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2022-08-28 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1498
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.4%
in alpha space · 72.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.44%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8763.3364-13.92%3.006-22.45%0.0895✓0.60650k2022-09-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.232.5908-12.39%15.57-58.15%0.7212✓0.711.6M2022-09-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086380.075993-12.03%0.072-16.65%0.0525✓0.06598k2022-09-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6714.8566-10.88%14.91-10.56%0.0214✓0.72952k2022-09-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38211.0506-10.75%19.147+54.64%0.5620✗0.506.1M2022-09-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.78e-76.94e-7-10.72%5.76e-7-25.97%0.1664✓0.85542k2022-09-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.21020.189245-9.97%0.2491+18.51%0.2951✗0.822.9M2022-09-27
MOVRMoonriverBase12.06210.8607-9.96%10.547-12.56%0.0055✓0.9735k2022-09-27
OPTIMOptimism1.0540.95058-9.81%0.92-12.71%0.0100✓1.733.3M2022-09-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78420.709318-9.55%0.8472+8.03%0.2141✗1.48161k2022-09-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062290.056371-9.50%0.06045-2.95%0.0972✓1.112.2M2022-09-27
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38863.9723-9.49%5.3063+20.91%0.3142✗1.00147k2022-09-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067080.006082-9.33%0.00614-8.47%0.0200✓0.4358k2022-09-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.55375.0448-9.16%6.0413+8.78%0.1852✗0.205.2M2022-09-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.43524.9385-9.14%7.27+33.76%0.3926✗0.244.6M2022-09-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5250.478043-8.94%0.461-12.19%0.0101✓1.0678k2022-09-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,473.377,717.82-8.92%8,301.22-2.03%0.1065✗1.366.5M2022-09-27
XECeCashnative0.000046760.00004263-8.83%0.00004062-13.13%0.0272✓0.861.7M2022-09-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.26380.240634-8.78%0.1576-40.26%0.4003✓0.9394k2022-09-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.164.7158-8.61%5.2+0.78%0.1086✗0.442.5M2022-09-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09810.089749-8.51%0.0835-14.88%0.0534✓0.76247k2022-09-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06040.055368-8.33%0.0569-5.79%0.0583✓1.26908k2022-09-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.097.4274-8.19%8.66+7.05%0.1653✗0.482.1M2022-09-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.9328.4014-8.18%28.13-9.05%0.0272✓1.4914.6M2022-09-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.063365-8.13%0.06055-12.21%0.0162✓1.1927k2022-09-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.081.9114-8.11%1.99-4.33%0.0599✓0.79384k2022-09-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001238-8.04%0.001031-23.39%0.1629✓0.802.1M2022-09-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7331.5947-7.98%1.419-18.12%0.0935✓0.94137k2022-09-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.1754.7621-7.98%4.1377-20.04%0.1373✓0.13119k2022-09-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.00012510.000115128-7.97%0.00027842+122.56%0.9022✗0.77352k2022-09-27
QTUMQtumQtum2.98252.7465-7.91%2.8649-3.94%0.0671✓1.0126k2022-09-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.363890.335225-7.88%0.35615-2.13%0.0838✗0.94321k2022-09-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.292940.270087-7.80%0.23778-18.83%0.1016✓1.0412k2022-09-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.361.2546-7.75%1.34-1.47%0.0947✗1.17128k2022-09-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.26.6485-7.66%6.45-10.42%0.0028✓1.12534k2022-09-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9160.84634-7.60%0.919+0.33%0.1130✗1.241.4M2022-09-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2011.1102-7.56%1.1857-1.27%0.0880✗0.901.5M2022-09-27
METISMetisEthereum29.2627.1074-7.36%23.74-18.87%0.0862✓1.88304k2022-09-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.344.0216-7.34%4.55+4.84%0.1356✗0.491.3M2022-09-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.3821-7.26%0.391-5.10%0.0480✓1.018,1172022-09-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0229630.021302-7.24%0.024971+8.74%0.1616✗0.11262k2022-09-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9441.8042-7.19%1.693-12.91%0.0354✓1.1547k2022-09-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.71521.5923-7.17%1.7097-0.32%0.0980✗1.0931k2022-09-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.8095.3941-7.14%5.627-3.13%0.0527✓0.425.3M2022-09-27
