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2022-09-14 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1816
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.8%
in alpha space · 88.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13050.129286-0.93%0.1129-13.49%0.1077✓0.5283k2022-10-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012370.012225-1.17%0.00989-20.05%0.1796✓0.61233k2022-10-14
XMRMoneroMonero149.8147.7888-1.34%140.46-6.23%0.0015✓0.981.5M2022-10-14
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.21613-1.54%0.2237+1.91%0.0823✗0.90504k2022-10-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7804-1.63%2.25+24.31%0.2585✗0.4656k2022-10-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1052090.103448-1.67%0.112512+6.94%0.1296✗0.866.5M2022-10-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.36651.4247-1.80%49.267-5.92%0.0025✓0.85221k2022-10-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,259.0019,888.43-1.83%19,147.40-5.49%0.0105✓0.9113k2022-10-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,227.7719,847.40-1.88%19,178.00-5.19%0.0190✓1.00480.9M2022-10-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16370.160607-1.89%0.1465-10.51%0.0330✓1.111,5602022-10-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012190.000011946-2.00%0.00001019-16.41%0.1079✓0.96951k2022-10-14
AAVEAaveEthereum83.9282.2026-2.05%72.83-13.21%0.0441✓1.446.2M2022-10-14
TRXTRONTron0.0616450.060305-2.17%0.064+3.82%0.0823✗0.43129k2022-10-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,639.141,602.72-2.22%1,296.36-20.91%0.1433✓1.29569.9M2022-10-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4430.433123-2.23%0.302-31.83%0.2975✓1.184,5592022-10-14
QNTQuantEthereum99.0596.8361-2.24%165.76+67.35%0.5842✗0.883.5M2022-10-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48830.476134-2.49%0.4145-15.11%0.0852✓1.00366k2022-10-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.3689.1149-2.70%9.765+4.24%0.1141✗0.851.2M2022-10-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9170.892151-2.71%0.866-5.56%0.0274✓1.071.5M2022-10-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19750.192137-2.72%0.17-13.92%0.0716✓0.95130k2022-10-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.9034-2.73%3.032-24.45%0.2344✓0.342.0M2022-10-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.26.0257-2.81%5.59-9.84%0.0521✓0.432.1M2022-10-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066740.064859-2.82%0.05449-18.35%0.1238✓0.958692022-10-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37760.366777-2.87%0.3071-18.67%0.1263✓0.96202k2022-10-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.514520.499695-2.88%0.40748-20.80%0.1242✓1.5039k2022-10-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023240.022569-2.89%0.02065-11.14%0.0320✓1.072,9142022-10-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.811750.788266-2.89%0.74011-8.83%0.0224✓0.7613k2022-10-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0611250.059307-2.98%0.058661-4.03%0.0386✗0.931.1M2022-10-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0430.041678-3.07%0.0338-21.40%0.1482✓1.15546k2022-10-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05820.056362-3.16%0.0541-7.04%0.0000✓0.7782k2022-10-14
XVGVergenative0.003370.003263-3.18%0.00305-9.50%0.0204✓0.88483k2022-10-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322810.312519-3.19%0.34725+7.57%0.1465✗0.77326k2022-10-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.0950.091914-3.25%0.0968+1.89%0.1045✗0.99319k2022-10-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7395.5502-3.29%3.784-34.07%0.3560✓0.513.1M2022-10-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036310.035109-3.31%0.03213-11.51%0.0507✓0.712,2982022-10-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1825.9671-3.48%6.285+1.67%0.1231✗1.346.9M2022-10-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.001476-3.50%0.001262-17.52%0.1157✓0.785,8832022-10-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028720.002771-3.51%0.002103-26.78%0.2273✓0.911.2M2022-10-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21190.204384-3.55%0.1796-15.24%0.0805✓0.9257k2022-10-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.99115.5301-3.72%107.52-10.39%0.0128✓1.114.3M2022-10-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.18891.1447-3.72%1.4654+23.26%0.3034✗1.061.2M2022-10-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.412960.397573-3.73%0.3101-24.91%0.1961✓0.98379k2022-10-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.143117-3.75%0.1493+0.40%0.1019✗1.128922022-10-14
SGBSongbirdnative0.02620.02521-3.78%0.0195-25.57%0.2256✓0.5945k2022-10-14
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18890.181722-3.80%0.1475-21.92%0.1542✓1.0286k2022-10-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206930.019901-3.83%0.017637-14.77%0.0861✓0.6512k2022-10-14
