KAIA

Kaia · native · lstm_s3

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,142

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

70.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1597

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0370

actual -0.0561

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04134	0.039313	-4.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.04212	0.039824	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.039401	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.038251	-6.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.038577	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.040495	-8.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.038785	-7.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.038879	-8.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.039416	-8.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.042388	-9.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.041057	-8.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.046768	-9.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.0503	-11.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.052177	-13.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.034649	-6.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.035631	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.036874	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.037525	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.035516	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.035252	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.034254	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.034913	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.032983	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.032523	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.03156	-3.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.032419	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.033783	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.033674	-3.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.032559	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.031525	-0.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.031919	-0.24%	0.04134	+29.21%	0.2900	✗	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.032599	-0.29%	0.04212	+28.83%	0.2979	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.029846	-1.65%	0.041885	+38.03%	0.3089	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.030166	-1.09%	0.040865	+33.98%	0.2933	✗	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.029801	-0.56%	0.041415	+38.19%	0.3099	✗	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.027972	-2.88%	0.044045	+52.93%	0.3624	✗	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.027108	-2.59%	0.04206	+51.13%	0.3419	✗	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.026587	-1.91%	0.04226	+55.91%	0.3454	✗	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.028638	-1.15%	0.04303	+48.53%	0.3480	✗	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.028587	-2.32%	0.046865	+60.14%	0.3839	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.028803	-1.36%	0.0451	+54.45%	0.3693	✗	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.028933	-1.08%	0.05169	+76.72%	0.4667	✗	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.027149	-0.73%	0.05665	+107.13%	0.6238	✗	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.030147	+0.25%	0.0605	+101.20%	0.6249	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.03146	-1.10%	0.03702	+16.38%	0.1073	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.03086	-0.60%	0.0382	+23.05%	0.1419	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.031591	+0.38%	0.03959	+25.80%	0.1371	✓	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.031124	+0.82%	0.040385	+30.82%	0.1601	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.030847	+1.24%	0.03753	+23.17%	0.0854	✓	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.031204	+2.90%	0.03741	+23.36%	0.1238	✓	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.028674	+2.20%	0.03605	+28.50%	0.1084	✓	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.029694	+2.82%	0.036805	+27.44%	0.0894	✓	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.030045	+2.11%	0.034525	+17.33%	0.0580	✓	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.028065	+1.83%	0.033875	+22.91%	0.0935	✓	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.029576	+2.59%	0.032585	+13.02%	0.0190	✓	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.029808	+2.98%	0.03336	+15.25%	0.0138	✓	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.03316	+4.57%	0.03517	+10.91%	0.0001	✓	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.034024	+3.94%	0.034845	+6.45%	0.0499	✗	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.033439	+4.34%	0.033055	+3.14%	0.0958	✗	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.032581	+5.15%	0.031735	+2.42%	0.1041	✗	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.032876	+4.20%	0.031995	+1.41%	0.1503	✗	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.033092	+3.53%	0.032695	+2.28%	0.1513	✗	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.031706	