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2022-09-13 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1837
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.7%
in alpha space · 88.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.134933-1.15%0.1133-17.00%0.1537✓0.5283k2022-10-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.012375-1.15%0.01008-19.49%0.1802✓0.62233k2022-10-13
XMRMoneroMonero145.44143.7337-1.17%142.89-1.75%0.0340✗0.991.4M2022-10-13
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.212669-1.59%0.225+4.12%0.0913✗0.87527k2022-10-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.102975-1.60%0.1121+7.11%0.1199✗0.876.5M2022-10-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1019,890.59-1.71%19,353.70-4.37%0.0097✓0.9215k2022-10-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56650.6706-1.74%50.036-2.97%0.0216✗0.85246k2022-10-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7819,807.35-1.82%19,378.65-3.95%0.0184✓1.00480.9M2022-10-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000011864-1.87%0.00001039-14.06%0.0937✓0.971.0M2022-10-13
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9781.4006-1.89%70.96-14.48%0.0783✓1.466.2M2022-10-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.161877-1.89%0.1439-12.79%0.0724✓1.131,7442022-10-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,543.33-1.99%1,286.96-18.27%0.1289✓1.31616.7M2022-10-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.773-2.04%2.79+54.14%0.4720✗0.4656k2022-10-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.8795.8543-2.06%160.75+64.25%0.5543✗0.933.5M2022-10-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.452768-2.10%0.4211-8.95%0.0275✓1.12366k2022-10-13
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.059397-2.12%0.060975+0.48%0.0443✗0.45123k2022-10-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.439268-2.17%0.319-28.95%0.2732✓1.164,5592022-10-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.063192-2.30%0.05314-17.84%0.1376✓0.897802022-10-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.214.8398-2.37%14.3-5.92%0.0055✓0.781.4M2022-10-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.494403-2.67%0.41049-19.19%0.1337✓1.3041k2022-10-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.058031-2.69%0.059662+0.04%0.0663✗0.961.2M2022-10-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.2549.0049-2.69%9.399+1.57%0.0761✗0.831.2M2022-10-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1424.0292-2.72%3.061-26.10%0.2600✓0.372.0M2022-10-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.888102-2.73%0.847-7.23%0.0020✓1.131.5M2022-10-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.022536-2.74%0.02101-9.32%0.0292✓1.022,9582022-10-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.2859-2.85%5.61-13.29%0.0942✓0.482.1M2022-10-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.055533-2.91%0.0499-12.76%0.0746✓0.8090k2022-10-13
XVGVergenative0.003370.003271-2.93%0.00306-9.20%0.0291✓0.94483k2022-10-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.089682-2.94%0.0998+8.01%0.1476✗1.01336k2022-10-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.300491-2.96%0.327+5.60%0.1103✗0.64326k2022-10-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.799449-3.07%0.73564-10.80%0.0536✓0.7313k2022-10-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.192837-3.10%0.1711-14.02%0.0788✓1.01132k2022-10-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.042684-3.21%0.0344-22.00%0.1691✓1.16546k2022-10-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.035305-3.22%0.03232-11.40%0.0598✓0.712,2982022-10-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.201701-3.26%0.1796-13.86%0.0794✓0.9159k2022-10-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.00148-3.35%0.001276-16.66%0.1210✓0.676,5532022-10-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.161745-3.37%0.14863-11.20%0.0564✓0.703542022-10-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.38718-3.40%0.3093-22.83%0.1845✓0.99202k2022-10-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002729-3.45%0.002098-25.79%0.2267✓0.901.2M2022-10-13
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.8235-3.49%6.15+1.92%0.1088✗1.356.9M2022-10-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.183139-3.51%0.141-25.71%0.2204✓1.02101k2022-10-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1345.9166-3.54%3.961-35.43%0.3787✓0.563.1M2022-10-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.447144-3.57%0.3769-18.72%0.1320✓0.9738.3M2022-10-13
