LIGHTER

? · · lstm_s3

token id: #154
symbol: LIGHTER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 816

Track record at +7d

assessed

265

of 272 predictions shown

direction hit

49.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1265

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0338

actual +0.0190

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	3.8075	3.6512	-4.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-21	oos	3.763	3.6068	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	3.382	3.2573	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	3.095	2.9925	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-18	oos	3.074	2.9757	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-17	oos	3.116	3.0173	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	3.176	3.0765	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	3.0255	2.9395	-2.84%	3.8075	+25.85%	0.2257	✗	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	3.085	2.9968	-2.86%	3.763	+21.98%	0.1887	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	3.3505	3.2372	-3.38%	3.382	+0.94%	0.0463	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	3.3745	3.2605	-3.38%	3.095	-8.28%	0.0536	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	3.838	3.6905	-3.84%	3.074	-19.91%	0.1562	✓	1.32
2026-10-10	oos	3.637	3.5017	-3.72%	3.116	-14.32%	0.0910	✓	1.38
2026-10-09	oos	3.628	3.4952	-3.66%	3.176	-12.46%	0.0782	✓	1.38
2026-10-08	oos	3.607	3.4755	-3.65%	3.0255	-16.12%	0.1460	✓	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	3.574	3.4457	-3.59%	3.085	-13.68%	0.0807	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	3.818	3.6757	-3.73%	3.3505	-12.24%	0.0515	✓	1.42
2026-10-05	oos	4.019	3.8687	-3.74%	3.3745	-16.04%	0.0681	✓	1.43
2026-10-04	oos	3.665	3.5303	-3.68%	3.838	+4.72%	0.1328	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	3.567	3.4381	-3.61%	3.637	+1.96%	0.0887	✗	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	3.545	3.4169	-3.61%	3.628	+2.34%	0.0951	✗	1.50
2026-10-01	oos	3.806	3.6583	-3.88%	3.607	-5.23%	0.0423	✗	1.49
2026-09-30	oos	3.948	3.7901	-4.00%	3.574	-9.47%	0.0536	✓	1.51
2026-09-29	oos	3.926	3.7701	-3.97%	3.818	-2.75%	0.0207	✓	1.48
2026-09-28	oos	4.445	4.282	-3.67%	4.019	-9.58%	0.1045	✓	1.52
2026-09-27	oos	4.655	4.4905	-3.53%	3.665	-21.27%	0.2385	✓	1.48
2026-09-26	oos	4.8445	4.6751	-3.50%	3.567	-26.37%	0.2762	✓	1.48
2026-09-25	oos	4.8545	4.6833	-3.53%	3.545	-26.97%	0.2857	✓	1.48
2026-09-24	oos	5.071	4.8859	-3.65%	3.806	-24.95%	0.2579	✓	1.48
2026-09-23	oos	5.309	5.1008	-3.92%	3.948	-25.64%	0.2417	✓	1.48
2026-09-22	oos	5.0675	4.8889	-3.52%	3.926	-22.53%	0.1727	✓	1.55
2026-09-21	oos	4.7405	4.5813	-3.36%	4.445	-6.23%	0.0228	✓	1.44
2026-09-20	oos	4.778	4.6071	-3.58%	4.655	-2.57%	0.0558	✓	1.66
2026-09-19	oos	4.8145	4.6429	-3.56%	4.8445	+0.62%	0.0212	✓	1.66
2026-09-18	oos	4.7725	4.6045	-3.52%	4.8545	+1.72%	0.0114	✓	1.65
2026-09-17	oos	4.816	4.6343	-3.77%	5.071	+5.29%	0.0934	✓	1.83
2026-09-16	oos	4.605	4.4516	-3.33%	5.309	+15.29%	0.0103	✓	1.82
2026-09-15	oos	4.0195	3.9227	-2.41%	5.0675	+26.07%	0.0171	✓	1.82
