TMX
TermMax · Ethereum · lstm_s3
- token id
- #846
- symbol
- TMX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
63.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1084
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0041
actual -0.0500
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.01012 | 0.010067 | -0.52% | – | pending | – | – | 3.22 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00992 | 0.009871 | -0.50% | 0.01012 | +2.02% | 0.0175 | ✗ | 3.21 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.009143 | -0.40% | 0.00992 | +8.06% | 0.0405 | ✗ | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.009148 | -0.35% | 0.00918 | +0.00% | 0.0386 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.008945 | 0.008919 | -0.29% | 0.00918 | +2.63% | 0.0353 | ✗ | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008375 | 0.008359 | -0.19% | 0.008945 | +6.81% | 0.0438 | ✗ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007985 | 0.007974 | -0.14% | 0.008375 | +4.88% | 0.0537 | ✗ | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00795 | 0.007941 | -0.11% | 0.007985 | +0.44% | 0.0298 | ✗ | 3.18 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008681 | -0.11% | 0.00795 | -8.52% | 0.1097 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.010375 | 0.010354 | -0.21% | 0.00869 | -16.24% | 0.1167 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.01041 | 0.010393 | -0.17% | 0.010375 | -0.34% | 0.0533 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01259 | 0.012546 | -0.35% | 0.01041 | -17.32% | 0.1154 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.011045 | 0.011019 | -0.23% | 0.01259 | +13.99% | 0.1059 | ✗ | 2.97 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010635 | 0.010613 | -0.20% | 0.011045 | +3.86% | 0.0268 | ✗ | 2.95 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.010685 | 0.010665 | -0.19% | 0.010635 | -0.47% | 0.0333 | ✓ | 2.94 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01237 | 0.012325 | -0.36% | 0.010685 | -13.62% | 0.0871 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012635 | 0.01258 | -0.44% | 0.01237 | -2.10% | 0.0669 | ✗ | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.014305 | 0.014216 | -0.62% | 0.012635 | -11.67% | 0.1103 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01564 | 0.015491 | -0.95% | 0.014305 | -8.54% | 0.0523 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.011575 | 0.011522 | -0.46% | 0.01564 | +35.12% | 0.2491 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0112 | 0.011138 | -0.55% | 0.011575 | +3.35% | 0.0308 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.01535 | 0.015184 | -1.08% | 0.0112 | -27.04% | 0.2936 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00878 | 0.008741 | -0.44% | 0.01535 | +74.83% | 0.5306 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008885 | 0.00884 | -0.51% | 0.00878 | -1.18% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.008805 | 0.008745 | -0.68% | 0.008885 | +0.91% | 0.0112 | ✗ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01078 | 0.010734 | -0.42% | 0.008805 | -18.32% | 0.1737 | ✓ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.012155 | 0.012115 | -0.33% | 0.01078 | -11.31% | 0.1178 | ✓ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.011725 | 0.011671 | -0.46% | 0.012155 | +3.67% | 0.0329 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01571 | 0.015658 | -0.33% | 0.011725 | -25.37% | 0.2825 | ✓ | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01868 | 0.018601 | -0.42% | 0.01571 | -15.90% | 0.1690 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.02111 | 0.021003 | -0.51% | 0.01868 | -11.51% | 0.0959 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02088 | 0.020779 | -0.49% | 0.02111 | +1.10% | 0.0204 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02122 | 0.021121 | -0.47% | 0.02088 | -1.60% | 0.0763 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.02048 | 0.020381 | -0.48% | 0.02122 | +3.61% | 0.0412 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02102 | 0.020916 | -0.50% | 0.02048 | -2.57% | 0.0255 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.022235 | 0.022117 | -0.53% | 0.02102 | -5.46% | 0.1085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.02379 | 0.023663 | -0.53% | 0.022235 | -6.54% | 0.0649 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.026725 | 0.026594 | -0.49% | 0.02379 | -10.98% | 0.1188 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.032755 | 0.032621 | -0.41% | 0.026725 | -18.41% | 0.1657 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.02957 | 0.029404 | -0.56% | 0.032755 | +10.77% | 0.0902 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.03304 | 0.032886 | -0.47% | 0.02957 | -10.50% | 0.1003 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03 | 0.029774 | -0.75% | 0.03304 | +10.13% | 0.1034 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.030845 | 0.030599 | -0.80% | 0.03 | -2.74% | 0.0285 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.036275 | 0.036143 | -0.36% | 0.030845 | -14.97% | 0.1359 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.04783 | 0.047789 | -0.08% | 0.036275 | -24.16% | 0.2736 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.055525 | 0.055499 | -0.05% | 0.04783 | -13.86% | 0.1405 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.078715 | 0.078508 | -0.26% | 0.055525 | -29.46% | 0.3307 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.094865 | 0.094512 | -0.37% | 0.078715 | -17.02% | 0.1892 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.0947 | 0.094402 | -0.31% | 0.094865 | +0.17% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.11449 | 0.114101 | -0.34% | 0.0947 | -17.29% | 0.1666 | ✓ | 1.00 |