DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s3

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

164

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

59.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1247

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0038

actual -0.0319

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.9885	1.9866	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.8354	-0.11%	1.9885	+8.22%	0.0830	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	3.0665	-0.08%	1.8375	-40.13%	0.5255	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.3606	-0.20%	3.069	-8.86%	0.0887	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.5776	-0.37%	3.3675	-6.22%	0.0682	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	11.4434	-1.71%	3.591	-69.16%	1.1575	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	2.2842	-1.10%	11.643	+404.14%	1.6363	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.9466	-1.22%	2.3095	-22.58%	0.2504	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	4.0283	-1.27%	2.983	-26.89%	0.2818	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	5.4377	-1.26%	4.08	-25.91%	0.3038	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	9.0615	-0.89%	5.507	-39.77%	0.4746	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	17.1581	-0.54%	9.143	-47.00%	0.6387	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	16.5535	-0.96%	17.2505	+3.21%	0.0368	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	16.889	-1.61%	16.7145	-2.62%	0.0208	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	24.165	-1.40%	17.1645	-29.97%	0.3229	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	43.1275	-0.96%	24.5085	-43.72%	0.5383	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	84.51	-1.11%	43.547	-49.04%	0.6606	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000372944	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000377503	-0.60%	0.000375	-1.26%	0.0240	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.00024898	-0.21%	0.0003798	+52.22%	0.3659	✗	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000268292	-0.26%	0.0002495	-7.25%	0.0661	✓	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000307823	-0.35%	0.000269	-12.92%	0.1798	✓	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000269569	-0.23%	0.0003089	+14.32%	0.1537	✗	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000280304	-0.25%	0.0002702	-3.84%	0.0531	✓	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000309015	-0.38%	0.000281	-9.41%	0.0714	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000300424	-0.36%	0.0003102	+2.89%	0.0392	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000278221	-0.21%	0.0003015	+8.14%	0.0248	✗	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000301961	-0.31%	0.0002788	-7.96%	0.0718	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000303294	-0.36%	0.0003029	-0.49%	0.0413	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000330271	-0.52%	0.0003044	-8.31%	0.0769	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000306297	-0.39%	0.000332	+7.97%	0.0810	✗	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000325161	-0.50%	0.0003075	-5.91%	0.0698	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000298382	-0.34%	0.0003268	+9.15%	0.0835	✗	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.00030335	-0.38%	0.0002994	-1.67%	0.0022	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000319427	-0.49%	0.0003045	-5.14%	0.0274	✓	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000313086	-0.45%	0.000321	+2.07%	0.0239	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.00040594	-1.13%	0.0003145	-23.40%	0.2405	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.00036429	-0.90%	0.0004106	+11.70%	0.1062	✗	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000322147	-0.48%	0.0003676	+13.56%	0.0984	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.00032626	-0.50%	0.0003237	-1.28%	0.0016	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.00029148	-0.21%	0.0003279	+12.26%	0.1397	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000227199	+0.22%	0.0002921	+28.85%	0.2677	✓	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000239263	+0.24%	0.0002267	-5.03%	0.0517	✗	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000207543	+0.46%	0.0002387	+15.54%	0.1274	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.00021349	+0.47%	0.0002066	-2.78%	0.0168	✗	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000213743	+0.58%	0.0002125	+0.00%	0.1273	✗	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000222785	+0.49%	0.0002125	-4.15%	0.1933	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.00026583	+0.35%	0.0002217	-16.31%	0.1263	✗	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000269555	+0.32%	0.0002649	-1.41%	0.0454	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000254751	+0.45%	0.0002687	+5.95%	0.0208	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000273	+0.40%	0.0002536	-6.73%	0.0366	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000309979	+0.12%	0.0002719	-12.18%	0.0146	✗	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000344741	-0.02%	0.0003096	-10.21%	0.0993	✓	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000412428	