+5.65%	0.030345	+1.12%	0.0875	✗	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.02695	+2.43%	0.0305	+15.93%	0.0045	✓	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.02393	+0.15%	0.02997	+25.42%	0.0650	✓	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.021229	-1.28%	0.0288	+33.92%	0.1495	✗	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.022576	-1.35%	0.02783	+21.61%	0.0495	✗	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.022448	-1.82%	0.027105	+18.54%	0.0079	✓	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.023402	-1.96%	0.02897	+21.37%	0.0032	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.024139	-1.99%	0.029265	+18.82%	0.0042	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.02529	-2.07%	0.0292	+13.07%	0.0419	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.025584	-2.31%	0.02925	+11.68%	0.0520	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.026126	-2.70%	0.02735	+1.86%	0.1291	✓	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.025956	-2.75%	0.03007	+12.66%	0.0421	✓	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.026212	-2.99%	0.03181	+17.73%	0.0150	✓	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.026448	-2.87%	0.031045	+14.01%	0.0254	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.026321	-2.84%	0.03147	+16.17%	0.0247	✓	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.025924	-2.91%	0.03087	+15.62%	0.0296	✓	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.026065	-3.07%	0.03047	+13.31%	0.0427	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.02601	-3.07%	0.030325	+13.01%	0.0698	✓	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.025528	-3.04%	0.028055	+6.55%	0.0893	✓	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.025484	-3.10%	0.02888	+9.81%	0.0602	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.024873	-2.76%	0.029425	+15.03%	0.0404	✓	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.024615	-2.30%	0.02756	+9.39%	0.0837	✓	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.025715	-2.06%	0.02883	+9.81%	0.0600	✓	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.02543	-1.89%	0.028945	+11.67%	0.0484	✓	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.025601	-1.87%	0.03171	+21.54%	0.0085	✓	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.025268	-2.12%	0.032735	+26.81%	0.0651	✗	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.029249	-3.36%	0.03205	+5.90%	0.0541	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.028819	-3.36%	0.030985	+3.91%	0.0894	✓	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.030217	-3.55%	0.03155	+0.70%	0.1090	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.030369	-2.96%	0.031965	+2.14%	0.0837	✓	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.031174	-2.81%	0.03001	-6.44%	0.1723	✓	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.031872	-2.92%	0.02631	-19.86%	0.2653	✓	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.031146	-3.56%	0.023895	-26.01%	0.3113	✓	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.030972	-3.99%	0.021505	-33.34%	0.3648	✓	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.031512	-4.31%	0.022885	-30.50%	0.3161	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.031325	-5.09%	0.022865	-30.72%	0.3015	✓	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.032013	-5.51%	0.02387	-29.55%	0.2839	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.032066	-5.20%	0.02463	-27.18%	0.2404	✓	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.032356	-5.12%	0.025825	-24.27%	0.2044	✓	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.031833	-6.17%	0.02619	-22.80%	0.2117	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.033001	-5.73%	0.02685	-23.30%	0.2033	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.032858	-5.51%	0.02669	-23.25%	0.2098	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.033138	-5.05%	0.02702	-22.58%	0.2138	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.031899	-5.09%	0.02723	-18.98%	0.1815	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.031507	-5.17%	0.02709	-18.47%	0.1868	✓	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.032276	-4.68%	0.0267	-21.15%	0.2023	✓	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.032458	-4.14%	0.02689	-20.58%	0.1963	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.03375	-4.31%	0.026835	-23.92%	0.2355	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.033826	-4.09%	0.02633	-25.35%	0.2557	✓	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.033867	-4.39%	0.0263	-25.75%	0.2658	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.033097	-3.93%	0.02558	-25.75%	0.2745	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.032198	-4.32%	0.025195	-25.13%	0.2833	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.033092	-5.21%	0.026255	-24.79%	0.3157	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.033434	-4.43%	0.02592	-25.91%	0.3060	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.032641	-4.57%	0.02609	-23.72%	0.2854	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.032426	-3.89%	0.025815	-23.49%	0.2807	✓	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.032752	-3.77%	0.030265	