META2

META2 · · lstm_s3

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +1d

assessed

76

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

51.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1957

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0100

actual -0.0128

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	16.1748	-0.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.9311	-0.31%	16.221	-9.82%	0.1029	✓	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.69	-0.32%	17.9865	+1.35%	0.0017	✓	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5764	-0.34%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0055	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.6115	-0.37%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0038	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.7523	-0.41%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0130	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.6002	-0.48%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0144	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.6392	-0.60%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0115	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.5502	-1.01%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0032	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.6944	-0.98%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0245	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.8113	-0.79%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0164	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	18.0318	-0.42%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0252	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	18.0344	-0.45%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0075	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.8001	-0.49%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0121	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.7717	-0.54%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0064	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	18.0003	-0.66%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0175	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.9342	-1.00%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0476	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	18.0124	-0.94%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0091	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.386	-0.60%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0516	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.1984	-0.65%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0128	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.1755	-0.71%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0039	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.2618	-0.78%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0083	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.1656	-0.90%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0084	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.567	-1.03%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0422	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	18.1756	-1.52%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0286	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.9629	-0.78%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.1024	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.4655	-0.75%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0367	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.7399	-0.79%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0148	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.9935	-0.83%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0017	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.5312	-0.82%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0358	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.5615	-0.85%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0420	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	16.1385	-0.86%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0423	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.8611	-0.85%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0104	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.3293	-0.81%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1188	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.9951	-1.35%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3532	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.9379	-1.47%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0768	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.9411	-1.56%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0103	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.9149	-1.64%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0052	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.9196	-1.74%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.0794	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.8951	-1.85%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0136	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.8779	-1.96%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0309	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	18.1371	-2.06%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0585	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	18.0005	-2.24%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0118	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	17.9191	-2.82%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.0744	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	18.1642	-1.89%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0195	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.4609	-1.36%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.7047	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.4723	-1.45%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.0671	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	18.132	-1.34%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.6615	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.9571	-1.53%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.5278	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.9522	-1.59%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.1032	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.9563	-1.66%	4.016	-0.17%	0.2092	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.9519	-1.69%	4.023	+0.07%	0.0232	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	6.0043	-1.63%	4.02	-34.14%	0.3362	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.6428	-0.34%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9530	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.9823	-0.39%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0324	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	41.0129	-0.52%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0227	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	40.5111	-0.47%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0484	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.304	-0.71%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3835	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	40.381	-0.71%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3905	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.7477	-0.33%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0542	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	40.395	-0.41%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0543	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	51.9383	-0.93%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.2560	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.5238	-0.36%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5573	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.6303	-0.45%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0701	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.5484	-0.53%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0450	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	30.3261	-0.73%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0563	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	30.3068	-0.99%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	30.3729	-0.58%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0180	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	30.3648	-0.69%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0090	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	30.299	-1.11%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	5.0714	-1.79%	30.638	+493.30%	1.8057	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.4321	-0.86%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7740	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	30.3636	-1.21%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0127	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	30.5008	-1.32%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0137	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	30.3438	-1.47%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0330	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	30.4575	-1.34%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	30.6306	-0.86%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0075	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.