DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s3

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 504

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

63.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1251

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0071

actual -0.0341

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	1.3825	1.3587	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	1.287	1.2636	-1.82%	1.3825	+7.42%	0.0876	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.8052	-1.76%	1.287	-29.96%	0.3514	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	3.0209	-1.57%	1.8375	-40.13%	0.5105	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.3101	-1.71%	3.069	-8.86%	0.0736	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.5245	-1.85%	3.3675	-6.22%	0.0532	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	11.3301	-2.69%	3.591	-69.16%	1.1476	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	2.2644	-1.95%	11.643	+404.14%	1.6450	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.925	-1.94%	2.3095	-22.58%	0.2431	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	4.0008	-1.94%	2.983	-26.89%	0.2749	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	5.4005	-1.93%	4.08	-25.91%	0.2969	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	8.9753	-1.83%	5.507	-39.77%	0.4651	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	16.9728	-1.61%	9.143	-47.00%	0.6278	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	16.4192	-1.77%	17.2505	+3.21%	0.0450	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	16.8486	-1.84%	16.7145	-2.62%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	24.0785	-1.75%	17.1645	-29.97%	0.3193	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	42.8473	-1.61%	24.5085	-43.72%	0.5318	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	84.0806	-1.61%	43.547	-49.04%	0.6555	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000372087	-0.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000376637	-0.83%	0.000375	-1.26%	0.0263	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000248559	-0.38%	0.0003798	+52.22%	0.3676	✗	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000267957	-0.39%	0.0002495	-7.25%	0.0648	✓	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000307557	-0.43%	0.000269	-12.92%	0.1789	✓	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000269156	-0.39%	0.0003089	+14.32%	0.1552	✗	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000279893	-0.39%	0.0002702	-3.84%	0.0516	✓	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000308843	-0.44%	0.000281	-9.41%	0.0709	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000300211	-0.43%	0.0003102	+2.89%	0.0399	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000277695	-0.40%	0.0003015	+8.14%	0.0267	✗	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000301563	-0.44%	0.0002788	-7.96%	0.0705	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000303051	-0.44%	0.0003029	-0.49%	0.0421	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000330189	-0.55%	0.0003044	-8.31%	0.0766	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000306039	-0.48%	0.000332	+7.97%	0.0818	✗	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000324914	-0.58%	0.0003075	-5.91%	0.0690	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000297943	-0.49%	0.0003268	+9.15%	0.0850	✗	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.000302948	-0.51%	0.0002994	-1.67%	0.0036	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000319098	-0.59%	0.0003045	-5.14%	0.0264	✓	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000312651	-0.59%	0.000321	+2.07%	0.0253	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000401552	-2.20%	0.0003145	-23.40%	0.2296	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.00036244	-1.40%	0.0004106	+11.70%	0.1113	✗	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000320974	-0.84%	0.0003676	+13.56%	0.1020	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.000324822	-0.94%	0.0003237	-1.28%	0.0061	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000290264	-0.63%	0.0003279	+12.26%	0.1438	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000226183	-0.23%	0.0002921	+28.85%	0.2722	✗	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000238145	-0.23%	0.0002267	-5.03%	0.0470	✓	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000206786	+0.09%	0.0002387	+15.54%	0.1311	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.000212706	+0.10%	0.0002066	-2.78%	0.0131	✗	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000213038	+0.25%	0.0002125	+0.00%	0.1240	✗	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000221933	+0.10%	0.0002125	-4.15%	0.1971	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000264855	-0.02%	0.0002217	-16.31%	0.1226	✓	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000268628	-0.03%	0.0002649	-1.41%	0.0488	✗	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000253833	+0.09%	0.0002687	+5.95%	0.0244	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000272087	+0.07%	0.0002536	-6.73%	0.0332	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000308979	-0.20%	0.0002719	-12.18%	0.0113	✓	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000343598	-0.35%	