2026-09-14	oos	4.3875	4.2665	-2.76%	4.7405	+8.05%	0.0759	✓	1.77
2026-09-13	oos	4.1115	4.016	-2.32%	4.778	+16.21%	0.0774	✗	1.74
2026-09-12	oos	4.217	4.1199	-2.30%	4.8145	+14.17%	0.0688	✗	1.74
2026-09-11	oos	4.353	4.2556	-2.24%	4.7725	+9.64%	0.0344	✗	1.73
2026-09-10	oos	4.2905	4.1992	-2.13%	4.816	+12.25%	0.1413	✗	1.74
2026-09-09	oos	4.5275	4.4193	-2.39%	4.605	+1.71%	0.0889	✗	1.73
2026-09-08	oos	4.826	4.6856	-2.91%	4.0195	-16.71%	0.0879	✓	1.76
2026-09-07	oos	4.7225	4.5928	-2.75%	4.3875	-7.09%	0.0248	✓	1.79
2026-09-06	oos	4.516	4.4021	-2.52%	4.1115	-8.96%	0.0105	✓	1.75
2026-09-05	oos	4.754	4.6135	-2.95%	4.217	-11.30%	0.0325	✓	1.75
2026-09-04	oos	4.823	4.6651	-3.27%	4.353	-9.74%	0.0166	✓	1.68
2026-09-03	oos	4.441	4.3246	-2.62%	4.2905	-3.39%	0.0974	✗	1.76
2026-09-02	oos	3.792	3.7115	-2.12%	4.5275	+19.40%	0.1794	✗	1.54
2026-09-01	oos	3.52	3.4485	-2.03%	4.826	+37.10%	0.3148	✗	1.58
2026-08-31	oos	3.565	3.4911	-2.07%	4.7225	+32.47%	0.2928	✗	1.39
2026-08-30	oos	3.531	3.4557	-2.13%	4.516	+27.90%	0.2361	✗	0.93
2026-08-29	oos	3.554	3.4763	-2.19%	4.754	+33.76%	0.2941	✗	0.94
2026-08-28	oos	3.497	3.4184	-2.25%	4.823	+37.92%	0.3224	✗	0.94
2026-08-27	oos	3.711	3.6233	-2.36%	4.441	+19.67%	0.1923	✗	0.91
2026-08-26	oos	3.453	3.3681	-2.46%	3.792	+9.82%	0.1381	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	3.285	3.1998	-2.59%	3.52	+7.15%	0.1080	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	3.401	3.3036	-2.87%	3.565	+4.82%	0.0809	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	3.578	3.4586	-3.34%	3.531	-1.31%	0.0215	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	3.187	3.0801	-3.36%	3.554	+11.52%	0.1283	✗	0.97
2026-08-21	oos	3.128	3.0234	-3.34%	3.497	+11.80%	0.1517	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	2.669	2.5715	-3.65%	3.711	+39.04%	0.2877	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	2.602	2.5009	-3.88%	3.453	+32.71%	0.1894	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	2.359	2.2664	-3.93%	3.285	+39.25%	0.1822	✗	0.97
2026-08-17	oos	2.332	2.2397	-3.96%	3.401	+45.84%	0.2120	✗	1.01
2026-08-16	oos	2.276	2.1836	-4.06%	3.578	+57.21%	0.2757	✗	1.03
2026-08-15	oos	2.266	2.1738	-4.07%	3.187	+40.64%	0.1789	✗	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	2.234	2.1421	-4.11%	3.128	+40.02%	0.1566	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	2.271	2.1766	-4.16%	2.669	+17.53%	0.0623	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	2.335	2.2354	-4.26%	2.602	+11.43%	0.0584	✗	1.05
2026-08-11	oos	2.418	2.3108	-4.43%	2.359	-2.44%	0.0020	✓	1.04
2026-08-10	oos	2.383	2.278	-4.41%	2.332	-2.14%	0.0142	✓	1.05
2026-08-09	oos	2.304	2.2053	-4.28%	2.276	-1.22%	0.0661	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	2.282	2.1831	-4.33%	2.266	-0.70%	0.0699	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	2.2975	2.1954	-4.45%	2.234	-2.76%	0.0500	✗	1.09
2026-08-06	oos	2.371	2.2585	-4.75%	2.271	-4.22%	0.0200	✓	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	2.186	2.0878	-4.49%	2.335	+6.82%	0.1327	✗	1.12