DODODODOEthereum0.11820.109783-7.12%0.1241+4.99%0.1462✗0.961.8M2022-09-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6310.586567-7.04%0.608-3.65%0.0589✓0.93235k2022-09-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12020.111787-7.00%0.1135-5.57%0.0287✓0.553.8M2022-09-27
HIVEHivenative0.52820.49162-6.93%0.4891-7.40%0.0164✓0.871.3M2022-09-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2912770.271249-6.88%0.266297-8.58%0.0083✓1.08593k2022-09-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.1454-6.88%1.16-5.69%0.0360✓0.95154k2022-09-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5111.4073-6.86%1.336-11.58%0.0225✓1.2088k2022-09-27
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6494.3319-6.82%5.412+16.41%0.2557✗1.348.9M2022-09-27
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19030.177373-6.79%0.1568-17.60%0.0986✓1.00146k2022-09-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1612.2736-6.74%12.37-6.00%0.0357✓1.131.0M2022-09-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130020.012128-6.72%0.011651-10.39%0.0244✓0.641.3M2022-09-27
ZECZcashZcash61.1757.0649-6.71%57.07-6.70%0.0280✓1.131.9M2022-09-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.601974-6.67%0.59-8.53%0.0012✓0.86242k2022-09-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6395.2635-6.66%5.733+1.67%0.1066✗0.8610.1M2022-09-27
PROPropyEthereum0.730.681426-6.65%0.64-12.33%0.0545✓0.3384k2022-09-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.78416-6.65%0.866+3.10%0.1092✗0.404.2M2022-09-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008250.007706-6.59%0.00694-15.88%0.0771✓1.12477k2022-09-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9983.7353-6.57%3.933-1.63%0.0611✓0.392.0M2022-09-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.007925-6.54%0.00679-19.93%0.1357✓0.766.2M2022-09-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.328060.306647-6.53%0.29745-9.33%0.0062✓0.9850k2022-09-27
XTZTezosTezos1.4261.3333-6.50%1.4449+1.33%0.1078✗1.11319k2022-09-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.03840.9712-6.48%0.976767-5.94%0.0266✓0.8550k2022-09-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.24427-6.41%0.1169-55.21%0.7368✓0.0191k2022-09-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.05820.054473-6.40%0.0467-19.76%0.1254✓1.16252k2022-09-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9662.7761-6.40%2.263-23.70%0.1676✓1.493.8M2022-09-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66561.5591-6.39%1.1492-31.00%0.2807✓0.991.2M2022-09-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.79348.4836-6.39%49.802-3.84%0.0450✓0.74328k2022-09-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.64630.605082-6.38%0.6935+7.30%0.1713✗1.41242k2022-09-27
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015870.001486-6.37%0.001575-0.76%0.0819✗0.96538k2022-09-27
COMPCompoundEthereum43.8541.1337-6.19%62.04+41.48%0.4413✗1.2312k2022-09-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.07e-7-6.18%7.90e-7-8.14%0.0011✓0.8116k2022-09-27
QNTQuantEthereum92.3186.6215-6.16%133.5+44.62%0.4532✗0.843.3M2022-09-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4880.458124-6.12%0.461-5.53%0.0345✓1.1486k2022-09-27
FLOWFlownative1.6921.589-6.09%1.656-2.13%0.0744✗1.341.2M2022-09-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27310.256763-5.98%0.3066+12.27%0.2011✗0.963.2M2022-09-27
BTTCBTTC8.50e-77.99e-7-5.98%7.70e-7-9.41%0.0180✓0.782.3M2022-09-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.258574-5.97%0.248-9.82%0.0237✓0.73710k2022-09-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36730.345466-5.94%0.3504-4.60%0.0419✓1.1289k2022-09-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30440.286321-5.94%0.2725-10.48%0.0228✓1.08112k2022-09-27
ADACardanoCardano0.42910.403674-5.93%0.4412+2.82%0.1132✗0.9939.2M2022-09-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.5317.4336-5.92%17.29-6.69%0.0243✓1.3222.5M2022-09-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035520.033425-5.90%0.03021-14.95%0.0763✓1.0131k2022-09-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044180.041606-5.83%0.0402-9.01%0.0185✓0.6416k2022-09-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.729383-5.81%0.744-3.93%0.0456✓1.041.9M2022-09-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1063.8674-5.81%3.782-7.89%0.0024✓1.00245k2022-09-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.095448-5.78%0.0992-2.07%0.0601✗0.87200k2022-09-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3310.6767-5.77%15.33+35.30%0.3878✗1.061.9M2022-09-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014780.013943-5.67%0.0108-26.93%0.2385✓0.69165k2022-09-27