-11.08%	0.1526	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.031727	-3.48%	0.02982	-9.28%	0.1255	✓	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.032624	-2.95%	0.03133	-6.80%	0.0843	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.035439	-3.21%	0.031295	-14.53%	0.1560	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.03598	-3.06%	0.032075	-13.58%	0.1423	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.03458	-3.18%	0.03283	-8.08%	0.0935	✓	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.035118	-2.75%	0.032295	-10.56%	0.0960	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.035249	-2.81%	0.03226	-11.06%	0.1037	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.03532	-2.71%	0.03293	-9.30%	0.0941	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.036692	-2.21%	0.033005	-12.03%	0.0991	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.037092	-1.69%	0.03388	-10.20%	0.0675	✓	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.037163	-1.37%	0.033825	-10.23%	0.0747	✓	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.036956	-1.73%	0.0341	-9.32%	0.0715	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.035382	-2.31%	0.033925	-6.34%	0.0147	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.035107	-2.33%	0.035005	-2.62%	0.0054	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.035388	-2.24%	0.034775	-3.94%	0.0201	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.03328	-1.97%	0.0349	+2.80%	0.0152	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.034693	-1.72%	0.03361	-4.79%	0.0497	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.036969	-1.49%	0.033225	-11.47%	0.0972	✓	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.035933	-1.42%	0.03386	-7.11%	0.0597	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.036059	-1.61%	0.03386	-7.61%	0.1038	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.037237	-1.57%	0.03527	-6.77%	0.0885	✓	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.039772	-1.97%	0.03527	-13.06%	0.1112	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.042383	-3.04%	0.03542	-18.97%	0.1609	✓	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.042986	-3.38%	0.03445	-22.57%	0.1578	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.046356	-4.05%	0.03365	-30.35%	0.2014	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.045156	-2.94%	0.03491	-24.97%	0.0866	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.046837	-3.56%	0.034985	-27.96%	0.1454	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.046904	-3.89%	0.034205	-29.91%	0.1648	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.04683	-4.03%	0.03374	-30.85%	0.1820	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.045767	-3.55%	0.034035	-28.27%	0.1412	✓	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.046896	-3.79%	0.03287	-32.57%	0.1835	✓	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.048496	-3.49%	0.033615	-33.10%	0.1871	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.049179	-3.97%	0.036615	-28.50%	0.1387	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.049858	-4.65%	0.037115	-29.02%	0.1572	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.049556	-5.45%	0.035715	-31.85%	0.1918	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.051071	-5.09%	0.03611	-32.89%	0.2022	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.04966	-3.70%	0.03627	-29.67%	0.1613	✓	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.048296	-3.21%	0.036305	-27.24%	0.1338	✓	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.049033	-3.92%	0.03752	-26.48%	0.1332	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.04947	-3.40%	0.03773	-26.32%	0.1460	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.046167	+0.60%	0.03768	-17.89%	0.0742	✗	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.047288	+2.07%	0.037605	-18.83%	0.0803	✗	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.049788	+4.18%	0.03622	-24.21%	0.1310	✗	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.048491	+2.48%	0.035945	-24.03%	0.1209	✗	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.048827	+3.16%	0.0362	-23.52%	0.1102	✗	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.04972	+2.46%	0.03395	-30.04%	0.1627	✗	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.050762	+2.64%	0.0353	-28.62%	0.1436	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.04898	+2.34%	0.03753	-21.58%	0.0801	✗	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.050062	+2.29%	0.03645	-25.52%	0.1380	✗	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.048245	+2.43%	0.03665	-22.19%	0.0658	✗	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.048888	+3.93%	0.03783	-19.58%	0.0059	✓	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.048895	+3.72%	0.04057	-13.94%	0.0290	✓	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.047488	+2.70%	0.04371	-5.47%	0.1153	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.046553	+2.16%	0.04449	-2.37%	0.1046	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.046698	+2.30%	0.04831	+5.83%	0.1275	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.046139	+1.43%	0.046525	+2.28%	0.0667	✓	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.045134	