GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · lstm_s3
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 228
Track record at +1d
assessed
75
of 76 predictions shown
direction hit
50.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0366
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0062
actual -0.0048
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.24835 | 0.246885 | -0.59% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.24485 | 0.242671 | -0.89% | 0.24835 | +1.43% | 0.0229 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.257348 | -0.89% | 0.24485 | -5.70% | 0.0515 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.231501 | -0.62% | 0.25965 | +11.46% | 0.1134 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.214883 | -0.49% | 0.23295 | +7.87% | 0.0810 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.214448 | -0.51% | 0.21595 | +0.19% | 0.0061 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.216713 | -0.54% | 0.21555 | -1.08% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.228253 | -0.63% | 0.2179 | -5.14% | 0.0457 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.212858 | -0.63% | 0.2297 | +7.24% | 0.0756 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.205349 | -0.63% | 0.2142 | +3.65% | 0.0443 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.210486 | -0.67% | 0.20665 | -2.48% | 0.0204 | ✓ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.22952 | -0.81% | 0.2119 | -8.43% | 0.0786 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.231896 | -0.90% | 0.2314 | -1.11% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.223035 | -0.94% | 0.234 | +3.93% | 0.0478 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.226187 | -0.93% | 0.22515 | -1.38% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.221248 | -0.79% | 0.2283 | +2.38% | 0.0328 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.22477 | -0.76% | 0.223 | -1.55% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.221964 | -0.71% | 0.2265 | +1.32% | 0.0204 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.220192 | -0.70% | 0.22355 | +0.81% | 0.0158 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.214383 | -0.70% | 0.22175 | +2.71% | 0.0326 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.214237 | -0.72% | 0.2159 | +0.05% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.206353 | -0.67% | 0.2158 | +3.87% | 0.0450 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.205958 | -0.70% | 0.20775 | +0.17% | 0.0077 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.201958 | -0.71% | 0.2074 | +1.97% | 0.0267 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.204217 | -0.72% | 0.2034 | -1.12% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.200362 | -0.66% | 0.2057 | +1.98% | 0.0273 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.202444 | -0.69% | 0.2017 | -1.05% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.207808 | -0.74% | 0.20385 | -2.63% | 0.0195 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.203218 | -0.72% | 0.20935 | +2.27% | 0.0300 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.193083 | -0.68% | 0.2047 | +5.30% | 0.0584 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.194478 | -0.65% | 0.1944 | -0.69% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.191068 | -0.62% | 0.19575 | +1.82% | 0.0247 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.18992 | -0.72% | 0.19225 | +0.50% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.192359 | -0.74% | 0.1913 | -1.29% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.187994 | -0.74% | 0.1938 | +2.32% | 0.0300 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.177406 | -0.72% | 0.1894 | +5.99% | 0.0682 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.166406 | -0.65% | 0.1787 | +6.69% | 0.0714 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.167032 | -0.66% | 0.1675 | -0.39% | 0.0031 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.169348 | -0.68% | 0.16815 | -1.38% | 0.0092 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.169096 | -0.68% | 0.1705 | +0.15% | 0.0095 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.170525 | -0.68% | 0.17025 | -0.84% | 0.0020 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.173699 | -0.72% | 0.1717 | -1.86% | 0.0115 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.167541 | -0.66% | 0.17495 | +3.74% | 0.0440 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.159357 | -0.56% | 0.16865 | +5.24% | 0.0567 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.166224 | -0.58% | 0.16025 | -4.16% | 0.0366 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.16771 | -0.59% | 0.1672 | -0.89% | 0.0031 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.162637 | -0.53% | 0.1687 | +3.18% | 0.0371 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.161849 | -0.52% | 0.1635 | +0.49% | 0.0099 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.161071 | -0.51% | 0.1627 | +0.49% | 0.0100 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.1614 | -0.49% | 0.1619 | -0.18% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.157928 | -0.49% | 0.1622 | +2.21% | 0.0284 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.149771 | -0.42% | 0.1587 | +5.52% | 0.0579 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.162517 | -0.48% | 0.1504 | -7.90% | 0.0790 | ✓ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.173506 | -0.51% | 0.1633 | -6.36% | 0.0597 | ✓ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.169565 | -0.49% | 0.1744 | +2.35% | 0.0277 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.164165 | -0.45% | 0.1704 | +3.34% | 0.0322 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.170955 | -0.43% | 0.1649 | -3.96% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.181911 | -0.43% | 0.1717 | -6.02% | 0.0735 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.196 | -0.41% | 0.1827 | -7.16% | 0.0766 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.203168 | -0.36% | 0.1968 | -3.48% | 0.0261 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.230755 | -0.32% | 0.2039 | -11.92% | 0.1397 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.245396 | -0.33% | 0.2315 | -5.97% | 0.0670 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.284715 | -0.31% | 0.2462 | -13.80% | 0.1290 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.277347 | -0.41% | 0.2856 | +2.55% | 0.0409 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.302712 | -0.49% | 0.2785 | -8.45% | 0.1355 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.291708 | -0.51% | 0.3042 | +3.75% | 0.0270 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.279912 | -0.49% | 0.2932 | +4.23% | 0.0432 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.281368 | -0.51% | 0.2813 | -0.53% | 0.0260 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.290872 | -0.52% | 0.2828 | -3.28% | 0.0252 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.301233 | -0.55% | 0.2924 | -3.47% | 0.0305 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.320944 | -0.61% | 0.3029 | -6.19% | 0.0507 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.315406 | -0.63% | 0.3229 | +1.73% | 0.0233 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.314728 | -0.69% | 0.3174 | +0.16% | 0.0103 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.325276 | -0.74% | 0.3169 | -3.30% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.309219 | -0.60% | 0.3277 | +5.34% | 0.0726 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.29436 | -0.59% | 0.3111 | +5.07% | 0.0562 | ✗ | 1.00 |