MOE

MOE · Mantle · lstm_s3

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 399

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

131

of 133 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1038

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0083

actual -0.0274

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003449	0.000343117	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000361441	-0.48%	0.0003449	-5.04%	0.0439	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000355774	-0.47%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0073	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000415901	-0.53%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1494	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000433351	-0.57%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0435	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000455322	-0.65%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0422	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.0004494	-0.77%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.0272	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000449444	-0.94%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.00055469	-0.92%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.1823	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000660303	-0.93%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.1815	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000694931	-1.15%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000309848	-0.05%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000316541	-0.14%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0578	✗	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000318764	-0.14%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0261	✓	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000395282	-0.61%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0787	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000399946	-0.61%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0036	✓	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000395551	-0.71%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0004	✓	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000444674	-0.74%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1281	✓	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000488697	-0.91%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0133	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000481764	-0.91%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0494	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000465894	-0.85%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0383	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000461767	-0.84%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0240	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000496549	-0.95%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0146	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000536684	-1.04%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0113	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000511736	-1.72%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0504	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000538286	-1.03%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0200	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000545368	-1.04%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0002	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000504326	-0.96%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0520	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000495251	-0.99%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0309	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000494519	-0.98%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0168	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000544313	-1.03%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0830	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000536977	-0.93%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0933	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.00049475	-0.81%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0231	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000505829	-0.82%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0232	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000497629	-0.77%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0164	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000517112	-0.86%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0215	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000531848	-1.11%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0304	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000487094	-0.67%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0121	✗	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.00051043	-0.73%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0373	✗	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000529901	-0.75%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0522	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000484063	-0.36%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0424	✓	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000565741	-0.75%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.0829	✓	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000585314	-0.83%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1571	✗	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000614655	-0.85%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0225	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000625224	-0.84%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.0952	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000616162	-0.80%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0446	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000659718	-0.78%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1705	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000624034	-0.68%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0297	✗	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000819216	-1.04%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0240	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000674717	-0.78%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0393	✓	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000704509	-0.77%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.0921	✓	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000588218	-0.49%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1992	✗	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000644173	-0.59%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1034	✓	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000587971	-0.45%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2621	✗	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000685549	-0.62%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0461	✓	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000750257	-0.71%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0831	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000784443	-0.70%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0266	✓	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000795764	-0.65%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0218	✓	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000814616	-0.66%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0585	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000678086	-0.28%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1325	✗	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000643293	-0.06%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0208	✗	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000689359	-0.09%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0626	✓	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000739024	-0.13%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0572	✓	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000709764	-0.03%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.0921	✗	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.00080928	-0.09%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1339	✓	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000888673	-0.15%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1230	✓	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001085	-0.43%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1566	✓	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.0014	-0.70%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3250	✓	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001361	-0.67%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.0963	✗	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001538	-0.77%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1512	✓	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001558	-0.74%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0053	✓	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001462	-0.57%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0738	✗	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.00159	-0.61%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0777	✓	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001435	-0.38%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.1119	✗	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001337	-0.22%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1171	✗	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001751	-0.51%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.1391	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001406	-0.27%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.0970	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001714	-0.38%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.0972	✓	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002041	-0.46%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.1138	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002388	-0.52%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0804	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002489	-0.46%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0669	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002332	-0.33%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0072	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002711	-0.32%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.1232	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003091	-0.28%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.1125	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.004094	-0.39%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.2149	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.00457	-0.44%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.1027	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.005	-0.40%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.1123	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006352	-0.60%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2429	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006583	-0.71%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0436	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004864	-0.33%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.2014	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.005103	-0.33%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0707	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.007242	-0.79%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2675	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009355	-1.00%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2561	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010773	-1.26%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2491	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013518	-1.47%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.1992	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.010234	-1.31%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.1887	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.012988	-1.31%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2859	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016539	-1.44%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2284	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015795	-1.34%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0622	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.019558	-1.77%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.1961	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.020276	-1.81%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0869	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017713	-1.37%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2390	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.022449	-1.62%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1624	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.025928	-1.94%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0362	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.022475	-1.77%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0433	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.019921	-1.58%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1343	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.020437	-2.03%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0120	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.01622	-1.70%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2150	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012678	-1.34%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.1945	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012634	-1.38%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0120	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.013099	-1.44%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0434	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.011062	-1.23%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2117	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.015268	-1.69%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2932	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.012037	-1.50%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2447	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007836	-0.81%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4602	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008975	-0.94%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0898	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009865	-1.05%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0927	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009887	-1.13%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0312	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008325	-0.89%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1867	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007473	-0.62%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1392	✗	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006792	-0.42%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.1074	✗	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007614	-0.60%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1142	✓	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011069	-0.99%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3400	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013581	-1.01%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1365	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015883	-1.29%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1467	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012259	-0.97%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2562	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010641	-0.92%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1218	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009746	-0.85%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.0974	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010889	-0.92%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1162	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011766	-0.96%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0566	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009315	-0.80%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1973	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009288	-0.77%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0177	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011432	-0.85%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1612	✓	1.00