KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s3

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

131

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

74.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4052

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0434

actual -0.2150

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.027848	-6.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.027667	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.028657	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.027695	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.02792	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.032853	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.034064	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.031833	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.030194	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.027347	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.025864	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.023913	-4.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.023826	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.023878	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.023464	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.019812	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021633	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025008	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019387	-4.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018378	-4.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.020639	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020127	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.021922	-9.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.023292	-12.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.02818	-15.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014139	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014434	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013043	-3.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012793	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013192	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013184	-2.72%	0.029719	+119.29%	0.8273	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013396	-2.50%	0.029335	+113.50%	0.8034	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.012992	-3.84%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8369	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013288	-3.86%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.7874	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.012988	-3.87%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8134	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.01323	-4.78%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9141	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013206	-5.34%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9509	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012332	-5.83%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9300	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012321	-5.33%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.9108	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.012557	-5.19%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7559	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013309	-4.86%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6683	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013364	-4.33%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5528	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.01334	-3.98%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5534	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013551	-2.99%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5696	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.013776	-2.84%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5516	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014537	-2.60%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.3071	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.01541	-2.08%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.3321	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015384	-1.98%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4923	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016072	-1.82%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1706	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016576	-1.28%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.1221	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.016985	-2.38%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1674	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017431	-2.03%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.1134	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.017864	-1.54%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2423	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017455	-1.58%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3446	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.01733	-1.29%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5755	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017706	-1.15%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.2834	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017784	-0.03%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2344	✓	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017219	-0.20%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3241	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018137	-0.26%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4087	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018707	-0.06%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4044	✓	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020074	-1.34%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5406	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018036	-0.90%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4355	✓	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017493	-0.34%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3093	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.016974	-1.83%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.3710	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016432	-2.50%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4337	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015466	-3.07%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3797	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017034	-3.55%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4661	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017115	-3.69%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5703	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017283	-3.48%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6418	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017277	-3.24%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5955	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017014	-2.69%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5369	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016821	-2.54%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4956	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017856	-3.11%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5392	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017534	-2.72%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5534	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016896	-1.99%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.4994	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016679	-1.89%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4471	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017352	-2.57%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4633	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.01768	-3.07%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.4914	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.017893	-3.41%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4458	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017721	-3.61%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4944	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016736	-3.09%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.3209	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015612	-2.48%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2288	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014549	-1.80%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1780	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014952	-1.66%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.2060	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016492	-2.99%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2681	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015036	-2.23%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1581	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.013949	-2.52%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1403	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013152	-2.72%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.0866	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016557	-4.30%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.1849	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012619	-3.30%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.1228	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013644	-3.34%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1425	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013154	-3.39%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0928	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012635	-3.25%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0884	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012558	-3.40%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1875	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014623	-3.29%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0479	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015533	-2.89%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0270	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.0152	-2.62%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1577	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.0158	-2.32%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1439	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018628	-2.06%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0205	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.01905	-2.26%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0206	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.02033	-2.77%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.1114	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019655	-2.62%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1597	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020159	-2.85%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0842	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.019971	-2.72%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.1061	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020358	-2.82%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1848	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019718	-2.61%	0.017	-16.03%	0.1924	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019471	-2.62%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1565	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020325	-3.33%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1322	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021185	-4.10%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1493	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020445	-4.29%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1178	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019372	-4.46%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1242	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020353	-4.18%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2644	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.021894	-4.24%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4244	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022036	-3.82%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4486	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.02276	-4.49%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4668	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.024877	-6.99%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.5828	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.024465	-6.42%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6545	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.023792	-5.87%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6669	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.024794	-6.37%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.5028	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.023894	-5.48%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7262	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.022944	-4.95%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5715	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.024065	-5.88%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6357	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.027401	-7.66%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.7964	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.027969	-7.75%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8518	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.027953	-7.87%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6409	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.025604	-6.72%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.5009	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.02474	-5.97%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5073	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.026526	-7.12%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.4813	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.027196	-7.40%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3126	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.027402	-7.49%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3028	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.028499	-7.29%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.2921	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.029725	-7.12%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3304	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.029077	-6.23%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3424	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.028624	-5.62%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3375	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.029627	-4.50%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.4183	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.03009	-4.41%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4361	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.030841	-4.81%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.4107	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.03279	-5.39%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4450	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.035796	-5.43%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.5959	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.026774	-4.35%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3093	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.032179	-5.83%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4506	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.035264	-6.26%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.4830	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.034566	-6.04%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.3325	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.038886	-6.99%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.3557	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.045569	-8.86%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.4194	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.057335	-15.10%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.5587	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.035461	-7.29%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.0948	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.034127	-7.19%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.0961	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.036376	-7.16%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.1036	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.041143	-7.25%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.2480	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.047448	-7.81%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.4393	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.05045	-7.79%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4735	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.049529	-7.22%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.3311	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.052055	-7.04%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3640	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.04973	-7.14%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.3056	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.049832	-7.22%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.3970	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.057831	-6.87%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5880	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.05705	-6.73%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.5147	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.069087	-6.90%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6901	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.071419	-6.64%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.7159	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.087943	-6.49%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8661	✓	1.00