ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · lstm_s3
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +1d
assessed
92
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
53.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1542
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0051
actual -0.0290
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.042284 | -0.89% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.041702 | -1.11% | 0.042665 | +1.17% | 0.0309 | ✗ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021433 | +0.02% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6458 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020862 | +0.06% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0316 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027636 | -0.12% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.3005 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.033039 | -0.45% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1738 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029347 | -0.10% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1419 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033575 | -0.25% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1509 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.036084 | -0.44% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0239 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036388 | -0.39% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0458 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053359 | -0.79% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3338 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.060706 | -0.89% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1397 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.059242 | -0.92% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0243 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.042118 | -0.71% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3310 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.049966 | -0.83% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1328 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.052941 | -0.86% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.067046 | -0.96% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2243 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.09262 | -1.15% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.3047 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.104483 | -1.50% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1356 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.077105 | -1.13% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3153 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.085128 | -1.31% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0835 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.088673 | -1.42% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0430 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.066102 | -1.16% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3090 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.0701 | -1.22% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0493 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.090425 | -1.57% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2304 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.072222 | -1.34% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2401 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.074695 | -1.50% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0240 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.060475 | -1.33% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2298 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.065137 | -1.48% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0610 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.060065 | -1.48% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1173 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.077938 | -2.09% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2409 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.054393 | -1.73% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3160 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.054668 | -1.95% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038815 | -1.61% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3578 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.049252 | -2.37% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2795 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.02805 | -1.74% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.5843 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015909 | -1.05% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5773 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.014082 | -0.93% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1662 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015196 | -1.01% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0845 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.017044 | -1.11% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0986 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.019409 | -1.34% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1195 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001631 | +0.38% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 0.000001133 | +0.22% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.3745 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 7.60e-7 | -1.26% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.3812 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001482 | +0.45% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.6464 | ✗ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010489 | -0.25% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9627 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009386 | -0.15% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1066 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010106 | -0.19% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0741 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010529 | -0.20% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0331 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010899 | -0.20% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0350 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010995 | -0.18% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0088 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011187 | -0.16% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0144 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012653 | -0.25% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1260 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011661 | -0.16% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0810 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009569 | +0.10% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1705 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.00001038 | +0.09% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0740 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011709 | +0.03% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.1043 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011713 | +0.16% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0154 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012687 | +0.13% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0639 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013569 | +0.07% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0484 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014674 | +0.03% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0787 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015393 | -0.04% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0264 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015434 | +0.03% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0070 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015678 | +0.05% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000015008 | +0.25% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0254 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015299 | +0.32% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0239 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016608 | +0.35% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0959 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016657 | +0.41% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0058 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017508 | +0.33% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0284 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017977 | +0.32% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0173 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017317 | +0.45% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0162 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019793 | +0.47% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2103 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023964 | +0.19% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1488 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027699 | -0.00% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1416 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029483 | -0.06% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0616 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032993 | -0.20% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1074 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031745 | -0.08% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0313 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033387 | -0.04% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0850 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035841 | -0.16% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0598 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038122 | -0.20% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0767 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040212 | -0.22% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0761 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040123 | -0.19% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042171 | -0.30% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044201 | -0.45% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0114 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000045964 | -0.51% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0189 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000042941 | -0.37% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0644 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000041963 | -0.33% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0491 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.0000406 | -0.25% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0506 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039455 | -0.11% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0201 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040903 | -0.24% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0178 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000042083 | -0.28% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.00003695 | -0.13% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1462 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046724 | -0.37% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.2049 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055449 | -0.45% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1796 | ✓ | 1.00 |