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2022-09-12 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2442
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.0%
in alpha space · 93.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.49%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.184312+0.22%0.147-20.07%0.0461✗1.151,7442022-10-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.844+0.22%2.23+21.20%0.2636✓0.4758k2022-10-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.069059-0.13%0.05545-19.81%0.0736✓0.938202022-10-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.172119-0.26%0.1565-9.31%0.0241✗0.765152022-10-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039884-0.29%0.03373-15.68%0.0584✓0.702,2982022-10-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60954.2841-0.59%48.073-11.97%0.0170✗0.88264k2022-10-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.012847-0.72%0.01098-15.15%0.0545✓0.65233k2022-10-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.84772-0.77%0.75156-12.02%0.0031✓0.7913k2022-10-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.066115-0.88%0.0689+3.30%0.2054✗1.0579k2022-10-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.162708-0.91%0.1486-9.50%0.1147✗1.319132022-10-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.203331-0.96%0.1515-26.21%0.1187✓1.12108k2022-10-12
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.063252-0.99%0.061673-3.46%0.0477✗0.47123k2022-10-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.024633-0.99%0.02169-12.82%0.0421✗1.082,9582022-10-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.059383-1.03%0.0499-16.83%0.0413✓0.8590k2022-10-12
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.233015-1.06%0.2291-2.72%0.1196✗0.87527k2022-10-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.231943-1.13%0.1864-20.55%0.0781✓0.9057k2022-10-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.063188-1.20%0.05987-6.39%0.1042✗1.011.2M2022-10-12
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.593-1.26%9.053-6.81%0.0771✗0.861.2M2022-10-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.021725-1.33%0.018543-15.78%0.0613✓0.6212k2022-10-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.311883-1.37%0.33712+6.61%0.1862✗0.69326k2022-10-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.099887-1.39%0.0774-23.59%0.1359✓0.762,7302022-10-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8022,008.44-1.40%19,167.20-14.13%0.0056✓0.9213k2022-10-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.7163-1.44%2.24-18.72%0.0627✓0.83523k2022-10-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.112169-1.48%0.116277+2.12%0.1750✗0.896.5M2022-10-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.101145-1.51%0.1026-0.10%0.1731✗1.01336k2022-10-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.554119-1.58%0.42113-25.20%0.0651✓1.3439k2022-10-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.486608-1.66%0.4253-14.05%0.0464✗1.16384k2022-10-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.5479-1.67%6.054-9.09%0.1415✗1.406.9M2022-10-12
QNTQuantEthereum106.65104.8678-1.67%153.65+44.07%0.5283✗0.933.5M2022-10-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.2959-1.71%14.49-12.61%0.0048✓0.781.5M2022-10-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00450.98721-1.72%0.9569-4.74%0.0581✗0.572.6M2022-10-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001622-1.78%0.001361-17.57%0.0689✓0.685,8832022-10-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012643-1.84%0.00001016-21.12%0.0602✓1.011.0M2022-10-12
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9989.2752-1.88%71.52-21.40%0.0177✓1.536.0M2022-10-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.020618-1.91%0.01798-14.46%0.0421✓0.61191k2022-10-12
XMRMoneroMonero163.77160.5995-1.94%144.74-11.62%0.0474✗0.971.4M2022-10-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.00609-1.94%0.0049-21.10%0.1181✓0.63911k2022-10-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.187845-1.96%0.1135-40.76%0.4820✓0.1483k2022-10-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.048235-1.96%0.0357-27.44%0.1168✓1.18546k2022-10-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.202124-2.02%0.1782-13.62%0.0444✗1.09135k2022-10-12
DASHDashDash47.1746.1805-2.10%41.74-11.51%0.0664✗1.07312k2022-10-12
XVGVergenative0.003570.003494-2.14%0.00312-12.61%0.0419✗0.99483k2022-10-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.0671-2.19%0.929799-14.78%0.0171✓0.7736k2022-10-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.046421-2.21%0.03857-18.75%0.0836✓0.6514k2022-10-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.90e-7-2.23%7.80e-7-14.29%0.0151✓0.7415k2022-10-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.089417-2.28%0.0807-11.80%0.0515✗0.9814k2022-10-12