-0.65%	0.048565	+6.90%	0.1050	✗	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.045517	-0.94%	0.0488	+6.20%	0.0997	✗	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.046897	-0.69%	0.048795	+3.32%	0.0765	✗	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.048116	+0.63%	0.04745	-0.76%	0.0255	✓	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.049506	+2.15%	0.048745	+0.58%	0.0208	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.049465	+1.31%	0.05025	+2.92%	0.0208	✓	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.049035	+1.22%	0.05121	+5.71%	0.0498	✓	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.049776	+2.47%	0.05229	+7.65%	0.0705	✓	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.049243	+3.07%	0.05241	+9.70%	0.0989	✓	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.048957	+1.24%	0.05381	+11.27%	0.0785	✓	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.048857	+0.36%	0.05157	+5.94%	0.0324	✓	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.046578	-1.15%	0.0499	+5.90%	0.0280	✗	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.049347	+0.35%	0.051035	+3.78%	0.0172	✓	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.052179	+1.31%	0.05121	-0.57%	0.0229	✗	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.048087	-0.36%	0.04589	-4.91%	0.0864	✓	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.046897	-0.99%	0.04633	-2.19%	0.0687	✓	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.046404	-1.27%	0.04779	+1.68%	0.0626	✓	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.047333	-1.44%	0.047315	-1.48%	0.0651	✓	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.045022	-3.29%	0.04733	+1.66%	0.0851	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.046327	-2.41%	0.048525	+2.22%	0.0710	✓	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.046253	-2.75%	0.049455	+3.98%	0.0576	✓	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.045417	-3.69%	0.04786	+1.50%	0.0698	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.044906	-4.14%	0.04894	+4.47%	0.0407	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.046007	-4.02%	0.0471	-1.74%	0.0886	✓	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.044534	-5.16%	0.04704	+0.18%	0.1244	✓	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.044635	-5.10%	0.04714	+0.22%	0.1154	✓	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.04488	-5.75%	0.04624	-2.90%	0.1579	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.04617	-5.88%	0.04557	-7.10%	0.1900	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.046233	-5.92%	0.04565	-7.11%	0.1924	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.045355	-5.41%	0.04549	-5.13%	0.1520	✓	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.044231	-5.14%	0.04543	-2.56%	0.0985	✓	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.042438	-5.19%	0.04595	+2.66%	0.0617	✓	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.042588	-5.24%	0.047225	+5.07%	0.0595	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.042564	-5.01%	0.047815	+6.71%	0.0557	✓	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.0438	-5.15%	0.048465	+4.95%	0.0890	✓	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.046427	-5.31%	0.048825	-0.42%	0.0847	✓	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.048137	-5.11%	0.048445	-4.50%	0.0859	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.048675	-5.73%	0.048575	-5.93%	0.1187	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.048152	-5.61%	0.047775	-6.35%	0.1181	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.047058	-6.42%	0.04836	-3.83%	0.1074	✓	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.047287	-6.65%	0.04868	-3.90%	0.0808	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.04802	-6.89%	0.04712	-8.64%	0.0716	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.047781	-7.31%	0.049175	-4.61%	0.0627	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.049704	-7.35%	0.051505	-3.99%	0.0559	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.051973	-6.42%	0.04826	-13.11%	0.0934	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.05291	-5.56%	0.047365	-15.46%	0.1099	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.051015	-6.83%	0.047	-14.16%	0.1039	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.050417	-7.25%	0.048025	-11.65%	0.1016	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.050084	-7.39%	0.046555	-13.91%	0.0699	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.050631	-7.57%	0.04747	-13.34%	0.1073	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.050987	-7.46%	0.04756	-13.68%	0.1164	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.051064	-7.25%	0.047155	-14.35%	0.1108	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.047144	-6.85%	0.046845	-7.44%	0.0515	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.045998	-7.16%	0.047935	-3.25%	0.0615	✓	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.049298	-7.49%	0.046955	-11.89%	0.0764	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.049072	-7.12%	0.047035	-10.98%	0.0579	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.050644	-6.04%	0.04762	-11.65%	0.0007	✓	