2026-08-04	oos	2.056	1.9648	-4.44%	2.418	+17.61%	0.2163	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	2.0035	1.9155	-4.39%	2.383	+18.94%	0.2109	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	2.038	1.9479	-4.42%	2.304	+13.05%	0.1450	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	2.018	1.9299	-4.36%	2.282	+13.08%	0.1318	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	2.068	1.9774	-4.38%	2.2975	+11.10%	0.1155	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	2.281	2.1818	-4.35%	2.371	+3.95%	0.0901	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	2.179	2.0846	-4.33%	2.186	+0.32%	0.0369	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	2.301	2.2001	-4.38%	2.056	-10.65%	0.0708	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	2.129	2.0392	-4.22%	2.0035	-5.89%	0.0143	✓	0.93
2026-07-26	oos	2.145	2.0577	-4.07%	2.038	-4.99%	0.0165	✓	0.92
2026-07-25	oos	2.064	1.9822	-3.96%	2.018	-2.23%	0.0404	✓	0.93
2026-07-24	oos	2.0315	1.9537	-3.83%	2.068	+1.80%	0.0750	✗	0.91
2026-07-23	oos	2.1585	2.0771	-3.77%	2.281	+5.68%	0.0981	✗	0.88
2026-07-22	oos	2.305	2.2199	-3.69%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0099	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	2.344	2.2578	-3.68%	2.301	-1.83%	0.0536	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	2.179	2.0987	-3.69%	2.129	-2.29%	0.0324	✓	0.77
2026-07-19	oos	2.209	2.1276	-3.69%	2.145	-2.90%	0.0003	✓	0.77
2026-07-18	oos	2.257	2.1747	-3.65%	2.064	-8.55%	0.0464	✓	0.75
2026-07-17	oos	2.288	2.2025	-3.74%	2.0315	-11.21%	0.0833	✓	0.84
2026-07-16	oos	2.285	2.1988	-3.77%	2.1585	-5.54%	0.0359	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	2.414	2.3211	-3.85%	2.305	-4.52%	0.0243	✓	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	2.595	2.4868	-4.17%	2.344	-9.67%	0.0782	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	2.305	2.2116	-4.05%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0477	✓	0.71
2026-07-12	oos	2.63	2.5086	-4.62%	2.209	-16.01%	0.1364	✓	0.63
2026-07-11	oos	2.577	2.4583	-4.60%	2.257	-12.42%	0.0955	✓	0.63
2026-07-10	oos	2.688	2.5552	-4.94%	2.288	-14.88%	0.1079	✓	0.70
2026-07-09	oos	2.396	2.2857	-4.60%	2.285	-4.63%	0.0065	✓	0.66
2026-07-08	oos	2.3285	2.218	-4.75%	2.414	+3.67%	0.0571	✗	0.71
2026-07-07	oos	2.459	2.3337	-5.09%	2.595	+5.53%	0.0884	✗	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	2.578	2.4314	-5.69%	2.305	-10.59%	0.0344	✓	0.69
2026-07-05	oos	2.462	2.3236	-5.62%	2.63	+6.82%	0.1222	✗	0.69
2026-07-04	oos	2.199	2.0856	-5.16%	2.577	+17.19%	0.2044	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	2.118	2.0055	-5.31%	2.688	+26.91%	0.2762	✗	0.66
2026-07-02	oos	2.067	1.9478	-5.77%	2.396	+15.92%	0.1894	✗	0.65
2026-07-01	oos	2.074	1.9346	-6.72%	2.3285	+12.27%	0.1601	✗	0.68
2026-06-30	oos	1.85	1.7391	-5.99%	2.459	+32.92%	0.3010	✗	0.58
2026-06-29	oos	1.861	1.7523	-5.84%	2.578	+38.53%	0.3504	✗	0.58
2026-06-28	oos	1.731	1.6422	-5.13%	2.462	+42.23%	0.3654	✗	0.59
2026-06-27	oos	1.72	1.6327	-5.07%	2.199	+27.85%	0.2682	✗	0.58
2026-06-26	oos	1.825	1.7157	-5.99%	2.118	+16.05%	0.1867	✗	0.58
