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2022-08-30 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1481
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.5%
in alpha space · 75.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010899.14e-7-16.08%5.49e-7-49.53%0.4991✓0.851.1M2022-09-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3315.3516-11.42%14.94-13.79%0.0195✓0.69880k2022-09-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082370.073144-11.20%0.07404-10.11%0.0127✓0.05478k2022-09-29
MOVRMoonriverBase12.316710.9812-10.84%10.6337-13.66%0.0215✓0.9732k2022-09-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.91920.819785-10.82%0.851-7.42%0.0534✓1.45167k2022-09-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000158370.000141271-10.80%0.00028475+79.80%0.7087✗0.70429k2022-09-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.48111.2089-10.19%17.491+40.14%0.4508✗0.528.9M2022-09-29
OPTIMOptimism1.0830.972871-10.17%0.905-16.44%0.0530✓1.753.2M2022-09-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,874.587,991.67-9.95%8,135.04-8.33%0.0330✓1.376.2M2022-09-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063270.057073-9.79%0.06205-1.93%0.0954✓1.072.1M2022-09-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11150.100765-9.63%0.08-28.25%0.2229✓0.71220k2022-09-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065370.005914-9.53%0.00641-1.94%0.0851✓0.4258k2022-09-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9940.900499-9.41%0.873-12.17%0.0268✓0.384.2M2022-09-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.987.258-9.05%6.45-19.17%0.1060✓1.09462k2022-09-29
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.31863.9334-8.92%5.9139+36.94%0.4188✗1.00147k2022-09-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00235.4675-8.91%6.8634+14.35%0.2309✗0.326.5M2022-09-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.3129.4465-8.86%27.79-13.99%0.0413✓1.5012.9M2022-09-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.61895.1247-8.80%5.7748+2.77%0.1217✗0.215.4M2022-09-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.194.7356-8.76%5.1-1.73%0.0790✓0.442.0M2022-09-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5190.473711-8.73%0.454-12.52%0.0308✓1.0677k2022-09-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0491.871-8.69%1.708-16.64%0.0786✓1.1444k2022-09-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.179678-8.65%0.2412+22.62%0.3037✗0.843.1M2022-09-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013480.001233-8.56%0.001018-24.46%0.1823✓0.792.1M2022-09-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.2072-8.55%1.17-11.36%0.0212✓0.91121k2022-09-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39184.9318-8.53%4.2072-21.97%0.1578✓0.10115k2022-09-29
QTUMQtumQtum3.11582.8513-8.49%2.872-7.82%0.0184✓1.0125k2022-09-29
FLOWFlownative2.0121.8415-8.47%1.692-15.90%0.0698✓1.351.3M2022-09-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.8231.6686-8.47%1.725-5.38%0.0433✓0.91121k2022-09-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.056481-8.46%0.0574-6.97%0.0302✓1.27908k2022-09-29
METISMetisEthereum31.0528.4509-8.37%24.91-19.77%0.1119✓1.90288k2022-09-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.061.888-8.35%2.04-0.97%0.0858✓0.76329k2022-09-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.3116-8.28%1.552+8.53%0.1813✗1.17123k2022-09-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.317.627-8.22%8.46+1.81%0.1090✗0.481.9M2022-09-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.121724-8.13%0.118-10.94%0.0252✓0.533.6M2022-09-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.24610.226135-8.11%0.1473-40.15%0.4186✓0.9176k2022-09-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.18811.0927-8.03%1.2118+1.99%0.1133✗0.891.3M2022-09-29
HIVEHivenative0.54890.505314-7.94%0.4901-10.71%0.0211✓0.861.3M2022-09-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8612.7672-7.88%12.74-8.08%0.0100✓1.10909k2022-09-29
PROPropyEthereum0.740.682622-7.75%0.62-16.22%0.0930✓0.2979k2022-09-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7515.3061-7.74%5.41-5.93%0.0245✓0.474.4M2022-09-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071090.065703-7.58%0.0618-13.07%0.0483✓1.1726k2022-09-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5561.4384-7.56%1.27-18.38%0.1115✓1.1877k2022-09-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.602809-7.54%0.584-10.43%0.0210✓0.97207k2022-09-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.1347-7.50%4.84+8.28%0.1633✗0.531.1M2022-09-29