GTGateEthereum4.14323.9927-3.63%4.3617+5.27%0.1176✗0.72696k2022-10-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.019455-3.65%0.01784-11.64%0.0613✓0.6312k2022-10-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.5216-3.68%2.208-15.66%0.1005✓0.80523k2022-10-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6113.215-3.73%108.8-7.48%0.0065✓1.154.4M2022-10-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1264-3.75%1.2571+7.42%0.1538✗1.091.1M2022-10-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.057137-3.81%0.0671+12.96%0.2031✗1.0578k2022-10-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.7963-3.87%6.113-13.54%0.0614✓1.1110.0M2022-10-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.00541-3.91%0.0048-14.74%0.0931✓0.66911k2022-10-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.032329-3.98%0.02754-18.21%0.1181✓1.0532k2022-10-13
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.040482-3.99%0.038379-8.97%0.0171✓0.9028k2022-10-13
DASHDashDash43.7742.0188-4.00%40.41-7.68%0.0024✓1.03312k2022-10-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.403065-4.03%0.35148-16.32%0.0993✓0.93392k2022-10-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02230.980243-4.11%0.9674-5.37%0.0064✓0.492.8M2022-10-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.284348-4.13%0.3194+7.69%0.1547✗0.956.0M2022-10-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.256714-4.18%0.2551-4.78%0.0334✓0.992.7M2022-10-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.700601-4.22%0.63573-13.09%0.0538✓1.08624k2022-10-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.081201-4.24%0.082-3.30%0.0487✗0.9711k2022-10-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003647-4.29%0.00324-14.96%0.0806✓0.9495k2022-10-13
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000042063-4.29%0.00003711-15.56%0.0918✓0.833.0M2022-10-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.959457-4.32%0.905877-9.66%0.0264✓0.7741k2022-10-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.3046-4.34%3.53-21.56%0.1756✓0.571.4M2022-10-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.149291-4.36%0.153-1.99%0.0720✗1.189132022-10-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.4851-4.37%1.479-4.76%0.0238✓0.6929k2022-10-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.092558-4.38%0.0743-23.24%0.1909✓0.722,9132022-10-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0823.9028-4.39%3.097-24.13%0.2107✓0.512.3M2022-10-13
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.1864-4.40%12.53-15.57%0.0752✓1.2275k2022-10-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.156.4947-4.41%51.09-13.55%0.0616✓0.9714.4M2022-10-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.6059-4.41%1.553-7.56%0.0045✓0.94627k2022-10-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.019171-4.48%0.01727-13.95%0.0808✓0.59173k2022-10-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8924.7241-4.50%23.44-9.46%0.0131✓1.006.8M2022-10-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.047318-4.60%0.0541+9.07%0.1687✗0.86234k2022-10-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.3844.2409-4.61%40.69-12.27%0.0427✓1.02363k2022-10-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0037-4.63%0.8006-23.93%0.1668✓1.474.5M2022-10-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.29e-7-4.69%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0461✓0.6915k2022-10-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.689-4.78%7.028+0.04%0.0939✗1.1118.0M2022-10-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.040684-4.79%0.03722-12.89%0.0614✓0.6814k2022-10-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.4449-4.81%3.81-33.39%0.3360✓0.522.0M2022-10-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.837169-4.82%0.7636-13.19%0.0432✓1.21899k2022-10-13
SOLSolanaSolana33.0131.4063-4.86%30.49-7.63%0.0187✓1.2054.5M2022-10-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.8166-4.96%4.46-27.12%0.2447✓0.522.1M2022-10-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.3156-4.96%6.57-24.91%0.2131✓0.562.4M2022-10-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.295018-4.99%0.277-10.79%0.0230✓0.9982k2022-10-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.0803-4.99%5.03-21.41%0.1507✓0.974.3M2022-10-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.034295-5.00%0.0319-11.63%0.0319✓1.0190k2022-10-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.381123-5.05%0.3269-18.56%0.1074✓1.1467k2022-10-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.010436-5.11%0.009275-15.67%0.0776✓1.006682022-10-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.326664-5.15%0.2499-27.44%0.2320✓0.8989k2022-10-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.104699-5.16%0.0666-39.67%0.4297✓0.56182k2022-10-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.3649-5.17%3.7246-19.08%0.1055✓1.32118k2022-10-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.802298-5.20%0.761919-9.97%0.0178✓0.8446k2022-10-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3362-5.23%1.66+17.73%0.2127✗-0.11113k2022-10-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