MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s3
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
53.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0819
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0063
actual -0.0046
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.719025 | 0.714325 | -0.65% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.754392 | -0.67% | 0.719025 | -5.33% | 0.0368 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.768846 | -0.69% | 0.759515 | -1.90% | 0.0644 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.775684 | -0.69% | 0.774195 | -0.88% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.741041 | -0.69% | 0.7811 | +4.68% | 0.0228 | ✗ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.642479 | -0.58% | 0.74617 | +15.46% | 0.1554 | ✗ | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.622005 | -0.54% | 0.646255 | +3.33% | 0.0686 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.605602 | -0.50% | 0.62541 | +2.76% | 0.0050 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.59638 | -0.46% | 0.60864 | +1.59% | 0.0976 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.594236 | -0.43% | 0.599125 | +0.39% | 0.0612 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.606362 | -0.42% | 0.596775 | -1.99% | 0.0869 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.608799 | -0.40% | 0.608905 | -0.38% | 0.0405 | ✓ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.561685 | -0.29% | 0.611255 | +8.51% | 0.0801 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.510652 | -0.17% | 0.563305 | +10.12% | 0.0878 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.54723 | -0.21% | 0.51154 | -6.72% | 0.0483 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.686916 | -0.39% | 0.54838 | -20.48% | 0.1984 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.650395 | -0.33% | 0.689605 | +5.68% | 0.0610 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.669391 | -0.34% | 0.65254 | -2.85% | 0.0167 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.701463 | -0.41% | 0.6717 | -4.64% | 0.0640 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.706721 | -0.44% | 0.704355 | -0.77% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.719461 | -0.49% | 0.70984 | -1.82% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.740976 | -0.60% | 0.722985 | -3.01% | 0.0399 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.790292 | -0.76% | 0.745455 | -6.39% | 0.0574 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.774464 | -0.79% | 0.796315 | +2.01% | 0.0256 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.769206 | -0.82% | 0.780635 | +0.66% | 0.0267 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.759221 | -0.86% | 0.77554 | +1.27% | 0.0207 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.770179 | -0.93% | 0.76579 | -1.49% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.725447 | -0.88% | 0.77739 | +6.22% | 0.0726 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.821025 | -1.08% | 0.73189 | -11.82% | 0.1150 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.898595 | -1.28% | 0.82997 | -8.82% | 0.0581 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.715381 | -0.90% | 0.91021 | +26.09% | 0.2455 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.513844 | -0.70% | 0.72185 | +39.50% | 0.2751 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.817528 | -1.39% | 0.51745 | -37.59% | 0.4565 | ✓ | 1.00 |