ADACardanoCardano0.4810.462575-3.83%0.3667-23.76%0.1817✓0.9536.8M2022-10-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2086.931-3.84%6.044-16.15%0.0813✓1.049.9M2022-10-14
GTGateEthereum4.30854.1403-3.90%4.3878+1.84%0.0949✗0.69696k2022-10-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.6142.5112-3.93%2.169-17.02%0.1020✓0.83464k2022-10-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06070.058222-4.08%0.0667+9.88%0.1926✗1.0677k2022-10-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.1217.3801-4.08%14.99-17.27%0.1087✓0.741.4M2022-10-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034420.033008-4.10%0.02697-21.64%0.1456✓1.0629k2022-10-14
XEMNEMnative0.0427140.040961-4.10%0.037936-11.19%0.0286✓0.9028k2022-10-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.005610.005378-4.14%0.00482-14.08%0.0763✓0.62911k2022-10-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.01730.975189-4.14%0.9771-3.95%0.0259✓0.452.8M2022-10-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9383.7728-4.19%3.062-22.24%0.1824✓0.492.1M2022-10-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09530.091273-4.23%0.1617+69.67%0.6124✗0.762,9132022-10-14
ZENHorizenBase15.114.461-4.23%12.32-18.41%0.0982✓1.1675k2022-10-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.290361-4.23%0.3174+4.68%0.1388✗0.935.9M2022-10-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.30960.296467-4.24%0.2572-16.93%0.0931✓0.9289k2022-10-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27190.260171-4.31%0.2484-8.64%0.0056✓0.972.7M2022-10-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.1896-4.35%3.43-21.69%0.1727✓0.511.4M2022-10-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.744320.711573-4.40%0.62338-16.25%0.0759✓1.06584k2022-10-14
DASHDashDash45.5843.5637-4.42%40.19-11.83%0.0250✓1.04299k2022-10-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.01710.971885-4.45%0.909812-10.55%0.0234✓0.8039k2022-10-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.6641.5899-4.46%1.533-7.87%0.0099✓0.87578k2022-10-14
FTTFTXEthereum25.524.3547-4.49%23.45-8.04%0.0157✓1.016.8M2022-10-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.257.4928-4.50%51.32-14.75%0.0635✓0.9414.4M2022-10-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.40e-7-4.57%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0115✓0.7015k2022-10-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.83353.6549-4.66%2.9723-22.47%0.1738✓0.626.3M2022-10-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3116.0157-4.68%4.86-22.99%0.1630✓0.944.3M2022-10-14
XECeCashnative0.000046160.000043995-4.69%0.00003692-20.02%0.1312✓0.833.5M2022-10-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07061.0203-4.70%0.814-23.97%0.1474✓1.474.5M2022-10-14
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003706-4.74%0.00322-17.22%0.0914✓0.9289k2022-10-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.428.021-4.74%6.54-22.33%0.1759✓0.532.4M2022-10-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.087025-4.79%0.0798-12.69%0.0423✓0.8310k2022-10-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020420.019442-4.79%0.01711-16.21%0.0980✓0.56173k2022-10-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04310.041031-4.80%0.03705-14.04%0.0606✓0.7814k2022-10-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.0736-4.81%3.92-26.45%0.2335✓0.462.4M2022-10-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.5361.4619-4.83%1.501-2.28%0.0634✗0.6929k2022-10-14
KSMKusamaHydration47.5845.269-4.86%39.92-16.10%0.0749✓0.95363k2022-10-14
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.48484.266-4.88%3.7821-15.67%0.0503✓1.31118k2022-10-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4587.0864-4.98%6.89-7.62%0.0293✓1.0818.0M2022-10-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.108075-5.03%0.0686-39.72%0.4296✓0.47182k2022-10-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.89860.853222-5.05%0.7535-16.15%0.0607✓1.19874k2022-10-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03660.034717-5.14%0.0315-13.93%0.0439✓1.0093k2022-10-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3375-5.14%1.7+20.57%0.2298✗-0.19113k2022-10-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40620.38522-5.16%0.3242-20.19%0.1119✓1.1466k2022-10-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.5659-5.18%4.45-24.19%0.1966✓0.512.1M2022-10-14
SOLSolanaSolana34.1232.3497-5.19%29.99-12.10%0.0130✓1.1852.2M2022-10-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012250.001161-5.25%0.0008958-26.87%0.2179✓0.772.1M2022-10-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.19240.182215-5.29%0.1801-6.39%0.0363✓0.903.1M2022-10-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.05530.052361-5.31%0.0532-3.80%0.0533✓0.70234k2022-10-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.407955-5.35%0.386-10.44%0.0022✓1.087,9852022-10-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6280.594106-5.40%0.523-16.72%0.0715✓1.053.2M2022-10-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12520.118322-5.49%0.1172-6.39%0.0456✓1.032.6M2022-10-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.93791.8296-5.59%0.9248-52.28%0.6465✓0.671.5M2022-10-14