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.354373-2.30%0.3109-14.28%0.0344✗1.061,1592022-10-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004103-2.31%0.00336-20.00%0.0524✓0.94103k2022-10-12
KSMKusamaHydration52.2151.0007-2.32%40.13-23.14%0.0787✓1.03363k2022-10-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,676.19-2.36%1,294.33-24.60%0.0461✓1.36569.9M2022-10-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7121,862.09-2.41%19,155.92-14.49%0.0244✗1.00480.9M2022-10-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.006202-2.42%0.005602-11.86%0.0017✓0.641,9622022-10-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.397853-2.49%0.3171-22.28%0.0566✓1.09202k2022-10-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.470859-2.51%0.328-32.09%0.1720✓1.214,2692022-10-12
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.045533-2.52%0.039427-15.59%0.0042✓0.8928k2022-10-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.1768-2.53%3.305-22.87%0.1767✓0.372.2M2022-10-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.050235-2.65%0.052+0.78%0.1847✗0.96234k2022-10-12
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.889438-2.71%0.760819-16.78%0.0216✓0.8649k2022-10-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.5272-2.72%5.67-15.50%0.0636✓0.492.1M2022-10-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.03628-2.73%0.02798-24.99%0.0938✓1.0635k2022-10-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.7789-2.84%4.066-31.64%0.2510✓0.643.1M2022-10-12
ZENHorizenBase16.4816.01-2.85%12.49-24.21%0.0522✓1.2579k2022-10-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.430317-2.99%0.3394-23.49%0.0530✓1.1875k2022-10-12
GTGateEthereum4.38394.2515-3.02%4.405+0.48%0.1513✗0.74688k2022-10-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.769766-3.08%0.64761-18.46%0.0040✓1.13624k2022-10-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.137731-3.08%0.12114-14.76%0.0611✗1.21151k2022-10-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.4213-3.17%6.173-19.45%0.0013✓1.1710.0M2022-10-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.5703-3.19%1.463-9.80%0.0442✗0.7329k2022-10-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1006-3.24%1.571-27.64%0.0911✓1.2732k2022-10-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.146865-3.25%0.1213-20.09%0.0349✓1.00119k2022-10-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.2278-3.28%1.1675-8.03%0.1283✗1.141.1M2022-10-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.465164-3.29%0.377-21.62%0.0468✓1.047,9852022-10-12
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011606-3.32%0.009569-20.28%0.0364✓1.006492022-10-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.649199-3.39%0.549-18.30%0.0105✓1.143.3M2022-10-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.281778-3.40%0.2577-11.66%0.0696✗1.022.7M2022-10-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7417-3.40%1.584-12.15%0.0643✗1.02627k2022-10-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.926413-3.41%0.7783-18.85%0.0239✓1.27899k2022-10-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87124.4268-3.45%111.75-13.28%0.0767✗1.184.4M2022-10-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.3923-3.46%3.72-18.24%0.0709✓0.611.4M2022-10-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.312472-3.47%0.3135-3.15%0.1571✗0.986.0M2022-10-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.002998-3.49%0.002075-33.19%0.2249✓0.911.2M2022-10-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.127132-3.62%0.1178-10.69%0.1082✗1.181.4M2022-10-12
SOLSolanaSolana37.4636.1046-3.62%31.16-16.82%0.0443✗1.2254.5M2022-10-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.341495-3.63%0.28328-20.06%0.0181✓1.0833k2022-10-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.0835-3.65%3.141-25.88%0.1808✓0.522.3M2022-10-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3771-3.70%1.52+6.29%0.0773✗-0.14124k2022-10-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.933848-3.73%0.833-14.12%0.0717✗1.191.5M2022-10-12
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.482577-3.75%0.3813-23.95%0.0781✓1.0138.3M2022-10-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.6031-3.78%8.85-19.69%0.0298✓1.34288k2022-10-12
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.384603-3.79%0.3906-2.29%0.1741✗1.0131k2022-10-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.1271-3.81%4.06-23.83%0.1324✓0.642.0M2022-10-12
FTTFTXEthereum28.4627.3765-3.81%23.36-17.92%0.0004✓1.026.8M2022-10-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.005992-3.88%0.00603-3.27%0.0643✗0.3730k2022-10-12
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.5916-3.92%1.3516-18.41%0.0024✓1.06241k2022-10-12
