ARGUS
Argus · Arc · lstm_s3
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
85.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2802
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0283
actual -0.2974
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.009037 | 0.00867 | -4.06% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008983 | 0.008623 | -4.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.00713 | -2.77% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006709 | -2.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005589 | -2.21% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006743 | -1.81% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007515 | -1.93% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008492 | -2.39% | 0.009037 | +3.87% | 0.0370 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008468 | -2.10% | 0.008983 | +3.85% | 0.0293 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007376 | -1.85% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008537 | -1.76% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2202 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.010783 | -2.86% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6146 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010383 | -2.60% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.3948 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012207 | -2.96% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4529 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013181 | -3.08% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4208 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013581 | -3.07% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4303 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013152 | -2.94% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5307 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013556 | -2.90% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.3968 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.013912 | -2.82% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.1925 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.012958 | -2.79% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1733 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015061 | -2.77% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1565 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.013845 | -2.74% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013655 | -2.74% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0290 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014286 | -2.69% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0753 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.018672 | -2.70% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.3179 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.020867 | -2.94% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.4008 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023139 | -3.67% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5553 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.023731 | -4.14% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4315 | ✓ | 1.00 |