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2022-09-12 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0096
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
18.3%
in alpha space · 95.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.94%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.403271-1.47%0.3444-15.86%0.0726✓0.8189k2022-09-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.213303-1.43%0.1963-9.29%0.0047✓0.7526k2022-09-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.000296061-1.31%0.00035806+19.35%0.2183✗0.272.3M2022-09-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.189707-0.99%0.1365-28.76%0.3146✓0.1483k2022-09-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011892-0.94%0.010998-8.38%0.0266✗1.006492022-09-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.5201-0.91%1.455-5.15%0.0742✗1.1371k2022-09-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2318.0671-0.89%16.8-7.84%0.0168✓0.53396k2022-09-13
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.2566-0.82%1.182-6.71%0.1163✗1.692.7M2022-09-13
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.4473-0.81%5.136-6.48%0.0876✗1.406.4M2022-09-13
FLOWFlownative2.1022.0849-0.81%1.864-11.32%0.0365✗1.42967k2022-09-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.127599-0.78%0.1082-15.86%0.0337✓1.252.5M2022-09-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.064241-0.77%0.05951-8.08%0.0543✗1.251.2M2022-09-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.3869-0.77%1.2429-11.07%0.0037✓1.08922k2022-09-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3412.2455-0.77%12.092-2.01%0.0267✗0.3816.0M2022-09-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66047.6038-0.74%7.2349-5.55%0.0235✓0.2511.9M2022-09-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.56486-0.73%0.52-8.61%0.0372✗1.1466k2022-09-13
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.360072-0.72%0.35-3.50%0.0822✗1.061,1592022-09-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5566.5087-0.72%5.871-10.45%0.0016✓0.976.2M2022-09-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-77.43e-7-0.72%6.96e-7-7.05%0.0253✗0.872.3M2022-09-13
XVGVergenative0.003570.003545-0.71%0.00337-5.60%0.0531✗0.99483k2022-09-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.171368-0.69%0.16738-3.00%0.0563✗0.765152022-09-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.477702-0.69%0.434-9.77%0.0133✗1.047,9852022-09-13
PROPropyEthereum0.730.725112-0.67%0.71-2.74%0.0041✓0.2444k2022-09-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.427.3704-0.67%6.97-6.06%0.0590✗1.10224k2022-09-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.5526-0.67%1.41-9.79%0.0320✗1.2343k2022-09-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.6113-0.66%1.553-4.25%0.0400✗0.7329k2022-09-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.4008-0.66%1.3-7.80%0.0364✗1.0668k2022-09-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.008275-0.65%0.00796-4.44%0.0843✗1.18428k2022-09-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4538.1983-0.65%35.29-8.22%0.0858✗1.5810.6M2022-09-13
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.6457-0.65%1.5348-7.35%0.0412✗1.06241k2022-09-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.737115-0.64%0.6606-10.96%0.0517✗1.54210k2022-09-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.157-0.64%2.022-6.86%0.0688✗1.2732k2022-09-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.073526-0.64%0.06913-6.58%0.0476✓0.13378k2022-09-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.9495-0.64%1.7866-8.94%0.0304✗1.1223k2022-09-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.233123-0.63%0.2085-11.13%0.0176✓0.9057k2022-09-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.9609-0.63%6.58-6.07%0.0458✓0.109.1M2022-09-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.858386-0.63%0.8066-6.62%0.0608✗1.17946k2022-09-13
ZECZcashZcash62.9262.526-0.63%58.92-6.36%0.0627✗1.171.1M2022-09-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.2711-0.61%1.152-9.93%0.0006✓0.931.1M2022-09-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.8334-0.61%4.6029-5.35%0.1075✗1.49122k2022-09-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.039657-0.61%0.0403+1.00%0.1091✗0.899,1922022-09-13
METISMetisEthereum29.9329.7477-0.61%27.9-6.78%0.1103✗1.66159k2022-09-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.200173-0.61%0.1934-3.97%0.0687✗0.983.2M2022-09-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.065003-0.61%0.059-9.79%0.0306✗1.22563k2022-09-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.349266-0.61%0.3308-5.86%0.0683✗1.1772k2022-09-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.479,693.34-0.60%9,017.07-7.53%0.0761✗1.424.1M2022-09-13