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.051722	-5.87%	0.049055	-10.73%	0.0456	✓	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.050236	-6.80%	0.049145	-8.82%	0.0046	✓	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.051566	-6.74%	0.04795	-13.28%	0.0596	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.050798	-7.08%	0.046625	-14.72%	0.1317	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.051806	-6.74%	0.04476	-19.42%	0.1419	✓	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.051919	-6.68%	0.044945	-19.21%	0.1461	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.053042	-6.26%	0.04481	-20.81%	0.1467	✓	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.053638	-6.00%	0.04618	-19.07%	0.1191	✓	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.049816	-6.09%	0.04903	-7.57%	0.1046	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.050209	-5.96%	0.05073	-4.98%	0.1107	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.052398	-5.48%	0.051635	-6.85%	0.0670	✓	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.053835	-5.40%	0.051015	-10.36%	0.1059	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.05355	-5.19%	0.050285	-10.97%	0.0604	✓	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.052973	-5.23%	0.050655	-9.37%	0.0802	✓	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.05358	-5.26%	0.051575	-8.81%	0.1126	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.054408	-5.31%	0.05155	-10.29%	0.0979	✓	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.055149	-5.17%	0.053645	-7.76%	0.0698	✓	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.054271	-5.03%	0.05554	-2.81%	0.0659	✓	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.057179	-6.05%	0.056025	-7.94%	0.1071	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.054388	-5.48%	0.054755	-4.84%	0.0624	✓	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.053671	-5.23%	0.05436	-4.02%	0.0777	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.052452	-5.44%	0.05408	-2.51%	0.0402	✓	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.050975	-6.09%	0.054775	+0.91%	0.0405	✓	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.051179	-7.33%	0.0551	-0.23%	0.0719	✓	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.051131	-7.91%	0.055055	-0.85%	0.0797	✓	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.050915	-7.72%	0.05061	-8.27%	0.0091	✓	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.052235	-8.21%	0.049545	-12.94%	0.0318	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.04874	-2.06%	0.05329	+7.08%	0.0007	✓	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.053081	-8.62%	0.052835	-9.05%	0.0968	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.053849	-8.84%	0.0539	-8.75%	0.0973	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.057434	-9.35%	0.05495	-13.27%	0.0736	✓	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.04968	-8.10%	0.0539	-0.30%	0.2497	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.050688	-8.39%	0.055295	-0.06%	0.2839	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.052831	-8.42%	0.05467	-5.23%	0.4206	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.052844	-8.39%	0.05555	-3.70%	0.4159	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.060063	-8.50%	0.055635	-15.24%	0.3817	✗	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.067417	-9.14%	0.056585	-23.74%	0.2503	✗	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.065703	-9.06%	0.05706	-21.02%	0.2522	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.070004	-10.12%	0.053045	-31.90%	0.1954	✗	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.083661	-12.25%	0.05339	-44.00%	0.0192	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.065125	-9.77%	0.055435	-23.20%	0.2491	✗	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.049226	-5.90%	0.05691	+8.79%	0.5409	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.049375	-5.73%	0.05648	+7.84%	0.5278	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.047888	-5.17%	0.055895	+10.68%	0.5512	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.051624	-5.35%	0.056555	+3.69%	0.5649	✗	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.05244	-5.24%	0.05746	+3.83%	0.5568	✗	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.055997	-5.47%	0.058155	-1.83%	0.4897	✗	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.05637	-5.55%	0.057145	-4.25%	0.4749	✗	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.056947	-5.80%	0.06086	+0.68%	0.5090	✗	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.059778	-5.88%	0.05754	-9.40%	0.4429	✗	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.06019	-6.80%	0.056635	-12.30%	0.4574	✗	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.056064	-7.63%	0.05547	-8.61%	0.4251	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.058452	-8.13%	0.05428	-14.69%	0.3242	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.058562	-8.37%	0.055225	-13.59%	0.3077	✗	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.060277	-8.30%	0.055525	-15.53%	0.2835	✗	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.061003	-8.82%	0.055175	-17.53%	0.2881	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.061828	