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.1669-3.93%10.3905-17.96%0.0019✓1.0221k2022-10-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.06911-4.00%0.06138-14.74%0.0380✓1.0025k2022-10-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.520049-4.05%0.428-21.03%0.0038✓1.2277k2022-10-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.038282-4.06%0.0353-11.53%0.0579✗0.899,1922022-10-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.038085-4.07%0.0326-17.88%0.0038✓1.0289k2022-10-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.711577-4.09%0.628-15.35%0.1162✗1.54210k2022-10-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.040927-4.09%0.035794-16.12%0.0504✓0.5323k2022-10-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.62104-4.16%0.57-12.04%0.0743✗1.02178k2022-10-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.421711-4.22%0.30131-31.56%0.1825✓0.98379k2022-10-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.1108-4.22%4.67-26.80%0.1867✓0.522.1M2022-10-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.169799-4.24%0.14279-19.47%0.0040✓1.08271k2022-10-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.12898-4.25%0.1193-11.43%0.0917✗1.082.7M2022-10-12
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000044008-4.27%0.00003798-17.38%0.0094✓0.883.0M2022-10-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.049107-4.27%0.0392-23.59%0.0431✓1.16178k2022-10-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.094-4.28%0.8202-28.24%0.0463✓1.544.4M2022-10-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001266-4.33%0.0009175-30.67%0.1925✓0.832.2M2022-10-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.6258-4.34%5.07-26.80%0.1112✓1.004.3M2022-10-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.012579-4.37%0.010459-20.49%0.0536✓0.84882k2022-10-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.8499-4.40%1.505-22.22%0.0618✗1.7160k2022-10-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3720.4297-4.40%15.95-25.36%0.0320✓1.3818.0M2022-10-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.4112-4.47%7.147-7.88%0.1412✗1.1318.0M2022-10-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.0522-4.50%1.672-22.19%0.0283✓1.1313k2022-10-12
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.6359-4.67%3.8083-21.69%0.0371✓1.49122k2022-10-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.021733-4.68%0.02101-7.85%0.1330✗1.0710.3M2022-10-12
ZECZcashZcash62.9259.9533-4.72%51.73-17.78%0.0350✓1.171.1M2022-10-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.7451-4.72%4.7-5.62%0.1259✗0.87839k2022-10-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.638034-4.77%0.556-17.01%0.0292✓1.07111k2022-10-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4158.4597-4.80%52.23-14.95%0.0507✗1.0414.0M2022-10-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.283259-4.82%0.2122-28.70%0.1198✓1.0874k2022-10-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.007928-4.83%0.00592-28.93%0.1079✓1.18428k2022-10-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.2172-4.83%1.022-20.09%0.0286✓0.931.1M2022-10-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.5138-4.87%6.78-24.25%0.1354✓0.592.4M2022-10-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008609-4.87%0.0055-39.23%0.3003✓0.943.3M2022-10-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.12218-4.99%0.0876-31.88%0.1366✓1.252.5M2022-10-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.0788-5.08%1.67-23.74%0.0195✓1.27227k2022-10-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.108295-5.09%0.0931-18.40%0.0135✓0.88188k2022-10-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.108574-5.09%0.067-41.43%0.3890✓0.60188k2022-10-12
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7351.9295-5.12%55.48+1.37%0.2653✗1.278,6412022-10-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.479,247.33-5.17%7,877.53-19.22%0.0616✗1.424.1M2022-10-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.303693-5.22%0.252468-21.21%0.0304✓0.99471k2022-10-12
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.2809-5.26%1.105-18.27%0.0521✓1.28323k2022-10-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.278733-5.29%0.21464-27.07%0.1198✓0.9015k2022-10-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.316881-5.30%0.28-16.32%0.0393✓1.0482k2022-10-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.8105-5.32%1.0233-46.49%0.4381✓0.851.4M2022-10-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.332668-5.33%0.2656-24.42%0.0418✓1.1772k2022-10-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.260167-5.39%0.234-14.91%0.0147✓0.77563k2022-10-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1214.2995-5.43%17.14+13.36%0.3379✗1.001.8M2022-10-12
STXStacksnative0.38790.366578-5.50%0.3107-19.90%0.0021✓1.07314k2022-10-12