0.0003096	-10.21%	0.0960	✓	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000411029	-0.60%	0.0003448	-16.61%	0.0901	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000350897	-0.40%	0.0004135	+17.37%	0.1634	✗	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.000344281	-0.30%	0.0003523	+2.03%	0.0083	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000344865	-0.18%	0.0003453	-0.06%	0.0284	✓	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000391364	-0.44%	0.0003455	-12.11%	0.0820	✓	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000408655	-0.47%	0.0003931	-4.26%	0.0320	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000403047	-0.43%	0.0004106	+1.43%	0.0184	✗	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000360262	-0.18%	0.0004048	+12.16%	0.1149	✗	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000404399	-0.35%	0.0003609	-11.06%	0.1342	✓	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000445088	-0.47%	0.0004058	-9.26%	0.0131	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000507424	-0.52%	0.0004472	-12.33%	0.1055	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000520218	-0.53%	0.0005101	-2.47%	0.0070	✗	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000538948	-0.54%	0.000523	-3.49%	0.0230	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000523095	-0.53%	0.0005419	+3.04%	0.0368	✗	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000567803	-0.56%	0.0005259	-7.90%	0.0532	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000578674	-0.57%	0.000571	-1.89%	0.0394	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.00054704	-0.54%	0.000582	+5.82%	0.0221	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000597168	-0.59%	0.00055	-8.44%	0.0888	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000646617	-0.66%	0.0006007	-7.71%	0.0839	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000551886	-0.53%	0.0006509	+17.32%	0.1682	✗	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000577724	-0.55%	0.0005548	-4.49%	0.0290	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.00057578	-0.54%	0.0005809	+0.35%	0.0145	✗	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000650953	-0.63%	0.0005789	-11.63%	0.0643	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000684308	-0.70%	0.0006551	-4.93%	0.0404	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000662792	-0.68%	0.0006891	+3.27%	0.0126	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000624556	-0.61%	0.0006673	+6.19%	0.0466	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000623814	-0.60%	0.0006284	+0.13%	0.0068	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000585386	-0.53%	0.0006276	+6.64%	0.0429	✗	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000569707	-0.49%	0.0005885	+2.79%	0.0050	✗	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000617135	-0.54%	0.0005725	-7.74%	0.0545	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.000597676	-0.47%	0.0006205	+3.33%	0.0090	✗	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000612577	-0.47%	0.0006005	-2.44%	0.0029	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000586475	-0.39%	0.0006155	+4.53%	0.0470	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000625163	-0.40%	0.0005888	-6.20%	0.0694	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000610347	-0.32%	0.0006277	+2.52%	0.0257	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000590354	-0.23%	0.0006123	+3.48%	0.0448	✗	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000614043	-0.20%	0.0005917	-3.84%	0.0415	✓	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000679728	-0.29%	0.0006153	-9.74%	0.0739	✓	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.000681432	-0.23%	0.0006817	-0.19%	0.0023	✓	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000688552	-0.17%	0.000683	-0.97%	0.0154	✓	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000704709	-0.13%	0.0006897	-2.25%	0.0269	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000615928	+0.09%	0.0007056	+14.66%	0.0767	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000625075	+0.09%	0.0006154	-1.46%	0.0015	✓	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.000740217	+0.00%	0.0006245	-15.63%	0.1336	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000813272	-0.09%	0.0007402	-9.07%	0.1265	✓	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.00088286	-0.24%	0.000814	-8.02%	0.0417	✓	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001039	-0.38%	0.000885	-15.15%	0.1155	✓	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001024	-0.35%	0.001043	+1.46%	0.0185	✗	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001094	-0.38%	0.001028	-6.38%	0.0140	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001222	-0.40%	0.001098	-10.51%	0.1178	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001317	-0.40%	0.001227	-7.19%	0.0567	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.00134	-0.40%	0.001322	-1.71%	0.0569	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001309	-0.39%	0.001345	+2.36%	0.0218	✗	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001429	-0.40%	0.001314	-8.43%	0.1091	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001475	-0.40%	0.001435	-3.11%	0.0258	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001494	