001171-5.27%0.0008937-27.71%0.2379✓0.812.2M2022-10-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.588839-5.33%0.53-14.79%0.0613✓1.093.2M2022-10-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.46669-5.34%0.426-13.59%0.0436✓1.1877k2022-10-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.41082-5.34%0.38-12.44%0.0361✓1.047,9852022-10-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.18304-5.36%0.1844-4.65%0.0446✓0.923.2M2022-10-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.117579-5.41%0.1168-6.03%0.0358✓1.052.6M2022-10-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.064179-5.48%0.06122-9.84%0.0087✓0.9625k2022-10-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.023324-5.54%0.024977+1.15%0.0702✗0.04471k2022-10-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.12727-5.56%0.12034-10.70%0.0101✓1.14151k2022-10-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005567-5.62%0.005472-7.24%0.0084✓0.641,9622022-10-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.8483-5.63%0.9616-50.90%0.6242✓0.721.5M2022-10-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13213.8956-5.72%2.9712-28.09%0.2445✓0.667.3M2022-10-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007495-5.85%0.00571-28.27%0.2276✓1.10463k2022-10-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.9037-5.85%1.535-24.09%0.1672✓1.1930k2022-10-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.011439-5.87%0.010334-14.96%0.0681✓0.83882k2022-10-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.130808-6.03%0.1172-15.80%0.0705✓0.98128k2022-10-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.019194-6.05%0.0198-3.08%0.0724✗1.039.7M2022-10-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.6449-6.09%19.43+33.72%0.3908✗0.931.8M2022-10-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.137-6.09%8.67-10.89%0.0010✓1.33288k2022-10-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.301721-6.12%0.29812-7.24%0.0295✓1.0333k2022-10-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03291.9065-6.22%1.5924-21.67%0.1373✓1.0613k2022-10-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8717.6915-6.25%15.65-17.06%0.0684✓1.3518.0M2022-10-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.6734-6.25%1.495-16.25%0.0476✓1.6265k2022-10-13
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.037369-6.27%0.035845-10.10%0.0198✓0.5423k2022-10-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.557554-6.29%0.563-5.38%0.0498✓1.00178k2022-10-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89713.0128-6.36%11.342-18.39%0.0872✓1.2520.3M2022-10-13
ZECZcashZcash58.9255.1654-6.37%50.94-13.54%0.0352✓1.101.1M2022-10-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.5442-6.43%2.183-19.71%0.0937✓1.482.9M2022-10-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,430.68-6.50%7,725.27-14.33%0.0331✓1.354.1M2022-10-13
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.151-6.56%10.1346-15.08%0.0562✓0.9821k2022-10-13
FISStafiEthereum0.350.326979-6.58%0.319-8.86%0.0138✓0.961,1592022-10-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.507-6.64%6.09-12.63%0.0239✓1.05224k2022-10-13
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.4328-6.64%1.3832-9.88%0.0060✓1.02246k2022-10-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.007942-6.67%0.00533-37.37%0.3626✓0.903.3M2022-10-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.248901-6.75%0.20766-22.20%0.1456✓0.8815k2022-10-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.151808-6.77%0.13775-15.41%0.0555✓1.04271k2022-10-13
STXStacksnative0.34970.325971-6.79%0.3005-14.07%0.0389✓1.06313k2022-10-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.3408-6.85%4.61-1.07%0.0938✗0.83839k2022-10-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.8909-6.85%1.6-21.18%0.1182✓1.21227k2022-10-13
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.114-6.88%3.04-31.19%0.2623✓1.001.4M2022-10-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.044574-6.94%0.0379-20.88%0.1178✓1.10177k2022-10-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.6181-7.08%4.2295-14.90%0.0844✓0.09119k2022-10-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.07-7.12%0.978-15.10%0.0523✓0.931.1M2022-10-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.613166-7.18%0.5935-10.16%0.0275✓1.49210k2022-10-13
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.116296-7.19%0.1164-7.10%0.0456✓1.111.4M2022-10-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.100355-7.25%0.0879-18.76%0.0808✓1.282.5M2022-10-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.02332.8037-7.26%2.6695-11.70%0.0084✓1.0120k2022-10-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.099757-7.29%0.0911-15.33%0.0568✓0.84188k2022-10-13