BANDBandEthereum1.1921.1245-5.66%1.209+1.43%0.1020✗1.20491k2022-09-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2755.9197-5.66%6.109-2.65%0.0535✓0.895.2M2022-09-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.094003-5.62%0.0887-10.94%0.0401✓0.733,2112022-09-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.59106.2675-5.62%114.29+1.51%0.1010✗1.144.7M2022-09-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.04930.04655-5.58%0.0403-18.26%0.1196✓1.00249k2022-09-27
SOLSolanaSolana30.4528.7638-5.54%32.68+7.32%0.1568✗1.1867.0M2022-09-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.313630.296277-5.53%0.43112+37.46%0.3972✗0.90378k2022-09-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0963.8696-5.53%3.918-4.35%0.0163✓0.162.3M2022-09-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09920.093722-5.52%0.0991-0.10%0.0826✗1.093.6M2022-09-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.5459-5.52%6.11+4.09%0.1078✗0.442.1M2022-09-27
SCSiacoinnative0.003930.003714-5.50%0.00349-11.20%0.0376✓0.99158k2022-09-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.340.321335-5.49%0.294-13.53%0.0624✓1.07170k2022-09-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067120.063471-5.44%0.06124-8.76%0.0156✓0.829142022-09-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0203860.019285-5.40%0.019414-4.77%0.0268✓0.8213k2022-09-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13370.126532-5.36%0.1392+4.11%0.1205✗1.02553k2022-09-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21340.202083-5.30%0.1721-19.35%0.1285✓1.30133k2022-09-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28230.267412-5.27%0.3524+24.83%0.2982✗0.907.1M2022-09-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8281.7324-5.23%1.576-13.79%0.0533✓1.6890k2022-09-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6450.611409-5.21%0.558-13.49%0.0612✓1.224.8M2022-09-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.728-5.17%6.63+9.77%0.1571✗0.441.9M2022-09-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055190.005234-5.16%0.004977-9.82%0.0337✓0.672,5882022-09-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0443960.042107-5.16%0.036288-18.26%0.1358✓0.5228k2022-09-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.846260.803079-5.10%0.78247-7.54%0.0017✓0.9814k2022-09-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015030.001427-5.07%0.001442-4.06%0.0279✓0.709,7092022-09-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04550.04321-5.03%0.0385-15.38%0.0911✓0.98843k2022-09-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49960.474546-5.01%0.4143-17.07%0.1153✓0.83625k2022-09-27
STXStacksnative0.35290.335299-4.99%0.3301-6.46%0.0132✓1.17410k2022-09-27
DIADIAEthereum0.363040.345056-4.95%0.3775+3.98%0.1137✗0.9745k2022-09-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.3850.758-4.91%52.67-1.33%0.0613✗0.9812.8M2022-09-27
XVGVergenative0.002890.002748-4.91%0.00325+12.46%0.1929✗1.02508k2022-09-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1291.074-4.87%1.049-7.09%0.0007✓0.981.9M2022-09-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.006420.006112-4.80%0.00484-24.61%0.2177✓0.631.1M2022-09-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1640.156249-4.73%0.14453-11.87%0.0517✓1.07399k2022-09-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.519.0611-4.72%8.89-6.52%0.0106✓1.20386k2022-09-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8616.5405-4.67%6.368-7.19%0.0010✓1.0413.1M2022-09-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.23620.225213-4.65%0.2646+12.02%0.1846✗0.9579k2022-09-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131720.125604-4.64%0.12298-6.64%0.0093✓1.23210k2022-09-27
NANOnanopayBase0.8625010.82275-4.61%0.760511-11.82%0.0588✓0.8177k2022-09-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.034055-4.61%0.0413+15.69%0.2125✗0.7911k2022-09-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029870.00285-4.57%0.002037-31.80%0.3135✓0.911.1M2022-09-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.6072.4879-4.57%2.357-9.59%0.0328✓0.86734k2022-09-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.65553.4889-4.56%3.9539+8.16%0.1397✗0.593.7M2022-09-27