2026-06-25	oos	1.609	1.5378	-4.43%	2.067	+28.46%	0.2793	✗	0.56
2026-06-24	oos	1.697	1.6092	-5.17%	2.074	+22.22%	0.2631	✗	0.55
2026-06-23	oos	1.504	1.4489	-3.66%	1.85	+23.01%	0.2934	✗	0.72
2026-06-22	oos	1.611	1.5446	-4.12%	1.861	+15.52%	0.2277	✗	0.68
2026-06-21	oos	1.567	1.5067	-3.85%	1.731	+10.47%	0.1797	✗	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	1.558	1.5018	-3.61%	1.72	+10.40%	0.1802	✗	0.64
2026-06-19	oos	1.544	1.4909	-3.44%	1.825	+18.20%	0.2410	✗	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	1.613	1.5503	-3.89%	1.609	-0.25%	0.0737	✗	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	1.72	1.646	-4.30%	1.697	-1.34%	0.0659	✗	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	1.734	1.6616	-4.17%	1.504	-13.26%	0.0698	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	1.688	1.6219	-3.91%	1.611	-4.56%	0.0181	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	1.684	1.6178	-3.93%	1.567	-6.95%	0.0065	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	1.629	1.5704	-3.60%	1.558	-4.36%	0.0057	✓	0.69
2026-06-12	oos	1.537	1.4941	-2.79%	1.544	+0.46%	0.0335	✗	0.65
2026-06-11	oos	1.558	1.5131	-2.88%	1.613	+3.53%	0.0710	✗	0.65
2026-06-10	oos	1.392	1.3617	-2.18%	1.72	+23.56%	0.2071	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	1.584	1.537	-2.97%	1.734	+9.47%	0.0861	✗	0.56
2026-06-08	oos	1.467	1.4284	-2.63%	1.688	+15.06%	0.1368	✗	0.61
2026-06-07	oos	1.433	1.3956	-2.61%	1.684	+17.52%	0.1648	✗	0.62
2026-06-06	oos	1.425	1.3882	-2.58%	1.629	+14.32%	0.1246	✗	0.62
2026-06-05	oos	1.503	1.4567	-3.08%	1.537	+2.26%	0.0270	✓	0.66
2026-06-04	oos	1.466	1.4183	-3.25%	1.558	+6.28%	0.0967	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	1.781	1.6834	-5.48%	1.392	-21.84%	0.1592	✓	0.75
2026-06-02	oos	1.606	1.538	-4.23%	1.584	-1.37%	0.1039	✗	0.96
2026-06-01	oos	1.336	1.2981	-2.84%	1.467	+9.81%	0.2968	✗	1.42
2026-05-31	oos	1.377	1.3345	-3.08%	1.433	+4.07%	0.2877	✗	1.44
2026-05-30	oos	1.3695	1.3251	-3.24%	1.425	+4.05%	0.3346	✗	1.36
2026-05-29	oos	1.262	1.2213	-3.22%	1.503	+19.10%	0.4552	✗	1.35
2026-05-28	oos	1.174	1.1385	-3.03%	1.466	+24.87%	0.4441	✗	1.35
2026-05-27	oos	1.128	1.0928	-3.12%	1.781	+57.89%	0.6937	✗	1.38
2026-05-26	oos	1.184	1.1448	-3.31%	1.606	+35.64%	0.5151	✗	1.37
2026-05-25	oos	1.384	1.3286	-4.00%	1.336	-3.47%	0.1030	✗	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	1.295	1.2413	-4.15%	1.377	+6.33%	0.1582	✗	1.21
2026-05-23	oos	1.2265	1.1752	-4.19%	1.3695	+11.66%	0.1984	✗	1.19
2026-05-22	oos	1.186	1.1313	-4.62%	1.262	+6.41%	0.1424	✗	1.18
2026-05-21	oos	1.431	1.3421	-6.21%	1.174	-17.96%	0.0762	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	1.278	1.2048	-5.73%	1.128	-11.74%	0.0205	✓	1.09
2026-05-19	oos	1.134	1.0779	-4.95%	1.184	+4.41%	0.1071	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.954	0.916054	-3.98%	1.384	+45.07%	0.4082	✗	1.12
2026-05-17	oos	0.8635	0.833963	-3.42%	1.295	+49.97%	0.4465	✗	1.15
2026-05-16	oos	0.8775	0.847901	-3.37%	1.2265	+39.77%	0.3908	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.857	0.828649	-3.31%	1.186	+38.39%	0.4123	✗	1.15
