PRL

Pearl · native · lstm_s3

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +30d

assessed

173

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

65.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3636

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0876

actual -0.1645

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.0926	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.09237	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.088822	-7.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.079532	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.081769	-8.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.084431	-8.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.087896	-8.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.09034	-8.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.093961	-8.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.097763	-8.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.098985	-9.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.102612	-9.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.102742	-8.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.10268	-9.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.102319	-9.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.102964	-8.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.104575	-8.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.105803	-8.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.106158	-7.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.106787	-8.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.106834	-8.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.108066	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.106781	-8.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.106287	-8.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.105729	-8.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.112335	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.112592	-8.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.110807	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.108984	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.10427	-8.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.110954	-8.17%	0.099715	-17.47%	0.1153	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.108512	-8.13%	0.099215	-16.00%	0.0997	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.104815	-9.24%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.0791	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.106034	-9.27%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.2009	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.10319	-9.67%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.1376	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.098145	-9.88%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0238	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.099006	-9.42%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0108	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.097629	-9.13%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0558	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.102757	-9.30%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0281	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.101115	-8.58%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.0998	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.107435	-8.47%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0455	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.105471	-7.89%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.1129	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.101762	-7.20%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.1479	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.109389	-7.20%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0652	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.116117	-7.62%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0123	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.122059	-7.91%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.0525	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.11714	-8.22%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0031	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.116353	-7.75%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0235	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.113959	-8.03%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0446	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.118751	-8.02%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0017	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.124991	-8.47%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.0484	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.135914	-8.64%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1202	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.144791	-8.72%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.1945	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.158485	-8.88%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.2917	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.16638	-8.75%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.3499	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.171111	-8.58%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.3154	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.187875	-7.34%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.4109	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.188775	-7.45%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.4271	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.196815	-7.23%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.4798	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.20467	-6.92%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.5653	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.213545	-7.64%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.5426	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.211115	-7.97%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.5497	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.234813	-6.93%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.6984	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.236461	-7.92%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.6717	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.295899	-6.56%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9592	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.397694	-11.25%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.4495	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.353395	-9.45%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3232	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.352373	-11.38%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.3636	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.320282	-9.67%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2439	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.316721	-9.70%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2414	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.278433	-7.25%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0622	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.296408	-8.47%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1684	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.300031	-9.11%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.2048	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.281297	-7.70%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.0867	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.255464	-7.04%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.9267	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.277688	-7.67%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9661	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.262724	-7.50%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9516	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.257826	-7.82%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9487	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.250703	-7.78%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9323	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.236668	-7.94%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8553	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.236492	-8.49%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7530	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.241356	-9.09%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.6941	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.220372	-8.89%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5632	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.222133	-9.75%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.4660	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.222386	-10.03%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.4024	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.19289	-8.93%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2051	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.166772	-7.98%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0036	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.165545	-8.44%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0240	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.173742	-9.30%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0543	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.164469	-8.96%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1751	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.163323	-9.15%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.2342	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.156952	-8.72%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2758	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.15626	-8.28%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3747	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.161724	-8.57%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.4069	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.15923	-8.42%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.6505	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.158338	-8.09%	0.44811	+160.12%	1.0403	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.158503	-8.22%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.9047	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.156833	-7.81%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.9417	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.156382	-7.39%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.8286	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.156903	-7.40%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.8227	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.161893	-7.53%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.6360	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.152395	-7.79%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.7405	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.157712	-7.77%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.7410	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.156741	-7.37%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6637	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.161064	-7.43%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.5289	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.157105	-7.38%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.6366	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.159441	-7.41%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5583	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.174691	-7.88%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4648	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.175118	-7.83%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.4361	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.15998	-7.26%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4718	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.169709	-7.82%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.4183	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.164936	-7.95%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4687	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.155782	-7.25%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.4303	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.15506	-6.55%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4402	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.150687	-5.27%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4481	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.153807	-5.78%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2927	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.146585	-4.92%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1896	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.143973	-4.55%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.2130	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.137586	-4.53%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.3111	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.137602	-4.56%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2549	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.132212	-4.68%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2833	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.135028	-4.80%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2318	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.131595	-5.09%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2491	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.135517	-4.91%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2517	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.138144	-4.59%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2256	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.138279	-4.27%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.2144	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.144347	-4.50%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1703	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.149033	-5.34%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1347	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.153755	-6.68%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.1011	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.170478	-7.45%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0007	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.176026	-7.43%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0028	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.181037	-7.60%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.0822	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.176987	-7.66%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0352	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.182847	-8.02%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.0783	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.161713	-8.01%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0679	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.165456	-8.07%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0219	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.172969	-8.42%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0033	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.163565	-8.11%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1478	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.160657	-7.36%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1644	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.161816	-7.49%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0612	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.172713	-8.27%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0634	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.18861	-9.04%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0526	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.177354	-8.95%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0518	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.17957	-9.24%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.0824	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.183015	-9.98%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1558	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.181134	-10.75%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.1179	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.162999	-10.30%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.0757	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.158486	-11.22%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.0686	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.138909	-9.72%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0349	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.143365	-10.54%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0067	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.153286	-11.23%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1309	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.159086	-11.44%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.1407	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.168947	-11.85%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2185	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.167214	-11.44%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.1821	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.174045	-11.83%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2232	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.176917	-11.77%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.2443	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.177886	-11.33%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2042	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.184281	-10.92%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.1955	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.178898	-10.39%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1157	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.183324	-9.96%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0309	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.198059	-9.97%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.0936	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.228974	-8.85%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.2773	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.232513	-8.86%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3066	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.233351	-8.48%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.2855	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.252376	-7.90%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5429	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.250717	-7.60%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5150	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.26758	-7.69%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.4884	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.262215	-7.62%	0.178	-37.29%	0.5224	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.253925	-7.46%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5374	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.248172	-7.21%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5135	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.263144	-7.22%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4658	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.245333	-7.59%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.2989	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.232878	-7.72%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.2832	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.243279	-7.38%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2708	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.233996	-7.45%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1810	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.259392	-7.56%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2620	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.285885	-8.86%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4674	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.309293	-12.78%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.5699	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.290285	-10.71%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6539	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.2047	-7.26%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2427	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.192725	-7.28%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.1097	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.190551	-7.26%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0589	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.187519	-7.15%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0429	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.216354	-7.37%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.1001	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.208294	-7.85%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.0694	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.202143	-8.22%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0290	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.174069	-8.41%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.1028	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.164949	-8.39%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.2106	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.218688	-11.93%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.0952	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.240135	-19.21%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.2034	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.164973	-8.74%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.2329	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.163594	-8.82%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.3399	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.160534	-8.64%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.4003	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.166069	-10.32%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.2999	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.156404	-9.28%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.4490	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.147181	-9.01%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4930	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.153238	-9.21%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.5211	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.158169	-9.48%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4642	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.15585	-9.14%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4589	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.154271	-9.86%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3824	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.171096	-11.29%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.3463	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.148146	-10.41%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.4122	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.129479	-10.24%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.5075	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.