CSPR

Casper Network · native · lstm_s3

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +7d

assessed

77

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0886

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0326

actual -0.0015

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002192	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002188	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002125	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002203	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002269	-3.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002265	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002233	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.00236	-3.65%	0.002257	-7.85%	0.0524	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002399	-3.63%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0619	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002345	-3.71%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0693	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002392	-3.65%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0389	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002353	-3.70%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0084	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002403	-3.80%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0173	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002257	-3.66%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0207	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002342	-3.69%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0555	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.00241	-3.56%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0471	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.00251	-3.61%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0064	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002492	-3.44%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0129	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002478	-3.58%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0034	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.00245	-3.46%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0313	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002477	-3.34%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0365	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002554	-3.53%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0475	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002628	-3.29%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0618	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002642	-3.26%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0287	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002707	-2.98%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0601	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002664	-2.88%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0376	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002631	-2.80%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0387	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002604	-2.64%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0186	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002659	-2.61%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0006	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002722	-2.39%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0131	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002722	-2.28%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0215	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002582	-2.62%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0593	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.00277	-2.82%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0271	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002627	-2.58%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0124	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002519	-2.50%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0171	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002437	-2.19%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0700	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002519	-2.33%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0442	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002809	-2.80%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0351	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002819	-2.85%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0765	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002946	-3.03%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0459	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002851	-2.79%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0675	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.00289	-2.81%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1114	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002936	-2.71%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1579	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002825	-2.38%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0820	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002791	-2.22%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0377	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002751	-2.04%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0646	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002784	-2.14%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0958	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002614	-1.80%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.1235	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002612	-1.70%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1452	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002621	-2.18%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1369	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002691	-2.41%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0683	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.0027	-2.46%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0533	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002567	-2.45%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0798	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002794	-3.00%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0134	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002869	-3.16%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.0805	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002838	-2.73%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.0690	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002667	-3.39%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0097	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002906	-4.32%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.0492	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002764	-3.20%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0032	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002421	-2.37%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0834	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002567	-2.67%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.1120	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002752	-2.82%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0741	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002558	-3.25%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1482	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002453	-3.49%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002653	-4.12%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0587	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.00296	-5.00%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2391	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002561	-4.67%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2450	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002663	-4.84%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.2106	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002433	-4.31%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0665	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002274	-4.00%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0096	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002144	-3.83%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.0813	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002116	-3.83%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2505	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.00198	-3.63%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4445	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001887	-3.42%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3849	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001865	-3.42%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4353	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001938	-3.67%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.3019	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001774	-3.52%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.3024	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001775	-3.55%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2465	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001854	-3.77%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1794	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.00182	-3.81%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.1146	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001826	-3.77%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0468	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001855	-3.88%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0066	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001792	-3.64%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0829	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001749	-4.75%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0571	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.