-8.04%	0.05691	-15.35%	0.3671	✗	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.064343	-8.29%	0.049765	-29.07%	0.4434	✗	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.062752	-6.52%	0.05809	-13.47%	0.3603	✗	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.057782	-7.28%	0.05907	-5.22%	0.3492	✗	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.055177	-6.27%	0.06336	+7.63%	0.3793	✗	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.054828	-6.47%	0.05406	-7.78%	0.2529	✗	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.052958	-6.33%	0.05533	-2.14%	0.2481	✗	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.051941	-6.05%	0.057685	+4.34%	0.1712	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.052703	-5.84%	0.057685	+3.06%	0.1655	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.0524	-5.57%	0.06564	+18.29%	0.1870	✗	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.053519	-5.31%	0.0742	+31.28%	0.3037	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.054472	-5.95%	0.072245	+24.73%	0.2742	✗	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.052693	-5.31%	0.07789	+39.98%	0.4045	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.052778	-4.96%	0.09534	+71.69%	0.5563	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.055013	-4.85%	0.07218	+24.85%	0.2375	✗	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.055723	-4.59%	0.05231	-10.44%	0.0994	✓	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.057277	-4.23%	0.052375	-12.42%	0.1037	✓	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.057187	-3.68%	0.0505	-14.94%	0.1185	✓	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.05798	-3.50%	0.05454	-9.23%	0.1353	✓	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.058338	-3.02%	0.05534	-8.00%	0.1493	✓	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.05406	-2.29%	0.05924	+7.08%	0.0745	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.06113	-2.78%	0.05968	-5.09%	0.1814	✓	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.068828	-3.24%	0.06045	-15.02%	0.2567	✓	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.068647	-3.69%	0.06351	-10.90%	0.2521	✓	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.071065	-3.78%	0.06458	-12.56%	0.2150	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.073274	-3.56%	0.060695	-20.12%	0.2040	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.072253	-3.32%	0.063625	-14.86%	0.1371	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.074351	-2.77%	0.06391	-16.42%	0.1150	✓	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.074156	-2.59%	0.065735	-13.65%	0.0950	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.076888	-2.66%	0.066905	-15.30%	0.1115	✓	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.075655	-3.03%	0.06723	-13.83%	0.1285	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.075927	-3.02%	0.07016	-10.38%	0.1338	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.075249	-3.60%	0.06713	-14.00%	0.1912	✓	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.074395	-3.35%	0.06232	-19.03%	0.2136	✓	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.077862	-3.02%	0.05887	-26.67%	0.2544	✓	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.07878	-2.71%	0.05862	-27.61%	0.2366	✓	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.077084	-2.87%	0.05654	-28.76%	0.2655	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.073422	-2.75%	0.055285	-26.77%	0.3062	✓	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.076166	-2.66%	0.05597	-28.47%	0.2717	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.076636	-2.72%	0.05549	-29.56%	0.2541	✓	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.077212	-2.83%	0.05652	-28.87%	0.2562	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.078637	-3.19%	0.05792	-28.70%	0.2412	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.079288	-3.32%	0.055645	-32.15%	0.2951	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.078911	-3.47%	0.05553	-32.07%	0.3484	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.078383	-3.51%	0.057815	-28.83%	0.2916	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.076735	-3.66%	0.058405	-26.67%	0.2852	✓	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.075092	-2.62%	0.059805	-22.44%	0.3045	✓	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.074476	-2.00%	0.05937	-21.88%	0.2973	✓	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.077402	-3.22%	0.060085	-24.87%	0.2882	✓	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.080203	-3.72%	0.060155	-27.79%	0.2207	✓	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.082515	-3.86%	0.055325	-35.54%	0.2507	✓	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.081607	-3.62%	0.06288	-25.74%	0.1424	✓	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.083847	-3.85%	0.071135	-18.43%	0.0391	✓	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.084573	-3.80%	0.07128	-18.92%	0.0105	✓	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.083618	-3.55%	0.07386	-14.80%	0.0014	✓	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.089495	-4.08%	0.07598	-18.57%	0.0184	✓	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.093694	-4.34%	