-0.41%	0.001481	-1.27%	0.0537	✗	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001571	-0.43%	0.0015	-4.94%	0.0161	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.001588	-0.43%	0.001578	-1.07%	0.0546	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001577	-0.43%	0.001595	+0.69%	0.1133	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.00153	-0.42%	0.001584	+3.12%	0.1496	✗	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.00155	-0.42%	0.001536	-1.35%	0.0032	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001527	-0.42%	0.001557	+1.57%	0.0218	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001591	-0.45%	0.001533	-4.07%	0.0258	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001611	-0.46%	0.001598	-1.24%	0.0309	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001618	-0.45%	0.001618	-0.43%	0.0893	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001512	-0.43%	0.001625	+7.05%	0.0999	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001471	-0.41%	0.001518	+2.78%	0.0108	✓	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001578	-0.43%	0.001477	-6.81%	0.1314	✓	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001768	-0.54%	0.001585	-10.85%	0.0975	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001691	-0.50%	0.001778	+4.59%	0.0962	✗	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002016	-1.13%	0.0017	-16.63%	0.0180	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002375	-1.74%	0.002039	-15.64%	0.1098	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001621	-0.53%	0.002417	+48.28%	0.3773	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001665	-0.63%	0.00163	-2.74%	0.0360	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001286	-0.36%	0.001676	+29.82%	0.3044	✗	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001504	-0.45%	0.001291	-14.56%	0.1840	✓	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001369	-0.44%	0.001511	+9.89%	0.2932	✗	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001541	-0.67%	0.001375	-11.35%	0.0388	✓	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001469	-0.64%	0.001551	+4.87%	0.1054	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001576	-0.75%	0.001479	-6.86%	0.0509	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001683	-0.80%	0.001588	-6.42%	0.1078	✓	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.001545	-0.74%	0.001697	+9.06%	0.0022	✓	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001925	-0.96%	0.001556	-19.96%	0.1751	✓	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.00164	-0.81%	0.001944	+17.60%	0.0984	✗	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001818	-0.94%	0.001653	-9.92%	0.0004	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001736	-0.92%	0.001835	+4.74%	0.0316	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001639	-0.87%	0.001752	+5.99%	0.3105	✗	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002364	-1.65%	0.001653	-31.24%	0.1870	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001508	-0.76%	0.002404	+58.16%	0.4463	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001651	-0.82%	0.00152	-8.71%	0.1033	✓	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.00168	-0.83%	0.001665	-1.71%	0.0601	✓	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001757	-0.87%	0.001694	-4.40%	0.0376	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001652	-0.80%	0.001772	+6.43%	0.0961	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001831	-0.89%	0.001665	-9.85%	0.0844	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001986	-0.99%	0.001847	-7.93%	0.0686	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001803	-0.84%	0.002006	+10.34%	0.0814	✗	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001757	-0.79%	0.001818	+2.65%	0.0285	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.002041	-0.94%	0.001771	-14.03%	0.1501	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.001531	-0.56%	0.00206	+33.77%	0.2733	✗	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001358	-0.59%	0.00154	+12.74%	0.1330	✗	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001879	-0.72%	0.001366	-27.84%	0.2989	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002271	-0.83%	0.001893	-17.34%	0.1993	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002245	-0.83%	0.00229	+1.15%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002677	-1.00%	0.002264	-16.27%	0.1745	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002841	-1.09%	0.002704	-5.85%	0.0331	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002656	-1.06%	0.002872	+7.00%	0.1021	✗	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004711	-1.71%	0.002684	-44.00%	0.5424	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.004921	-1.85%	0.004793	-4.41%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.006335	-2.25%	0.005014	-22.64%	0.2357	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.005095	-2.16%	0.006481	+24.47%	0.2026	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001525	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001309	-1.14%	0.001539	+16.24%	0.1456	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.001303	-1.24%	0.001324	+0.38%	0.0232	✓	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001705	-0.99%	0.001319	-23.40%	0.2540	✓	1.00