2026-05-14	oos	0.915	0.88569	-3.20%	1.431	+56.39%	0.5304	✗	1.14
2026-05-13	oos	0.898	0.86848	-3.29%	1.278	+42.32%	0.4142	✗	1.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.9265	0.896828	-3.20%	1.134	+22.40%	0.2911	✗	1.19
2026-05-11	oos	0.9995	0.966282	-3.32%	0.954	-4.55%	0.0579	✗	1.17
2026-05-10	oos	1.059	1.0207	-3.61%	0.8635	-18.46%	0.0967	✓	1.17
2026-05-09	oos	1.053	1.0126	-3.84%	0.8775	-16.67%	0.1052	✓	1.18
2026-05-08	oos	1.077	1.033	-4.09%	0.857	-20.43%	0.1700	✓	1.18
2026-05-07	oos	0.989	0.952894	-3.65%	0.915	-7.48%	0.0562	✓	1.17
2026-05-06	oos	0.954	0.923099	-3.24%	0.898	-5.87%	0.0055	✓	1.23
2026-05-05	oos	0.966	0.933324	-3.38%	0.9265	-4.09%	0.0019	✓	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.906	0.877869	-3.10%	0.9995	+10.32%	0.1069	✗	0.99
2026-05-03	oos	0.923	0.893647	-3.18%	1.059	+14.73%	0.1242	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.908	0.880375	-3.04%	1.053	+15.97%	0.1539	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.903	0.876573	-2.93%	1.077	+19.27%	0.1808	✗	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.8845	0.858769	-2.91%	0.989	+11.81%	0.0923	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.9475	0.919136	-2.99%	0.954	+0.69%	0.0378	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.897	0.872544	-2.73%	0.966	+7.69%	0.0359	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8635	0.841511	-2.55%	0.906	+4.92%	0.0379	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.913	0.89146	-2.36%	0.923	+1.10%	0.0364	✗	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.93	0.908597	-2.30%	0.908	-2.37%	0.0160	✓	1.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.9475	0.927194	-2.14%	0.903	-4.70%	0.0383	✓	1.20
2026-04-23	oos	0.9245	0.906749	-1.92%	0.8845	-4.33%	0.0058	✓	1.20
2026-04-22	oos	0.8805	0.864755	-1.79%	0.9475	+7.61%	0.1295	✗	1.20
2026-04-21	oos	0.8975	0.882251	-1.70%	0.897	-0.06%	0.0171	✓	1.21
2026-04-20	oos	0.9005	0.886039	-1.61%	0.8635	-4.11%	0.0496	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.89	0.87675	-1.49%	0.913	+2.58%	0.0358	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.976	0.960566	-1.58%	0.93	-4.71%	0.0620	✓	1.19
2026-04-17	oos	1.0495	1.0314	-1.72%	0.9475	-9.72%	0.0905	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	1.043	1.0236	-1.86%	0.9245	-11.36%	0.1505	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	1.0425	1.0224	-1.93%	0.8805	-15.54%	0.2021	✓	1.19
2026-04-14	oos	1.0235	1.0034	-1.97%	0.8975	-12.31%	0.1459	✓	1.19
2026-04-13	oos	1.1435	1.115	-2.49%	0.9005	-21.25%	0.2362	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	1.094	1.0662	-2.54%	0.89	-18.65%	0.2316	✓	1.20
2026-04-11	oos	1.206	1.1682	-3.13%	0.976	-19.07%	0.2219	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	1.136	1.1035	-2.86%	1.0495	-7.61%	0.1146	✓	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	1.016	0.99176	-2.39%	1.043	+2.66%	0.0026	✓	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.999	0.974486	-2.45%	1.0425	+4.35%	0.0081	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	1.073	1.0427	-2.82%	1.0235	-4.61%	0.0544	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	1.0245	0.997632	-2.62%	1.1435	+11.62%	0.0466	✗	1.15