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0117310.011075-5.59%0.009888-15.71%0.0601✓1.007452022-10-14
FISStafiEthereum0.32090.302789-5.64%0.292-9.01%0.0146✓0.957782022-10-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8707160.821231-5.68%0.741825-14.80%0.0575✓0.8347k2022-10-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059760.005633-5.73%0.0079+32.21%0.3704✗0.611,9622022-10-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136320.128484-5.75%0.12084-11.36%0.0011✓1.13146k2022-10-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121830.01148-5.77%0.01404+15.24%0.2477✗0.87851k2022-10-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07090.066789-5.80%0.05883-17.02%0.0756✓0.9625k2022-10-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.478307-5.85%0.42-17.32%0.0673✓1.1870k2022-10-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6913.8221-5.91%19.69+34.04%0.4000✗0.871.9M2022-10-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259570.024416-5.94%0.024857-4.24%0.0155✓-0.04485k2022-10-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0291.9074-5.99%1.522-24.99%0.1652✓1.1327k2022-10-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.02441.9024-6.03%1.5821-21.85%0.1258✓1.1013k2022-10-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008050.007562-6.06%0.00585-27.33%0.1963✓1.13463k2022-10-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.97413.1165-6.14%11.643-16.68%0.0541✓1.2220.3M2022-10-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.131236-6.19%0.1151-17.73%0.0781✓1.00119k2022-10-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.377-6.23%8.44-15.60%0.0365✓1.29288k2022-10-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,194.008,619.36-6.25%7,558.88-17.78%0.0605✓1.334.0M2022-10-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.5487-6.26%2.07-23.87%0.1278✓1.512.9M2022-10-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.019302-6.30%0.01992-3.30%0.0810✗0.939.2M2022-10-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.326110.305414-6.35%0.29045-10.93%0.0042✓1.0233k2022-10-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0404550.037866-6.40%0.035376-12.55%0.0372✓0.5824k2022-10-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1317.8825-6.52%15.67-18.09%0.0609✓1.3317.5M2022-10-14
ZECZcashZcash61.9657.8809-6.58%49.94-19.40%0.0907✓1.071.1M2022-10-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.057111.2573-6.63%9.9729-17.29%0.0715✓0.9321k2022-10-14
STXStacksnative0.35220.328475-6.74%0.2998-14.88%0.0350✓1.06298k2022-10-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33940.316517-6.74%0.2801-17.47%0.0691✓1.0079k2022-10-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6120.57073-6.74%0.56-8.50%0.0346✓1.01178k2022-10-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8141.6911-6.78%1.454-19.85%0.0653✓1.6160k2022-10-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00850.007919-6.83%0.00513-39.65%0.3867✓0.893.3M2022-10-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.086.5954-6.84%5.78-18.36%0.0764✓1.04210k2022-10-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.269010.250476-6.89%0.21178-21.27%0.1229✓0.8415k2022-10-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.87874.5389-6.96%4.4399-8.99%0.0164✓0.11135k2022-10-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.163480.152038-7.00%0.13698-16.21%0.0499✓1.02262k2022-10-14
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.5184.2018-7.00%3.003-33.53%0.2826✓1.001.4M2022-10-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.045288-7.01%0.0366-24.85%0.1572✓1.05177k2022-10-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.041.897-7.01%1.59-22.06%0.1084✓1.28226k2022-10-14
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.3387-7.09%4.51-3.43%0.0822✗0.82808k2022-10-14
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.116015-7.11%0.1189-4.80%0.0832✗1.101.4M2022-10-14
XTZTezosTezos1.61041.4957-7.12%1.3651-15.23%0.0376✓1.01236k2022-10-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.099933-7.13%0.0958-10.97%0.0019✓0.83188k2022-10-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.58e-76.11e-7-7.13%4.84e-7-26.38%0.1901✓0.792.1M2022-10-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.352.1822-7.14%1.93-17.87%0.0910✓0.60200k2022-10-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11280.104663-7.21%0.0853-24.38%0.1366✓1.272.4M2022-10-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1671.0816-7.32%0.961-17.65%0.0704✓0.901.1M2022-10-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2850.263962-7.38%0.2031-28.74%0.2081✓1.0172k2022-10-14