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.118065-7.47%0.1254-1.72%0.0716✓1.031.7M2022-09-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81681.6817-7.43%1.7283-4.87%0.0393✓1.0833k2022-09-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1332.9041-7.31%3.094-1.24%0.0690✓0.51650k2022-09-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.211.3129-7.27%15.71+28.77%0.3401✗1.061.9M2022-09-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.293320.27205-7.25%0.23831-18.75%0.1209✓1.0412k2022-09-29
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0190.945168-7.25%0.926-9.13%0.0066✓1.251.4M2022-09-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4250.394314-7.22%0.403-5.18%0.0331✓1.028,1172022-09-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2989690.277686-7.12%0.26995-9.71%0.0162✓1.09549k2022-09-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7115.3047-7.11%5.782+1.24%0.0957✗0.869.5M2022-09-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.62352-7.08%0.595-11.33%0.0373✓0.86228k2022-09-29
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8094.472-7.01%5.436+13.04%0.2100✗1.348.7M2022-09-29
XTZTezosTezos1.49731.3927-6.99%1.441-3.76%0.0465✓1.12296k2022-09-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227850.021221-6.86%0.024673+8.29%0.1518✗0.10266k2022-09-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.345820.322341-6.79%0.3421-1.08%0.0698✓0.93347k2022-09-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.264734-6.78%0.257-9.51%0.0217✓0.72686k2022-09-29
COMPCompoundEthereum4743.8666-6.67%62.31+32.57%0.3647✗1.2411k2022-09-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131480.012275-6.64%0.012066-8.23%0.0102✓0.631.0M2022-09-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.65660.613061-6.63%0.649-1.16%0.0723✗1.39226k2022-09-29
ZECZcashZcash59.8755.9043-6.62%56.65-5.38%0.0260✓1.161.7M2022-09-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.243559-6.61%0.1168-55.21%0.7348✓0.0191k2022-09-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.481013-6.60%0.461-10.49%0.0299✓1.1483k2022-09-29
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19560.182706-6.59%0.1692-13.50%0.0658✓1.00121k2022-09-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.92811.1436-6.58%12.774+7.09%0.1489✗1.1110.8M2022-09-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008640.008072-6.57%0.00664-23.15%0.1873✓0.735.6M2022-09-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3120.8443-6.57%15.99-28.33%0.2571✓0.721.5M2022-09-29
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.23e-7-6.49%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0320✓0.792.0M2022-09-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0993.8338-6.47%3.906-4.71%0.0237✓0.462.0M2022-09-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.04580.978412-6.45%0.958808-8.32%0.0106✓0.8748k2022-09-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13890.129977-6.42%0.1424+2.52%0.1025✗1.01510k2022-09-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73011.6194-6.40%1.1489-33.59%0.3326✓0.971.2M2022-09-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43010.402642-6.38%0.3568-17.04%0.1081✓1.1596k2022-09-29
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83240.779351-6.37%0.7585-8.88%0.0156✓1.041.8M2022-09-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.047474-6.36%0.0408-19.53%0.1407✓0.98237k2022-09-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30980.29015-6.34%0.2612-15.69%0.0933✓1.07111k2022-09-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046610.043658-6.33%0.04045-13.22%0.0685✓0.7116k2022-09-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336470.315323-6.29%0.3073-8.67%0.0148✓1.0046k2022-09-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.099.4652-6.19%9.04-10.41%0.0325✓1.22318k2022-09-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.26e-7-6.18%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0227✓0.8016k2022-09-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001453-6.16%0.001531-1.10%0.0634✓0.98433k2022-09-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35610.334184-6.15%0.302-15.19%0.0893✓1.09131k2022-09-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.054086-6.10%0.0465-19.27%0.1386✓1.13258k2022-09-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9772.7957-6.09%2.418-18.78%0.1281✓1.543.8M2022-09-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.035.6644-6.06%6.08+0.83%0.0761✗0.482.1M2022-09-29
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000043171-5.92%0.00004151-9.54%0.0296✓0.871.7M2022-09-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.096955-5.87%0.099-3.88%0.0328✓1.083.3M2022-09-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.58248.5651-5.85%49.569-3.90%0.0287✓0.75322k2022-09-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08150.076759-5.82%0.0852+4.54%0.1148✗0.9513k2022-09-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.891.7803-5.80%1.574-16.72%0.1047✓1.6890k2022-09-29
