O
o1.exchange · Base · lstm_s3
- token id
- #266
- symbol
- O
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-17
- predictions
- 357
Track record at +1d
assessed
118
of 119 predictions shown
direction hit
59.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0333
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0044
actual -0.0030
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.43434 | 0.432693 | -0.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.44 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.43252 | 0.430933 | -0.37% | 0.43434 | +0.42% | 0.0067 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.439245 | 0.437557 | -0.38% | 0.43252 | -1.53% | 0.0186 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.407545 | 0.406115 | -0.35% | 0.439245 | +7.78% | 0.0714 | ✗ | 0.52 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.42721 | 0.425639 | -0.37% | 0.407545 | -4.60% | 0.0424 | ✓ | 0.51 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.445015 | 0.443279 | -0.39% | 0.42721 | -4.00% | 0.0410 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.4589 | 0.456989 | -0.42% | 0.445015 | -3.03% | 0.0258 | ✓ | 0.52 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.455525 | 0.45358 | -0.43% | 0.4589 | +0.74% | 0.0157 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.46111 | 0.459175 | -0.42% | 0.455525 | -1.21% | 0.0116 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.47322 | 0.471234 | -0.42% | 0.46111 | -2.56% | 0.0115 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.48416 | 0.481894 | -0.47% | 0.47322 | -2.26% | 0.0273 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.480645 | 0.478485 | -0.45% | 0.48416 | +0.73% | 0.0261 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.47832 | 0.476029 | -0.48% | 0.480645 | +0.49% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.449425 | 0.447796 | -0.36% | 0.47832 | +6.43% | 0.0632 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.454605 | 0.453004 | -0.35% | 0.449425 | -1.14% | 0.0144 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.47178 | 0.470145 | -0.35% | 0.454605 | -3.64% | 0.0222 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.503025 | 0.501225 | -0.36% | 0.47178 | -6.21% | 0.0453 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.50726 | 0.505437 | -0.36% | 0.503025 | -0.83% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.513105 | 0.511267 | -0.36% | 0.50726 | -1.14% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.51275 | 0.510804 | -0.38% | 0.513105 | +0.07% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.5204 | 0.518365 | -0.39% | 0.51275 | -1.47% | 0.0124 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.539035 | 0.536747 | -0.42% | 0.5204 | -3.46% | 0.0287 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.55308 | 0.550329 | -0.50% | 0.539035 | -2.54% | 0.0290 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.566075 | 0.563336 | -0.48% | 0.55308 | -2.30% | 0.0179 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.52923 | 0.52716 | -0.39% | 0.566075 | +6.96% | 0.0700 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.53924 | 0.537159 | -0.39% | 0.52923 | -1.86% | 0.0076 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.543685 | 0.541563 | -0.39% | 0.53924 | -0.82% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.548345 | 0.546149 | -0.40% | 0.543685 | -0.85% | 0.0068 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.55141 | 0.549173 | -0.41% | 0.548345 | -0.56% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.54546 | 0.543365 | -0.38% | 0.55141 | +1.09% | 0.0146 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.55875 | 0.556637 | -0.38% | 0.54546 | -2.38% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.54479 | 0.542909 | -0.35% | 0.55875 | +2.56% | 0.0310 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.550025 | 0.547795 | -0.41% | 0.54479 | -0.95% | 0.0456 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.566845 | 0.564451 | -0.42% | 0.550025 | -2.97% | 0.0253 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.572975 | 0.57053 | -0.43% | 0.566845 | -1.07% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.55887 | 0.556397 | -0.44% | 0.572975 | +2.52% | 0.0071 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.536045 | 0.534036 | -0.37% | 0.55887 | +4.26% | 0.0436 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.52681 | 0.524992 | -0.35% | 0.536045 | +1.75% | 0.0149 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.54605 | 0.544217 | -0.34% | 0.52681 | -3.52% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.506 | 0.504723 | -0.25% | 0.54605 | +7.92% | 0.0652 | ✗ | 0.76 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.541645 | 0.540008 | -0.30% | 0.506 | -6.58% | 0.0605 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.54789 | 0.546242 | -0.30% | 0.541645 | -1.14% | 0.0090 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.53246 | 0.531081 | -0.26% | 0.54789 | +2.90% | 0.0247 | ✗ | 0.74 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.525035 | 0.523964 | -0.20% | 0.53246 | +1.41% | 0.0335 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.53373 | 0.532608 | -0.21% | 0.525035 | -1.63% | 0.0127 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.54462 | 0.543579 | -0.19% | 0.53373 | -2.00% | 0.0120 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.53535 | 0.534748 | -0.11% | 0.54462 | +1.73% | 0.0306 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.53493 | 0.534295 | -0.12% | 0.53535 | +0.08% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.55411 | 0.55319 | -0.17% | 0.53493 | -3.46% | 0.0351 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.56077 | 0.560224 | -0.10% | 0.55411 | -1.19% | 0.0046 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.549935 | 0.548448 | -0.27% | 0.56077 | +1.97% | 0.0186 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.55791 | 0.556171 | -0.31% | 0.549935 | -1.43% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.55311 | 0.551681 | -0.26% | 0.55791 | +0.87% | 0.0237 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.53392 | 0.532392 | -0.29% | 0.55311 | +3.59% | 0.0287 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.5311 | 0.529913 | -0.22% | 0.53392 | +0.53% | 0.0136 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.452265 | 0.451933 | -0.07% | 0.5311 | +17.43% | 0.1573 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.4366 | 0.436805 | +0.05% | 0.452265 | +3.59% | 0.0626 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.44712 | 0.446979 | -0.03% | 0.4366 | -2.35% | 0.0379 