DIADIAEthereum0.380030.351797-7.43%0.38981+2.57%0.1534✗0.9529k2022-10-14
QTUMQtumQtum3.09632.8661-7.44%2.6157-15.52%0.0380✓1.0019k2022-10-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03910.036155-7.53%0.0348-11.00%0.0006✓0.739,5132022-10-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48530.44861-7.56%0.3733-23.08%0.1411✓0.80396k2022-10-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.67510.62378-7.60%0.5741-14.96%0.0028✓1.50194k2022-10-14
COMPCompoundEthereum60.0955.5012-7.64%54.51-9.29%0.0396✓1.088,4972022-10-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015560.001437-7.67%0.001483-4.69%0.0715✓0.75340k2022-10-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6320.583374-7.69%0.528-16.46%0.0465✓1.00114k2022-10-14
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,547.051,427.14-7.75%1,258.83-18.63%0.0722✓1.003.3M2022-10-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80881.6685-7.76%1.5603-13.74%0.0092✓1.0928k2022-10-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.17210.3002-7.80%12.749+14.12%0.2320✗0.3515.8M2022-10-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063250.00583-7.83%0.0058-8.30%0.0121✓0.3229k2022-10-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3871.2781-7.85%1.532+10.45%0.2431✗1.1643k2022-10-14
BANDBandEthereum1.2571.1581-7.86%1.054-16.15%0.0307✓1.19303k2022-10-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2938680.270748-7.87%0.244239-16.89%0.0485✓1.02430k2022-10-14
FLOWFlownative1.8681.7199-7.93%1.48-20.77%0.0785✓1.35967k2022-10-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.042772-8.02%0.0313-32.69%0.2678✓0.83142k2022-10-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33660.309319-8.11%0.2521-25.10%0.1466✓1.0972k2022-10-14
METISMetisEthereum27.5825.3149-8.21%24.63-10.70%0.0545✓1.54155k2022-10-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.2199-8.28%1.04-21.80%0.1075✓0.9856k2022-10-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.22861.1266-8.30%1.0714-12.80%0.0054✓1.04844k2022-10-14
PROPropyEthereum0.720.660009-8.33%0.54-25.00%0.1892✓0.2242k2022-10-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.33.9398-8.38%3.774-12.23%0.0060✓0.92223k2022-10-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.20990.192179-8.44%0.1539-26.68%0.1925✓0.5666k2022-10-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06010.054994-8.50%0.0525-12.65%0.0187✓1.22608k2022-10-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.54385.0715-8.52%4.1388-25.34%0.1980✓0.109.6M2022-10-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1092.8428-8.56%2.739-11.90%0.0202✓0.32676k2022-10-14
HIVEHivenative0.55510.507546-8.57%0.4831-12.97%0.0192✓0.57836k2022-10-14
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0171470.015673-8.59%0.013974-18.50%0.0615✓1.001,0682022-10-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5130.468514-8.67%0.431-15.98%0.0239✓1.1266k2022-10-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14820.135345-8.67%0.1319-11.00%0.0243✓0.94322k2022-10-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.84644-8.79%0.827-10.88%0.0017✓0.472.5M2022-10-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.244054-8.94%0.229-14.55%0.0236✓0.75512k2022-10-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3112.1183-8.95%10.81-18.78%0.0561✓1.09874k2022-10-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20450.185818-9.14%0.1348-34.08%0.2798✓0.7730k2022-10-14
BTTCBTTC8.80e-77.99e-7-9.15%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0375✓0.691.7M2022-10-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4661.3312-9.19%1.404-4.23%0.1126✗1.1168k2022-10-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82340.745313-9.48%0.6293-23.57%0.1111✓1.09920k2022-10-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.3735.572-9.65%23.13-41.25%0.3500✓1.5110.6M2022-10-14
OPTIMOptimism1.2161.0965-9.83%0.719-40.87%0.3386✓1.572.7M2022-10-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85150.766853-9.94%0.8303-2.49%0.1522✗1.3789k2022-10-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060490.054124-10.52%0.05442-10.03%0.0685✓1.181.1M2022-10-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.068760.06138-10.73%0.06559-4.61%0.0770✓0.20351k2022-10-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9555.3042-10.93%5.068-14.90%0.0059✓0.975.9M2022-10-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain65.342-10.97%4.5087-24.85%0.1561✓0.2512.5M2022-10-14
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1024.5375-11.06%4.517-11.47%0.0608✓1.236.4M2022-10-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.9815.0466-11.39%14.25-16.08%0.0253✓0.55384k2022-10-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000300410.000263577-12.26%0.00027202-9.45%0.0323✓0.012.4M2022-10-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.