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0934.8117-5.52%3.153-38.09%0.2661✓1.001.4M2022-10-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.046575-5.53%0.0378-23.33%0.0756✓0.85145k2022-10-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001536-5.57%0.001688+3.81%0.2178✗0.79374k2022-10-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.190107-5.61%0.1899-5.71%0.1530✗0.983.2M2022-10-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.427.0021-5.63%5.66-23.72%0.0412✓1.10224k2022-10-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.022647-5.77%0.024833+3.32%0.1061✗0.09465k2022-10-12
FLOWFlownative2.1021.9806-5.78%1.558-25.88%0.0180✓1.42967k2022-10-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.3168-5.78%1.0849-22.37%0.0243✓1.08922k2022-10-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.1029-5.78%2.7159-17.53%0.0294✓1.0419k2022-10-12
PROPropyEthereum0.730.687121-5.87%0.54-26.03%0.2033✓0.2444k2022-10-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.8466-5.88%1.5946-18.73%0.0291✓1.1223k2022-10-12
HIVEHivenative0.58020.545086-6.05%0.5112-11.89%0.0324✓0.62836k2022-10-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04524.7375-6.10%4.1434-17.87%0.1239✓0.06119k2022-10-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.144968-6.29%0.1346-12.99%0.0842✗1.01336k2022-10-12
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,511.68-6.41%1,254.87-22.31%0.0296✓1.003.3M2022-10-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.3021-6.42%1.91-22.36%0.0915✓0.61261k2022-10-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.7537-6.43%2.065-29.83%0.0450✓1.552.9M2022-10-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.479807-6.45%0.3722-27.43%0.1199✓0.86396k2022-10-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.53159-6.57%0.457-19.68%0.0281✓1.1466k2022-10-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.1273-6.64%4.714-14.17%0.1348✗1.406.4M2022-10-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.4308-6.73%1.389-9.45%0.1466✗1.1371k2022-10-12
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.1809-6.79%0.747-41.04%0.1927✓1.692.7M2022-10-12
METISMetisEthereum29.9327.874-6.87%24.34-18.68%0.1251✗1.66159k2022-10-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.068833-6.98%0.06929-6.36%0.0277✓0.13378k2022-10-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.803422-6.99%0.6656-22.95%0.0043✓1.17946k2022-10-12
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.017185-7.05%0.014341-22.43%0.0243✓1.009912022-10-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.060773-7.07%0.0544-16.82%0.0797✗1.22563k2022-10-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.3093-7.14%1.1-21.99%0.0082✓1.0668k2022-10-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.380033-7.15%0.2554-37.60%0.2701✓0.8189k2022-10-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.200844-7.19%0.128-40.85%0.3333✓0.7526k2022-10-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2213.1753-7.35%11.54-18.85%0.0532✓1.19925k2022-10-12
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.34e-7-7.39%7.70e-7-14.44%0.0363✓0.741.7M2022-10-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.4475-7.39%1.454-6.97%0.1963✗1.2343k2022-10-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5314.3784-7.42%11.739-24.41%0.0023✓1.2819.6M2022-10-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.208254-7.73%0.1479-34.47%0.2233✓0.7667k2022-10-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.21-7.73%3.0801-32.50%0.2164✓0.618.1M2022-10-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4535.4773-7.73%23.79-38.13%0.1530✓1.5810.6M2022-10-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.1713-7.80%3.802-15.96%0.0548✓0.94273k2022-10-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3411.3696-7.86%13.627+10.43%0.2399✗0.3816.0M2022-10-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.010.93011-7.91%0.873-13.56%0.0006✓0.412.7M2022-10-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2452.9848-8.02%2.859-11.90%0.0152✓0.37676k2022-10-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-76.86e-7-8.32%5.04e-7-32.65%0.1720✓0.872.3M2022-10-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.3785-8.94%4.2544-39.27%0.3893✓0.109.1M2022-10-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.814109-9.02%0.8317-7.05%0.2667✗1.5789k2022-10-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5565.9606-9.08%5.147-21.49%0.0049✓0.976.2M2022-10-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.058758-9.24%0.05596-13.56%0.1467✗1.251.2M2022-10-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2316.3569-10.27%14.98-17.83%0.0044✓0.53396k2022-10-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66046.8172-11.01%4.8842-36.24%0.2942✓0.2511.9M2022-10-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.000262726-12.42%0.00028659-4.47%0.1291✓0.272.3M2022-10-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.