0.07473	-23.70%	0.0078	✓	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.094756	-4.21%	0.07647	-22.70%	0.0245	✓	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.099786	-4.36%	0.07613	-27.03%	0.0212	✓	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.096701	-4.12%	0.07899	-21.68%	0.0136	✓	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.096573	-4.29%	0.07802	-22.68%	0.0044	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.095292	-3.65%	0.07829	-20.84%	0.0390	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.087673	-2.60%	0.078055	-13.29%	0.1024	✗	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.088962	-2.51%	0.07697	-15.65%	0.1183	✗	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.083706	-1.82%	0.080285	-5.83%	0.1257	✗	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.090543	-2.37%	0.080975	-12.69%	0.1157	✗	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.101047	-2.98%	0.07936	-23.81%	0.0793	✗	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.101718	-3.13%	0.0755	-28.10%	0.1141	✗	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.10056	-2.86%	0.07825	-24.41%	0.0728	✗	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.099106	-2.79%	0.078775	-22.74%	0.0670	✗	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.10354	-3.30%	0.07946	-25.79%	0.0554	✗	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.104524	-3.33%	0.08123	-24.87%	0.1122	✗	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.106297	-3.60%	0.08201	-25.62%	0.1390	✗	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.107103	-3.65%	0.081745	-26.46%	0.1960	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.104325	-3.56%	0.08123	-24.91%	0.1593	✗	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.104758	-3.87%	0.07965	-26.91%	0.1553	✗	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.104212	-3.95%	0.07711	-28.93%	0.1576	✗	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.100982	-3.62%	0.076	-27.46%	0.1255	✗	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.10174	-3.84%	0.079975	-24.41%	0.1520	✗	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.102998	-4.14%	0.083305	-22.47%	0.1260	✗	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.102027	-4.02%	0.085825	-19.26%	0.1067	✗	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.099629	-3.36%	0.084675	-17.87%	0.1078	✗	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.099137	-2.99%	0.087205	-14.67%	0.0889	✗	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.102051	-4.02%	0.087915	-17.31%	0.0707	✗	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.105259	-4.50%	0.086695	-21.34%	0.0858	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.108307	-4.55%	0.093305	-17.77%	0.0756	✗	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.113414	-4.67%	0.097945	-17.67%	0.0757	✗	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.106428	-4.21%	0.098925	-10.97%	0.1202	✗	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.101696	-3.35%	0.104335	-0.85%	0.1032	✗	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.099911	-3.15%	0.10086	-2.23%	0.1456	✗	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.132925	-4.47%	0.1009	-27.49%	0.0658	✓	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.137367	-4.08%	0.0989	-30.94%	0.1183	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.135602	-4.54%	0.090015	-36.63%	0.1965	✓	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.144874	-3.95%	0.091255	-39.50%	0.2557	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.142952	-4.38%	0.085255	-42.98%	0.2954	✓	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.143369	-4.96%	0.092745	-38.52%	0.2782	✓	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.146374	-5.24%	0.104155	-32.57%	0.2257	✓	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.146448	-5.83%	0.105	-32.48%	0.2279	✓	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.145395	-6.41%	0.103525	-33.36%	0.2446	✓	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.139758	-7.45%	0.101955	-32.48%	0.2520	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.141778	-7.55%	0.107075	-30.18%	0.2329	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.142284	-8.05%	0.108125	-30.12%	0.2825	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.139463	-8.09%	0.110265	-27.34%	0.2865	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.141351	-7.83%	0.111155	-27.52%	0.2969	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.136931	-8.31%	0.108175	-27.56%	0.2667	✓	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.140026	-7.29%	0.108975	-27.85%	0.2223	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.13977	-7.32%	0.108495	-28.06%	0.2293	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.140595	-7.07%	0.104775	-30.75%	0.2307	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.150801	-7.13%	0.105805	-34.84%	0.2734	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.146345	-6.69%	0.10745	-31.49%	0.2429	✓	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.146524	-6.53%	0.106295	-32.19%	0.2326	✓	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.14959	-6.06%	0.103095	-35.26%	0.2454	✓	1.44

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.