-0.26%	0.0003448	-16.61%	0.0935	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000351955	-0.10%	0.0004135	+17.37%	0.1603	✗	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.00034531	+0.00%	0.0003523	+2.03%	0.0053	✓	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000345918	+0.12%	0.0003453	-0.06%	0.0314	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000392642	-0.12%	0.0003455	-12.11%	0.0853	✓	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000410032	-0.14%	0.0003931	-4.26%	0.0354	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000404398	-0.10%	0.0004106	+1.43%	0.0150	✗	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000361279	+0.11%	0.0004048	+12.16%	0.1121	✓	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000405731	-0.02%	0.0003609	-11.06%	0.1374	✓	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000446493	-0.16%	0.0004058	-9.26%	0.0162	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000509014	-0.21%	0.0004472	-12.33%	0.1087	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.00052183	-0.22%	0.0005101	-2.47%	0.0039	✗	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000540598	-0.24%	0.000523	-3.49%	0.0261	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.00052467	-0.23%	0.0005419	+3.04%	0.0338	✗	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000569492	-0.26%	0.0005259	-7.90%	0.0562	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.00058041	-0.27%	0.000571	-1.89%	0.0424	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000548699	-0.24%	0.000582	+5.82%	0.0251	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000599055	-0.27%	0.00055	-8.44%	0.0919	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000648789	-0.32%	0.0006007	-7.71%	0.0872	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.00055356	-0.22%	0.0006509	+17.32%	0.1652	✗	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000579502	-0.24%	0.0005548	-4.49%	0.0321	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.000577512	-0.24%	0.0005809	+0.35%	0.0115	✗	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000653171	-0.29%	0.0005789	-11.63%	0.0677	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000686864	-0.32%	0.0006551	-4.93%	0.0442	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000665204	-0.31%	0.0006891	+3.27%	0.0162	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000626642	-0.28%	0.0006673	+6.19%	0.0433	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000625875	-0.27%	0.0006284	+0.13%	0.0101	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000587203	-0.22%	0.0006276	+6.64%	0.0398	✗	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000571517	-0.17%	0.0005885	+2.79%	0.0019	✗	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000619122	-0.22%	0.0005725	-7.74%	0.0577	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.000599579	-0.15%	0.0006205	+3.33%	0.0058	✗	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000614538	-0.16%	0.0006005	-2.44%	0.0061	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000588414	-0.07%	0.0006155	+4.53%	0.0437	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000627212	-0.08%	0.0005888	-6.20%	0.0727	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000612411	+0.02%	0.0006277	+2.52%	0.0223	✓	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000592411	+0.12%	0.0006123	+3.48%	0.0413	✓	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000616153	+0.14%	0.0005917	-3.84%	0.0450	✗	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000681883	+0.03%	0.0006153	-9.74%	0.0771	✗	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.000683634	+0.09%	0.0006817	-0.19%	0.0010	✗	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000690833	+0.16%	0.000683	-0.97%	0.0187	✗	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000707111	+0.21%	0.0006897	-2.25%	0.0303	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000618198	+0.45%	0.0007056	+14.66%	0.0730	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000627437	+0.47%	0.0006154	-1.46%	0.0023	✓	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.000742726	+0.34%	0.0006245	-15.63%	0.1370	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000816526	+0.31%	0.0007402	-9.07%	0.1305	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000886534	+0.17%	0.000814	-8.02%	0.0459	✗	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001042	-0.09%	0.000885	-15.15%	0.1184	✓	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001027	-0.05%	0.001043	+1.46%	0.0155	✗	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001097	-0.13%	0.001028	-6.38%	0.0165	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001225	-0.18%	0.001098	-10.51%	0.1200	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001319	-0.24%	0.001227	-7.19%	0.0583	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001342	-0.24%	0.001322	-1.71%	0.0585	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001311	-0.22%	0.001345	+2.36%	0.0201	✗	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001431	-0.29%	0.001314	-8.43%	0.1102	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001476	-0.33%	0.001435	-3.11%	0.0265	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001494	-0.38%	0.001481	-1.27%	0.0534	✗	