BANDBandEthereum1.2331.1617-5.79%1.231-0.16%0.0711✗1.19460k2022-09-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28790.271373-5.74%0.292+1.42%0.0839✗0.963.1M2022-09-29
ADACardanoCardano0.4530.427046-5.73%0.4381-3.29%0.0360✓0.9537.8M2022-09-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035290.033276-5.71%0.03099-12.18%0.0599✓1.0240k2022-09-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.113.8773-5.66%3.892-5.30%0.0063✓0.232.3M2022-09-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0970.091527-5.64%0.0913-5.88%0.0055✓0.722,7842022-09-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.096914-5.63%0.0989-3.70%0.0298✓0.86192k2022-09-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214610.020253-5.63%0.019573-8.80%0.0252✓0.8114k2022-09-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7953.5827-5.60%4.002+5.45%0.1215✗0.98252k2022-09-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008060.00761-5.58%0.00692-14.14%0.0827✓1.12477k2022-09-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3818.304-5.55%17.35-10.47%0.0392✓1.3023.0M2022-09-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.69108.3521-5.53%117+2.01%0.0894✗1.144.6M2022-09-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.319820.302197-5.51%0.42396+32.56%0.3480✗0.85350k2022-09-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.145.8045-5.46%6.62+7.82%0.1367✗0.471.7M2022-09-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.140579-5.46%0.1358-8.68%0.0224✓1.111,5282022-09-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066520.062897-5.45%0.06107-8.19%0.0205✓0.829142022-09-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057870.005474-5.41%0.005204-10.07%0.0429✓0.692,3002022-09-29
QNTQuantEthereum95.6390.4746-5.39%134.14+40.27%0.4033✗0.863.5M2022-09-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.632954-5.39%0.565-15.55%0.1003✓1.204.3M2022-09-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.7752.6259-5.37%2.334-15.89%0.1082✓0.88706k2022-09-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22110.209328-5.32%0.1721-22.16%0.1814✓1.31135k2022-09-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003806-5.32%0.00349-13.18%0.0757✓1.00152k2022-09-29
SOLSolanaSolana31.4829.8106-5.30%33.93+7.78%0.1423✗1.1665.9M2022-09-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1252-5.29%1.062-10.61%0.0468✓0.991.7M2022-09-29
CBKCobakEthereum0.883310.837282-5.21%0.79841-9.61%0.0363✓1.0214k2022-09-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29170.276618-5.17%0.355+21.70%0.2595✗0.916.5M2022-09-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51230.485961-5.14%0.4283-16.40%0.1179✓0.76579k2022-09-29
XVGVergenative0.002920.00277-5.13%0.00332+13.70%0.1920✗1.00486k2022-09-29
NANOnanopayBase0.9005080.855112-5.04%0.774811-13.96%0.0895✓0.8363k2022-09-29
STXStacksnative0.36130.343151-5.02%0.3287-9.02%0.0301✓1.17393k2022-09-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14640.139048-5.02%0.1287-12.09%0.0659✓1.03138k2022-09-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001411-5.01%0.001441-3.03%0.0284✓0.699,0932022-09-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.045975-5.01%0.0393-18.80%0.1459✓0.99796k2022-09-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96330.915085-5.01%0.9035-6.21%0.0072✓0.503.6M2022-09-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0360.03421-4.97%0.0389+8.06%0.1373✗0.809,5472022-09-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2575.9468-4.96%6.14-1.87%0.0419✓0.905.0M2022-09-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.24420.232105-4.95%0.2651+8.56%0.1438✗0.9881k2022-09-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.071.9686-4.90%1.79-13.53%0.0825✓1.14232k2022-09-29
ZENHorizenBase15.815.0264-4.90%14-11.39%0.0585✓1.1193k2022-09-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0429660.040873-4.87%0.036221-15.70%0.1151✓0.5228k2022-09-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1690.160937-4.77%0.14769-12.61%0.0751✓0.98340k2022-09-29
DASHDashDash45.5143.3407-4.77%42.28-7.10%0.0141✓0.97438k2022-09-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.116858-4.76%0.1269+3.42%0.0941✗1.0625k2022-09-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029930.002851-4.74%0.002029-32.21%0.3300✓0.921.1M2022-09-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.00620.00591-4.67%0.0048-22.58%0.2011✓0.631.0M2022-09-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.84293.6652-4.62%4.0567+5.56%0.1081✗0.603.8M2022-09-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0150.5721-4.60%53.98+1.83%0.0760✗0.9812.7M2022-09-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0086.6934-4.49%6.432-8.22%0.0283✓1.0411.6M2022-09-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014220.013582-4.49%0.01028-27.71%0.2711✓0.67174k2022-09-29