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7354.4089-0.59%55.83+2.01%0.1590✗1.278,6412022-09-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.113738-0.58%0.1104-3.50%0.0329✗0.60188k2022-09-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.666129-0.58%0.61-8.96%0.0236✗1.07111k2022-09-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.018383-0.57%0.017211-6.91%0.0389✗1.009912022-09-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001316-0.57%0.001236-6.57%0.0244✗0.832.2M2022-09-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.006175-0.57%0.00563-9.34%0.0259✓0.63911k2022-09-13
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.5936-0.56%11.9339-5.77%0.0530✗1.0221k2022-09-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1215.0348-0.56%14.53-3.90%0.0707✗1.001.8M2022-09-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,606.16-0.56%1,471.37-8.91%0.0171✗1.003.3M2022-09-13
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.3444-0.56%1.244-7.99%0.0561✗1.28323k2022-09-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.009-0.55%0.00851-5.97%0.0428✗0.943.3M2022-09-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.011.0045-0.54%0.921-8.81%0.0440✓0.412.7M2022-09-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.3011-0.54%5.72+7.32%0.1436✗0.642.0M2022-09-13
STXStacksnative0.38790.385812-0.54%0.3497-9.85%0.0138✗1.07314k2022-09-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.051322-0.54%0.0496-3.88%0.0663✗0.96234k2022-09-13
HIVEHivenative0.58020.577081-0.54%0.5504-5.14%0.0173✗0.62836k2022-09-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.31872-0.53%0.289387-9.69%0.0067✗0.99471k2022-09-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.153876-0.53%0.1444-6.66%0.0424✗1.01336k2022-09-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.964902-0.53%0.913-5.88%0.0691✗1.191.5M2022-09-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.9175-0.51%6.134+3.13%0.1032✗0.643.1M2022-09-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.100782-0.51%0.0968-4.44%0.0394✗0.762,7302022-09-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.9025-0.51%1.9586+2.42%0.1176✗0.851.4M2022-09-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.068797-0.51%0.06468-6.46%0.0359✗0.938202022-09-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001618-0.51%0.001519-6.58%0.0194✗0.79374k2022-09-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.3475-0.51%6.12-4.08%0.0185✗0.522.1M2022-09-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.05104-0.51%0.0479-6.63%0.0584✗1.16178k2022-09-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.273622-0.50%0.263-4.36%0.0412✗0.77563k2022-09-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.9253-0.50%1.785-7.75%0.1037✗1.7160k2022-09-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.352594-0.50%0.32139-9.30%0.0203✗1.0833k2022-09-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04525.0201-0.50%4.9699-1.49%0.0033✓0.06119k2022-09-13
SOLSolanaSolana37.4637.2738-0.50%33.01-11.88%0.0067✗1.2254.5M2022-09-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.11354-0.49%0.1076-5.70%0.0384✗0.88188k2022-09-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.2772-0.49%3.0233-8.20%0.0281✗1.0419k2022-09-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.151061-0.49%0.1392-8.30%0.0228✗1.00119k2022-09-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.2174-0.49%4.082-3.68%0.0220✗0.522.3M2022-09-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.176452-0.48%0.16284-8.16%0.0329✗1.08271k2022-09-13
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.131264-0.48%0.1253-5.00%0.0769✗1.181.4M2022-09-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.644879-0.48%0.595-8.18%0.0266✗1.02178k2022-09-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.204322-0.48%0.1898-7.55%0.0437✗1.12108k2022-09-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.5025-0.47%4.212-6.90%0.0320✗0.94273k2022-09-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.021914-0.47%0.020191-8.30%0.0170✓0.6212k2022-09-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.743-0.47%2.618-5.01%0.0404✗0.83523k2022-09-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.968-0.47%9.73-11.71%0.0211✗1.34288k2022-09-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.441513-0.47%0.4014-9.51%0.0281✗1.1875k2022-09-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.023924-0.46%0.024692+2.73%0.0410✗0.09465k2022-09-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.13408-0.46%0.1243-7.72%0.0378✗1.082.7M2022-09-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.012881-0.46%0.01252-3.25%0.0402✗0.65233k2022-09-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.006205-0.46%0.006216-0.29%0.0405✗0.3730k2022-09-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.4488-0.46%2.32-5.69%0.0097✗0.61261k2022-09-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.013094-0.46%0.012152-7.62%0.0129✗0.84882k2022-09-13