2026-04-05	oos	1.0095	0.983312	-2.59%	1.094	+8.37%	0.0779	✗	1.15
2026-04-04	oos	0.986	0.960745	-2.56%	1.206	+22.31%	0.1323	✗	1.15
2026-04-03	oos	0.989	0.962249	-2.70%	1.136	+14.86%	0.0666	✗	1.15
2026-04-02	oos	0.949	0.923138	-2.73%	1.016	+7.06%	0.0146	✓	1.15
2026-04-01	oos	0.889	0.866929	-2.48%	0.999	+12.37%	0.0921	✗	1.16
2026-03-31	oos	0.871	0.84962	-2.45%	1.073	+23.19%	0.1722	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.8075	0.788953	-2.30%	1.0245	+26.87%	0.2255	✗	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.8265	0.808551	-2.17%	1.0095	+22.14%	0.1700	✗	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.8575	0.83966	-2.08%	0.986	+14.99%	0.1439	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.8825	0.864814	-2.00%	0.989	+12.07%	0.1237	✗	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.912	0.893419	-2.04%	0.949	+4.06%	0.0923	✗	1.16
2026-03-25	oos	0.9945	0.974108	-2.05%	0.889	-10.61%	0.0392	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	1.0085	0.988053	-2.03%	0.871	-13.63%	0.0879	✓	1.15
2026-03-23	oos	0.954	0.934467	-2.05%	0.8075	-15.36%	0.0771	✓	1.15
2026-03-22	oos	0.9405	0.921763	-1.99%	0.8265	-12.12%	0.0762	✓	1.17
2026-03-21	oos	1.052	1.0314	-1.96%	0.8575	-18.49%	0.1405	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	1.064	1.0434	-1.94%	0.8825	-17.06%	0.0974	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	1.1945	1.17	-2.05%	0.912	-23.65%	0.2296	✓	1.18
2026-03-18	oos	1.213	1.1868	-2.16%	0.9945	-18.01%	0.1777	✓	1.18
2026-03-17	oos	1.296	1.2654	-2.36%	1.0085	-22.18%	0.1718	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	1.1645	1.1404	-2.07%	0.954	-18.08%	0.1132	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	1.087	1.0639	-2.12%	0.9405	-13.48%	0.0405	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	1.107	1.084	-2.07%	1.052	-4.97%	0.0092	✓	1.18
2026-03-13	oos	1.0995	1.0771	-2.04%	1.064	-3.23%	0.0048	✓	1.18
2026-03-12	oos	1.1525	1.1291	-2.03%	1.1945	+3.64%	0.0667	✗	1.19
2026-03-11	oos	1.0715	1.0495	-2.05%	1.213	+13.21%	0.1275	✗	1.18
2026-03-10	oos	1.055	1.0331	-2.07%	1.296	+22.84%	0.1616	✗	1.18
2026-03-09	oos	1.021	0.999608	-2.10%	1.1645	+14.05%	0.0469	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	1.019	0.998061	-2.05%	1.087	+6.67%	0.0331	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	1.13	1.1067	-2.06%	1.107	-2.04%	0.0676	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	1.14	1.117	-2.02%	1.0995	-3.55%	0.0641	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	1.2085	1.1839	-2.03%	1.1525	-4.63%	0.0210	✓	1.18
2026-03-04	oos	1.373	1.3435	-2.15%	1.0715	-21.96%	0.1863	✓	1.15
2026-03-03	oos	1.301	1.2737	-2.10%	1.055	-18.91%	0.2159	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	1.357	1.3283	-2.11%	1.021	-24.76%	0.2563	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	1.359	1.3296	-2.16%	1.019	-25.02%	0.2698	✓	1.22
