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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · lstm_s3

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
792
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
234
of 264 predictions shown
direction hit
47.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3360
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0263
actual +0.0948

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos3.42193.3302-2.68%–pending––1.27
2026-10-20oos3.38263.3038-2.33%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09473.0393-1.79%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07523.0308-1.44%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11463.0681-1.49%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17523.1308-1.40%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02533.0005-0.82%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08423.055-0.95%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.302-1.36%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.3225-1.58%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.743-2.39%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.5738-1.74%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.5637-1.72%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.5465-1.65%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.5268-1.28%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.7529-1.64%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.9374-2.02%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.6282-0.99%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.536-0.86%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.5228-0.80%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.7499-1.44%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.8743-1.91%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.8503-2.10%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.2914-3.37%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.4768-3.82%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.6456-4.09%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.6538-4.09%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.859-4.22%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31965.0793-4.52%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.8563-4.15%–pending––1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.5497-3.99%3.4219-27.79%0.2188✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.5506-4.69%3.3826-29.15%0.3325✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.584-4.68%3.0947-35.65%0.4051✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.5427-4.74%3.0752-35.51%0.4130✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.5498-5.42%3.1146-35.26%0.4955✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.3625-5.23%3.1752-31.03%0.4407✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.8371-4.54%3.0253-24.73%0.3882✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38854.1719-4.93%3.0842-29.72%0.3770✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.9173-4.76%3.3476-18.61%0.2943✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21584.0071-4.95%3.3759-19.92%0.2689✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35184.1303-5.09%3.8347-11.88%0.2129✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29234.0756-5.05%3.6372-15.26%0.2526✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.2876-5.27%3.6262-19.88%0.2587✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.557-5.65%3.6061-25.33%0.3052✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.4687-5.42%3.5727-24.38%0.3160✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.2871-5.04%3.8154-15.49%0.2263✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.5022-5.31%4.0187-15.48%0.2389✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.5551-5.67%3.6643-24.12%0.3551✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.2366-4.63%3.5667-19.71%0.2457✓1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.6538-3.63%3.5512-6.34%0.1634✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.4246-2.71%3.8048+8.09%0.0378✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.475-2.56%3.9499+10.75%0.0440✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.4369-2.59%3.9328+11.46%0.0665✗0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.4673-2.43%4.4413+24.97%0.1879✗0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.4201-2.18%4.6547+33.14%0.2328✗0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.6341-2.07%4.844+30.54%0.2422✗0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.4052-1.35%4.8522+40.57%0.2996✗0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.2641-0.60%5.0729+54.48%0.3788✗0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.3827-0.50%5.3196+56.46%0.3949✗0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.5238-1.35%5.0667+41.84%0.2626✗0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.1894+0.00%4.7386+48.58%0.2842✓0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12673.1512+0.78%4.7745+52.70%0.3810✓0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.6672-0.04%4.8092+80.24%0.5026✗0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.5697-1.31%4.7687+83.15%0.4655✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.3051-2.27%4.8107+103.95%0.5793✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.2669-2.71%4.6035+97.57%0.5455✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.2001-3.38%4.0195+76.51%0.4195✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.1825-3.51%4.3885+94.01%0.4874✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.1557-3.55%4.1132+84.03%0.4506✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.1903-3.56%4.2158+85.61%0.4628✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.2464-3.82%4.3518+86.32%0.4606✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.3177-4.15%4.2923+77.50%0.4288✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.2856-4.06%4.5262+89.98%0.4762✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.2224-3.52%4.8297+109.67%0.5730✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.2075-3.27%4.7248+107.03%0.5488✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.2237-3.25%4.5148+96.43%0.4830✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.2867-3.69%4.7547+100.25%0.5012✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.1294-2.54%4.8289+121.01%0.5916✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05842.0164-2.04%4.4421+115.80%0.5409✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.9656-1.99%3.7914+89.05%0.4530✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.9878-2.22%3.52+73.16%0.3620✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.9742-2.13%3.5664+76.80%0.3591✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06692.0239-2.08%3.5283+70.70%0.3359✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.2227-2.51%3.5537+55.87%0.2874✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17812.1289-2.26%3.4962+60.52%0.3113✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.232-2.89%3.7108+61.45%0.2989✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12862.0782-2.37%3.4518+62.16%0.3141✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14312.0906-2.45%3.2837+53.22%0.2889✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06262.0101-2.54%3.3999+64.84%0.3394✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