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.96e-7-0.45%8.60e-7-4.44%0.0364✗0.741.7M2022-09-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.322233-0.45%0.2966-8.37%0.0200✗0.986.0M2022-09-13
KSMKusamaHydration52.2151.9734-0.45%46.38-11.17%0.0062✓1.03363k2022-09-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.9577-0.45%4.66-6.43%0.0287✗0.87839k2022-09-13
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0935.0702-0.45%4.418-13.25%0.0329✓1.001.4M2022-09-13
DASHDashDash47.1746.959-0.45%43.77-7.21%0.0417✗1.07312k2022-09-13
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.910158-0.44%0.846269-7.43%0.0173✗0.8649k2022-09-13
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004181-0.44%0.00381-9.29%0.0056✗0.94103k2022-09-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.9107-0.44%8.75-2.23%0.0436✗0.592.4M2022-09-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.890876-0.44%0.8463-5.42%0.1128✗1.5789k2022-09-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2214.1579-0.44%13.18-7.31%0.0527✗1.19925k2022-09-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.049085-0.44%0.0452-8.32%0.0066✗0.85145k2022-09-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.0863-0.43%1.0027-8.09%0.0007✓0.7736k2022-09-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.293028-0.43%0.26692-9.30%0.0013✓0.9015k2022-09-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.8962-0.43%6.4-7.59%0.0300✗1.004.3M2022-09-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00451.0002-0.43%1.0223+1.77%0.0816✗0.572.6M2022-09-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.669112-0.43%0.622-7.44%0.0462✗1.143.3M2022-09-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.6813-0.43%6.47-3.58%0.0195✗0.492.1M2022-09-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.296332-0.43%0.298+0.13%0.1187✗1.0874k2022-09-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.039531-0.43%0.0361-9.07%0.0158✗1.0289k2022-09-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.102268-0.42%0.0924-10.03%0.0048✗1.01336k2022-09-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5315.4647-0.42%13.897-10.52%0.0273✗1.2819.6M2022-09-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012826-0.42%0.00001209-6.13%0.0469✗1.011.0M2022-09-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.539737-0.42%0.493-9.04%0.0372✗1.2277k2022-09-13
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.6313-0.42%6.034-9.39%0.0528✗1.406.9M2022-09-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87128.3366-0.41%117.6-8.75%0.0358✗1.184.4M2022-09-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.181-0.41%2.03-7.31%0.0617✗1.27227k2022-09-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.00633-0.41%0.005899-7.19%0.0036✓0.641,9622022-09-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.042498-0.41%0.03987-6.57%0.0079✓0.5323k2022-09-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.048999-0.41%0.0441-10.37%0.0178✗1.18546k2022-09-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.037149-0.41%0.03367-9.73%0.0127✗1.0635k2022-09-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.8326-0.40%1.81-1.63%0.0368✗0.4758k2022-09-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.091131-0.40%0.0848-7.32%0.0311✗0.9814k2022-09-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.2319-0.40%3.055-5.86%0.0173✓0.37676k2022-09-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.066434-0.40%0.0594-10.94%0.0021✓1.0579k2022-09-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.510859-0.40%0.4865-5.15%0.0408✗0.86396k2022-09-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.071705-0.40%0.0679-5.68%0.0503✗1.0025k2022-09-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.063704-0.40%0.059635-6.76%0.0398✗1.011.2M2022-09-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.003094-0.39%0.002827-8.98%0.0055✗0.911.2M2022-09-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.047284-0.39%0.04273-9.99%0.0333✓0.6514k2022-09-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.438568-0.39%0.42001-4.60%0.0596✗0.98379k2022-09-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.492879-0.39%0.4625-6.53%0.0575✗1.16384k2022-09-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.141559-0.39%0.13476-5.17%0.0775✗1.21151k2022-09-13
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.398238-0.38%0.38116-4.66%0.0623✗1.0131k2022-09-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.224847-0.38%0.2103-6.82%0.0126✗0.7667k2022-09-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.791229-0.38%0.73147-7.90%0.0397✗1.13624k2022-09-13