2026-02-28	oos	1.38	1.3498	-2.19%	1.13	-18.12%	0.1830	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	1.358	1.3279	-2.21%	1.14	-16.05%	0.1937	✓	1.22
2026-02-26	oos	1.4295	1.3969	-2.28%	1.2085	-15.46%	0.2046	✓	1.22
2026-02-25	oos	1.456	1.4206	-2.43%	1.373	-5.70%	0.1153	✓	1.22
2026-02-24	oos	1.4305	1.396	-2.41%	1.301	-9.05%	0.1539	✓	1.29
2026-02-23	oos	1.386	1.3533	-2.36%	1.357	-2.09%	0.0787	✓	1.29
2026-02-22	oos	1.4465	1.4118	-2.40%	1.359	-6.05%	0.0021	✓	1.30
2026-02-21	oos	1.514	1.477	-2.44%	1.38	-8.85%	0.0489	✓	1.30
2026-02-20	oos	1.532	1.4944	-2.45%	1.358	-11.36%	0.0543	✓	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	1.476	1.4413	-2.35%	1.4295	-3.15%	0.0182	✓	1.30
2026-02-18	oos	1.445	1.4115	-2.32%	1.456	+0.76%	0.0007	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	1.591	1.5494	-2.62%	1.4305	-10.09%	0.0131	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	1.687	1.6289	-3.44%	1.386	-17.84%	0.0802	✓	1.28
2026-02-15	oos	1.68	1.6202	-3.56%	1.4465	-13.90%	0.0913	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	1.645	1.5833	-3.75%	1.514	-7.96%	0.0105	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	1.5985	1.5431	-3.47%	1.532	-4.16%	0.0049	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	1.426	1.3913	-2.43%	1.476	+3.51%	0.0476	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	1.418	1.381	-2.61%	1.445	+1.90%	0.0544	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	1.471	1.421	-3.40%	1.591	+8.16%	0.1326	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	1.547	1.4883	-3.80%	1.687	+9.05%	0.1432	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	1.62	1.5563	-3.93%	1.68	+3.70%	0.0979	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	1.63	1.5654	-3.96%	1.645	+0.92%	0.0418	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	1.664	1.596	-4.09%	1.5985	-3.94%	0.0262	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	1.436	1.408	-1.95%	1.426	-0.70%	0.0403	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	1.576	1.5129	-4.00%	1.418	-10.03%	0.0206	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	1.482	1.424	-3.91%	1.471	-0.74%	0.1275	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	1.593	1.5305	-3.92%	1.547	-2.89%	0.1260	✗	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	1.512	1.453	-3.90%	1.62	+7.14%	0.1988	✗	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	1.564	1.5028	-3.91%	1.63	+4.22%	0.2086	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	1.723	1.6564	-3.86%	1.664	-3.42%	0.1807	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	1.612	1.5497	-3.87%	1.436	-10.92%	0.2209	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	1.99	1.9095	-4.04%	1.576	-20.80%	0.0081	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	1.939	1.8612	-4.01%	1.482	-23.57%	0.0642	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	1.708	1.6423	-3.85%	1.593	-6.73%	0.0845	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	1.5775	1.5168	-3.85%	1.512	-4.15%	0.1153	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	1.806	1.7349	-3.94%	1.564	-13.40%	0.0209	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.