.9794-2.58%3.5721+75.80%0.4194✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1622.0958-3.06%3.1894+47.52%0.2751✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.2213-3.44%3.1267+35.92%0.2024✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.2582-3.71%2.6682+13.77%0.0904✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1792.0973-3.75%2.6037+19.49%0.1712✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20982.1153-4.28%2.3588+6.74%0.1090✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.152-4.63%2.33+3.26%0.0831✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.1773-4.89%2.2771-0.53%0.0584✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.1733-4.93%2.262-1.05%0.0500✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.2945-5.05%2.235-7.51%0.0045✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.4449-5.71%2.2713-12.40%0.0544✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.1842-5.21%2.3356+1.36%0.0546✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.4645-6.36%2.4181-8.12%0.0170✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.4177-6.19%2.3824-7.56%0.0160✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.512-6.60%2.3035-14.36%0.0942✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.2543-5.93%2.2822-4.77%0.0049✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.1918-5.93%2.2984-1.35%0.0190✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.3037-6.26%2.3744-3.38%0.0205✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.3963-7.01%2.1849-15.21%0.0986✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.3011-6.38%2.0584-16.26%0.1163✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2012.0732-5.81%2.0055-8.88%0.0371✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11361.9964-5.54%2.0328-3.82%0.0082✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06891.946-5.94%2.0172-2.50%0.0229✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07121.9326-6.69%2.0669-0.21%0.0367✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.7509-5.30%2.28+23.31%0.2082✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.759-5.45%2.1781+17.08%0.1803✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.6547-4.21%2.2984+33.05%0.2880✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.6471-4.22%2.1286+23.78%0.2226✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.7185-5.72%2.1431+17.57%0.1729✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.5626-2.89%2.0626+28.18%0.2376✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.6089-5.13%2.0319+19.82%0.2070✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.4619-2.85%2.162+43.68%0.3649✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.5368-4.51%2.3005+42.95%0.3818✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.4984-4.42%2.3453+49.61%0.4154✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.4897-4.30%2.179+39.98%0.3707✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.4768-4.46%2.2098+42.97%0.3904✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.5232-5.50%2.2564+39.99%0.3723✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.6081-6.54%2.2892+33.04%0.3585✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.619-6.61%2.2859+31.87%0.3629✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.584-6.24%2.4166+43.03%0.4386✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.5763-6.55%2.5928+53.72%0.5048✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.5283-6.35%2.3042+41.20%0.4337✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.4535-5.45%2.6319+71.19%0.5917✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.4642-6.02%2.5774+65.42%0.5633✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.3357-4.02%2.6896+93.27%0.6770✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.4773-6.68%2.3965+51.38%0.4709✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.3917-5.62%2.33+58.02%0.5231✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.3545-5.50%2.4575+71.44%0.5955✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.3511-5.57%2.5769+80.11%0.6154✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.407-6.72%2.458+62.95%0.5315✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.3656-6.02%2.201+51.47%0.4855✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.6383-8.24%2.1136+18.38%0.2726✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.4831-7.53%2.0689+28.99%0.4106✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.2729-5.28%2.0712+54.13%0.7310✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.3076-5.01%1.849+34.33%0.6749✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.2979-5.19%1.8603+35.89%0.6370✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.194-5.17%1.7274+37.19%0.6518✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.121-4.36%1.7196+46.70%0.7040✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.0866-4.16%1.8228+60.77%0.8123✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.1319-4.34%1.6091+35.99%0.6801✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.3105-5.01%1.6959+22.92%0.5472✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.2247-5.16%1.5047+16.53%0.4552✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.1718-4.54%1.6094+31.11%0.5324✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.1394-4.30%1.5676+31.67%0.5289✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.3465-5.57%1.5567+9.16%0.3502✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.2209-4.35%1.5456+21.09%0.4546✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.0964-3.95%1.6118+41.20%0.6010✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.939595-1.19%1.7207+80.95%0.8049✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.861901-0.18%1.7335+100.76%0.8908✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.878729-0.12%1.6896+92.04%0.8446✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.861801+0.44%1.6867+96.59%0.8864✓1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.921624+0.70%1.6319+78.31%0.8360✓1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.899699+0.30%1.5373+71.39%0.8047✓1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.931366+0.52%1.5581+68.16%0.7982✓1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999751.0031+0.34%1.3916+39.19%0.6640✓1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05681.0588+0.19%1.5831+49.80%0.7423✓1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05421.0475-0.64%1.4745+39.87%0.6355✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.0678-1.22%1.4334+32.60%0.5761✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.992036+0.14%1.4307+44.42%0.6909✓1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.971096+1.81%1.5084+58.14%0.7977✓1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.981483+1.51%1.4531+50.29%0.6395✓1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.915852+1.43%1.7854+97.74%0.8845✓0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.92829+0.67%1.6039+73.94%0.7118✓1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.916349+0.92%1.3438+48.00%0.4826✓1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.913779+1.14%1.3765+52.35%0.4721✓1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.88938+0.64%1.369+54.91%0.4661✓1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.946944-0.16%1.2591+32.75%0.3180✗1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.899989+0.44%1.1722+30.81%0.3064✓1