DASHDashDash44.1442.1312-4.55%41.55-5.87%0.0100✓0.97466k2022-09-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11840.113037-4.53%0.1299+9.71%0.1643✗1.0230k2022-09-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021620.020643-4.52%0.02234+3.33%0.1003✗0.8612.4M2022-09-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93340.891263-4.51%0.903-3.26%0.0262✓0.533.6M2022-09-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.748320.714559-4.51%0.69457-7.18%0.0063✓0.89509k2022-09-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.13810.131871-4.51%0.1365-1.16%0.0602✗1.041,7802022-09-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07920.075677-4.45%0.0807+1.89%0.0878✗0.9614k2022-09-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,426.631,363.21-4.45%1,327.92-6.92%0.0071✓1.35597.1M2022-09-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2515.9738-4.43%8.054+28.84%0.3249✗1.0619.0M2022-09-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.00341.9152-4.40%1.7779-11.26%0.0448✓1.2013k2022-09-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43490.415958-4.36%0.4494+3.33%0.1050✗1.12364k2022-09-27
ZENHorizenBase14.814.1589-4.33%14.09-4.80%0.0220✓1.09119k2022-09-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037320.035707-4.32%0.03407-8.71%0.0270✓0.812,7072022-09-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99340.950539-4.31%0.9137-8.02%0.0024✓1.514.6M2022-09-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.951.8665-4.28%1.77-9.23%0.0230✓1.22255k2022-09-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.13960.133622-4.28%0.1281-8.24%0.0173✓1.01149k2022-09-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06190.059314-4.18%0.0526-15.02%0.0977✓0.91107k2022-09-27
FTTFTXEthereum25.3524.3062-4.12%23.63-6.79%0.0044✓0.967.3M2022-09-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.08540.081912-4.08%0.104+21.78%0.2623✗0.96409k2022-09-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3333-4.08%1.43+2.88%0.0682✗-0.07105k2022-09-27
XEMNEMnative0.0429950.041255-4.05%0.040084-6.77%0.0079✓0.8529k2022-09-27
KSMKusamaHydration45.443.5786-4.01%42.54-6.30%0.0000✓0.98560k2022-09-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20240.194392-3.96%0.1944-3.95%0.0252✓1.0261k2022-09-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.332.2379-3.95%2.85+22.32%0.2545✗0.5293k2022-09-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.55910.1448-3.92%13.486+27.72%0.3125✗1.1310.4M2022-09-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.93320.898143-3.76%0.8448-9.47%0.0312✓1.22972k2022-09-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.00430.967399-3.67%1.0698+6.52%0.1312✗1.24973k2022-09-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.471376-3.60%0.355-27.40%0.2526✓1.252,6092022-09-27
XVSVenusEthereum4.824.6492-3.54%4.71-2.28%0.0341✓0.861.6M2022-09-27
AAVEAaveEthereum78.5775.8689-3.44%76.6-2.51%0.0465✗1.506.5M2022-09-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04190.040464-3.43%0.0413-1.43%0.0443✗0.97175k2022-09-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159770.154411-3.35%0.16684+4.43%0.1285✗2.076362022-09-27
STEEMSteemnative0.21830.211007-3.34%0.2234+2.34%0.0794✗0.90528k2022-09-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.61.5468-3.33%1.591-0.56%0.0513✗0.94623k2022-09-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011770.000011381-3.31%0.00001112-5.52%0.0003✓0.95886k2022-09-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.32610.315368-3.29%0.318-2.48%0.0395✗1.26176k2022-09-27
KCSKuCoinnative8.8168.5312-3.23%9.026+2.38%0.0802✗0.961.5M2022-09-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05540.05364-3.18%0.0523-5.60%0.0024✓0.9399k2022-09-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.320.309878-3.16%0.292-8.75%0.0308✓1.16146k2022-09-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03450.033416-3.14%0.0336-2.61%0.0285✓0.9386k2022-09-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061750.059815-3.13%0.060554-1.94%0.0382✗1.051.7M2022-09-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15920.154249-3.11%0.1477-7.22%0.0093✓1.382,2552022-09-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,554.0318,951.30-3.08%19,077.57-2.44%0.0313✗1.00474.0M2022-09-27
TRXTRONTron0.0613920.059521-3.05%0.059413-3.22%0.0130✓0.60142k2022-09-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022140.021481-2.97%0.01892-14.54%0.1070✓0.81419k2022-09-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.524370.510629-2.62%0.46109-12.07%0.0700✓1.3041k2022-09-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1027360.100251-2.42%0.110129+7.20%0.1145✗0.837.1M2022-09-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02420.023628-2.36%0.02148-11.24%0.0638✓1.283,4352022-09-27
GTGateEthereum4.32284.221-2.36%4.2532-1.61%0.0266✗0.77775k2022-09-27
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7395.6063-2.31%6.366+10.93%0.1592✗1.3010.0M2022-09-27
XMRMoneroMonero146.4143.142-2.23%144.38-1.38%0.0328✗0.981.2M2022-09-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,646.4019,234.34-2.10%19,015.60-3.21%0.0118✓0.9411k2022-09-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.