KSMKusamaHydration47.4745.3419-4.48%43.13-9.14%0.0391✓0.99543k2022-09-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13520.129174-4.46%0.12886-4.69%0.0108✓1.20200k2022-09-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.07681.9847-4.44%1.7819-14.20%0.0955✓1.1113k2022-09-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5586.2686-4.41%7.901+20.48%0.2431✗1.0617.7M2022-09-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020380.019491-4.36%0.02298+12.76%0.1739✗0.8411.4M2022-09-29
MANADecentralandEthereum0.770640.737745-4.27%0.70986-7.89%0.0288✓0.88509k2022-09-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037990.03638-4.24%0.0395+3.97%0.0913✗0.812,8422022-09-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.200092-4.22%0.1955-6.41%0.0117✓1.0459k2022-09-29
XEMNEMnative0.0434150.041624-4.12%0.041615-4.15%0.0091✓0.8530k2022-09-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,524.811,462.23-4.10%1,336.02-12.38%0.0751✓1.37628.3M2022-09-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.08890.085257-4.10%0.1076+21.03%0.2433✗0.95393k2022-09-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.06351.02-4.09%0.9263-12.90%0.0797✓1.514.5M2022-09-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44710.429043-4.04%0.4413-1.30%0.0407✓1.14364k2022-09-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06250.059996-4.01%0.061-2.40%0.0263✓0.87105k2022-09-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024050.02309-3.99%0.01877-21.95%0.1982✓0.81459k2022-09-29
DIADIAEthereum0.376440.361671-3.92%0.38393+1.99%0.0703✗0.9640k2022-09-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18110.174031-3.90%0.1493-17.56%0.1380✓1.382,2912022-09-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.5476-3.88%1.43-11.18%0.0802✓-0.11116k2022-09-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000011711-3.85%0.00001112-8.70%0.0413✓0.95828k2022-09-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95130.914998-3.82%0.8528-10.35%0.0570✓1.21963k2022-09-29
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.6788-3.73%4.84-0.41%0.0433✗0.861.5M2022-09-29
FTTFTXEthereum26.625.6173-3.69%24.3-8.65%0.0421✓0.977.3M2022-09-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.071.9943-3.66%2.26+9.18%0.1307✗0.5197k2022-09-29
TRXTRONTron0.0647050.062384-3.59%0.06102-5.70%0.0153✓0.61129k2022-09-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.05061.0136-3.52%1.1086+5.52%0.1032✗1.23973k2022-09-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04290.041425-3.44%0.0423-1.40%0.0316✓0.97156k2022-09-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.6321.5766-3.40%1.668+2.21%0.0666✗0.93579k2022-09-29
KCSKuCoinnative8.9738.6721-3.35%9.274+3.35%0.0777✗0.961.5M2022-09-29
STEEMSteemnative0.2260.218549-3.30%0.2258-0.09%0.0427✗0.91501k2022-09-29
AAVEAaveEthereum84.3881.6379-3.25%76.93-8.83%0.0426✓1.526.3M2022-09-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32520.31486-3.18%0.291-10.52%0.0659✓1.17138k2022-09-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061420.059497-3.13%0.060801-1.01%0.0334✗1.061.6M2022-09-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.034198-3.12%0.0337-4.53%0.0045✓0.9287k2022-09-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05790.056103-3.10%0.0525-9.33%0.0561✓0.9398k2022-09-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.48177-3.06%0.351-29.38%0.3032✓1.222,7102022-09-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33410.323904-3.05%0.325-2.72%0.0171✓1.24176k2022-09-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.54020.523914-3.01%0.45393-15.97%0.1288✓1.3237k2022-09-29
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1746.0025-2.78%6.376+3.27%0.0748✗1.309.5M2022-09-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,813.1719,279.20-2.70%19,595.57-1.10%0.0273✗1.00490.8M2022-09-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153790.149675-2.68%0.16928+10.07%0.1456✗2.046042022-09-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024740.024095-2.61%0.02259-8.69%0.0503✓1.283,3752022-09-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1024110.1001-2.26%0.1155+12.78%0.1521✗0.817.0M2022-09-29
GTGateEthereum4.25494.1668-2.07%4.3212+1.56%0.0449✗0.77775k2022-09-29
XMRMoneroMonero148.87146.2758-1.74%148.2-0.45%0.0243✗1.021.3M2022-09-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,869.3019,579.19-1.46%19,440.70-2.16%0.0033✓0.9413k2022-09-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.