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.871675+0.95%1.1338+31.30%0.3085✓1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.92758+1.22%1.1832+29.12%0.2856✓1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.937801+0.88%1.3796+48.41%0.3920✓1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.953986+0.89%1.2913+36.57%0.3103✓1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.939875+1.67%1.2275+32.79%0.2922✓1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.895935+1.90%1.1906+35.42%0.3273✓1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.905505+0.84%1.426+58.80%0.4353✓1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.904402+0.59%1.2764+41.96%0.3192✓1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.889858-0.10%1.1415+28.15%0.2016✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.979176+0.03%0.9509-2.86%0.0482✗1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04881.0535+0.45%0.86345-17.67%0.2037✗1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04591.0359-0.95%0.8798-15.88%0.2093✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04191.0303-1.11%0.858-17.65%0.2487✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02571.0116-1.38%0.9152-10.78%0.2065✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.1145-2.52%0.897-21.54%0.2923✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09261.0514-3.77%0.92655-15.20%0.2813✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.164-3.48%0.99975-17.11%0.2842✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.0977-3.44%1.0568-7.04%0.1780✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.988605-2.55%1.0542+3.91%0.0703✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.972738-2.65%1.081+8.18%0.0336✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07631.0452-2.90%0.99065-7.96%0.1761✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.984786-3.90%0.95385-6.92%0.2246✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.974395-3.34%0.96685-4.09%0.1903✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.944498-4.32%0.9029-8.53%0.2417✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.95766-3.20%0.9221-6.80%0.2215✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.922992-2.70%0.908-4.28%0.2025✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.877285-1.50%0.9035+1.45%0.1316✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.863434-1.04%0.88375+1.29%0.1068✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.802614-0.58%0.94845+17.48%0.0223✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.819594-0.87%0.89605+8.38%0.0784✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.85017-0.94%0.8635+0.61%0.1613✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.874046-0.96%0.9164+3.84%0.1484✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.904034-0.84%0.9296+1.97%0.1124✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.986804-0.89%0.94555-5.04%0.1370✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0171.0043-1.25%0.9244-9.10%0.2020✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.950215-0.50%0.8792-7.94%0.1903✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.931512-0.81%0.898-4.38%0.1738✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05271.0365-1.53%0.8991-14.59%0.2526✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06341.0542-0.86%0.89075-16.24%0.2216✓1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.172-1.74%0.97885-17.94%0.2740✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.1995-1.00%1.0488-13.44%0.2271✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.3002+0.31%1.0459-19.30%0.2368✗1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.178+1.31%1.0419-10.39%0.1220✗1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.0902+0.46%1.0257-5.47%0.0823✗1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.1072-0.05%1.1433+3.20%0.0200✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.1001+0.14%1.0926-0.55%0.0037✗1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.1527+0.03%1.2061+4.66%0.0030✓1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07171.0756+0.36%1.1368+6.07%0.0094✓1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05591.0644+0.81%1.0145-3.92%0.0785✗1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02041.0323+1.17%0.99925-2.07%0.0771✗1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01981.0316+1.16%1.0763+5.55%0.0605✗1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.1462+1.48%1.0248-9.27%0.1396✗1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.1598+1.86%1.008-11.47%0.1557✗1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.2348+2.13%0.9871-18.36%0.1627✗1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.4027+2.27%0.98935-27.86%0.2551✗1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.3238+1.97%0.9486-26.93%0.3085✗1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.3823+1.70%0.8906-34.48%0.4274✗1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.3825+1.75%0.8725-35.78%0.5047✗1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.4139+2.03%0.8073-41.74%0.5562✗1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.3858+2.13%0.82675-39.07%0.5183✗1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.4564+1.97%0.85825-39.91%0.5077✗1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.4817+1.83%0.8825-39.35%0.4887✗1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.4582+1.99%0.91165-36.24%0.5607✗1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.4172+2.03%0.9957-28.32%0.4792✗1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.4702+1.65%1.017-29.69%0.4231✗1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.5433+1.24%0.955-37.35%0.5345✗1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.5476+1.02%0.9391-38.70%0.4975✗1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.4939+1.17%1.0527-28.71%0.3786✗1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.4622+1.12%1.0634-26.46%0.3781✗1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.5892+0.03%1.1928-24.92%0.3226✗1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.6642-1.40%1.2116-28.22%0.3515✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.6502-1.60%1.2961-22.71%0.3136✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.6126-2.14%1.1627-29.44%0.3976✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.5638-2.09%1.0852-32.06%0.4222✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.419-0.68%1.1078-22.46%0.3207✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.3966-1.37%1.0986-22.42%0.2968✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.4368-2.27%1.1523-21.62%0.2454✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.5007-3.11%1.0717-30.80%0.3381✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.5531-4.11%1.0559-34.81%0.3813✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.5575-4.22%1.0204-37.25%0.4111✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.5769-5.17%1.0198-38.67%0.3691✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.4085-2.14%1.1295-21.53%0.2895✓1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.4951-5.09%1.1386-27.72%0.2030✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.411-4.73%1.2091-18.36%0.0892✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.518-4.92%1.3715-14.10%0.0224✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.4435-4.68%1.2982-14.27%0.0120✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.496-4.48%1.3592-13.22%0.0374✓1.00