PROLOGUE
Prologue · Robinhood · lstm_s3
- token id
- #747
- symbol
- PROLOGUE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-30
- predictions
- 132
Track record at +1d
assessed
43
of 44 predictions shown
direction hit
53.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1150
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0041
actual -0.0441
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001409 | 0.001416 | +0.43% | – | pending | – | – | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.001988 | 0.001996 | +0.43% | 0.001409 | -29.10% | 0.3379 | ✗ | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003266 | 0.00327 | +0.11% | 0.001988 | -39.13% | 0.5490 | ✗ | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003638 | 0.003637 | -0.02% | 0.003266 | -10.21% | 0.0996 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003952 | 0.003948 | -0.10% | 0.003638 | -7.96% | 0.1116 | ✓ | 3.88 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.004829 | 0.004809 | -0.42% | 0.003952 | -18.17% | 0.1907 | ✓ | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.005071 | 0.005047 | -0.47% | 0.004829 | -4.76% | 0.0148 | ✓ | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004837 | -0.36% | 0.005071 | +4.47% | 0.0212 | ✗ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004327 | 0.004322 | -0.12% | 0.004854 | +12.18% | 0.1922 | ✗ | 4.08 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004935 | 0.004921 | -0.29% | 0.004327 | -12.32% | 0.1986 | ✓ | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005705 | 0.005679 | -0.46% | 0.004935 | -13.50% | 0.0423 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.004834 | 0.004826 | -0.16% | 0.005705 | +18.04% | 0.1295 | ✗ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.004967 | -0.15% | 0.004834 | -2.84% | 0.0456 | ✓ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005437 | 0.005424 | -0.24% | 0.004975 | -8.51% | 0.1301 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005456 | 0.005443 | -0.22% | 0.005437 | -0.33% | 0.0818 | ✗ | 4.32 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005941 | 0.005923 | -0.31% | 0.005456 | -8.18% | 0.0360 | ✗ | 4.41 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005721 | 0.005708 | -0.23% | 0.005941 | +3.85% | 0.0509 | ✗ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005961 | 0.005947 | -0.24% | 0.005721 | -4.03% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 4.44 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005959 | 0.005946 | -0.21% | 0.005961 | +0.04% | 0.0910 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006944 | 0.006921 | -0.33% | 0.005959 | -14.18% | 0.1624 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007509 | 0.007481 | -0.38% | 0.006944 | -7.52% | 0.0561 | ✓ | 4.52 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008083 | 0.008049 | -0.42% | 0.007509 | -7.10% | 0.1408 | ✓ | 4.65 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007228 | 0.007204 | -0.34% | 0.008083 | +11.82% | 0.1198 | ✗ | 4.68 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00827 | 0.008236 | -0.42% | 0.007228 | -12.59% | 0.1326 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00852 | 0.008483 | -0.43% | 0.00827 | -2.93% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00893 | 0.00889 | -0.46% | 0.00852 | -4.60% | 0.0430 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010942 | 0.010878 | -0.59% | 0.00893 | -18.38% | 0.2011 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01306 | 0.012957 | -0.79% | 0.010942 | -16.22% | 0.1656 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.011093 | 0.011022 | -0.64% | 0.01306 | +17.73% | 0.1695 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.010161 | 0.010103 | -0.57% | 0.011093 | +9.17% | 0.1148 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.010187 | 0.010127 | -0.59% | 0.010161 | -0.26% | 0.0080 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.008994 | 0.00894 | -0.60% | 0.010187 | +13.26% | 0.0657 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.008861 | 0.008808 | -0.60% | 0.008994 | +1.50% | 0.0218 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.00998 | 0.009908 | -0.72% | 0.008861 | -11.21% | 0.1161 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.008086 | 0.008035 | -0.63% | 0.00998 | +23.42% | 0.1591 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.007527 | 0.007483 | -0.58% | 0.008086 | +7.43% | 0.0748 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.00747 | 0.007426 | -0.59% | 0.007527 | +0.76% | 0.0062 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009209 | 0.00914 | -0.74% | 0.00747 | -18.88% | 0.1681 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.007935 | 0.007884 | -0.65% | 0.009209 | +16.06% | 0.1376 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008396 | 0.008338 | -0.69% | 0.007935 | -5.49% | 0.0435 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.008184 | 0.008129 | -0.68% | 0.008396 | +2.59% | 0.0317 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00674 | 0.006705 | -0.52% | 0.008184 | +21.42% | 0.1906 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.007021 | 0.006988 | -0.48% | 0.00674 | -4.01% | 0.0136 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.009219 | 0.009159 | -0.65% | 0.007021 | -23.84% | 0.2637 | ✓ | 1.00 |