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.446145 | 0.445794 | -0.08% | 0.44712 | +0.22% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.43008 | 0.429724 | -0.08% | 0.446145 | +3.74% | 0.0429 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.44159 | 0.440876 | -0.16% | 0.43008 | -2.61% | 0.0400 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.4364 | 0.435478 | -0.21% | 0.44159 | +1.19% | 0.0057 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.51216 | 0.51099 | -0.23% | 0.4364 | -14.79% | 0.1440 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.48057 | 0.478924 | -0.34% | 0.51216 | +6.57% | 0.0104 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.48616 | 0.483848 | -0.48% | 0.48057 | -1.15% | 0.0558 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.484325 | 0.481419 | -0.60% | 0.48616 | +0.38% | 0.0742 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.45821 | 0.455603 | -0.57% | 0.484325 | +5.70% | 0.0573 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.449445 | 0.44709 | -0.52% | 0.45821 | +1.95% | 0.0068 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.455485 | 0.453257 | -0.49% | 0.449445 | -1.33% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.4421 | 0.440068 | -0.46% | 0.455485 | +3.03% | 0.0336 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.44526 | 0.443257 | -0.45% | 0.4421 | -0.71% | 0.0061 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.439325 | 0.43746 | -0.42% | 0.44526 | +1.35% | 0.0174 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.445895 | 0.444052 | -0.41% | 0.439325 | -1.47% | 0.0084 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.45317 | 0.451334 | -0.41% | 0.445895 | -1.61% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.47207 | 0.470173 | -0.40% | 0.45317 | -4.00% | 0.0194 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.467935 | 0.466078 | -0.40% | 0.47207 | +0.88% | 0.0139 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.47738 | 0.475487 | -0.40% | 0.467935 | -1.98% | 0.0163 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.4807 | 0.478787 | -0.40% | 0.47738 | -0.69% | 0.0146 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.489915 | 0.487934 | -0.40% | 0.4807 | -1.88% | 0.0087 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.50446 | 0.502376 | -0.41% | 0.489915 | -2.88% | 0.0357 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.49863 | 0.496518 | -0.42% | 0.50446 | +1.17% | 0.0047 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.47985 | 0.477737 | -0.44% | 0.49863 | +3.91% | 0.0434 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.51585 | 0.513462 | -0.46% | 0.47985 | -6.98% | 0.0829 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.496455 | 0.494038 | -0.49% | 0.51585 | +3.91% | 0.0445 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.5026 | 0.499914 | -0.53% | 0.496455 | -1.22% | 0.0344 | ✗ | 1.39 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.47888 | 0.47607 | -0.59% | 0.5026 | +4.95% | 0.0369 | ✗ | 1.35 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.487225 | 0.483834 | -0.70% | 0.47888 | -1.71% | 0.0113 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.48183 | 0.478598 | -0.67% | 0.487225 | +1.12% | 0.0146 | ✗ | 1.34 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.4778 | 0.474605 | -0.67% | 0.48183 | +0.84% | 0.0526 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.51004 | 0.506038 | -0.78% | 0.4778 | -6.32% | 0.0832 | ✓ | 1.60 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.48595 | 0.482111 | -0.79% | 0.51004 | +4.96% | 0.0511 | ✗ | 1.58 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.54517 | 0.54004 | -0.94% | 0.48595 | -10.86% | 0.0838 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.59166 | 0.58736 | -0.73% | 0.54517 | -7.86% | 0.0530 | ✓ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.6201 | 0.615299 | -0.77% | 0.59166 | -4.59% | 0.0305 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.6262 | 0.621076 | -0.82% | 0.6201 | -0.97% | 0.0294 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.5895 | 0.585097 | -0.75% | 0.6262 | +6.23% | 0.0568 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.57496 | 0.570733 | -0.74% | 0.5895 | +2.53% | 0.0348 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.56643 | 0.562284 | -0.73% | 0.57496 | +1.51% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.521855 | 0.518481 | -0.65% | 0.56643 | +8.54% | 0.0865 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.556 | 0.552188 | -0.69% | 0.521855 | -6.14% | 0.0418 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.55588 | 0.552129 | -0.67% | 0.556 | +0.02% | 0.0112 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.525275 | 0.521925 | -0.64% | 0.55588 | +5.83% | 0.0202 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.542635 | 0.539141 | -0.64% | 0.525275 | -3.20% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.56335 | 0.559573 | -0.67% | 0.542635 | -3.68% | 0.0302 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.55385 | 0.550258 | -0.65% | 0.56335 | +1.72% | 0.0291 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.57192 | 0.568046 | -0.68% | 0.55385 | -3.16% | 0.0403 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.55441 | 0.55082 | -0.65% | 0.57192 | +3.16% | 0.0226 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.558795 | 0.555223 | -0.64% | 0.55441 | -0.78% | 0.0158 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.53254 | 0.529426 | -0.58% | 0.558795 | +4.93% | 0.0646 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.55362 | 0.550234 | -0.61% | 0.53254 | -3.81% | 0.0392 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.609515 | 0.605188 | -0.71% | 0.55362 | -9.17% | 0.0969 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.54012 | 0.536924 | -0.59% | 0.609515 | +12.85% | 0.1178 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.557835 | 0.554353 | -0.62% | 0.54012 | -3.18% | 0.0427 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.558 | 0.55448 | -0.63% | 0.557835 | -0.03% | 0.0190 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.505 | 0.502249 | -0.54% | 0.558 | +10.50% | 0.0810 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.535035 | 0.531916 | -0.58% | 0.505 | -5.61% | 0.0243 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.488 | 0.485577 | -0.50% | 0.535035 | +9.64% | 0.0855 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.427605 | 0.42596 | -0.38% | 0.488 | +14.12% | 0.1437 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.457 | 0.455108 | -0.41% | 0.427605 | -6.43% | 0.0612 | ✓ | 1.00 |