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001571	-0.47%	0.0015	-4.94%	0.0157	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.001587	-0.48%	0.001578	-1.07%	0.0541	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001577	-0.42%	0.001595	+0.69%	0.1134	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001529	-0.45%	0.001584	+3.12%	0.1499	✗	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.00155	-0.48%	0.001536	-1.35%	0.0038	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001526	-0.47%	0.001557	+1.57%	0.0223	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001589	-0.56%	0.001533	-4.07%	0.0247	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001608	-0.60%	0.001598	-1.24%	0.0295	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001616	-0.58%	0.001618	-0.43%	0.0879	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.00151	-0.51%	0.001625	+7.05%	0.1008	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001471	-0.44%	0.001518	+2.78%	0.0105	✓	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001576	-0.55%	0.001477	-6.81%	0.1303	✓	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001764	-0.79%	0.001585	-10.85%	0.0950	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001687	-0.75%	0.001778	+4.59%	0.0987	✗	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002018	-1.01%	0.0017	-16.63%	0.0192	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002385	-1.34%	0.002039	-15.64%	0.1139	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001618	-0.75%	0.002417	+48.28%	0.3796	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001662	-0.83%	0.00163	-2.74%	0.0380	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001288	-0.24%	0.001676	+29.82%	0.3032	✗	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001502	-0.60%	0.001291	-14.56%	0.1825	✓	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001369	-0.47%	0.001511	+9.89%	0.2936	✗	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.00154	-0.70%	0.001375	-11.35%	0.0386	✓	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.00147	-0.64%	0.001551	+4.87%	0.1054	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001576	-0.74%	0.001479	-6.86%	0.0508	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001683	-0.81%	0.001588	-6.42%	0.1077	✓	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.001545	-0.70%	0.001697	+9.06%	0.0018	✓	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001925	-0.95%	0.001556	-19.96%	0.1752	✓	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.001641	-0.75%	0.001944	+17.60%	0.0979	✗	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001819	-0.86%	0.001653	-9.92%	0.0004	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001738	-0.79%	0.001835	+4.74%	0.0329	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001642	-0.68%	0.001752	+5.99%	0.3086	✗	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002375	-1.21%	0.001653	-31.24%	0.1914	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001512	-0.50%	0.002404	+58.16%	0.4437	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001655	-0.58%	0.00152	-8.71%	0.1057	✓	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.001685	-0.56%	0.001665	-1.71%	0.0628	✓	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001762	-0.58%	0.001694	-4.40%	0.0347	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001657	-0.47%	0.001772	+6.43%	0.0928	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001837	-0.55%	0.001665	-9.85%	0.0878	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001994	-0.61%	0.001847	-7.93%	0.0724	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.00181	-0.45%	0.002006	+10.34%	0.0775	✗	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001764	-0.38%	0.001818	+2.65%	0.0244	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.002049	-0.52%	0.001771	-14.03%	0.1543	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.001538	-0.14%	0.00206	+33.77%	0.2690	✗	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001366	-0.03%	0.00154	+12.74%	0.1274	✗	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001887	-0.29%	0.001366	-27.84%	0.3032	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.00228	-0.46%	0.001893	-17.34%	0.2031	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002254	-0.45%	0.00229	+1.15%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002687	-0.62%	0.002264	-16.27%	0.1784	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002852	-0.69%	0.002704	-5.85%	0.0372	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002666	-0.68%	0.002872	+7.00%	0.0983	✗	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004743	-1.05%	0.002684	-44.00%	0.5491	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.00496	-1.08%	0.004793	-4.41%	0.0149	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.006398	-1.28%	0.005014	-22.64%	0.2455	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.005143	-1.22%	0.006481	+24.47%	0.1931	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001537	-0.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001323	-0.09%	0.001539	+16.24%	0.1350	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.001318	-0.10%	0.001324	+0.38%	0.0347	✓	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.00172	-0.11%	0.001319	-23.40%	0.2629	✓	1.00