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.353342-7.30%0.39142+2.69%0.1407✗0.9531k2022-10-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.565268-7.33%0.536-12.13%0.0112✓1.04114k2022-10-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001407-7.36%0.001497-1.45%0.0918✗0.74353k2022-10-13
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.1496-7.59%1.068-14.15%0.0246✓1.22323k2022-10-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.005743-7.60%0.00599-3.64%0.0554✓0.3330k2022-10-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.449411-7.62%0.3679-24.38%0.1674✓0.81422k2022-10-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.305555-7.63%0.2586-21.83%0.1225✓1.1072k2022-10-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.267209-7.66%0.246962-14.66%0.0396✓0.97487k2022-10-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1418-7.68%1.85-20.26%0.1219✓0.61247k2022-10-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.275093-7.69%0.2072-30.47%0.2445✓0.9774k2022-10-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.6492-7.69%1.5752-11.84%0.0018✓1.1025k2022-10-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,358.00-7.71%1,248.14-15.17%0.0441✓1.003.4M2022-10-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.037136-7.85%0.0342-15.14%0.0507✓0.799,5132022-10-13
FLOWFlownative1.8641.7173-7.87%1.511-18.94%0.0720✓1.39967k2022-10-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.041617-7.93%0.0333-26.33%0.1887✓0.85142k2022-10-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.40e-7-7.98%4.93e-7-29.22%0.2278✓0.862.2M2022-10-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.2971-8.01%1.531+8.58%0.2138✗1.1943k2022-10-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.1947-8.10%1.06-18.46%0.0786✓1.0258k2022-10-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.1421-8.11%1.0884-12.43%0.0043✓1.09922k2022-10-13
PROPropyEthereum0.710.652211-8.14%0.52-26.76%0.2167✓0.2442k2022-10-13
METISMetisEthereum27.925.6017-8.24%24.71-11.43%0.0264✓1.54159k2022-10-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09211.0857-8.32%13.225+9.37%0.1913✗0.3715.8M2022-10-13
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8351.1777-8.33%54.83-1.79%0.1146✗1.138,6412022-10-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.054073-8.35%0.053-10.17%0.0282✓1.20568k2022-10-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2123.8569-8.43%3.817-9.38%0.0266✓0.92245k2022-10-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.179608-8.50%0.1351-31.18%0.2539✓0.7730k2022-10-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0552.7938-8.55%2.773-9.23%0.0082✓0.39759k2022-10-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.132025-8.57%0.1342-7.06%0.0555✓0.97336k2022-10-13
HIVEHivenative0.55040.503096-8.59%0.4902-10.94%0.0017✓0.60871k2022-10-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.19211-8.65%0.1528-27.34%0.1992✓0.7467k2022-10-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.3287-8.68%1.407-3.30%0.1003✗1.0771k2022-10-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.474791-8.69%0.439-15.58%0.0337✓1.1166k2022-10-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.240044-8.73%0.23-12.55%0.0131✓0.74534k2022-10-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1812.0127-8.86%11.09-15.86%0.0347✓1.12925k2022-10-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.015686-8.86%0.013771-19.99%0.0900✓1.001,0292022-10-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.733826-9.02%0.6504-19.37%0.0759✓1.11946k2022-10-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.837841-9.03%0.836-9.23%0.0163✓0.462.7M2022-10-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-77.81e-7-9.15%7.70e-7-10.47%0.0139✓0.711.7M2022-10-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.585.9618-9.39%3.9876-39.40%0.3956✓0.169.1M2022-10-13
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.0682-9.63%0.732-38.07%0.3135✓1.602.8M2022-10-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2931.7873-9.93%23.01-34.80%0.2626✓1.5010.6M2022-10-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.761379-10.03%0.8267-2.32%0.1418✗1.4894k2022-10-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.053526-10.06%0.05517-7.29%0.0786✓1.201.2M2022-10-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.061769-10.65%0.071+2.71%0.1473✗0.20354k2022-10-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.2444-10.67%5.141-12.43%0.0191✓0.976.2M2022-10-13
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1364.577-10.88%4.551-11.39%0.0470✓1.316.4M2022-10-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.814.9328-11.11%14.34-14.64%0.0177✓0.57396k2022-10-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23496.3975-11.57%4.5312-37.37%0.3333✓0.2912.2M2022-10-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.000312217-12.80%0.00027827-22.28%0.1112✓0.102.4M2022-10-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.