NES
Nesa · Ethereum · lstm_s3
- token id
- #366
- symbol
- NES
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-24
- predictions
- 333
Track record at +30d
assessed
81
of 111 predictions shown
direction hit
80.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2227
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0907
actual -0.2719
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.11832 | 0.109113 | -7.78% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.12079 | 0.111522 | -7.67% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.114105 | 0.105523 | -7.52% | – | pending | – | – | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.118045 | 0.109209 | -7.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.11967 | 0.11056 | -7.61% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.122125 | 0.112648 | -7.76% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.138695 | 0.126753 | -8.61% | – | pending | – | – | 0.01 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.146385 | 0.132569 | -9.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.02 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.136455 | 0.125026 | -8.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.04 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.13391 | 0.12197 | -8.92% | – | pending | – | – | 0.03 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.14095 | 0.129034 | -8.45% | – | pending | – | – | -0.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.14031 | 0.12851 | -8.41% | – | pending | – | – | -0.05 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.13735 | 0.126521 | -7.88% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.13322 | 0.123165 | -7.55% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.137455 | 0.128125 | -6.79% | – | pending | – | – | -0.05 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.137615 | 0.129885 | -5.62% | – | pending | – | – | -0.07 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.14428 | 0.136032 | -5.72% | – | pending | – | – | -0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.14974 | 0.14169 | -5.38% | – | pending | – | – | -0.17 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.14604 | 0.137288 | -5.99% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.14854 | 0.139285 | -6.23% | – | pending | – | – | -0.17 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.1514 | 0.142017 | -6.20% | – | pending | – | – | -0.16 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.15126 | 0.141584 | -6.40% | – | pending | – | – | -0.15 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.16081 | 0.150166 | -6.62% | – | pending | – | – | -0.09 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.1614 | 0.15157 | -6.09% | – | pending | – | – | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.16563 | 0.156417 | -5.56% | – | pending | – | – | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.163905 | 0.153854 | -6.13% | – | pending | – | – | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.15964 | 0.150254 | -5.88% | – | pending | – | – | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.16505 | 0.155327 | -5.89% | – | pending | – | – | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.16465 | 0.15444 | -6.20% | – | pending | – | – | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.168615 | 0.160227 | -4.97% | – | pending | – | – | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.16943 | 0.161924 | -4.43% | 0.11832 | -30.17% | 0.3073 | ✓ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.16252 | 0.148914 | -8.37% | 0.12079 | -25.68% | 0.2108 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.162175 | 0.148932 | -8.17% | 0.114105 | -29.64% | 0.2669 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.15727 | 0.144457 | -8.15% | 0.118045 | -24.94% | 0.2029 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.15382 | 0.136834 | -11.04% | 0.11967 | -22.20% | 0.1356 | ✓ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.16251 | 0.14327 | -11.84% | 0.122125 | -24.85% | 0.1613 | ✓ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1658 | 0.145189 | -12.43% | 0.138695 | -16.35% | 0.0479 | ✓ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15123 | 0.136674 | -9.63% | 0.146385 | -3.20% | 0.0623 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.14991 | 0.134655 | -10.18% | 0.136455 | -8.98% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.15991 | 0.143991 | -9.96% | 0.13391 | -16.26% | 0.0797 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.149955 | 0.136265 | -9.13% | 0.14095 | -6.01% | 0.0232 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.144685 | 0.130649 | -9.70% | 0.14031 | -3.02% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 0.12 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.11554 | 0.107939 | -6.58% | 0.13735 | +18.88% | 0.2230 | ✗ | 0.34 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1225 | 0.114488 | -6.54% | 0.13322 | +8.75% | 0.1382 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.13114 | 0.123711 | -5.66% | 0.137455 | +4.82% | 0.0895 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1288 | 0.123069 | -4.45% | 0.137615 | +6.84% | 0.0909 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12945 | 0.12349 | -4.60% | 0.14428 | +11.46% | 0.1319 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1378 | 0.132546 | -3.81% | 0.14974 | +8.66% | 0.0950 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.13944 | 0.135994 | -2.47% | 0.14604 | +4.73% | 0.0573 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.13736 | 0.129654 | -5.61% | 0.14854 | +8.14% | 0.1079 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.14057 | 0.134995 | -3.97% | 0.1514 | +7.70% | 0.0859 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.14442 | 0.140838 | -2.48% | 0.15126 | +4.74% | 0.0527 | ✗ | 0.30 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.156 | 0.153031 | -1.90% | 0.16081 | +3.08% | 0.0254 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.15359 | 0.152484 | -0.72% | 0.1614 | +5.08% | 0.0349 | ✗ | 0.34 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.14335 | 0.143063 | -0.20% | 0.16563 | +15.54% | 0.1191 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.14355 | 0.149264 | +3.98% | 0.163905 | +14.18% | 0.0752 | ✓ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1493 | 0.155528 | +4.17% | 0.15964 | +6.93% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1605 | 0.167751 | +4.52% | 0.16505 | +2.83% | 0.0442 | ✓ | 0.39 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13701 | 0.142226 | +3.81% | 0.16465 | +20.17% | 0.1159 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.195165 | 0.199067 | +2.00% | 0.168615 | -13.60% | 0.2325 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.205345 | 0.208027 | +1.31% | 0.16943 | -17.49% | 0.2815 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.220915 | 0.226766 | +2.65% | 0.16252 | -26.43% | 0.3545 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.215955 | 0.201309 | -6.78% | 0.162175 | -24.90% | 0.2857 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.189269 | -11.33% | 0.15727 | -26.32% | 0.2937 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.20579 | 0.180536 | -12.27% | 0.15382 | -25.25% | 0.2824 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.21233 | 0.185914 | -12.44% | 0.16251 | -23.46% | 0.2581 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.214555 | 0.187184 | -12.76% | 0.1658 | -22.72% | 0.2691 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.20837 | 0.182439 | -12.44% | 0.15123 | -27.42% | 0.3627 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.20957 | 0.183529 | -12.43% | 0.14991 | -28.47% | 0.3636 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.20644 | 0.181135 | -12.26% | 0.15991 | -22.54% | 0.2890 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.200645 | 0.176338 | -12.11% | 0.149955 | -25.26% | 0.3264 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.203145 | 0.178439 | -12.16% | 0.144685 | -28.78% | 0.3650 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.204145 | 0.179344 | -12.15% | 0.11554 | -43.40% | 0.6098 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.20451 | 0.180126 | -11.92% | 0.1225 | -40.10% | 0.5505 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.208985 | 0.183983 | -11.96% | 0.13114 | -37.25% | 0.5092 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.20336 | 0.179614 | -11.68% | 0.1288 | -36.66% | 0.5178 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.20365 | 0.180067 | -11.58% | 0.12945 | -36.44% | 0.5184 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.19656 | 0.174795 | -11.07% | 0.1378 | -29.89% | 0.4266 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.2043 | 0.181146 | -11.33% | 0.13944 | -31.75% | 0.4826 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.20654 | 0.182842 | -11.47% | 0.13736 | -33.49% | 0.4709 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.204585 | 0.181523 | -11.27% | 0.14057 | -31.29% | 0.4417 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.211265 | 0.186982 | -11.49% | 0.14442 | -31.64% | 0.4779 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.20703 | 0.183811 | -11.22% | 0.156 | -24.65% | 0.3726 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.214655 | 0.192012 | -10.55% | 0.15359 | -28.45% | 0.4109 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.219455 | 0.196015 | -10.68% | 0.14335 | -34.68% | 0.5151 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.217385 | 0.194707 | -10.43% | 0.14355 | -33.97% | 0.5396 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.201453 | -10.37% | 0.1493 | -33.57% | 0.5215 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.241925 | 0.218068 | -9.86% | 0.1605 | -33.66% | 0.4701 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.2425 | 0.218122 | -10.05% | 0.13701 | -43.50% | 0.6522 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.253825 | 0.228001 | -10.17% | 0.195165 | -23.11% | 0.3329 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.2701 | 0.242978 | -10.04% | 0.205345 | -23.97% | 0.3376 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.270695 | 0.244369 | -9.73% | 0.220915 | -18.39% | 0.2708 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.23121 | 0.210992 | -8.74% | 0.215955 | -6.60% | 0.0699 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.22897 | 0.208319 | -9.02% | 0.21345 | -6.78% | 0.0365 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.223245 | 0.203371 | -8.90% | 0.20579 | -7.82% | 0.0118 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.225605 | 0.20556 | -8.88% | 0.21233 | -5.88% | 0.0373 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.238 | 0.215221 | -9.57% | 0.214555 | -9.85% | 0.0136 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.24992 | 0.224857 | -10.03% | 0.20837 | -16.63% | 0.0643 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.23956 | 0.216356 | -9.69% | 0.20957 | -12.52% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.242325 | 0.218601 | -9.79% | 0.20644 | -14.81% | 0.0329 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.246155 | 0.218148 | -11.38% | 0.200645 | -18.49% | 0.1019 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.2359 | 0.209984 | -10.99% | 0.203145 | -13.89% | 0.0298 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.266755 | 0.233113 | -12.61% | 0.204145 | -23.47% | 0.1349 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.276415 | 0.239643 | -13.30% | 0.20451 | -26.01% | 0.1697 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.273545 | 0.235293 | -13.98% | 0.208985 | -23.60% | 0.1456 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.29756 | 0.250687 | -15.75% | 0.20336 | -31.66% | 0.2510 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.27962 | 0.239698 | -14.28% | 0.20365 | -27.17% | 0.1778 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.252165 | 0.22089 | -12.40% | 0.19656 | -22.05% | 0.1260 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.27204 | 0.23493 | -13.64% | 0.2043 | -24.90% | 0.1470 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.236725 | 0.207896 | -12.18% | 0.20654 | -12.75% | 0.0126 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.22291 | 0.196495 | -11.85% | 0.204585 | -8.22% | 0.0248 | ✓ | 1.00 |