QNTQuantEthereum106.65106.2536-0.37%97.87-8.23%0.0157✗0.933.5M2022-09-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3721.2908-0.37%18.87-11.70%0.0235✗1.3818.0M2022-09-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.290622-0.37%0.2679-8.16%0.0249✗1.022.7M2022-09-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.6363-0.36%7.07-7.75%0.0453✗1.1710.0M2022-09-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.2695-0.36%4.142-3.34%0.0081✗0.372.2M2022-09-13
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.499601-0.36%0.4637-7.52%0.0307✗1.0138.3M2022-09-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.163612-0.36%0.1561-4.93%0.0904✗1.319132022-09-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60954.4154-0.35%51.566-5.57%0.0389✗0.88264k2022-09-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.03986-0.35%0.03648-8.80%0.0156✓0.702,2982022-09-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.315121-0.35%0.30966-2.08%0.0550✗0.69326k2022-09-13
ZENHorizenBase16.4816.4228-0.35%14.84-9.95%0.0299✗1.2579k2022-09-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.9328-0.35%2.719-7.61%0.0868✗1.552.9M2022-09-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.5225-0.35%15.2-8.32%0.0016✓0.781.5M2022-09-13
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.046549-0.35%0.042163-9.74%0.0055✓0.8928k2022-09-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.1415-0.34%2.0329-5.39%0.0661✗1.1313k2022-09-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.851389-0.34%0.82473-3.46%0.0508✗0.7913k2022-09-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.5474-0.34%4.1321-9.44%0.0315✓0.618.1M2022-09-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.022723-0.34%0.02043-10.39%0.0053✗1.0710.3M2022-09-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.183292-0.33%0.165-10.28%0.0154✗1.151,7442022-09-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.535-0.33%4.5-1.10%0.0560✗0.611.4M2022-09-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.7324-0.33%7.025-9.45%0.0228✗1.1318.0M2022-09-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,711.08-0.33%1,574.71-8.27%0.0591✗1.36569.9M2022-09-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4254-0.32%1.41-1.40%0.0252✓-0.14124k2022-09-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001646-0.32%0.001531-7.27%0.0011✓0.685,8832022-09-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.333523-0.32%0.3105-7.20%0.0375✗1.0482k2022-09-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7973-0.31%1.68-6.82%0.0390✗1.02627k2022-09-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.113506-0.31%0.104654-8.08%0.0118✗0.896.5M2022-09-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4161.2213-0.31%59.1-3.76%0.0740✗1.0414.0M2022-09-13
FTTFTXEthereum28.4628.3735-0.30%25.89-9.03%0.0148✗1.026.8M2022-09-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.956195-0.30%0.8796-8.29%0.0491✗1.27899k2022-09-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.2658-0.30%1.1703-7.81%0.0412✗1.141.1M2022-09-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.07e-7-0.29%8.70e-7-4.40%0.0359✗0.7415k2022-09-13
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.234815-0.29%0.2161-8.24%0.0083✗0.87527k2022-09-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8022,256.17-0.29%20,237.10-9.34%0.0011✓0.9213k2022-09-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.6869-0.29%9.254-4.75%0.0447✗0.861.2M2022-09-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.02096-0.29%0.02007-4.52%0.0200✗0.61191k2022-09-13
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.063706-0.28%0.060682-5.01%0.0002✓0.47123k2022-09-13
XMRMoneroMonero163.77163.3213-0.27%145.44-11.19%0.0147✓0.971.4M2022-09-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.14-0.27%1.0525-7.92%0.0820✗1.544.4M2022-09-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.205786-0.25%0.199-3.54%0.0804✗1.09135k2022-09-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.024819-0.24%0.02317-6.87%0.0445✗1.082,9582022-09-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7122,349.04-0.24%20,174.78-9.94%0.0024✗1.00480.9M2022-09-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.561666-0.24%0.50798-9.77%0.0396✗1.3439k2022-09-13
GTGateEthereum4.38394.3735-0.24%4.1432-5.49%0.0234✗0.74688k2022-09-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.059861-0.23%0.0572-4.67%0.0433✗0.8590k2022-09-13
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9990.7791-0.23%82.97-8.81%0.0702✗1.536.0M2022-09-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.407111-0.22%0.4008-1.76%0.0983✗1.09202k2022-09-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.482205-0.16%0.449-7.04%0.0555✗1.214,2692022-09-13
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000045896-0.16%0.00004395-4.39%0.0489✗0.883.0M2022-09-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.