34.29%	0.2865	✓	2.46
2025-10-10	oos	0.100527	0.096005	-4.50%	0.056993	-43.31%	0.3473	✓	2.29
2025-10-09	oos	0.128993	0.121682	-5.67%	0.047953	-62.83%	0.6058	✓	1.87
2025-10-08	oos	0.135084	0.127427	-5.67%	0.052006	-61.50%	0.5881	✓	1.74
2025-10-07	oos	0.126468	0.118639	-6.19%	0.043195	-65.85%	0.6818	✓	1.81
2025-10-06	oos	0.142165	0.133554	-6.06%	0.050941	-64.17%	0.6522	✓	1.70
2025-10-05	oos	0.141855	0.132869	-6.33%	0.051417	-63.75%	0.6086	✓	1.73
2025-10-04	oos	0.145562	0.135661	-6.80%	0.059831	-58.90%	0.5697	✓	1.79
2025-10-03	oos	0.160385	0.148112	-7.65%	0.078164	-51.26%	0.4567	✓	1.80
2025-10-02	oos	0.164899	0.150603	-8.67%	0.079799	-51.61%	0.4655	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	0.152239	0.138632	-8.94%	0.082447	-45.84%	0.3646	✓	1.94
2025-09-30	oos	0.143427	0.128998	-10.06%	0.083171	-42.01%	0.3376	✓	1.96
2025-09-29	oos	0.1601	0.142654	-10.90%	0.092022	-42.52%	0.3430	✓	2.47
2025-09-28	oos	0.163044	0.14402	-11.67%	0.095911	-41.17%	0.4229	✓	2.61
2025-09-27	oos	0.138059	0.122861	-11.01%	0.101254	-26.66%	0.2854	✓	2.34
2025-09-26	oos	0.169959	0.149243	-12.19%	0.101013	-40.57%	0.4900	✓	2.30
2025-09-25	oos	0.153142	0.135731	-11.37%	0.084765	-44.65%	0.5253	✓	2.29
2025-09-24	oos	0.136167	0.123637	-9.20%	0.086585	-36.41%	0.3003	✓	2.72
2025-09-23	oos	0.142865	0.127954	-10.44%	0.084859	-40.60%	0.3622	✓	2.83
2025-09-22	oos	0.137713	0.123797	-10.10%	0.081677	-40.69%	0.2809	✓	2.89
2025-09-21	oos	0.107217	0.099259	-7.42%	0.08843	-17.52%	0.0909	✗	3.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.109754	0.101507	-7.51%	0.097409	-11.25%	0.1155	✗	3.42
2025-09-19	oos	0.121625	0.11139	-8.42%	0.095651	-21.36%	0.0691	✓	3.54
2025-09-18	oos	0.123611	0.113148	-8.46%	0.099645	-19.39%	0.1799	✗	3.47
2025-09-17	oos	0.141042	0.128115	-9.17%	0.085138	-39.64%	0.0906	✓	3.54

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.