MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s3

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 138

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 46 predictions shown

direction hit

71.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3355

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0497

actual -0.2757

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003037	0.002821	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.002985	0.00276	-7.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001739	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001869	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001726	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.002006	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.00224	-5.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.00229	-5.47%	0.003037	+25.32%	0.2581	✗	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002144	-4.82%	0.002985	+32.51%	0.3039	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001962	-3.98%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.0841	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002062	-4.28%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0614	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001775	-2.97%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0363	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001778	-2.77%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.1908	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001798	-2.71%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.2911	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002035	-3.33%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.1666	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002309	-4.27%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0055	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002283	-4.09%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0629	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002714	-5.65%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.1536	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002239	-3.75%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.1408	✓	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.00162	-5.71%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.1524	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001571	-6.76%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.1961	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001562	-7.47%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.3533	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.0023	-3.74%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0532	✗	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003011	-2.70%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.2731	✓	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003521	-3.15%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2477	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003554	-3.17%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.4475	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004377	-4.10%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.9390	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004723	-4.43%	0.001685	-65.91%	1.0358	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004318	-3.93%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.9448	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004404	-3.99%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.6015	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004639	-4.19%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.3747	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.005107	-4.51%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.3030	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004245	-4.92%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.1855	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.004021	-5.81%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.0882	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005333	-4.82%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.1153	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005201	-5.58%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.2460	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.003982	-8.33%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.0388	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.00554	-6.46%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.2660	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008131	-4.87%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.5213	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.005819	-7.44%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.3201	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.007912	-5.85%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.6672	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.005809	-8.68%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.0825	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.007855	-7.07%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.3523	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.0099	-5.58%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.7960	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017205	-3.64%	0.005922	-66.83%	1.0293	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017366	-3.55%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.6973	✓	1.00